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Fed To Discuss Discount Rate In A Closed June 7 Meeting

Tyler Durden's picture




 

These days, it appears the Fed's favorite closed session topic is the Discount Rate. After first bringing this matter up for discussion on April 26, Bernanke's henchmen will once again plot how to keep ever more vocal Fed hawks like Hoenig and Fisher quiet, even as ZIRP persists well into the thirtieth century. According to a "Notice of Meeting under Expedited Procedure" tomorrow, the Fed will once again review whether or not to hike the Discount rate. Obviously, any tightening outcome as a result of this meeting (which is the second on the issue in under two months) will send markets into an even worse tailspin.

It is anticipated that the closed meeting of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System at 11:30 a.m. on Monday, June 7, 2010, will be held under expedited procedures, as set forth in section 26lb.7 of the Board's Rules Regarding Public Observation of Meetings, at the Board's offices at 20th Street and C Streets, N.W., Washington, D.C. The following items of official Board business are tentatively scheduled to be considered at that meeting.

Meeting date: June 7, 2010

Matters to be Considered:
1.     Review and determination by the Board of Governors of the advance and discount rates to be charged by Federal Reserve Banks.

A final announcement of matters considered under expedited procedures will be available in the Board's Freedom of Information and Public Affairs Offices and on the Board's Web site following the closed meeting.

For more information please contact: Michelle Smith, Director, or Dave Skidmore, Assistant to the Board, Office of Board Members at 202-452-2955.

 

 

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Sun, 06/06/2010 - 14:03 | 398038 Duuude
Duuude's picture

 

Hey, is Tink invited ?

 

http://as7.disneystore.com/is/image/DisneyShopping/98883?$full$

Sun, 06/06/2010 - 14:04 | 398042 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

Bernanke is a pig.

Sun, 06/06/2010 - 14:06 | 398043 Howard_Beale
Howard_Beale's picture

You see, they need to raise it this week so they can lower it again in October. This way they will have some wicked ammo back in the war chest when the market is approaching Dow 8000.</Saracasm> (no sarcasm intended on Dow 8000). 

Sun, 06/06/2010 - 15:13 | 398131 SecretGoldfish
SecretGoldfish's picture
G20 drops support for fiscal stimulus

The communiqué of the meeting made clear the G20 no longer thought expansionary fiscal policy was sustainable or effective in fostering recovery because investors were no longer confident about some countries’ public finances.

“Those countries with serious fiscal challenges need to accelerate the pace of consolidation,” it said. “We welcome the recent announcements by some countries to reduce their deficits in 2010 and strengthen their fiscal frameworks and institutions.”

These words were in marked contrast to the G20’s April communiqué, which called for support to be maintained until the recovery picked up steam.

------

Mr Geithner, himself, was open about his fears in his letter to the G20. “Concerns about growth as Europe makes needed policy adjustments threaten to undercut the momentum of the recovery,” he wrote, adding that fiscal tightening won’t “succeed unless we are able to strengthen confidence in the global recovery.”

 

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/786776b4-708f-11df-96ab-00144feabdc0.html

Sun, 06/06/2010 - 14:07 | 398046 Bruce Krasting
Bruce Krasting's picture

After a 300+ dow drop, the continued slow boil in Europe, the alread "too" strong dollar I think Bernanke will have an easy time convincing the Board that the discount rate will stay where it is for the "foreseeable future".

Sun, 06/06/2010 - 14:14 | 398050 Howard_Beale
Howard_Beale's picture

You mean forever, Bruce, until Bernanke is taken away to the funny farm.

Sun, 06/06/2010 - 18:47 | 398424 sagerxx
sagerxx's picture

...or the Bush family compound in SA.

Mon, 06/07/2010 - 07:40 | 399270 MarketTruth
MarketTruth's picture

REMEMBER: The Bush family compound in South America is within a NONextradition country.

Sun, 06/06/2010 - 14:18 | 398060 taraxias
taraxias's picture

Convince the board??? He doesn't have to, they're ALL on the same page. You didn't actually buy into that Hoenig/Fisher "hawkish" crap, did you? Theater for the masses.

Sun, 06/06/2010 - 14:18 | 398061 LoneStarHog
LoneStarHog's picture

How does a rational person even begin to understand "foreseeable future" when the term is used by these MYOPIC clowns ?!?!?

Sun, 06/06/2010 - 15:04 | 398124 SecretGoldfish
SecretGoldfish's picture

stop insulting clowns.  it's a proud profession. 

Sun, 06/06/2010 - 14:21 | 398067 bugs_
bugs_'s picture

Raise.  KING DOLLAR.

Sun, 06/06/2010 - 14:29 | 398082 cossack55
cossack55's picture

Reminds me of Bush2 walking to the mike daily to reassure everyone that the fundamentals are just fine back in ought8'.

Sun, 06/06/2010 - 14:38 | 398087 Fazzie
Fazzie's picture

 Hey arent we currently still in the "forseeable future" alluded to in the last Fed expedited meeting where they pretend to be apolitical and consider raising the rate?

 What possible trick is left in their bag for propping up the ecomomy? Negative interest rates? Even more lax accounting standards? Marking profits to what they would be if Keynesian theory actually worked?

Sun, 06/06/2010 - 14:40 | 398089 jkruffin
jkruffin's picture

The frustration with Bernanke and Geithner is starting to increase to epic proportions, not only in the US, but across the globe.  If Bernanke doesn't raise rates, I hope the people will start calling for his resignation. He must go.  He is ruining this country.  How much money have they arleady wasted in less than 2-3 weeks on the EUR swaps?  It is well over 10$ billion for sure.

Sun, 06/06/2010 - 14:49 | 398102 taraxias
taraxias's picture

And who's going to call for his resignation, our corrupt representatives in Congress or our even more corrupt spokesperson-in-chief who put him there?

Sun, 06/06/2010 - 16:36 | 398229 Cleanclog
Cleanclog's picture

The President "kept" him there, didn't put him there.

That was Bush2 and the fabulous congress.  After they did the same with Greenspan.

Sun, 06/06/2010 - 16:45 | 398237 taraxias
taraxias's picture

and there's a difference?

Mon, 06/07/2010 - 01:34 | 399076 dnarby
dnarby's picture

Yes... 

If you keep blaming things on Bu$hitler you don't have to experience heart-stopping buyer's remorse.

Sun, 06/06/2010 - 14:40 | 398092 Mactheknife
Mactheknife's picture

Ever notice how the most profound things in life are usually the most simple? "An invasion of armies can be resisted, but not an idea whose time has come." Victor Hugo

The grand collective of us-thousands of Internet sites with our bloggers and we who comment-have spent years now discussing the upcoming "end game". In our discussions, it never ends well, does it? Why is that? Obviously, because we all feel powerless to do anything about it other than try to figure out how to profit from what our "public serpents" are doing to us and get ready for what history tells us will be an upcoming economic disaster. Ultimate visions of national Mad Max scenarios playing out.

There is an alternative. That alternative would require 60 million committed voters. Ask yourself-if you were POTUS with an army of "voters"- How would you fix this nation and economy? Here are my thoughts. Not all of which are original ideas mind you. You can tell me how ridiculous this is and bash all you want. I would rather you give the "collective us" a better idea. I call this "The Big Fix".

1) Sell all government assets not related to defense. It's my understanding that the Federal Government owns 66% of all land west of the Mississippi. Sell it. Details about mineral rights and national Parks could be worked out but sell it all. Nothing would be sold to sovereign governments. I've heard estimates that this would raise over a trillion dollars.

2) Take the proceeds from the sales and buy out every one's social security. One lump sum payment to everyone drawing or paying in. This would allow for the average check to be around 300k. Ask anyone drawing if they would rather keep getting their monthly check or this? Think how many businesses could be started with that money, which leads to number 3.

3) Privatize or end every dept. of the government except Defense and Justice. This would cut the Federal budget in half. Yes, private education would be more affordable for everyone. Over a million federal workers would be displaced but would ultimately end up truly working for us. So what? eight million of "us" have recently lost our jobs.

4) A 15% flat tax rate for everyone. Period. A 0% corporate tax rate. All savings from item 3 and the gains from item 4 would be used pay off the national debt.

5) End the Federal Reserve.

6) Senate and House one term limits.

If we all can't get on board with something like this, we probably should stockpile food, ammo, and gold. Is that what we want? We are big boys and girls, it doesn't have to end like this. We can be truly FREE and prosperous. I'm just sayin.

Sun, 06/06/2010 - 14:55 | 398112 Duuude
Duuude's picture

 

"Public Serpents"

Superb.

Sun, 06/06/2010 - 14:59 | 398118 taraxias
taraxias's picture

This is one time I will agree with Mako. There is NO good ending.....and end it must.

Sun, 06/06/2010 - 15:35 | 398152 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

Good endings are SO Disney style!

 And last time I checked, Mickey Mouse wasn't running the white house...

.

...

Or is he?

Sun, 06/06/2010 - 16:49 | 398242 Pedro
Pedro's picture

Not bad Mac.  I guess what ticks me off about how this will all end is that the normal guy is the one that gets screwed.  Unfortunately, most Americans don't read zero hedge.  The "normal everyday guy" is being told everything is fine, we are in a recovery...  The only people preparing are the politicians and connected bankers that know what is coming (and of course, zero hedgers).  The politicians think we can't deal with the truth, or they fear we will protect our families thereby, run the banks and destroy their ponzy scheme.

Sun, 06/06/2010 - 14:44 | 398094 Mitchman
Mitchman's picture

Let me take a contrarian view.  What if in light of the Europeans' turn down of more QE at the G-20 meeting, Berbungler's hand has been forced into a raise to keep up with the Joneses?  If not, why have this closed door, almost emergency meeting-just to tell each other how well they're doing?

Sun, 06/06/2010 - 16:33 | 398225 bingaling
bingaling's picture

No way in hell do they raise rates - This is a damage control meeting. Things are slipping out of their control and they are going to try to contain it .

Sun, 06/06/2010 - 17:48 | 398328 Mitchman
Mitchman's picture

OK.  I buy into what you say.  But the game is slipping away from them.  What is t they are going to contain?  If the Europeans are really going to pay attention to fiscal tightening, that makes the euro stronger at the expense of the dollar and raises our rates.  So does that lead to more printing which raises our rates even more?  I buy your premise.  I just don't see what they can do once the Europeans decided to break ranks and the Japanese changed PMs.

Sun, 06/06/2010 - 14:44 | 398095 johngaltfla
johngaltfla's picture

If he raises rates I will laugh my mofo ass off.

Sun, 06/06/2010 - 14:51 | 398104 geminiRX
geminiRX's picture

Any thoughts on what tomorrow will look like? If futures are any indication, looks brutal. Maybe they can pull a rabbit out of the hat?

Sun, 06/06/2010 - 14:54 | 398109 Hephasteus
Hephasteus's picture

Looks like anyone who can eat gold and crap euros will.

Sun, 06/06/2010 - 15:25 | 398143 johngaltfla
johngaltfla's picture

I'll be blunt. The futures do not f'in matter any longer. You can wait until this decision is released. If they raise it 50 bps, this mofo is going DOWNTOWN big time because with no short term borrowing happening from the banksters already, what freaking incentive is there going to be when you can't run your laundering con through the discount window to maintain capital reserve requiements. Look at 3 year charts of GS and MS and you'll get the idea of just how f'd our markets are and about to get. We've had EPIC fails at the 200 DMAs and that means shit is about to get just nasty as hell.

Sun, 06/06/2010 - 17:18 | 398277 geminiRX
geminiRX's picture

Thanks for the reality check. I'm staying out for awhile. 

There is going to be some really great stuff for sale when this thing blows. I have my eye on BP. This company is already on sale.....but could be even a greater fire sale very soon if market weakness persists. If you could pick BP shares up at $20-25 ish, that would be a great long term hold.

Sun, 06/06/2010 - 14:56 | 398108 bingaling
bingaling's picture

This meeting will be to rally markets -Bernanke will come out of the meeting saying "no rate increase until at least 2011." or something to that effect and the market will get a pop -

let's see what has passed so far this weekend  to try to get a rall or damage control rally monday :

 

Hungary states their finances aren't as bad as they had anticipated (less than 48 hours later .

Iran's CB issued a statement that they will NOT be selling 45 billion in Euros and buying gold and dollars .

I am missing another off the top of my head but expect spin to be in full force tomorrow AM because it's all they got left .

Sun, 06/06/2010 - 14:54 | 398110 dumpster
dumpster's picture

the language will be changed ..

 

from

 see no rate change in the foreseeable future

to:

rate change are on the table for the foreseeable future

action

7 yes 3 no 2 abstain

rate will stay the same .

markets explode upward,, as the fed bids all futures up/ algorithms  go crazy .  morgan plays book takes 1/2 penny cut on way up  1/2 penny on down ,, record volumn,, morgan has another record profit day.. with the risk free 1/2 penny.

this last for a day,   then the grind down ,,  

 

Sun, 06/06/2010 - 15:37 | 398113 Johnny Dangereaux
Johnny Dangereaux's picture

I posted this earlier and I won't belabor the point.... BUT...here it is again in case you missed it. Great read, it will get you fired up!  (Try the PDF from Google.com-left menu bar)((At least I am not pushing 'updated dow charts'!))

http://www.archive.org/details/federalreservem01jemsgoog

Even the Pakis are on to it! Help wake people up and post around, Please!

http://www.flipkart.com/federal-reserve-monster-jim-jam-book-0559921527

And now I am on my way to the street fair in my End the Fed T-shirt....come get me NSA...I'm in Chicago! http://www.mayfestchicago.com/

Sun, 06/06/2010 - 15:43 | 398161 trillion_dollar...
trillion_dollar_deficit's picture

even as ZIRP persists well into the thirtieth century.

Haha I love it.

ZIRP4EVA

Sun, 06/06/2010 - 19:10 | 398167 cowdiddly
cowdiddly's picture

I would guess that they are just going to drop "forseeable future" and simply state that "Interest rates will remain unchanged for the next several quarters". This will both give the market a quick pop to keep the 10000 dow pipe dream alive and enforce the idea that they wish to hell they could start their inflate baby inflate. Without a jobs bill Benarcoboob is hamstrung with 27million unemployed as gleaned from debt clock. And, the party of no is using the economy for their own political advantage by suddenly becoming fiscally responsible so they can regain some seats. At least they have not wavered from ever giving a damn about the working class anyhow and apparently are willing to sabatoge America's economy to get power back. In the meantime welcome to about 1932....three years after the crash and waiting for the 1937 tightening, only four and a half measley years away. Damn reality sucks does'nt it helicopter boy. 

Sun, 06/06/2010 - 16:11 | 398204 Monkey Craig
Monkey Craig's picture

I'm sure the central planners have all of our best interests in mind.

Sun, 06/06/2010 - 16:20 | 398209 doolittlegeorge
doolittlegeorge's picture

i'd laugh my butt off too if they raised rates.  of course i think what the fed did in the Great Depression (raising rates) was the right thing to do then, too, unlike Ben Bernanke says now (insofar as history is concerned.)  Be that as it may I know expertise when i see it and these guys know what they're doing.  i have no doubt no one on this site, piss and moan as you all do, could even imagine doing better.  Needless to say no alternative has ever been offered.

Sun, 06/06/2010 - 17:50 | 398331 call me ahab
call me ahab's picture

"Be that as it may I know expertise when i see it and these guys know what they're doing."

hahahahahaha-

one of the dumbest things I  have ever heard- all they have managed to do is delay the inevitable-

and what was the price tag for that?

these fools would give their left nuts to find a new bubble such as housing again- so they could wipe the sweat form their brow and say whew!!!!  we saved the world for another couple years- we're heroes-  lmao

Mon, 06/07/2010 - 01:32 | 399074 faustian bargain
faustian bargain's picture

Needless to say no alternative has ever been offered.

The fuck you say.

Sun, 06/06/2010 - 16:34 | 398226 merehuman
merehuman's picture

june 23 my CCB license expires. I have to move now to buy bond and liablity ins. Shall i retire or go another year? Seems pointless to blow 1,200.00 to reup if the economy, government and dollar fails. Many other contractors have fallen by the wayside already. as long as i work i will owe the government more money and i see no way of getting out of the tax debt trap except to quit. I cant seem to come out ahead so why try anymore is my feeling. Been in business over 30 years.

What are the odds we will still be playing the same game as now in 2/3 months?  Anybody?  

Sun, 06/06/2010 - 16:49 | 398241 cossack55
cossack55's picture

You, me, and I would hazard many ZHers are just biding our time awaiting the arrival of the Catalyst, whetever it may be.  Besides When, my next question is intentional or accidental or maybe just joss.  I have always admired Hugh Axton's response to the question "Why is a philosopher working as a short-order cook?"

I'm afraid you must read at least that portion of the novel to get the answer.

Sun, 06/06/2010 - 16:55 | 398246 taraxias
taraxias's picture

Ask yourselves this question: do the banks benefit by raising the discount rate?

Or, may be you thought Uncle Sugar will do what's right for you?

 

ZIRP4EVER baby

Sun, 06/06/2010 - 17:09 | 398263 Quinvarius
Quinvarius's picture

So now not raising the rate after a few days of suspense will be the new "rate lowing" and give cover for the next buy program. 

The only interest rate that matters is the one the Fed is paying banks to keep their money on deposit at the Fed.  Everything else pales in comparison when the amount of no strings money that will be released is considered. 

Sun, 06/06/2010 - 20:26 | 398539 Withdrawn Sanction
Withdrawn Sanction's picture

 

Hmmm….so let's recap:

  1. Meeting of the rich and powerful near Barcelona Spain this past weekend.
  2. G20 meeting w/non-US participants, shall we say, somewhat at odds with US positions
  3. An “expedited” non-public FRB meeting tomorrow.

About the only nice thing one can say about Bernanke is the man does know his standard monetary theory (which is roughly akin to a computer technician knowing how to repair computers with vacuum tubes, but no matter).   Practically speaking, it means he knows that for monetary policy to “work,” any changes to policy have to unexpected.  In other words, stripped of the academic claptrap, for a theft to “work,” (i.e., to convey purchasing power to the undeserving) the victim cannot be expecting the theft; else the victim will take steps to thwart it. 

So, what's the outcome of tomorrow's meeting?  Unknown, except that it will most likely be surprising whatever it is and perhaps even a bit unpleasant.

 

 

Sun, 06/06/2010 - 20:33 | 398557 nufio
nufio's picture

The market is decoupled from all other factors but the market itself and raising the rate would have no effect on the indexes.

Mon, 06/07/2010 - 02:51 | 399114 boeing747
boeing747's picture

Discount rate shall go a little higher

Mon, 06/07/2010 - 08:25 | 399325 fallst
fallst's picture

.25% is not the end of the world. We are talking .25%. Can stay there for 3-6 months. Try It. .25%.

 

Once this "devastating move" is digested, and accepted, we keep there longer than historical norms. Then the "fool in the shower" will gradually turn off the hot water...there...better...

Mon, 06/07/2010 - 10:13 | 399487 bada boom
bada boom's picture

Could this be Ben today?

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hJoPNBEdduk

Rabbit Trick from the Twilight Zone, the movie.


Mon, 06/07/2010 - 19:06 | 400651 jkruffin
jkruffin's picture

Germany cancelled talks with France over Euro bailout.  Rut RO!!!!

http://www.france24.com/en/20100607-sarkozy-merkel-talks-cancelled-frenc...

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!