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There are rumours doing the rounds about Portugal defaulting tomorrow. Source is a report from High Frequency Economics.
Why tomorrow? There's no major event due that would trigger a default, as far as I know.
It has around €5 Billion of Bonds maturing tomorrow.
The 1 & 2 yrs yield just took out the all time highs they set May 9th. Lot's of nervousness on their redemption tomorrow
Clock Work http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=85-KhAhRG2c&feature=related
...long Blood Red Moon ritual sacrifice http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/43365523/?GT1=43001
of the Beast? http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FI1kKdV5aYY&feature=related
Honestly till Ecofin meeting no move...
I agree Portugal will need Haircuts yes or yes.
Dont trust those rumors,,,
(Too much money in Quarterly Expiration) Just follow the bonds and spreads...
I just love the magically levitating EUR, when i get bored at work, checking the spot is good for a laugh.
..and when it all goes down the drain, markets will be closed.
Can't remember who said that a man goes broke slowly at first, and then all at once.
Apparently countries are no different (ok, maybe faster).
thx i was late ;-)
One picture to say it all:
I'm assuing the spam deluge at that link wasn't deliberate, right SD?
And BTW, no relevant picture came up.
My fellow Belgian Sudden Debt got a little carried away with his link post, here is the actual link that works, directly to the photo with caption, it is good for a laugh:
Its not levitating, its more than that...
If US suffer in exports....US GDP for 2012 will be negative, so they have been doing super road show all across Asian Central Banks promoting..."diversify fx"....
so Asean central banks supporting Euro...but in the long term they are helping US exports...
Cos US doesnt have internal growth, just PUBLIC and exports....
Welcome to the next bearish cycle till 1.100 (Big 38,2% retracement support), then ... The Fed will use the last bullet of ammo (qe3...) , its my humble opinion.
Markets are completly inflated and has been pumped with QE´s and no volume .
The biggest threat for US economy is to combat deflation and deleverage and not become Japanizated (80-2010)
The germans would kill any chance of US exports with the EUR at 1.1, wont be the least surprised that a more permanent resolution to this fiasco is Germany "encouraged" to go their own way and go back on the DM.
Just default already !
We must move into the future and stop living in the past - what will be, will be.
Majority of Dutch parliament is against more greek aid without restructuring at least some part of the debt http://www.fd.nl/artikel/22402451/cda-vvd-griekenland-moet-meer-privatiseren
It is in Dutch, but the message is as I said
thanks.. (klinkt als "einde oefening")
Article has disappeared. Probably the real situation on the ground in the Netherlands is not of interest to the readers.... :-S
INSTEAD there's this crap: http://fd.nl/economie-politiek/2011/06/16/wellink-noodfonds-eu-moet-naar...
Nout Wellink, one of the people that worked in 2010 to find a "solution" to "solving" the greek debt crisis, now says that in case a bailout is not supported, the risk of contagion will be greater so there must be 1,5 trillion put in the ECB.
If you can't do it through the right, then take a left turn around the problem. IMO it's clear that this is the start of a "Quantative Easing" type program, to put Europe in a simular position as the USA. It's politicians that said this is a "liquidity" crisis, and now face the fact it IS IN FACT A SOLVENCY CRISIS, now trying to convince everyone they were right in the first place. Instead of solving the issue, they're only going to throw good money after bad. If this goes trough it means a large sum of money is transferred from public funds (accountabillity) to the ECB, to spend on providing more "liquidity". I thought they were "tightening". Seems to me the Jack is out of the Box now....
WE SURE LIKE HAVING MEETINGS!!
yes Committees is yet another 'institution' like Govt that is proven absolute shite at decision making
...remember adding another layer of committees (crones) in the non-Executive Board wasto over-see and ensure good corporate governance?
...much like Regulators, Accountants/Auditors and the Judiciary they sure add another layer of wages and another layer of waffling self-important crones to the excess fat at big public companies but please send in your suggestions how they added any value or stopped any ship from capsizing
...what a blessing the committee system is ...doing a fantastic job adding value at the EU i see and what tremendous problem solving too
Problem: Debt. Solution: More Debt ...the absolute genius of Committee group-think
The June 15 total solar eclipse belongs to Saros Cycle 130, which began on June 10, 1416 – the year that the Chinese fleet commanded by Zheng He reached Aden, and after looking around decided that the Middle East (and Europe, for that matter) was so backward as to be of no interest to China.
It would be nice to hear some opinions out of Greece about the Greek situation rather than just Wall Street shills shouting and Goldman spivs spewing.
Unfortunatly they lie thru their teeth....they lie on their taxes..their income...they lied to get in the EU..they will lie now to get more cash..then they will lie during the default...it is the Greece way....
Say anything, just to get those panties down...
How did Greece issue 26 week t-bills? Forced Rollover already?
It looks like the PIIGS are gonna be Greeced tomorrow.
Here is a greek opinion:
A bad ending follows a bad beginning.- Euripides
The EU will succeed when piigs can flee.
hoping desperately that a deux ex machina will just fall into their laps
hoping desperately that a deux ex machina will just fall into their laps
They could start selling US debt.
Or their gold. I'm sure China & Russia would be interested purchasers.
The Greeks should default, go back to the drachma, and then privatise their assets to raise cash during the period investors lick their wounds and shun their bonds.
Rumours of Portugal defaulting:
I've lived in Greece for 6 years now & there was never any chance of saving the situation. It was doomed the moment the Bank of Greece let the cat out of the bag in august 2009. The whole revision of deficits etc was just a monumental PR exercise by Europe to cover its ass.
The culprits got off scott-free, the politicians sold their souls to save themselves & the public don't want to face the truth that they supported a corrupt system.
The banks who lent the money knew categorically that the finances came from the land of Makebelieve, but hey, commission is commission, so they trousered the cash & ignored it. Now the ferryman has arrived & they've ALL shat themselves & are blaming each other. It's 1 minute to midnight & the whole shebang, europe-wide, is about to blow...
This is the most succinct account I have ever seen.
Now if you can translate it so the sheeple understand then perhaps even they might be more enlightened
World to Greece: Stop being pussies and default already.
Show the bankers how it's going to be and start printing Drachmas already to show the EU there's no going back.
They don't want to default because then they would actually have to live within their means.
They want the bailout money to keep coming.
If 'they' is the majority of the population, that's flat out wrong.
http://www.nrc.nl/nieuws/2011/06/14/pvda-zet-druk-op-de-jager-om-steun-g... just in: In the Netherlands the coalition party PvdA has put demands on Minister De Jager by demanding (transl: "eis") that the senior bondholders will also take a haircut. Also Ronald Plasterp said the minister "must stop telling fairytales that the banks are going to collect all their debt"
If the Netherlands don't agree to a further bailout, it's not happening: There has to be a unanimous descision.
Unless the ECB and Minister De Jager come up with a plan where a "credit event" is avoided and there's "voluntary participation" of the bondholders, the whole thing is toast.
source: NRC Handelsblad
Am I missing something? How does extending maturities improve the chances that Greece will pay back its debt? If they can't pay the interest now, how can they pay the interest now + 5 years?
It's called kicking the can. The whole idea behind extending maturities has NOTHING to do with helping Greece. It's just yet another way to buy time and transfer the risks from banks into public balance sheet.
The biggest assumption that all these unworthy policymakers are making is that they can continue the sham that is the current financial system. It will be the ultimate bubble to pop and it will be ugly for them.
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