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FHA Is Getting Sick Of Feeding The Next Housing Bubble, To Raise Minimum Downpayment

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Developing story, and just a headline for now: FHA Weighs Raising Borrower Premiums, Minimum Downpayment. What a novel idea: to not feed another round of the same housing bubble that nearly destroyed the financial world. Someone in D.C. is really earning their salary.

 

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Thu, 11/12/2009 - 12:56 | 128581 Divided States ...
Divided States of America's picture

Its very smart....after suckering a whole bunch of borrowers to get back into housing, they raise the premiums. This is amazing!...middle class gets raped again.

Thu, 11/12/2009 - 13:04 | 128595 Steak
Steak's picture

Unfortunately anything short of continuing the ponzi full steam ahead will cause some serious short-medium term pain.  But then again cortizone doesn't fix the pain, it just masks it.

Thu, 11/12/2009 - 13:46 | 128652 nopat
nopat's picture

I'm with you bro, but looking at the labor markets, short of giving the property away I don't think there's much that can be done to stimulate new home purchases in any meaningful way without putting paychecks into people's hands.

 

This, of course, ignores whatever impacts people walking away from their homes is having.

Thu, 11/12/2009 - 13:52 | 128661 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

I don't know.

It use to be that home ownership was a function of income.

Then home ownership got infiltrated by the speculators.

A lot of money can come pouring back into this market if the dollar falls a little more. Europeans can buy up real estate at great discounts with the EUR/USD @ 1.50.

That's why the Miami market is back on fire.

Thu, 11/12/2009 - 15:09 | 128777 ghostfaceinvestah
ghostfaceinvestah's picture

(overseas) Asian buyers are all over the SoCal market as well.

What a deal, we buy their junk from WalMart, they recycle those dollars into oceanfront properties in Malibu.

Thu, 11/12/2009 - 17:05 | 128958 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

It works for Canadians too. You buy our oil, we buy a forclosed condo that once sold for $290,000 for $80,000.

Thu, 11/12/2009 - 13:53 | 128663 HelluvaEngineer
HelluvaEngineer's picture

How about a gov't program to provide 3% mortgages to anyone?  Heck, the private mortgage market is dead anyway.

Thu, 11/12/2009 - 14:22 | 128693 Anal_yst
Anal_yst's picture

That's because we SHOULDN'T be stimulating the housing market!  Duh!

Thu, 11/12/2009 - 15:33 | 128810 Guy F.
Guy F.'s picture

+1

Thu, 11/12/2009 - 12:57 | 128583 Takingbets
Takingbets's picture

God I hope it gets raised to 20%! But I'm sure thats just wishful thinking upon my part. :-(

Thu, 11/12/2009 - 13:01 | 128591 waterdog
waterdog's picture

Obama and ACORN will put a stop to that thinking.

Thu, 11/12/2009 - 13:11 | 128606 Rainman
Rainman's picture

Uh Oh. The bad paper is getting harder and harder to ignore.

You can only paint so much lipstick on this pig before you eventually run out of pig.

Thu, 11/12/2009 - 13:24 | 128619 loki
loki's picture

and lipstick, taxpayer funded, expensive lipstick...shade?  RED, we're-effin'-broke red.

Thu, 11/12/2009 - 13:14 | 128610 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

That will light a fire on potential home buyers behinds. BUY A gosh darn house already because soon you might have to actually show some creditworthyness.

Thu, 11/12/2009 - 13:16 | 128614 digalert
digalert's picture

Boy them folks a sharp, can't slip nothing by them...

Thu, 11/12/2009 - 13:20 | 128617 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

Gotta get the interview from CNBC.

FHA commissioner says “bailout” is not the right word because “bailout” applies to private companies and FHA is a government agency.

Thu, 11/12/2009 - 15:14 | 128787 ghostfaceinvestah
ghostfaceinvestah's picture

Technically he is right.

I have far less problem with the FHA getting more money, than, say, AIG, or even Fannie/Freddie getting bailed out.

The folks at the FHA are government employees, and are paid as such, and have no motive to falsely jack up profits to get bigger bonuses.  They are doing what the government mandates them to do.  If we don't like it, we can vote out their puppet masters.  If we don't, shame on us.

But Fannie/Freddie are a different matter altogether.  I know people there who are getting far more than they would if they were government employees.  Look at how much Freddie's new CFO is getting paid.  It is outrageous given how much the taxpayer is putting into those guys.

Thu, 11/12/2009 - 13:26 | 128621 bugs_
bugs_'s picture

Gotta get that $8k back.  Garbage in Garbage out.

Thu, 11/12/2009 - 13:32 | 128628 reading
reading's picture

That'll finish off anything masquerading as a recovery in housing.  Those using the FHA program and it's a lot of folks now, are qualifying on razor thin margins this ought to rightly kill off these homebuyers -- how will the banks like choking down all that shadow inventory once the prices begin their move down the slippery slope.

Thu, 11/12/2009 - 15:16 | 128790 ghostfaceinvestah
ghostfaceinvestah's picture

It'll never happen, at least not while this housing cycle is playing out.

The FHA tried for years to implement risk-based pricing, you know, that novel concept that not all risks are equal, and they should price accordingly.

They were never allowed.

They fought for years to get rid of DPA programs, and couldn't do that until the IRS finally stepped in and disallowed the tax-exempt status of the DPA funds.

Thu, 11/12/2009 - 13:34 | 128631 reading
reading's picture

Also, if they raise premiums without raising the downpayment requirements that'll just mean more gets financed into the loan which in turn means borrowers have even less skin in the game once prices fall.

Thu, 11/12/2009 - 13:36 | 128637 anynonmous
anynonmous's picture

if the headline gets traction it may actually create a burst in activity by the myopic to get in under the wire

Thu, 11/12/2009 - 13:39 | 128641 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

"FHA Weighs Raising Borrower Premiums, Minimum Downpayment."

Of course they are! But by how much? And how come FHA EasyMoney is still around? Shouldn't the FHA be emulating the strictest lending standards known in banking.

If you get wounded during a Fight Club fight, a deep cut from a glancing blow. You get stitches for the wound and then rest so the wound heals.

Thu, 11/12/2009 - 13:44 | 128647 Steak
Steak's picture

After a little digging it seems that any rumors to the effect noted above are tied to the FHA report issued this morning that showed eroding capital reserves.

There is a bill, HR 3706, that was introduced by some Jersey Rep which would set the FHA downpayments to 5% from the current 3.5%.  That bill will die in the inbox of Barney Frank's Financial Services Committee. 

Further A WSJ article out this morning notes that the FHA is pushing back against any measures like higher down payments.

http://blogs.wsj.com/developments/2009/11/12/fha-report-could-spark-political-battle-over-housing/ 

So as noted above it would most likely take legislative action to effect such a change, and no way no how any such bill is getting through Frank's committee.

I would absolutely embrace any rebuttal that would put more meat on this story, but from this kid's perspective atm we just have an interwebs rumor here.

Thu, 11/12/2009 - 13:55 | 128665 Argonaught
Argonaught's picture

Makes sense.  FHA took the offensive on various media outlets to soften the story of the delayed-but-now-released independent audit.  They are ridiculously standing by their story that they will not need more capital.  What can you do?  They are faced with a capital ratio around 5% and they lie right to your face that they won't need more capital.  And that's after they got an extra week to develop their 'spin' before the audit was released?  This game is just about over.

Thu, 11/12/2009 - 13:51 | 128660 max2205
max2205's picture
  • AIG (AIG) may borrow additional money from its five-year Fed credit line in order to make $5.8B in payments on a commercial paper program expiring in January. The insurer owes more than half of the $10B still outstanding in the Fed facility, while other companies that took part have found private-sector alternatives or scaled back short-term borrowing.
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    SeekingAlpha.Initializer.LogAndRun(function () { notice_to_element("comment_757163","update"); }) Another "flush" moment in this long line of government and federal blunders, corruption, and ineptitude with our tax dollars and US financial stability. I'm glad AIG is focused on their "pay checks" as the ship sinks.
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    SeekingAlpha.Initializer.LogAndRun(function () { notice_to_element("comment_757226","update"); }) Gee, all that "talent" that needs to be compensated and they are still losing money.
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    God dXXit, why are we making these people whole and even on interest payments...this is f'd up for sure
Thu, 11/12/2009 - 14:12 | 128682 Takingbets
Takingbets's picture

Its all good because they are swinging to quarterly profits!! (see below) snark/

AIG swings to a third-quarter profit

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/aig-swings-to-a-third-quarter-profit-2009-11-06?siteid=yhoof2

Thu, 11/12/2009 - 14:07 | 128674 Racer
Racer's picture

Bolted door stable horse after

Thu, 11/12/2009 - 14:10 | 128679 Anonymous
Thu, 11/12/2009 - 15:20 | 128794 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

.53% of Cap Reserves. LoL

Burnt, blackened toast.

Thu, 11/12/2009 - 14:14 | 128684 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

I am a realtor in N. Orange County, Ca. and participated in the panic buying over the past 3 months due to the $8000 tax credit, essentially zero down (3% FHA less 3% cash from buyers for closing costs), record low interest rates (thank you FED) and the false tightness in the market (due to 1000's of homes being held off the mkt by the banks). It was a phony recovery. But I loved the commissions!!! Most of the buyers were teachers and city employees who incorrectly believe they are immune from the downturn.

Thu, 11/12/2009 - 15:19 | 128793 ghostfaceinvestah
ghostfaceinvestah's picture

Surprise, surprise, once again the middle class is burned by a false housing mini-bubble.

That's why we call them "sheeple".

Fri, 11/13/2009 - 02:04 | 129428 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

my mom a teacher . Got a house in Sacramento county 5 months ago. went from 1150(and rising) a month rent in a apartment with the land lord upstairs to a nice neighbor hood with a fence, a yard, a garage and everything works for $900 a month(fixed for 360 months.)
she cut 600 miles a month off her commute. she now has a washer and dryer that doesn't take quarters to run. Kids actually come to the door for Halloween.
sure all the neighbors are God-Fearing-Republicans, but you can't have everything. and that 8K of Obama money. Come tax return day she will be out of credit card debt(24% interest) that will free up another $300 plus a month. in 2 years all debt but the house will be paid off. She gone from never gonna get out from under this rock to having a chance of a few years of retirement before dying.

Thu, 11/12/2009 - 16:09 | 128873 Mark Beck
Mark Beck's picture

The fight of the century: Balding Ben B. versus RE Price Demon of Debt

UP or DOWN who will win. The FED or the MARKET.

Ben B. has practically played all of his cards, and thrown another few decks on the table for good measure, in an attempt to stabilize RE prices, by purchasing deleverage RE debt at a loss, instead of letting it default through bankruptcy. An epic battle, fought with Trillion upon Trillions of tax payer dollars in an attempt to do something completely unnecessary. A classic case of the cure being worse that the disease. 

I wonder if people at the FED actually visit the country they control, ya know to, like, maybe figure out how it really works, and not just subscribe to some BS economic model when the fate of the nation lies in the balance.

With the extension of the First time, correction, almost anytime, home buying credit, and lax FHA Mortgage backing, it is an all out assault from the FED to the Hill, to increase RE prices. Some may say to needlessly re-inflate the previous bubble. 

If they lose, given the FEDs QE power, and control over the GSEs, it will be an epic failure, epic wealth destruction, and done without the consent of the people.

Mark Beck

Thu, 11/12/2009 - 16:36 | 128918 Slewburger
Slewburger's picture

So is this the answer to raising interest rates.

This just in...

The first time home buyer credit has been increased to 20k.

 

Fri, 11/13/2009 - 01:43 | 129416 TumblingDice
TumblingDice's picture

funny and probably right...maybe 15k.

Thu, 11/12/2009 - 20:29 | 129177 jbc77
jbc77's picture

Who could fathom proper underwriting standards? In the U.S? You don't say. Hmmmmmm. How dare those bastards require a down payment!!

Thu, 11/12/2009 - 20:37 | 129186 Squid-puppets a...
Squid-puppets a-go-go's picture

Whaddya mean 'the middle class gets raped again' ?

scuze me, but if you dont have a reasonable deposit, ur probably not middle class, and you (and the financial sector) dont deserve a ratified mortgage contract

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