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As Fed Allows Red Close, And All Time Record High Close In Gold, Is JPM's Commodity Trading Desk In Need Of A Bailout?

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Since it is now obvious that the Federal Reserve treats the market as its plaything, it is refreshing that even Brian Sack's henchmen throw stocks a bone. Today it was in the form of a triple whammy: i) a red close (yes, imagine that), ii) on a POMO day, iii) as gold surged to fresh all time record highs. And while it is unclear or not if this was an orchestrated red close (as the Fed has now confirmed it does all it can to push stocks higher, various "conspiracy theories" as to why the market may ever go lower may emerge), the short covering squeeze that the LBMA is undergoing right about now as margin calls flood, are all too real. Forget Bank of America. Pretty soon the real bail out target will be JP Morgan's commodity "trading" desk.

 

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Mon, 11/08/2010 - 17:12 | 709529 Slash
Slash's picture

how soon shall we start looking to take profits......short covering won't last forever........right?

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 17:14 | 709536 functionform
functionform's picture

I keep thinking now is a good time, that is, until the next buying schedule is announced.

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 17:59 | 709706 Zyroh
Zyroh's picture

when gov't and fed collude to pay people to take thier debt, then start shorting BAC. j/k, or am i?

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 18:29 | 709796 justbuygold
justbuygold's picture

A little birdie told me that it took Sprott over a week to locate only 65 MM worth of silver. Another 200 MM worth came from Europe ( massive shipping and insurance costs associated).   Most of the rest he had to transfer from his other funds which held physical ( essential a paper transfer).  He basically cleaned out alll that was left in physical in North America and Europe.   Hence silver has run up dramatically in the last week as there is absolutely nothing left.

 

Got Silver

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 17:44 | 709643 HarryWanger
HarryWanger's picture

Profits in gold or stocks? Gold - I've been in a long time and will stay in a long time. Stocks will meander through the end of the year now. Probably close up around 1250-1275 EOY.

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 17:59 | 709703 flacon
flacon's picture

Mining stocks have only just started to catch up to the gold/silver price. I wouldn't cash out at this time. In fact.... who knows when this bull run will end; we are coming up to November-December seasonally strong time right now.... I'm keeping mine. 

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 20:25 | 710030 Minion
Minion's picture

Bulls have been kicking a$$, I should have looked at the tape and not gotten swept up in the problems in the economy, Prechter / Mish and other doomers, and just chased price with leverage. 

Seriously, Wanger, Robo & co. must be laughing at all of us as they ring the cash register and we cover our smoldering shorts, again......

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 19:02 | 709878 jus_lite_reading
jus_lite_reading's picture

T minus 8 days and counting...

Tue, 11/09/2010 - 08:48 | 711347 ibjamming
ibjamming's picture

8 days until what?

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 17:13 | 709532 functionform
functionform's picture

Top call #203981048024 bitchez!

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 17:14 | 709538 Gloomy
Gloomy's picture

ALL AMERICANS SHOULD SHORT BAC. IT IS YOUR PATRIOTIC DUTY. A JOURNEY OF ONE THOUSAND MILES STARTS WITH THE FIRST STEP.

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 17:21 | 709571 Shameful
Shameful's picture

No thanks, I'll just go long the metals. After all they will get a bailout anyway. Go, go, infinite moral hazard!

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 17:25 | 709581 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

YOU AGAIN!

GO BACK TO YOUR YAHOO BOARD!!!

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 17:17 | 709542 tony bonn
tony bonn's picture

let the den of iniquity collapse....i am furious that my tax dollars are bailing out a rico criminal operation known as jpm chase.

and for fuck's sake there is 10 more minutes till market close - get a fucking clue.

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 17:29 | 709594 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

I applaud your passion and anger. It's good to see some anger and outrage. But your tax dollars are not supporting the bailing out of a Rico criminal operation. That bailout money is borrowed.

However, if it will make you feel better, your tax dollars WILL pay the interest on that borrowed money. And your children's future tax dollars. And your grand kid's future tax dollars.

Mission Accomplished.

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 17:58 | 709700 Dr. No
Dr. No's picture

You highlight something I find funny about people screaming about the waste of our tax dollars.  Since the US is running a $1T deficit, in rough terms about a 30% deficit of revenue.  The taxpayer is actually getting all of this headache at a 30% discount!  All of these bailouts, war spending, etc which are off budget are free!!  I do not expect the debt to be paid off and a default will occur.  The tax payer obligations will reset.

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 18:02 | 709715 njdoo7
njdoo7's picture

I believe you mean taxpayer is working harder everyday to survive and pay taxes.  All so that the owners of the fed and wall street ceos can mine the productivity of the taxpayer through the federal reserve system.

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 18:07 | 709735 Dr. No
Dr. No's picture

All of what you wrote is true.  I do take issue of people claiming "our tax money" is being used for this and that, when in fact the gov is spending substantially more than we pay in taxes due to borrowing and off budget accounting.  The FED is a double wammy by debasing the currency we use to buy bread with no oversight and without bounds.

The system will reset.  The time line is getting long enough so the survial rate is getting smaller and smaller.  The holders of bonds will not get the return they are expecting (in paper $$ yes, in purchasing power no).

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 19:25 | 709916 JLee2027
JLee2027's picture

The system will reset.  

Indeed it will Doctor. It needs to. Those holding PM's will do well. 

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 17:59 | 709705 njdoo7
njdoo7's picture

And you may feel even better knowing that the dollars don't even exist to cover the national debt.  The national debt is always larger than the number of dollars in existence; this is how the system was designed, and it wasn't on accident...unless you believe JPMorgan and his banking cartel made this fortunate 'mistake' when designing this system at Jekyll Island.

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 18:09 | 709739 cossack55
cossack55's picture

Do you think that now we are in November, that the 2011 budget will just be wrapped in  with the 2012 budget, or we will just do away with budgets and debt ceilings.  No debt ceiling=no gold ceiling, yes?

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 18:16 | 709760 Dr. No
Dr. No's picture

In the end yes.  There will be a debt ceiling increase burried in some no voice vote, pocket veto bill somewhere.  "Cry me a river" Boehner wants the status quo.  If you dont believe me, watch his teary eyed speech on why TARP is needed.  Remember, he voted YES.

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 19:26 | 709919 JLee2027
JLee2027's picture

Yup

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 21:03 | 710148 snowball777
snowball777's picture

Remember?!

Your advice is a couple weeks late, Doc...they already dropped the ball.

 

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 17:16 | 709544 President Palin
President Palin's picture

What?  The DOW closed DOWN?  There will be hell to pay at the FED tonight...

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 17:19 | 709561 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

POMO II  needs to show some effect on wednesday ;)

Tomorrow is a risky day and wednesday morning also untill PII

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 17:31 | 709599 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

The name of the game is plausibility. They gotta make the show somewhat believable......just as long as your doing lines and shots.

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 17:28 | 709563 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

PS: I loved you in that movie PALIN POLE!! Great acting!

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 17:31 | 709576 plocequ1
plocequ1's picture

.

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 21:12 | 710173 snowball777
snowball777's picture

Hey President Palin, how come your state's poverty line is 25% higher than everyone on the mainland?

Why was your state #1 in earmarks per capita again? (hint: he's no longer in the Senate)

Having fun with that $3100/man woman and child from the stim-u-less, hypocrite?

Tue, 11/09/2010 - 03:44 | 711076 StychoKiller
StychoKiller's picture

Um, you are aware that a moniker and avatar on a website are not the Real/meatspace person, right?

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 17:16 | 709547 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

I think we'll get a small pull back tomorrow or wednesday. It's all overheating a bit to much.

I personnally think gold and silver will go down 2 to 4% by weeks end followed by a new rally.

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 17:20 | 709562 functionform
functionform's picture

Uh oh, you insulted someones golden cow - pun intended!

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 17:27 | 709589 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

every pauze creates a support for silver and gold.

I would like it to be a stable run.

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 17:28 | 709590 Cdad
Cdad's picture

I think you may be right about a pullback.  Check the freaky flash prints on SPY tonight.

Sweet...to be able to set short positions above the HOD.  Wish I had that club card.

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 18:17 | 709761 ZeroPower
ZeroPower's picture

Those 'flash' prints in afterhours are most likely dark pool crosses that weren't closed by the MM until after market close, when he's not busy making sure his book is properly aligned.

Its above the HOD if you notice right to yesterday's closing price. Not really irregular as it happens often when you have your algo set to trade the VWAP or previous HOD/LOD.

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 17:36 | 709619 High Plains Drifter
High Plains Drifter's picture

You do realize most people don't own gold or silver?  I am not sure if overheating is the correct term. It may appear to be overheating but in reality it is just catching up , after some neferious dickhead banks have had to take the break off of the atmospheric climb that is now appearing finally after all of these years.

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 17:51 | 709674 Bay of Pigs
Bay of Pigs's picture

Bingo, not many understand the dynamic that is now in place. This is very different than what has gone on before. All the "conspiracy" crap is gone and the viel has been lifted. Gold could climb $100 in a day before too long. And I am not joking. On top of that  the Gold/XAU ratio is still way too fucking high at 6.40. Miners are LAGGING big time.

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 18:20 | 709771 Bay of Pigs
Bay of Pigs's picture

FWIW, only 8 of 14 miners (HUI) hit 52 week highs today. Yamana, Kinross and Iamgold nowhere near their old highs. A lot of catching up to do as these margins and profits get big, and wide and fat.

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 17:53 | 709682 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

If every person on earth would buy a equal part of silver from all the supplies. They could buy 0,47 OZ

I own +- 3780 Oz of zilver and 120 Oz of Krugers and I'm still loading up.

Even if it takes 5 years for silver to skyrocket. I'm prepared and I'm keeping! :)

Silver could and will even bypass Gold in the future.

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 17:57 | 709697 EscapeKey
EscapeKey's picture

SD, are you sure you want to post that on a public forum? I'm not responding to your message so that you can edit it.

 

Tue, 11/09/2010 - 00:20 | 710563 RockyRacoon
RockyRacoon's picture

I only have a couple of 1964 dimes and some gold fillings in my teeth.

I swear!

Tue, 11/09/2010 - 03:47 | 711080 StychoKiller
StychoKiller's picture

On our last visit to Colorado, I buried ALL my Gold and Silver in Aurora, I swear!

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 17:19 | 709551 Kaiser Sousa
Kaiser Sousa's picture

JP Morgan & HSBC can eat shit & die...all bankers r sociopaths & as such have destroyed the economies of the world while simultaneously destroying the savings & welath of the majority of humankind...while doing so they have sought to discourage and destroy those who have long recogzied the worthlessness of the debt coupon currencies...death and destruction of their positions is a just reward...

fuck a banker.....

Salute to all Comrades n physical Gold & Silver...

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 17:22 | 709574 DoChenRollingBearing
DoChenRollingBearing's picture

Senior VP there at JPM JonNadler (and his new sidekick Obama2012) better beat those PM prices DOWN BIG or no bonuses for you as JPM swirls down the bowl...

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 18:19 | 709725 JonNadler
JonNadler's picture

What's the matter with those clowns at the London Bullion MArket? Just tell them the gold is in a safe place, it's so safe nobody even knows where it is, and so it's theft proof (and say it with arrogance). You can't steal something if no person exists who knows where it is? If there's a ton of gold in a vault and nobody is thinking of it, does it still exist? You see? Come on you morons, use your imagination a bit here, look at the US, we got away with the Fort Knox BS for almost 50 years. Jamie, Jamie where are you? Oh my, I am alone 

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 20:59 | 710132 unununium
unununium's picture

+1408

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 17:39 | 709630 Kaiser Sousa
Kaiser Sousa's picture

Au: 1409.00

Ag: 27.70

now whoever feels so inclined can junk this post as well...get busy

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 17:19 | 709559 Quinvarius
Quinvarius's picture

The realization that all your favorite company's profits are denominated in rapidly dying dollars can be frightening.

Tue, 11/09/2010 - 02:22 | 710759 Unbeliever
Unbeliever's picture

... along with my salary

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 17:21 | 709567 AccreditedEYE
AccreditedEYE's picture

Blythe better start making plans to set up her own hedge fund... hmmm... how long did Meriwether wait before opening his doors after LTCM?

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 19:31 | 709926 JLee2027
JLee2027's picture

Would that be before or after prison time for manipulating the precious metals market?

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 17:31 | 709603 plocequ1
plocequ1's picture

This is all part of the theater called The virtual Stock market. It closed red because The machine has to show the world that its a good machine and there's a little humanity going on in its I5 processor. The factory programmed it that way. It dosent know its a bad machine, But the Factory knows.  Thats why they sent it here.

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 17:33 | 709609 High Plains Drifter
High Plains Drifter's picture

Aw poor babies. Are they getting their little shorts squeezed? Damn, couldn't happen to bigger bunch of dickheads.....

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 17:35 | 709610 wreynol4
wreynol4's picture

So is wed a POMO day, I know they are releasing a new schedule then, but is it also a POMO day.

 

Thanks!

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 17:38 | 709622 plocequ1
plocequ1's picture

Ill put 200 on Amazon in the fourth race.

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 17:48 | 709665 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

Amazon is running against "Can't lose" and "A sure winner"!

You sure about that bet?

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 17:36 | 709613 wreynol4
wreynol4's picture

is wed a POMO day?

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 19:31 | 709929 JLee2027
JLee2027's picture

It's the BIG Pomo day.

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 17:36 | 709616 Internet Tough Guy
Internet Tough Guy's picture

It's not a good day to be a bad guy.

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 17:36 | 709618 CashCowEquity
CashCowEquity's picture

hmmm a slightly down day today= a monster move (up) tomorrow

:-/

 

Well Silver should hit 28 and Gold 1425.00 at the minimum.

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 17:42 | 709635 H. Perowne
H. Perowne's picture

Someone make sure to keep Blythe away from shoelaces and sharp objects, mmkay?

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 17:45 | 709650 ElCapitanNemo
ElCapitanNemo's picture

Nah there probably won't be a margin call for JPM, they will call in their CIA or whomever else they own to pull a false flag nuke, or virus, or computer virus by Obama oh I mean Osama that pulls down the system.  They will have their scapegoat and a lot of gold (i.e., GS has lots of gold) for system reset.

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 17:48 | 709656 njdoo7
njdoo7's picture

Just want to make sure I am following this correctly.  The speculation is that JPM had to use the POMO money to cover commodity shorts instead of bidding up securities, and that they might have even sold some securities to cover commodity shorts?

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 17:55 | 709691 Bay of Pigs
Bay of Pigs's picture

Doubtful it is speculation. They are getting hammered up the ass on those massive shorts. 

Whoever is forcing their hand I applaud you. I hope they burn to the ground. 

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 18:07 | 709734 godzila
godzila's picture

Anyone with some hard figures (ie what is their cost per each $ uptick in silver and gold) ?

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 19:34 | 709935 JLee2027
JLee2027's picture

I read somewhere an estimated 13 billion underwater before todays' bloodbath.

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 21:37 | 710238 Rusty Shorts
Rusty Shorts's picture

See, there you have it folks, God does exist !!!

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 18:00 | 709708 wreynol4
wreynol4's picture

What are people's thoughts on tomorrow, a mild sell off or monster up day because of the Fed letting the indexes close in the red today?

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 18:01 | 709714 qussl3
qussl3's picture

I'd bet that JPM hasnt even begun to cover yet it's probably the smaller players thinking that they can roll with the big boys that have been getting squeezed out.

They'll engineer some kind of washout before finally getting out of the way.

In the meatime i'd still buy the dips lol.

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 18:04 | 709721 jus_lite_reading
jus_lite_reading's picture

Ironically this morning, as I watched my morning turd get flushed down the toilet, spinning ever faster and faster as it reached the apex in the center vortex, a picture of JPM's massive derivatives emerged, as the two images blended into one. Alas! They were the same rate of velocity and color. In an instant, the turd was sucked into the vortex, but JPM remained, spinning nearer and nearer as the clock ticks...

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 19:41 | 709947 WineGuy
WineGuy's picture

JLR ..... Fucking Awesome! Two thumbs up

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 18:12 | 709746 erik
erik's picture

wreynol4, unlikely that Wednesday is a POMO day given that the Fed will release the new schedule Wednesday afternoon.  all the POMOs take place in the morning, so i doubt they will do a POMO that hasn't been released formally on a schedule.

Thursday or Friday will probably be more likely.

which means we have no major economic releases Tues/Wed and no POMOs.  and an RSI on the SPY that is ~80.  ripe for a 2-3% correction in the next couple days.

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 18:17 | 709762 erik
erik's picture

if we're looking at the next POMOs being 3-5x the size of previous POMOs, i wonder if we can expect 3-5x the intensity in money flowing to the "hot" assets like gold, silver, NFLX, AMZN, etc.  if that is the case, we're going to see some monster moves, and eventually volatility will come back in spades because these moves will have no fundamental basis.

 

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 18:28 | 709793 wreynol4
wreynol4's picture

thanks eric I appreciate it, I'm usually short, but I'm hoping for an up market tomorrow.

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 18:13 | 709747 JonNadler
JonNadler's picture

You just wait till Bernanke grows some cojones and starts raising interets rates, gold will surely plunge below 200. Wait til then to buy, don't buy now, no really He will raise interest rates one day! Be afraid gold cocaroaches, be very afraid HA HA HA

 

 

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 18:32 | 709800 CashCowEquity
CashCowEquity's picture

2015 maybe interest rates will raise....

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 18:32 | 709801 flacon
flacon's picture

Jim Rickards discussing this very scenario. 

http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/Broadcast/Entries/2010/11/6_Jim_R...

 

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 18:39 | 709812 gwar5
gwar5's picture

Kudos! Yes, I saw/heard that and follow Rickards

He has a good handle on all the moving parts

He war-gamed monetary crises scenarios with the DOD

Bernanke seems to be choosing door Number 1, closest to him

 

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 18:34 | 709803 gwar5
gwar5's picture

Bernanke is pot committed and 2000 is the new 200 in real terms

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 18:28 | 709789 gwar5
gwar5's picture

I noticed the price of PMs really started to take off around 11:00 EST

Wasn't that the time of the POMO?  Coincidence? Naaah!

 

 

 

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 18:59 | 709868 jus_lite_reading
jus_lite_reading's picture

Attention: Two large swams of Black Swans were seen flying towards Washington DC and Wall Street. These swans were of the genetically modified size, roughly the same size as a baby hippo.

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 19:00 | 709875 Silversinner
Silversinner's picture

Looks like mr J.Turk was spot on with

his prediction in silver.Glad I listen to

great man like him for fin advise.

ZH gives real good financial education

even while I can not understand all the

articles.Tnx for that ZH

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 22:29 | 710353 apberusdisvet
apberusdisvet's picture

Ode to HSBC and JPM:

I met her once, Miss G.L.D;

She had a sister. S.L.V

The threesome was great

but it was my fate

to find oh too late

that doing such whores

can lead to gross sores

and the inability

or the facility

to properly urinate.

 

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 22:36 | 710366 whopper
whopper's picture

Johnny Bravo....where are you ?   

 

 

Tue, 11/09/2010 - 03:53 | 711083 StychoKiller
StychoKiller's picture

Shiva H Vishnu!   Even hamburgers are talking to me! :>D

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