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FOMC Statement

Tyler Durden's picture




Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in
August suggests that economic activity has picked up following its
severe downturn.  Conditions in financial markets have improved
further, and activity in the housing sector has increased.  Household
spending seems to be stabilizing, but remains constrained by ongoing
job losses, sluggish income growth, lower housing wealth, and tight
credit.  Businesses are still cutting back on fixed investment and
staffing, though at a slower pace; they continue to make progress in
bringing inventory stocks into better alignment with sales.  Although
economic activity is likely to remain weak for a time, the Committee
anticipates that policy actions to stabilize financial markets and
institutions, fiscal and monetary stimulus, and market forces will
support a strengthening of economic growth and a gradual return to
higher levels of resource utilization in a context of price stability.

With substantial resource slack likely to continue to dampen
cost pressures and with longer-term inflation expectations stable, the
Committee expects that inflation will remain subdued for some time.

In these circumstances, the Federal Reserve will continue to employ
a wide range of tools to promote economic recovery and to preserve
price stability.  The Committee will maintain the target range for the
federal funds rate at 0 to 1/4 percent and continues to anticipate that
economic conditions are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels of
the federal funds rate for an extended period.  To provide support to
mortgage lending and housing markets and to improve overall conditions
in private credit markets, the Federal Reserve will purchase a total of
$1.25 trillion of agency mortgage-backed securities and up to $200
billion of agency debt.  The Committee will gradually slow the pace of
these purchases in order to promote a smooth transition in markets and
anticipates that they will be executed by the end of the first quarter
of 2010.  As previously announced, the Federal Reserve’s purchases of
$300 billion of Treasury securities will be completed by the end of
October 2009.  The Committee will continue to evaluate the timing and
overall amounts of its purchases of securities in light of the evolving
economic outlook and conditions in financial markets.  The Federal
Reserve is monitoring the size and composition of its balance sheet and
will make adjustments to its credit and liquidity programs as warranted.

Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were: Ben S. Bernanke,
Chairman; William C. Dudley, Vice Chairman; Elizabeth A. Duke; Charles
L. Evans; Donald L. Kohn; Jeffrey M. Lacker; Dennis P. Lockhart; Daniel
K. Tarullo; Kevin M. Warsh; and Janet L. Yellen.




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Wed, 09/23/2009 - 14:22 | Link to Comment Ivanovich
Ivanovich's picture

Bye bye, USD.

Wed, 09/23/2009 - 14:23 | Link to Comment Margin Call
Margin Call's picture

Seems the market discovered a new move on that non-announcement- straight vertical up.

This is all becoming a sick joke, really.

Wed, 09/23/2009 - 14:25 | Link to Comment shorttrader
shorttrader's picture

Basically, the looting continues!

Wed, 09/23/2009 - 14:25 | Link to Comment bugs_
bugs_'s picture

Watch for the stealth QT

Wed, 09/23/2009 - 14:30 | Link to Comment Bolweevil
Bolweevil's picture

Quantitative Teasing?

Wed, 09/23/2009 - 14:25 | Link to Comment Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

Who says the FMOC isn't political. They told everyone exactly what they wanted to hear, just like any self respecting Senator or Rep would do.

Wed, 09/23/2009 - 14:25 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Wed, 09/23/2009 - 14:26 | Link to Comment Primal Reversion
Primal Reversion's picture

" ... economic activity has picked up following its severe downturn."

Wow. These guys are geniuses. Reminds me of John Madden - state the obvious in an attempt to make yourself sound smarter.

Wed, 09/23/2009 - 15:52 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Wed, 09/23/2009 - 14:26 | Link to Comment lizzy36
lizzy36's picture

Leisman is fricking retarded.

"not bad for the nation if the value of the dollar goes down, if the price of assets goes up."

Wed, 09/23/2009 - 14:32 | Link to Comment Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

He keeps saying really stupid things like "Buy American and you won't be affected."

I'm beginning to believe he's a CIA dis-information specialist planted on CNBC to help keep the natives calm. There's no other explanation for his stupidity.

Wed, 09/23/2009 - 14:33 | Link to Comment reading
reading's picture

Agreed...I only wish they'd gone back to santelli so he could have verbally abused him for his stupidity before I shut off the TV and permanently wrote off that world's stupid business channel. 

Wed, 09/23/2009 - 14:36 | Link to Comment etrader
etrader's picture

Did you see the look on Bill Gross's face  though.... It said it all one need to know about the self named "Professor" Liesman!

Wed, 09/23/2009 - 23:02 | Link to Comment long-shorty
long-shorty's picture

agreed. nice pick-up. both the look and the tone in his voice. i think he was blown away by the stupidity.

Wed, 09/23/2009 - 14:36 | Link to Comment Ragnarok
Ragnarok's picture

Back in the day they used to sterilize retards so they wouldn't bring about the Leismans of today.

Wed, 09/23/2009 - 14:44 | Link to Comment Art Vandelay
Art Vandelay's picture

Sure, Steve.

It's also not bad for someone to weigh 400 pounds, if you re-define a pound to equal 7.2 ounces.

Wed, 09/23/2009 - 15:42 | Link to Comment Daedal
Daedal's picture

LoL!

Wed, 09/23/2009 - 14:26 | Link to Comment lieutenantjohnchard
lieutenantjohnchard's picture

looks as if the fomc statement is frn coupon bearish. anybody surprised?

Wed, 09/23/2009 - 14:27 | Link to Comment Margin Call
Margin Call's picture

Meanwhile, anyone else here get the feeling that the comps are being set to trade on the occurence of news as opposed to the news itself? Like the very fact that a company makes an announcement sends its shares flying, as opposed to anything the announcement itself says good/bad? I guess the logical way to outgun this new trading technique is to just buy shares in everything, all the time. 

Wed, 09/23/2009 - 14:56 | Link to Comment Bearish Spirits
Bearish Spirits's picture

Seems so.  The claim was that the market shot up because the Fed left the main rate unchanged.  Really???  Who thought they were going to hike it??  They may as well have shifted the rate negative and sent the Dow +200.

Computers may have been set to buy stocks and shank the dollar if the rate was unchanged.

Wed, 09/23/2009 - 14:28 | Link to Comment Great Depressio...
Great Depression Trader's picture

Since all currencies are relative to each other, I have a strong feeling that the Europeans will ramp up the presses as well. Germany cant handle the Euro/USD at 1.60.

Wed, 09/23/2009 - 23:05 | Link to Comment long-shorty
long-shorty's picture

i disagree with the printing press comment (though I agree that Germany is in a really tough spot). it makes you wonder what sort of political tension there is going to be inside of Germany in a couple of years when things are getting worse and they are stuck with someone else's monetary policy.

Thu, 09/24/2009 - 00:09 | Link to Comment defender
defender's picture

Here is a german that is saying that the rumors over there say that the economic fireworks are being held off until the german elections are held at the end of the month.  Because of this and other things, he says that October = crash.

http://www.youtube.com/user/jberni1#play/uploads/1/3d5fwYerL5k

very much worth watching this guys vids.

Wed, 09/23/2009 - 14:28 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Wed, 09/23/2009 - 14:42 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Wed, 09/23/2009 - 16:19 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Wed, 09/23/2009 - 14:31 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Wed, 09/23/2009 - 14:31 | Link to Comment Steak
Steak's picture

It just seemed too easy of a trade to sell the dollar after the Fed statement.  Yet when the move came it was dramatic but very quickly reversed.  Just a feeling, but the ol gut says that today is a reversal day.

The ol gut is also terribly torn over Arby's new dollar menu :-)

Wed, 09/23/2009 - 14:36 | Link to Comment reading
reading's picture

No way... you KNOW the dow will have to touch 10,000 first.  Could be today with the way this crazy casino runs.

Wed, 09/23/2009 - 14:31 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Wed, 09/23/2009 - 14:31 | Link to Comment thetechnicaltake
thetechnicaltake's picture

What do you expect the Fed to say?  "We spent a lot of money on a crisis we never saw coming and now it isn't any better."  Of course, things are better because they said so.  In the first paragraph, they state how things are improving but by the third paragraph they seem to contradict themselves when they say that policy will remain accommodative for a long time because he economy remains vulnerable.  So what is it?  It is the same old nonsense, and the only thing that matters is that stocks have moved 50% plus off the bottom.  The only thing missing from the statement was "mission accomplished".

Wed, 09/23/2009 - 14:42 | Link to Comment Margin Call
Margin Call's picture

+10

The economy is getting better, but it isn't. Things are looking up and down. We are winding down special programs, but we aren't. The Fed likes to have its cake, eat it, and then give the cake to its friends so they can eat it too. It's appalling that they've backed themselves into this moral hazard morass where they are incapable of yanking the QE free money candy from Wall Street because it will "spook" the markets. Well, damn, "spook" the markets already, people chasing momentum in garbage stocks cannot say they don't know the risk involved. Buyer beware!

Wed, 09/23/2009 - 14:32 | Link to Comment Ragnarok
Ragnarok's picture

Eventually Bernanke will run out of fingers and toes to shove in the cracks of the dam.

Wed, 09/23/2009 - 14:34 | Link to Comment Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

Not the only crack he has his fingers (and head) shoved up.

Wed, 09/23/2009 - 14:34 | Link to Comment reading
reading's picture

There is actually a few other places to shove them...

Wed, 09/23/2009 - 14:33 | Link to Comment ghostfaceinvestah
ghostfaceinvestah's picture

buh bye, USD

Wed, 09/23/2009 - 14:34 | Link to Comment Hondo
Hondo's picture

The Fed are complete idiots and will run this economy into the ground......they haven't a clue (especially that dimwit Elizabeth Duke....who actually want the FASB to lie and fabricate accounting numbers)

Wed, 09/23/2009 - 14:34 | Link to Comment lieutenantjohnchard
lieutenantjohnchard's picture

if the fed bought every mortgage in the country would anybody have to pay their mortgage? afterall the fed would hold them at face whether they were being paid or at default. there's no audit so who would know whether the traunches were good or not.

Wed, 09/23/2009 - 14:36 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Wed, 09/23/2009 - 14:39 | Link to Comment orca
orca's picture

Google search
"Geithner strong dollar" 554k
"Geithner weak dollar" 55k
Now look at the graph.
When you listen carefully you can hear them howl in Beijing.

Wed, 09/23/2009 - 14:39 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Wed, 09/23/2009 - 14:40 | Link to Comment HEHEHE
HEHEHE's picture

The Fed knows what's on its balance sheet?

Wed, 09/23/2009 - 14:40 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Wed, 09/23/2009 - 14:42 | Link to Comment SilverIsKing
SilverIsKing's picture

They have now shown their entire hand.  If there was any doubt about how they were going to play this out, there should be none any longer.  Buy gold, buy silver, heck buy anything.  It's all going up.

Wed, 09/23/2009 - 14:47 | Link to Comment orca
orca's picture

Not necessarily. I have 1076 as pivot, posted already on carry-thread, for short. 1076 has not been breached yet. I know this is lunatics running the asylum, but this has to stop somewhere, no one will take contrary positions any more, trading will stop, this can n.o.t. go on. Also cash-Japan is not responding, here in Europe no follow-up in o/n futs too, apart from initial spike.

Wed, 09/23/2009 - 14:57 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Wed, 09/23/2009 - 15:01 | Link to Comment orca
orca's picture

Djeezzz, as if I am clairvoyant! If they manage to hold the flatline today it will be an accomplishment already, 50/50 now for full unload 1054-1048 or flatline. 1072 should not be breached any more. Japs are gone, Europe is almost gone, EUR/USD says flat.

Wed, 09/23/2009 - 15:33 | Link to Comment AndItsGone
AndItsGone's picture

You nailed it, brother.

Wed, 09/23/2009 - 15:48 | Link to Comment orca
orca's picture

Thanks! Now its a goner, look at Naz too, 1734 is what they were aiming for, 1700 + 2%, coudn't hold it but oh boy they tried. However, coming days they will try and try and try again, they are scared shitless of the air pockets, especially around 1030, could drop through that zone before you can say f-f-fu-huck.
Rest of the week I am gone, some R & R, then its some end-of-Q BS next week and we're home free. succes everyone, don't despair, hope dies the last.

Wed, 09/23/2009 - 14:44 | Link to Comment fotokemist
fotokemist's picture

 

By Steak said: " Just a feeling, but the ol gut says that today is a reversal day."

It would be terribly disrepective of our Chinese masters, er colleagues, to have the markets tank before their 60th anniversay celebration is complete.  A little more patience ...

Wed, 09/23/2009 - 14:49 | Link to Comment Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

China plans on "controlling the weather" on October 1, 2009 so that it won't rain and spoil their parade. Now I understand where the Fed gets the idea it can control the uncontrollable.

http://www.channelnewsasia.com/stories/afp_asiapacific/view/1006671/1/.html

Wed, 09/23/2009 - 14:54 | Link to Comment Ragnarok
Ragnarok's picture

Clearly we can take Obama at his word, as he is fulfilling one of his campaign promises to bring jobs back to America.  We will be sewing sneakers and T-shirts in no time.

Wed, 09/23/2009 - 15:48 | Link to Comment Daedal
Daedal's picture

"In these circumstances, the Federal Reserve will continue to employ a wide range of tools to promote economic recovery and to preserve price stability"

Communist Russia had price stability. In fact, they used to print the price of the product on the product itself. Find an old Russian toy, and the price is still stamped on it. (I'm sure Vitaliy from Contrarian Edge will confirm this).  I'll look to see if I can find something, tho RoboTrader will have to teach me how to post pics on this site. Price stability, as a goal, is an asinine concept. Perhaps Bernanke should edumacate himself on how price is a function of Supply/Demand.

Wed, 09/23/2009 - 17:06 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Wed, 09/23/2009 - 17:24 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Wed, 09/23/2009 - 21:13 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Wed, 09/23/2009 - 22:59 | Link to Comment Anonymous
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