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EURUSD Plunging On News European Aid Package In Jeopardy
By now everyone is aware that the G20 meeting failed to come to a consensus vis-a-vis strategic rescue approaches on the global bailout, with Tim Geithner pushing for uber-Keynesianism, while a far more prudent Europe saying enough to record deficits, and in essence potentially putting the end to the avalanche of endless bailouts and the Bernanke Uber-Put. At least such is the case until tomorrow when Europe's bureaucrats wake up and see a EURUSD at a level that rounds down to 1.10. The reason: Der Spiegel reports that Germany's high court is considering blocking Germany's participation in the European rescue package, a development which if it were to come to pass, would send the euro plunging to parity not with the dollar but with zero.
Translated from German:
The Federal Constitutional Court, order against the euro rescue to adopt an interim measure. This would allow the court provisionally prohibit the federal government to guarantee loans to enable the German. Against the rescue package are constitutional complaints against several.
The President of the Constitutional Court, Andreas Vosskuhle had to Gauweiler complaint, according to information of the SPIEGEL explicitly asked for opinions of different jobs: He led them to the Federal Government, the Bundestag, the Federal President, all state governments, the European Central Bank and the German Bundesbank and asked for feedback. It is Vosskule a request for interim relief, the Gauweiler associated with its application has. Gauweiler has brought in Karlsruhe already against the Treaty of Lisbon complaint. Disturb him, "that is further given unchecked power to EU bodies.
The German government warned that an interim order could lead to a "self-fulfilling expectation of default" by Europe's troubled states. As readers will recall, all it takes is for a country sovereign debt spread to to widen to 5% over Bunds, for them to have an "out" from the EU rescue package, a loophole most will surely take advantage of eagerly as soon as the market processes this latest development. All in all, another week of pain for Europe approaches, and of even greater pain for the US manufacturing sector, which paradoxically was the only one to materially add new jobs in the latest NFP report.
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That's ok, the US manufacturing sector will benefit when we have our own domestic devaluation - coming soon to a Federal Reserve Bank near you.
noone will benefit as not many will be buying anything in that environment..maybe only in the long run...
Indeed, no one will benefit from Mr. Gauweilers action except his reputation as an extraordinary expensive lawyer. I come across his vast office complex every other day.
Obviously there is no legal way for the Bundesverfassungsgericht to declare an interim injunction.
As it was clearly stated in the article, the Bundesregierung advised the court that the decision to help Greece was not a legally binding agreement, but only a declaration of political will.
This loophole has occasionally been used in the past to avoid similar trouble. It always prooved succesfull. It will be the same this time.
Anyhow, everybody just keep on bashing the european project. Make your bucks and be happy, there are nice profits to be made. If you believe Europe will be seewing Chines T-Shirts soon, its your good right to do so. Many friends of mine say, the most succesfull US-company that appeared on the german market in the last years was American Apparell. Producing T-s vertically integrated, we all love it.
Tyler,
I think you nailed it........Germany is not about to sacrifice itself on anyone's altar.Much less, destroy itself with QE to infinity.........for Someone else.
If this comes about, Sarkozy will Shite himself..France will be SOL,and it rolls downhill from there.......
EUR/JPY is taking it in the shorts, too.
The yen loss is double that of the dollar. What do you think the Nikkei looks like when it opens?
Check out the current tell-tale cross of AUD/JPY - 74.28 down 1.38 or -1.84%
Sarkozy shouldn't have used his Banty-rooster act with Merkel. The bitchez cave initially, but then they stay up all night thinking about how to f8k you up, and smile while they do it.
Now why did I question myself when French bonds and CDS spread widen last week? And Telegrapg reported UK economists suggesting the euro might not survive the end of the year? Maybe it wasn't the Socgen rumour afterall. Wait till sarko wakes up and read the newspapers, excitement must be intense as the days leading up to Lehamn Day and hedgies in Bangkok massage parlours are recalled the weekend to reset their bots ... who will blow up (we know the countries, but which hedge funds? PIMCO? and JPM/Buffett and their derivatives), who will default, who will quit the euro, which would be the collateral damage, who will print money, who will jump?
Massacre in Czechoslovakia Newly Discovered Film Shows Post-War Executions
It has long been known that German civilians fell victim to Czech excesses immediately following the Nazi surrender at the end of World War II. But a newly discovered video shows one such massacre in brutal detail. And it has come as a shock to the Czech Republic. By Jan Puhl more...
It has long been known that German civilians fell victim to Czech excesses immediately following the Nazi surrender at the end of World War II. But a newly discovered video shows one such massacre in brutal detail. And it has come as a shock to the Czech Republic.
For decades, the images lay forgotten in an aluminum canister -- almost seven minutes of original black and white film, shot with an 8 mm camera on May 10, 1945, in the Prague district of Borislavka during the confusing days of the German surrender.
The man who shot the film was Jirí Chmelnicek, a civil engineer and amateur filmmaker who lived in the Borislavka district and wanted to document the city's liberation from the brutal Nazi occupation. Chmelnicek filmed tanks rolling through the streets, soldiers and refugees. Then, at some point, his camera also caught groups of Germans, who had been driven out of their houses and into Kladenska Street by Red Army soldiers and Czech militiamen.
Chmelnicek's film shows how the Germans were rounded up in a nearby movie theater, also called the Borislavka. The camera then pans to the side of the street, where 40 men and at least one woman stand with their backs to the lens. A meadow can be seen in the background. Shots ring out and, one after another, each person in the line slumps and falls forward over a low embankment. The injured lying on the ground beg for mercy. Then a Red Army truck rolls up, its tires crushing dead and wounded alike. Later other Germans can be seen, forced to dig a mass grave in the meadow.
A Shock to Czechs
The shaky images show an event that has been described again and again by eyewitnesses and historians: the systematic killing of German civilians. Yet the film comes as a shock to Czechs. "Until now, there was no footage whatsoever of such executions," says Czech documentary filmmaker David Vondracek, who showed the historical images on television. "When I watched this for the first time, it was like seeing a live broadcast from the past."
The only such images known before were taken by a US Air Force camera team. That footage showed injured Germans lying on the ground in Plzen, in what was then Czechoslovakia, in early May 1945. The images included some dead bodies, but they didn't show a liquidation, from beginning to end, like this one.
Vondracek's documentary about Czech atrocities, called "Killings, Czech Style," aired during prime-time on Czech state television just two days before May 8, the anniversary of Nazi Germany's surrender. The broadcast marks yet another milestone on the Czech road toward confronting a not-always-comfortable World War II past -- a path the country has been working its way down for years.
PS
Are there any reasons why Germans must bail out these bastards?
I won't say this is right, but I don't understand your final comment.
First off, the Czech economy is actually very strong, and doesn't need a bailout.
Second, the local currency is the Koruna, not the Euro.
And finally, it's hardly as if the Germans didn't resort to similar methods during the war.
The war finished 65 years ago. Can we let it go now?
Killing of innocents is always a tragedy, but these events didnot come out of sudden.They came after horrors of WWII started by nacist Germany.
Most likely it was a retalation for this:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Munich_Agreement
or this:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lidice#Massacre
or this:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Holocaust
So before you start calling others bastards, perhaps you should first look into the mirror.
Ha ha
What's the over/under on how many nanoseconds after the market opens on Monday will it take for the NYSE to invoke "Rule 48"?
NYSE to invoke "Rule 48 BEFORE market opens.....
They will invoke Rule 48 and execute Order 66.
Nah...EUR will miraculously rally back above 1.20, Hungary changes their mind, BP somehow can spin positive news out of the oil cap, etc., etc. Oh, and don't forget Apple tells us tomorrow that they implanted iPads in every newborn.
I get the feeling by the time I get on my computer in the morning, those futures will be glowing green.
"Oh, and don't forget Apple tells us tomorrow that they implanted iPads in every newborn."
Harry, I am giving you quote of the day. Congrats.
+1
OK, you. What have you done with the real HW and when can we expect his return. We will meet your demands of a HP 286 processor and a rotary telephone.
I kinda like the new Harry. He is all sarcastic and dire like the rest of us now, but he still thinks the markets are going up. Classic!
HarryWanger 2.0 is SO much more interesting than the original version!
I just may have to re-evaluate my opinion of you, Harry. Might ZeroHedgeitis have finally claimed its ultimate victim?
Not yet. Harry down, Leo to go.
You HAD to remind me!
"Not yet. Harry down, Leo to go."
LOL
Made me really laugh out loud. But we need to wait a full 30 days to make sure Harry's conditioning has taken hold and is permanent. Leo's going to need electro-shock therapy. :>)
Yes, but what about HW 3G - will he still blend?
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qg1ckCkm8YI
Hmm...
The resident masochist.
Harry, after hearing true sarcasm in that post I just wanted to officially welome you to the darkside.
That may be the first HarryWanger post that I haven't "junked".
Oh, and don't forget Apple tells us tomorrow that they implanted iPads in every newborn.
Top Shelf, man! That's some weapons-grade funny there.
Pity my PC crashed and I had to wait until morning for this reply. Cheers -
I am sure they already have...they can just feel the need for it.
I thought Rule 48 is now in perpetual effect. You need to look for the daily Rule 48 suspension notice.
It's replaced by Rule 12,000, which states "DOW shalt be 12,000".
Next will come Rule 4%, a "circuit breaker" for unemployment rates.
And Rule 50,000 to replace the minimum wage.
As far as silly things like "liquidity", it'll be like the milk/bread/egg signs in old Soviet states: "There is no demand for capital or retirement funds today."
I had a dream some years ago.
One of the lucid ones. Clear as day.
Look for the day the dow closes at 1241.
After that day, alllllllll downhill.
Can they get it up to there from here?
Youuuuuuuuu betcha!
They haven't done it yet ;)
This article is still not showing up on the Der Spiegel web site. Anyone able to access an English language version of this report?
europe needs to kick greece out and establish transaction tax. i got a gut feeling France is blocking both.
They already have a transaction tax; it's called the 20% VAT.
Working great so far...
Funny is, it's called value added tax, but isn't actually on the added value at each step in the production/market chain, but on the whole value every time.
...which amounts to exactly the same thing
Dumb comment - disregard.
also from Der Spiegel
"Europe is eager to begin paying down sovereign debt. The US wants to see Germany and France continue stimulus measures. With Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner in Germany on Thursday, the trans-Atlantic differences in fiscal policy have become difficult to ignore."
http://www.spiegel.de/politik/deutschland/0,1518,698926,00.html
____
This is a cluster*uck for Geithner.
I see a down week for the DOW
Merkel has a strap-on, and she's not afraid to use it?
Stock up on toilet paper....no....paper towels....no....a pressure washer.....Shit hits the fan tomorrow....
My friend went to DC and all I got was this lousy poop stain.
Quit using Barney's butt plug 24 hrs a day. Maybe the injury will heal. Surgical repair may be required in some cases of excess.
We all got to duck.....Circle Jerks classic http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WRK2J0ymZGc&feature=related
+1
Asia down 2-3% ..........
Nikkei down 4%!
The German Constitutional Court did not veto bailout 1.0
( Greece ) I see very little reason they would veto
Bailout 2.0.
Your Spiegel quote refers to Tiny Tim's visit to
Scháuble, where they locked horns, Germany
has been hassled for months, and most publicly
by the French Finance minister about their surplus
-country status, they are not about
to be down on that one. Germany has of late
created 160 000 jobs in the past two months.
Headlines in the Handelsblatt Saturday were:
Geithner: Forget American Demand
Jim Willie has an interesting commentary on this @ http://www.gold-eagle.com/editorials_08/willie060310.html
Euro parity with dollar or zero are not mutually exclusive.
If that is written down it means, in the limit, that Germany will have to rescue everybody before they can rescue themselves... Insane is the word for it. The court has to refute the document *and* persecute all that signed it.
the sun is getting blocked by swarms of black swans. europe is going into another dark ages. we are next.
Nice imagery
Actually, there are two large coronal holes facing earth, the NOAA sunny types have an "unscheduled" meeting in DC on Tuesday (when the solar wind hits earth), and I hope you have backup power.
Too cryptic, more detail please.
Saying something and not giving a reference is useless...
http://science.nasa.gov/science-news/science-at-nasa/2010/04jun_swef/
That was badass! Thanks!
Oh and solar flares are coming, oh yes, they are coming. My reference? Kaku.
like the imagery too
AUD getting whacked against USD down 1.25%
I tell you what though, if the AUD overshoots and goes below 0.7 relative to the dollar, I'm going long AUD.
That could be a good call.
How can a country so rich in resources take such a beating in the global FX frenzy?
Iam,
Simple enough answer to that one.
Because this market does not reflect reality.
So when the Euro becomes a relic, are we back to the traditional tri-lateral Yen/USD/DEM merry-go-round, or what?
Infinite spending from the US, Europe cutting back, and this is bad for the Euro? The dollar is a dead currentsea! Iran, you will be so pissed you sold those Euros, mark my words.
One poop at a time is the rule.
"Fifth rule, one poop at a time fellas."
LOL!
Entropy never decreased, it just passed from one system to another. In this case the system doesn't have a dedicated printing press and the ECB can not legislate. There was never really a "Treaty of Brussles" on May 9. EPIC FAIL.
I think "branched" rather than "passed".
spread; sounds disease like.
How did they not see this coming??? Someone over there better start reading Reggie.
Damnit...not good news...went long on apple over the weekend
Bad, bad hawk.
Go sit in the corner.
Basically the Cold War alliance is falling apart and every man for himself.
Fuck the world isn't flat.
The Cold War is ancient history.
Welcome to the Gold War.
Thanks - I always hated Thomas Friedman and the world was flat - knew the conception was flawed
Inflation is a very hated word in Germany - the chess game is now more interesting.
this is funny to see that some persons ignore, here, on a site of "awared" persons about finance businesses, that Merkel, while telling us about the german ban on short sellings, was hidding the fact that her banks were betting on the Greece debt loans defaulting, and on the euro falling, since the beginnings, just to fill her banks with cash, because they are on the verge of being pulled into the debt abysses too. A good bargain for her exportations too
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I77UwYM-884
http://seekingalpha.com/article/205794-der-tarp-germany-is-hiding-a-big-banking-problem
http://finance.yahoo.com/banking-budgeting/article/109581/are-german-banks-short-the-euro
http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article19771.html
http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2010/05/germany-just-another-weak-man-of-europe.html
Good Post. Thanks.
participate in the markets????
what markets????
wake up ashalt the jig is up
No need to get personal. Not nice.
I junked you.
As did I. And raising you one:
Douche.
I guess it's true -- the truth DOES hurt!
We'll forgive you your pouting and little-girl screams after evidently getting bitten in the ass by it.
So why are you here then?
I have found more information on this site that is not available elsewhere than anywhere else on the internet. I don't care about fair and balanced (I'll form my own opinions), or whether the editor inhales. It seems to me that this is use of the net in the finest way imaginable.
Also, don't forget that some really great journalists had axes to grind (think of H. L. Mencken) and were spurred as much by anger and hurt feelings as they were by love. The quality of the product is what counts.
+100
sounds like sour grapes to me (or he just wanted to get a reaction out of us)
How hypocritical is to go after Tyler, and ZH, when you yourself produce nothing to refute any of the 5000+posts contained herein?
Here is an idea. Instead of bitching about Tyler, and the content contained herein, why don't you start your own blog. I assume you can produce the fair and balanced content you so desire (after all, you seem to have excellent critical reasoning skills).
Call it ZeroReaders2.0.com.
But will it be as popular as Liberal Talk Radio?
I'd go long on that! (not really).
First, which Tyler? As far as I can tell, for the amount of information he gathers and publishes, there must be a small army of Tylers publishing under one Pseudonym.
Second, Tyler could have raped goats in front of kid's with terminal leukemia, it wouldn't change the quality of information he (they?) publishes (most of which has been correct).
Just for that, when we bring on the guilottine, we will chop your nuts off first, and then go for the head. Now, go back to FOX.
Hey Fuckface, if you don´t like it here, get out! Foxnews, as a source of info is about as useful as tits on a nun. Tyler may haved done on a minor level, what world class criminals such as GS do every day. The difference is that GS owns the sockpuppet known as Obama and can easily make him squawk when any regulator fails to understand that their job it to kowtow to the powerful whilst hammering the weak. Or do you really believe that the SEC, NASD etc actually protect investors? GS controls the mainstream media! Only here, and on a few other sites, do we actually garner unfiltered, raw info from humanoids on the front line. Go buy some vaseline and mouthwash and make the GS exec team happy. We don´t need your BS.
I sense this could be the beginning of a real drop. The G20 news has the sound of real discord and trouble among da boyz.
Am I wrong - maybe. I have most of my ducks in a row - at least enough if this is the start.
EURO AVALANCHE:
http://williambanzai7.blogspot.com/2010/06/euro-avalanche-warning.html
2 years ago I went on a cruise that had a week in greece . Those snob bastards were looking at my USDs and pointing their nose up and demanding that I have euros. LMFAO I wish I had the money to go back now and wipe my arse on their POS currency.
No paper currency is "safe" going forward, especially the dollar.
What goes around, comes around ... you can count on it !!
You really got off a cruise ship and complained they wouldnt take USD in Greece?
O they definitely pissed in your beer, no doubt about it.
Just a hunch but I think the criminals that run the Crimex are starting to get very very nervous. They've always worked diligently to cap gold but, lately, they're getting far more blatant and obvious. The shenanigans of May were awful to watch. This past Friday was almost larceny before market forces overwhelmed them. Tonight is simply amazing.
Any chance JPM gets to wash back gold when volume is light, the take it. Assholes.
See also this story in the English language edition of Der Spiegel:
http://www.spiegel.de/international/germany/0,1518,698378,00.html
This was not the US Treasury version of the meeting, ha! (from the Spiegel piece cited in previous post):
"The Americans don't like the plans. The atmosphere was decidedly frosty at a meeting last week in Berlin between US Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner and German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schäuble, because the two men fundamentally disagree. Geithner urged the Europeans to spend more and to run up debts to boost economic growth and help the global economy. Schäuble countered that high debts were the root of the turmoil now engulfing the euro zone. "
Well, that was a nice 150 pip drop!
IF that judge tosses this out, the markets get introduced to a new technical analysis term:
PLUNGER RAPE
Had a short on for the past two weeks.
Put my entire account in SDS on the close friday. This could be a kickass week for yours truly.
No one has mentioned the funniest headline of the weekend; in a sign of just how fucked up the world has become, al jazeera is covering the Bilderberg conference. http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/blog/2010/jun/04/bilderberg-charlie-skel...
So what is the real G20 message here. Perhaps;
The prudent action of a sovereign nation unable to pay its debt, is to default.
Responsible fiscal action is to repudiate bad debt. Do not waste resources on perpetuating investment in bad debt.
Do not enslave your people in debt servitude to pay for another countries bank profits.
----------
The message is clear; let Greece, or who ever else can't pay, default.
Now, do they have the guts???
Mark Beck
Updated DOW charts:
http://stockmarket618.wordpress.com
http://www.zerohedge.com/forum/latest-market-outlook-1
when is the court decision coming...date???