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Eyjafjallajokull Ash Diffusion Indicates Why Europe Is Panicking, 84% Of European Flights Cancelled
This is why Europe is panicking: click below for a real time volcanic ash diffusion chart.
Here is EuroControl's latest recap of the catastrophe:
EUROCONTROL expects approximately 4,000 flights to take place today in European airspace. On a normal Sunday, we would expect 24,000. By the end of today, we expect that more than 63,000 flights in total will have been cancelled since Thursday 15 April. A summary table of the impact on flights is below.
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At the current time, air traffic control services are not being provided to civil aircraft in the major part of European airspace. This includes Austria, Belgium, Croatia, the Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, most of France, most of Germany, Hungary, Ireland, northern Italy, the Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Romania, Serbia, Slovenia, Slovakia, north Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Ukraine and the UK. In some of these areas the upper airspace has been made available, depending on the observed and forecasted area of possible ash contamination. However, it is difficult to access this airspace as in most cases the surrounding area is not available for flights.
Southern Europe, including parts of Spain, Portugal, the southern Balkan area, southern Italy, Bulgaria, Greece and Turkey remain open and flights are taking place in these areas.
The next update will be sent out to the press around 18:30 CET on 18 April.
(graph courtesy of the HuffPo)
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The Black Swan has arrived in terminal B, gate #4. Repeat: The Black Swan has arrived in terminal B, gate #4.
Finnish air force F-18 engine damaged due to volcanic dust
http://bit.ly/8YovQA
EU without Air Defense ??
Is this an exploitable scenario?
they had air defense?
Sao Tome and Principe will take advantage of the confusion and invade...
Somehow, this seems fitting that Iceland would f*ck over Europe.
cheers to that fish,
you sell us toxic assets - we send it right back the icelandic way!
The people in Iceland get the justice they have been longing for...just not in the exact form expected.
Black Swan?Absolutely.Wait till Katla goes off, then the FAIL will be truly epic.
A Katla eruption would indeed be a game changer!
The current eruption has spewed far less than .1 cubic km of ash into the upper troposhere/lower stratosphere. You will require at least a couple of kms^3 to get a measurable global temperature decline.
For comparison Mt. St. Helens was around 1 km^3 and Pinatubo was on the order of around 6 km^3. Tambora in 1816 ("The year without summer") was 100 km^3 and the last time Yellowstone supervolcano went off? 600 km^3 !!!
A Katla eruption would pretty much stick a fork in Europe (at least financially)...
From the article http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/europe/article7070239.ece
Classic.
Posts like these make ZH as entertaining as it is informative.
The final request of Iceland's bankster-killed economy was to have its ashes scattered over Europe.
HA HA
+(at least)1000000
roflmao!
Not only that - but Iceland is uneffected for the most part. Some of my co-workers are stuck in Sweden, I am thinking that they should maybe take the train to Spain and fly from there...
Also, it looks like some of the ash is heading for the eastern seaboard of Canada and the US.
In case anybody hasn't read the full version of the joke:
A Joke Making the Rounds in Iceland Today
Britain: Iceland are you crazy?!? Why did you send us volcanic ash? Our airspace has shut down.
Iceland: What ? That's what you asked for isn't it?
Britain: NO! We said cash! Cash you dyslexic idiot. CASH!
Iceland: Woooops...
----------------------------------------------------------
To the British and Dutch Governments: There is no C in the Icelandic alphabet, so when you ask for Cash, all you get is ..
Volcanos. They are like natures sand in your economic engines vagina.
omg....too many +100000's tonight!!!!
Wicked sense of humour those fisherman. Best Icelandic film, out of about ten I've seen, is Reykjavik-Rotterdam (2008). Really depicts the culture well. (Love world cinema.) I also have a great old 70's album produced in Hafnarfjörður called "Great Trucking Songs of the Revolution" that I have been trying to sell on E-Bay.
Meh. KLM is already flying planes to demonstrate this is a bit of a nothingburger. Eventually the industry will push the matter and putting their planes in the air.
Of course, now there are rumors saying no planes in the air prior to the 22nd.
and of course this could be the opening act for the Kalta et al
I saw photographs of one jet engine, disassembled, after it had flown through this crap. The damage was extensive, and expensive. The smoke and vapors are not much of an issue, but the areas of actual ash are dangerous to jet turbines, extremely dangerous.
People versed in this issue plus the actual history from prior experiences with this issue suggest that your statement is incorrect.
The ash clouds in their present diffuse state are invisible to pilots, and also to any navigational or weather radar carried by modern airliners. It is possible that most flight paths through them will cause no damage. It is also very possible that some flights will suffer significant engine wear. The only safe way to resume traffic is for every engine of every plane to undergo close inspection upon landing. In this case, expect to see a surcharge on your tickets for some time to come.
On thursday, before the restrictions, five Finnish F-18s were practicing dogfight in the Northern Finland airspace. After landing, powdered ash was found from the jet engines of three Hornets. According to the Finnish Air Force, the ash melted inside the engines' combustion chambers, causing extensive damage. A few pics here: http://www.ilmavoimat.fi/index.php?id=1149
As far as I understand, many countries base their restrictions on British computer model about the movement of the ash cloud, not actual measurements. In that sense, some restrictions may indeed be unnecessary. But if you fly into an ash cloud, you may damage the engine. Some more ballsy people, like the Russian president, choose to fly anyway.
Those planes are finished !
One short flight through a nearly invisible cloud of this stuff and you have an aircraft out of comission for a month and millions in repair costs.
Sounds like an expensive gamble.
Twice!
+1 lol karma bitches!
God Bless them. Iceland. We are with you. Erupt away.
The only way this could get anymore poetic is if GS long oil blows up in their faces. And the demand for shipping capacity to offset air freight pushes crude off the ocean and into land based infrastructure.
Yeah yeah yeah. Wishful thinking. They probably found away to short volcanic eruptions too.
If this lasts for another 2 weeks the damage will be substantial to the EU airliners.
Scientists are saying this thing could stay real active for over a year possibly and if that is the case Europe will have some major acid rain issues and if it does trigger the other volcano the whole world will be affected quite a bit.
Sources? or just 3 miller lites?
Icelandic volcano's last major eruption in 1821 lasted two years
http://edition.cnn.com/2010/WORLD/europe/04/16/volcano.weather/?hpt=Mid
Has anyone found a phonetic spelling yet?
Pretty amazing Crab Cake to say the least.
Yes. Take your pick:
http://www.google.com/search?q=eyjafjallaj%C3%B6kull+pronunciation&ie=ut...
ey-ya-FYAH-tla-yu-ku-tl
For the record jökull is an especially difficult word for non Icelanders to pronounce correctly, there are no reasonable English phonetic equivalents to the 'ö' or 'll' sounds.
Björk Gudmundsdottir (The country wins the Gold Medal for tricky names) was interviewed on BBC just yesterday whilst on her latest Norwegian regional tour. The reporter wanted to know how to pronounce the volcano's name correctly. The elfin-like singer then swallowed a bag of peanuts, jumped in a fjord and sang a line from an ancient Icelandic folk song whilst wearing a wetsuit hood. The sound that the underwater microphone picked up was the closest version yet to the original utterance by a group of drunken shepherds on a month long trip from Reykjavik in the winter of 1642. Pronunciation Degree of Difficulty 9.9. A small caption appeared at the bottom of the screen..."Please do not try this at home !"
well... this world isn't big on repentance after all.
It's not just about grounded flights; it's also about food and energy.
http://www.theoildrum.com/node/6381
Seriously!! Has anyone every heard of 1815, "the year without a summer"?
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Year_Without_a_Summer
In short, Mount Tambora, a volcano in Indonesia, exploded and put a whole bunch of ash into the atmosphere. The ash prevented light from the sun to hit the Earth, and as a result a 'volcanic winter' occurred. Crops failed, there was starvation, riots and social unrest followed too. (Not sure if Waterloo was affected?)
One positive benefit: the bicycle (or velocipede) was invented. Because there was not enough food (oats, etc) for humans and horses, a German came up with a 2-wheeled device that a person could use for transportation.
The caldera of Danau Toba in central Sumatra is a sight to behold. When that blew off thousands of years ago the whole planet must have been affected. I spent a month living on the lake with my girlfriend whilst on a ten month trip travelling through the beautiful archipelago in 1998/99. William Hill in London offers odds on possible sites of further eruptions. Indonesia would be the favourite in my book. More volcanos there than you can poke a stick at.
algore and his nobel buddies in europa can't catch a dam break. Being upstaged by Motha Erf be a bitch n a half.
Why doesn't the Fed simply print a pile of money and use it to plug the volcano?
problem solved.
Haha, pure gold comment.
On a more serious note, Mother Earth has been exploding like this since the dawn of time. We have been here a mere tick of the clock, and our industrialist economies and societies a mere fraction of one tick.
This thing could go on for a long time, there is nothing to say that it will just fizzle out. I'm keeping my eye on this big time, could be very devastating.
Glad your an authority on what happened before you were born? who do you believe? the scientists that told us the world was flat?
Now I understand why you call yourself zeroman.
The earth is known to be round for longer than any ancient records found (you need the knowledge before you document it). Greeks had its circumference/radius calculated with reasonable values over 2200 years ago.
Search for historical records and you'll be surprised that the "flat earth" was invented and documented during the Illuminism, no less!, to mock the then current culture.
Indeed, the flat Earth concept is a construct from the 19th century. In fact, medieval scholars were trying to calculate the distance to Saturn. They came up with 73 million miles. Although off by a bit (factor of 25), this does not square modern man's view of our predecessors. BTW-Magellan never sailed around the World. Everybody knows that except us modern guys.
now that is funny!! this would be just as successful long term as keeping the tbtf's goin
The Katla Volcano is waking up, look out !!
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cM10us6C0og
Katla tremors off the chart this morning, (hvo)
http://hraun.vedur.is/ja/Katla2009/stodvaplott.html
+100
Boom.
This sounds serious.
Bummer for the Eurozone.
I hereby offer to adopt two Scandinavian Stewardesses for the duration of the crisis.
In viagra we trust!
YES, I was fortunate enough to get stranded at Schipol airport, Netherlands, 3 years ago, due to extreme high winds and storms, so, KLM put me up at the Hotel Van Oranje Noordwijk Aan Zee, wandered the streets of Amsterdam for a week, it was EPIC.
Wish I could get stranded again in Amsterdam.
Such chesed shown towards stewardesses in these trying times is admirable.
I guess this is one way or them to say choke on your fucking glacier bonds.
a growing chorus suggesting that Eurocontrol is over reacting. Does anyone remember the H1N1 Pandemic alert that turned into a big Zero.
Air France: We carried out succesful test flight
"The Center for Asia Pacific Aviation, an independent aviation research group based in Sydney, Australia, said it remained unclear whether the closure of much of Europe's airspace was "a massive overreaction of super-cautious politicians and bureaucrats," or a genuinely serious event."
http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5jh7lQ-qBxQMPzPd3Iap7_s...
EU says half of normal flights may run Mondayhttp://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20100418/ap_on_re_eu/eu_iceland_volcano
KLM CEO says European airspace mostly safe - agency ANP
http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSLDE63H0KR20100418?type=marketsNews
Professional Pilots Rumour Network
http://www.pprune.org/private-flying/412481-have-nats-met-office-eurocon...
I understand that the unpronouncable Iceland vocano was activated by swarms a few days/weeks before. I have been noticing swarms occurring under Yellowstone caldera for several months. If that goes I want 4 Swedish stews. ( I have lots of Spaminacan.)
If the Yellowstone super volcano goes, it will be a global fail, up to and including global famine.It will destroy much of the US, and the rest of the planet will get cold...so crop failures would probably be global.For years.
Think about it.Yellowstone is a near extinction event for humanity.I really, really don't want to see it go off in my lifetime!!
PS: The swarms are signs of magma movement, not the proximate cause.
Yes, exactly. A major eruption at Yellowstone would be immediate game over for a quarter or more of the US, and global famine within the year due to essentially all northern hemisphere crops being wiped out; not to mention extreme cold and lots of other bad things.
The "2012" disaster movie may have been absurd in most respects (among them the cause and the picture of California literally sliding into the sea), but its depiction of a Yellowstone eruption was not too far off the mark.
Go Katla go. Let it burn.
I'm pretty sure at this point, though I pray otherwise, the only way we change, the only way evolution and revolution come to bear, the only way balance is restored is the big reset.
I pray for a healthy forest. Let it burn.
Tool - Aenima
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uCEeAn6_QJo
+infinity on the Tool.
Tool are amazing,, and here is another ironic track The Fibonacci in Lateralus
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wS7CZIJVxFY&feature=related
England demanded "Billions of Pounds of Cash"
Iceland Sent them "Billions of Pounds of ash"
Seems fair to me...
+1
Iceland: oooooooo...."C" ash..lol. slæmur Hundarnir okkar
Instant classic.
Whoa, whoa! Every time we go to Italy (like Sept. 2008), big things happen! I hope that by the 30th that Milan will be open...
And with GS finally getting some attention...
Soon off to dinner here in soggy (for now) Ravello.
Have a great time tomorrow Worker Drones! :-)
Is it GS way of distracting attention from them
wow, that thing could keep going for weeks!
Years...
One benefit: amazing photographs.
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/2010/04/iceland-volcano-erupt...
That last image from NASA is insane.
Of all the photos i've seen this is my favorite by far.
http://www.flickr.com/photos/ice-cold/4497761488/in/photostream/page2/
Definitely a cosmic event...volcano + aurora = wow.
A truly amazing photo !
Thanks for the link...
That's a cool map. I was looking for something like that earlier today. Thanks!
This is something the modern world has never had to experience. There is absolutely no way these plans can fly with ash in the air since they can shut down engines in under hour. What this does to global commerce, business, commodities is anyones guess but a month of this and it will be an indisputable depression we are faced with instead of an actual one rejected in the media.
I can already hear Liesman explaining away the 500+ jobless claims as ash induced.
+1. i can see lies-man all red faced screaming how socially irresponsible the airlines are from not flying and how it's all bullshit ash will shut down an engine.
Its not a stretch! Last week the CNBC yapheads blamed the rocket up in unemployment and 19% increase in foreclosure rates on 'Easter'....still scratching my wooden head over that one!
I wonder how many deaths will occur because of this eruption with all the volcanic ash and sulpur dioxide in the air.
The skies have been very misty, a bit odd because the weather has been very dry, last few days
BRING BACK THE DIRIGIBLE!
The response by the Europeans to this ash crisis is ridiculous and SO unnecessary!
All they REALLY need to do to circumvent this whole ash threat is for the ECB to issue millions of paper "flight coupons", and then distribute them through insider channels, to (hopefully) eventually reach the public for their critical air travel needs. Because of course, as we here all know, a paper promise is just as good (if not better) than the real thing, and can be used interchangeably with actual physical flights --- which I hear are SO old-fashioned anyway, only kooks and "flightbugs" ever insist on the real thing anymore.
"flightbugs"...+1137
awesome.
Though maybe not the Hindenburg. (or was that a zeppelin)
Hindenburg Mark II is go !
I'm not worried about the Iceland eruption. I'm worried about this is is a ticking time bomb. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yellowstone_Caldera
Not to worry too much...
The U.S. Geological Survey, University of Utah and National Park Service scientists with the Yellowstone Volcano Observatory maintain that they "see no evidence that another such cataclysmic eruption will occur at Yellowstone in the foreseeable future. Recurrence intervals of these events are neither regular nor predictable."
Besides, we now have a greater chance of being killed by falling hedge fund traders jumping from windows at Paulson & Co.
Hey! These are the same guys who got it wrong last time. I can find no YouTubes from CNBC where these guys predicted the eruption 600,00 years ago. Next thing you know they will all be working for the SEC and CFTC.
US HAARP?
CHICOM HAARP?
SOVI....er RUSSIAN HAARP?
PERSI...er IRANIAN HAARP?
Can we buy JDS (Jumper Default Swaps) from GS and insert our favorite politicians in their stead?
It's... it's... THE BLOB!!
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XhyRpvgm03g
Is that actual ash diffusion or a computerized model of ash diffusion? Computerized models and reality tend to get confused these days.
Some discussion and links in comments:
http://www.seablogger.com/?p=20762
What we're taking about here is a breakdown in the distribution channels. This impacts the EU consumer when he starts to see empty shelves in the stores. His first reaction is to HOARD.
Lines start to form next...
The increase in ground transportation will quickly impact Diesel inventories.
Shipping ports become more important than airports.
When you can't fly you turn to your cellphone. This could max out the EU's 3G networks.
Im not sure that planes constitue the majority of food transportation vehicles which supply Europe.
Think ships and trucks. Not planes. Rarely if ever planes.
And those spoiled little American kids that cant go home can go fuck themselves and enjoy Europe a bit longer if for nothing else than to re-enforce their stereotypes which will surely be used in another Direct-2-DVD teen comedy about a bunch of USA teen douchebags eating a donut in the Louvre while having a shit in one of Louis XIV vases or getting a blowjob in the bathroom of Buckingham Palace.
You say it like it's a bad thing. I do it all the time.
Easy Cheeky. My wife is stuck in London (from the states) for work and isn't having a grand time at all.
Once the plum reaches iran middle east, bet israel looking into moving up its attack plan.
Are Isreali jets ash resistant. Having been to Ashdod, I remember no airfield.
Yes just what we need right now. A few bright orange nuclear explosions followed by WWIII and radiation filled clouds to add a nice patina to the world landscape. Satanic art at its finest.
Would the average EUer become confused and stand in the National Healthcare line instead on the National Food line by mistake which would culminate in the removal of his/her liver which would then end up on the grocery shelves for the next line over?
This liver error would result in a concomittant run on Chianti.
I'm sure this is all part of the PIIGS plan to rehabilitate their economies. You want clear skies - go to Greece.
If their government tells them to, then I imagine that most would obediently do so.
Governments always know what is best for us, and can always fix any problem if we just give them enough power to do so.
Isn't that the European way now?
Airlines want to fly in spite of risks to engines
Europe's air industry has called for an urgent review of flight bans imposed because of volcanic ash
"In our opinion there is absolutely no reason to worry about resuming flights."
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/8628323.stm
God Bless them. Iceland. We are with you. Erupt away. The only way this could get anymore poetic is if GS long oil blows up in their faces. And the demand for shipping capacity to offset air freight pushes crude off the ocean and into land based infrastructure. Yeah yeah yeah. Wishful thinking. They probably found away to short volcanic eruptions too.
well on the bright side , this will put a stop,
at least for now , to the CHEM TRAIL SPRAYING
Watch this episode of aircrash investigations (St. Elmo's Fire):
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vVI0yLxFdHM
God Bless them. Iceland. We are with you. Erupt away.
The only way this could get anymore poetic is if GS long oil blows up in their faces. And the demand for shipping capacity to offset air freight pushes crude off the ocean and into land based infrastructure.
Yeah yeah yeah. Wishful thinking. They probably found away to short volcanic eruptions too.
Icelanders are friends with the fairies... the fairies control the earth... the fairies are displeased with the Brits and Continentals... this is the 1000 year old traditional Icelandic interpretation of current events,
Go to original link for links to sources:
http://icelandreview.com/icelandreview/search/news/Default.asp?ew_0_a_id...
23.09.2008 | 11:00
How common it is for Icelanders to believe in fairies?
Q: I'm going to apologize in advance if this question seems too silly but I would like to know how common it is for Icelanders to believe in fairies and do you believe in fairies? I had read an article years ago that suggested that many Icelanders hold an age-old belief in fairies or spirits.
Paul Redlich, Calgary, Alberta, Canada
-----------------------
A: According to the University of Iceland’s science web, daily newspaper DV reported in 1998 that the majority of participants in an opinion poll said they believed in fairies, or elves, around 50 percent of men and 60 percent of women. The poll only gave participants a chance to answer yes or no, while older polls show that the majority of Icelanders are uncertain whether elves exist or not.
In a more recent and detailed study from 2007 folklorist Terry Gunnell at the University of Iceland concluded that 37 percent of participants said elves possibly exist, 17 percent found their existence likely, 13 percent said elves could not possibly exist and five percent had no opinion on the existence of elves.
First Bjork, now this?
I think it has something to do with that "Declare Independence" song of hers.
Found a webcam watching Katla:
http://www.ruv.is/katla/
Here is the Google translation of the block of text under the image:
If unpronouncable's big sister Katla gets jealous of all the attention her rocky sibling is getting and decides to blow her top things could get very nasty.