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EURUSD Dropping Despite Unremarkable Trichet Press Conference

Tyler Durden's picture


The sudden plunge in the EURUSD can only be attributed to Waddell and Reed rushing to sell a few nickels worth of the FX pair, as the JCT ECB press conference has ended, and contrary to what some are saying, had nothing notable in it. In fact it was the usual liefest, in which the Europe Fed big man had the gall of saying the US wants a strong dollar: who appoints these pathological liars? Here is Goldman's Erik Nielsen with a rounddown of the bulletin of bullshit.

The ECB’s press conference has just ended; it lacked any important news.  The prepared statement was shorter than usual, but Trichet clarified a number of points otherwise left out (or open to interpretation due to the shorter text), including:

  • On the Euro, Trichet sounded surprisingly relaxed, and he repeated the usual stuff, name that (1) FX should reflect fundamentals; (2) US wanting a strong dollar (!!!) and (3) that nobody likes excessive volatility.   But he confirmed that the FX issues will be discussed in Washington.
  • Trichet confirmed that their gradual exit strategy continues, and he hinted quite clearly that they intend a return to competitive bidding, and hence an end to full allotment, probably some time next year.  Interesting, if not surprising, he was clear that this is not unanimous, but he sounded very confident that this is in store.
  • Asked about the reports on future differentiated haircuts on sovereign debt, Trichet responded that they are always considering their policies for possible changes.  Given my role in proposing this, I am obviously biased, but I thought he missed a good opportunity to shoot this one down, if he had wanted to.  So I continue to think this will happen, although it may take a year or two before we get there.

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Thu, 10/07/2010 - 10:45 | Link to Comment infotechsailor
infotechsailor's picture

...clearly that they intend a return to competitive bidding...


no foreign central banks will exit until amerika exploders

Thu, 10/07/2010 - 10:23 | Link to Comment iota
iota's picture

Not the only one moving. $20 drop on spot gold. If you buy the dips, that's a decent dip.

Thu, 10/07/2010 - 10:24 | Link to Comment snowball777
snowball777's picture

Ire-who? Portu-what? Grease? I'm sorry, you're breaking up...

Thu, 10/07/2010 - 10:25 | Link to Comment RobotTrader
RobotTrader's picture

Looks like the retail stocks are celebrating the big drop in commodity prices today.

Thu, 10/07/2010 - 10:32 | Link to Comment SDRII
SDRII's picture

yeah better sales. Might want to check in on H&M - sales flying margins crushed

Thu, 10/07/2010 - 10:31 | Link to Comment Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

I do believe the dollar is a strong currency.

If you don't believe me, just do the following:

1. Take 1 dollar bill

2. place it on a rock

3. and try to hit that dollar bill with your fists as hard as you can!

I bet it'll start hurting after 100 times and the dollarbill will still be there!


Thu, 10/07/2010 - 10:36 | Link to Comment wiskeyrunner
wiskeyrunner's picture

Buy this dip, tomorrows numbers are rigged to look good. All economic data till the election will be rigged. It's not right but you can either kick the dirt and mutter under your breath, or you can make some free money in this risk free fed pump.

Thu, 10/07/2010 - 10:37 | Link to Comment HelluvaEngineer
HelluvaEngineer's picture

Dollar up.  Gold down.  Market up.  Gotta love it.

Thu, 10/07/2010 - 10:39 | Link to Comment Commander Cody
Commander Cody's picture

(1) FX should reflect fundamentals; (2) US wanting a strong dollar (!!!) and (3) that nobody likes excessive volatility.

Liar, liar, pants on fire!  FX fundamentals?  Strong dollar - who in the US, expect perhaps those who still believe in liberty and are governed by, what some used to refer to as, the Constitution?  Nobody likes excessive volatility?  I'd say a few trading desks would disagree.

Thu, 10/07/2010 - 10:40 | Link to Comment gwar5
gwar5's picture

Something is cooking, no confidence, Ben is calling all the shots, and Trichet is just carrying his water and stalling trying not to spill any beans and screw it up right now

Probably doesn't help that Japan now has the jitters, nobody there wants to fall on a sword or lose their head

....Clearly they're all stalling Bernanke on purpose, just waiting for his psychological assessment reports to get back to them first so they can look it over and make sure he's not mad as a hatter




Thu, 10/07/2010 - 10:40 | Link to Comment DYLAND
DYLAND's picture

The reason why the EUR- USD is dropping because the move from Aug 24th to Oct 7th matches the price move from June 7th to Aug 6th. Simple Geometry.

Thu, 10/07/2010 - 10:42 | Link to Comment system failure
system failure's picture

GOLDMAN SUCKS recommendation to buy the EUR was dead on yesterday. I must say, you will be rich when you do the opposite of GOLDMAN SUCKS and KRAMMERs recommendations. Simply unreal at how bold their comments are into the slaughter. LOL

Thu, 10/07/2010 - 10:45 | Link to Comment mr_fro2000
mr_fro2000's picture

lovin how Waddell and Reed is the defacto reason for all negative news.

im stealing this sentiment for my personal life.  if anything ever goes bad im blaming Waddell and Reed.

Thu, 10/07/2010 - 10:46 | Link to Comment infotechsailor
infotechsailor's picture

blame it on capitalism.

Thu, 10/07/2010 - 10:54 | Link to Comment Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

I blamed last nights erectile dysfunction on Waddle. Then I thought about Reeds and things stiffened right up.

However by that time my wife had rolled over and gone to sleep so I blamed Tyler and the ZH crew. :>)

Thu, 10/07/2010 - 10:57 | Link to Comment primefool
primefool's picture

They are all relaxed because Ben has the oil and gold markets covered and completely under control. As well as the Treasury markets and stock markets .
All markets are free to do as Ben dictates. Free markets.

Thu, 10/07/2010 - 11:04 | Link to Comment Grand Supercycle
Grand Supercycle's picture

Updated FTSE weekly chart:

Thu, 10/07/2010 - 11:04 | Link to Comment A_MacLaren
A_MacLaren's picture

Fiat volatility is never a good sign.

Thu, 10/07/2010 - 11:12 | Link to Comment unwashedmass
unwashedmass's picture

gang rape on gold and silver.....spectacular buys in the miners getting even better....

little tiny boy MNEAF...announced five new veins of high grade silver this morning......1.95 per share......i am loving this....

thank you JPM...

Thu, 10/07/2010 - 11:17 | Link to Comment Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

But Goldman told me to buy the Euro.

Thu, 10/07/2010 - 11:22 | Link to Comment unwashedmass
unwashedmass's picture

ah you betcha they did. someone had to buy them out.

Thu, 10/07/2010 - 11:59 | Link to Comment virgilcaine
virgilcaine's picture

Risk off.. me bitchez.

Thu, 10/07/2010 - 12:30 | Link to Comment system failure
system failure's picture



We should be closer than ever to that dump the hay wagon and unload phase pretty soon. Maybe today!!!




Waddell and Reed must be selling

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