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European Peripheral Bonds Go Berserk

Tyler Durden's picture




 

The market has been acting very weird all morning, with the oddness culminating in peripheral European bonds as of several minutes ago. Something odd is happening in the shorter end of Portuguese and Irish bonds, where a sudden move sent the curve to an unprecedented inverted levels as if by a fat finger across the board. Note the dramatic move in the 5 Year of both countries' bonds without any catalytic newsflow, which sent the Portuguese 5 Year to a lifetime high 7.93%. Have the stock HFT algos gone rogue and are now taking over the sovereign bond space?

Portugal:

Ireland:

And combined PIGS yield curves. Pick the odd one out.

 

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Fri, 03/11/2011 - 09:11 | 1040138 whatz that smell
whatz that smell's picture

never trade against the fat-finger algo, btchz.

Fri, 03/11/2011 - 09:13 | 1040139 Ignorance is bliss
Ignorance is bliss's picture

Now the Irish have a real reason to start drinking.

Fri, 03/11/2011 - 09:13 | 1040145 ZeroPower
ZeroPower's picture

EURUSD no dramatic moves currently besides quake drop. 

Fri, 03/11/2011 - 09:25 | 1040174 Orly
Orly's picture

Waiting for the retail sales shoe to drop...

Sat, 03/12/2011 - 18:42 | 1043552 ZeroPower
ZeroPower's picture

Hi Orly

Im guessing you had a fun day with the JPY pairs yesterday?

Hope you werent caught on the wrong side. (Besides initial reaction, IMO, no way JPY keeps rising on this macro news..)

Fri, 03/11/2011 - 09:14 | 1040146 Apostle of Unknown
Apostle of Unknown's picture

Ein Flasch Krasch sofort bitte!

Fri, 03/11/2011 - 09:15 | 1040153 Catullus
Catullus's picture

Japanese investors liquidating bonds? 

Fri, 03/11/2011 - 09:20 | 1040163 gwar5
gwar5's picture

F' me. What the hell is going on?

 

Fri, 03/11/2011 - 09:21 | 1040165 falak pema
falak pema's picture

Berlusconi bunga-bunga is catching on fast. As libya starts to fry. Italy is in the hot seat, Spain and Greece in deep melt. Angela is suffering deep withdrawal pains. I wonder what type of yoga JCT inflicts on his physical self to stay in one piece, insane mathematically but so convincing in ivory tower virtuality.

Fri, 03/11/2011 - 09:23 | 1040171 Djirk
Djirk's picture

Berlusconi had to sell some positions for hooker hush money and to bribe city officials to change the official birthdates of all his girlfriends

Fri, 03/11/2011 - 10:44 | 1040386 gmrpeabody
gmrpeabody's picture

Too funny... but BRILLIANT!

Fri, 03/11/2011 - 09:24 | 1040176 pendragon
pendragon's picture

these are junk bonds. a 10 bp move is the square root of jack all.... just noise

Fri, 03/11/2011 - 09:28 | 1040179 bob_dabolina
bob_dabolina's picture

Hillary Clinton needs a fat finger

Fri, 03/11/2011 - 12:00 | 1040601 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

IN HER ASS!!

Fri, 03/11/2011 - 12:34 | 1040745 gorillaonyourback
gorillaonyourback's picture

lol, any volunteers

Fri, 03/11/2011 - 12:55 | 1040845 andybev01
andybev01's picture

not even with your finger...

Fri, 03/11/2011 - 09:31 | 1040181 sudzee
sudzee's picture

Circlejerk of CB free digital tickets just lost one of it's largest players, Japan. US ponzi will break down shortly as the Japanese disgorges phantom US debt. No-one left to buy.

Fri, 03/11/2011 - 09:32 | 1040183 rayban
rayban's picture

Since 11:13 CET DJ Newswire has reported the following:

Germany wants ESM to be used only if Euro is in peril - Official

Portugal may ask for IMF bailout after German 'NO' on EFSF - Official

Germany won't allow EFSF to buy bonds - Official

EFSF lending could be raised to full EUR440B at "Best Case" - Official

Germany won't allow EFSF to buy bonds - Official

Pretty material to me. Other news services have not followed up on the lead, but both the Euro and spreads have started to worsen since then. Noticeable exception the core 2 (Spain and Italy). Italy today sold 2.8 bn in 5 year paper at 3.9% and 1.8 bn 15-year bonds at 5.34%. BTPs have improved across the curve since the auctions have closed.

Fri, 03/11/2011 - 09:53 | 1040231 Ferg .
Ferg .'s picture

Don't know why Irish yields are spiking , no immediate catalyst that I can see .

Fri, 03/11/2011 - 10:07 | 1040267 M.B. Drapier
M.B. Drapier's picture

Could it be related to the ugly-looking data on the Irish banks (the ELA-junkie core six, that is) just released by the Central Bank of Ireland?

Fri, 03/11/2011 - 10:26 | 1040335 hugovanderbubble
hugovanderbubble's picture

Cos Haircuts Sir,

 

CLose to 30% in Portuguese Bonds

25% in Spanish Gov.

Fri, 03/11/2011 - 09:56 | 1040235 hugovanderbubble
hugovanderbubble's picture

Short Spanish Banks

Fri, 03/11/2011 - 10:15 | 1040302 Josephine29
Josephine29's picture

Perhaps markets have finally fullly wised up to the usual run of events in the Euro zone which I saw described earlier as.

Whilst the next main meeting of Euro zone ministers is not until the 24th of March Euro zone politicians are meeting today and we may get some more news on their plans (assuming they have some!). The usual course is for all sorts of plans to be promised plenty of hyperbole and then some combination of unrealistic expectations and dissent shooting it down!http://notayesmanseconomics.wordpress.com

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fri, 03/11/2011 - 11:32 | 1040505 barkingbill
barkingbill's picture

it's a flash rally

Fri, 03/11/2011 - 15:58 | 1041855 uhb
uhb's picture

My HFT Box trades the german bund future quite well, thanks ;) Sell the fvcking dip, bitchez!

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