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Food Prices Will Rise

George Washington's picture




 

Washington’s Blog

I have repeatedly argued that - even if deflation continues - food prices might rise dramatically. See this, this and this.

In March:

Wholesale food prices ... rose 2.4%, matching the biggest gain in 26 years.  Prices of fresh and dried vegetables soared 49.3%, the most in 16 years. Prices of seafood, meat and dairy goods also rose.

In addition, the oil spill will cause higher food prices.   Initially, there is the loss of substantial portions of the fisheries and shrimping in the Gulf Coast. See this and this.

Moreover, the disruption of shipping lanes will drive up prices.

As AP notes:

Besides the immediate impact on Gulf industries, shipping along the Mississippi River could soon be limited. Ships carrying food, oil, rubber and much more come through the Southwest Pass to enter the vital waterway.

 

Shipment delays — either because oil-splattered ships need to be cleaned off at sea before docking or because water lanes are shut down for a time — would raise the cost of transporting those goods.

 

"We saw that during Hurricane Katrina for a period of time — we saw some prices go up for food and other goods because they couldn't move some fruit down the shipping channels and it got spoiled," PFGBest analyst Phil Flynn said.

 

The oil spill is not the only environment catastrophe which could increase prices.

Bee colonies are also collapsing worldwide. As the Guardian notes:

 

Disturbing evidence that honeybees are in terminal decline has emerged from the United States where, for the fourth year in a row, more than a third of colonies have failed to survive the winter.

 

The decline of the country's estimated 2.4 million beehives began in 2006, when a phenomenon dubbed colony collapse disorder (CCD) led to the disappearance of hundreds of thousands of colonies. Since then more than three million colonies in the US and billions of honeybees worldwide have died and scientists are no nearer to knowing what is causing the catastrophic fall in numbers.

 

The number of managed honeybee colonies in the US fell by 33.8% last winter, according to the annual survey by the Apiary Inspectors of America and the US government's Agricultural Research Service (ARS).

 

The collapse in the global honeybee population is a major threat to crops. It is estimated that a third of everything we eat depends upon honeybee pollination, which means that bees contribute some £26bn to the global economy.

 

As the Guardian notes, the problem might be a combination of pesticides and nutrition:

 

US scientists have found 121 different pesticides in samples of bees, wax and pollen, lending credence to the notion that pesticides are a key problem. "We believe that some subtle interactions between nutrition, pesticide exposure and other stressors are converging to kill colonies," said Jeffery Pettis, of the ARS's bee research laboratory.

 

Indeed:

To recap: bees are fed junk food totally different from what bees naturally eat with very little nutritional content, taken out of their normal natural environment and shoved into trucks, and then driven all over the nation.

The poor nutrition, exposure to numerous pesticides (and genetically modified foods), and stressful condition of being constantly trucked all over the country are hurting the bees. Why do beekeepers do it? Because high-fructose corn syrup and soy protein are cheap junk, and because the widespread use of pesticides coupled with trucking bees around the country is the low-cost industrial farming business model. 

The bottom line is that raising and using bees to pollinate crops in a way that won't kill so many bees will be more expensive ... thus driving up food prices.

 

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Tue, 05/04/2010 - 01:03 | 330258 whatsinaname
whatsinaname's picture

If you feel so strongly about Monsanto, here is a must-watch film from PBS about food giants (makes GS look like angels).

http://www.pbs.org/pov/foodinc/trailer.php

http://www.pbs.org/pov/foodinc/photo_gallery_watch.php

 

 

 

 

 

Tue, 05/04/2010 - 00:16 | 330168 Real Wealth
Real Wealth's picture


by DosZap

The thought for the past 2-3 yrs for me on this,is the INCREASED use of hybrids.

 

(You know Monsanto,ADM, want to make sure you have to buy new seed every year).

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XxUpFHvTFhQ&NR=1 

Damien: Omen II (1978)

Paul, "My report says Thorn industries' main interest is in energy and electronics. Because of this bias, we ignore what's going on here at this plant. We ignore it at our own risk. Our profitable future, aside from energy, lies also in famine."

Bill, "What? That statement is typical of you, Paul. its heartless and..."

Paul, "And true. Not heartless, realistic."

[...]

"One person dies of starvation every 8.6 seconds. Seven every minute. 420 every hour. 10,000 every day!"

"We have to develop new strains of high-yield, disease-resistant grain crops."

"The oil countries didn't hesitate to squeeze our jugular vein."

"So, what's so different about food?"

"lf you've got a knife at your belly, you'll keep still."

"Why, then, call my policy unethical?"

Billl, "It's callous and inhuman... and in my opinion, illegal."

Paul, "What is inhuman about feeding people?"

[...]

Pasarian, "Bill's point is, if we control the food people eat, it's tantamount to making slaves of them."

Paul, "Ah, customers."

Monsanto has sued many a farmer when their GM crops have turned up on the farmer's fields even though the farmers say they never planted them (examples [1] [2]). Farmers who get into the Roundup-Ready (RR) System lose their independence, and are obliged to sign a lengthy and restrictive agreement. [3]. What's more Monsanto contracts out to private investigation firms like Pinkerton, to regularly check up on their farmers (and independent, non-GM farmers as well), taking samples unannounced from their fields to make sure they are not in violation [4] [5]. It also maintains a hotline so farmers can turn in their neighbors for suspected violations.

 

http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php?title=Goliath_and_David:_Monsanto's_Legal_Battles_against_Farmers

Damien: Omen II (1978)

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OFTRf0Gnm14

Paul, "Our profitable future, gentlemen, is also in famine. We now possess potentially the most formidable force in the world for large-scale agricultural endeavors.

"However we have to guard against the indigenous populations ever thinking we are in the business of exploitation. We are not! I emphasize that."

Monsanto Indian Farmer Suicide:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Av6dx9yNiCA&NR=1

Mon, 05/03/2010 - 22:56 | 330122 Fish Gone Bad
Fish Gone Bad's picture

I have fire ants on my property.  One day when picking my tomatoes, I noticed the ants all over my pepper plants and my tomato plants.  I really hate those ants, but they at least pollinate my garden.

Mon, 05/03/2010 - 19:35 | 329875 Oquities
Oquities's picture

i am long freeze-dried fruits from costco.

Mon, 05/03/2010 - 19:42 | 329883 LeBalance
LeBalance's picture

for a sec there I thought you might be refering to Walt Disney.

Mon, 05/03/2010 - 18:39 | 329830 WineSorbet
WineSorbet's picture

I hope everyone enjoys Soylent Green...Unfortunately this is not sarcasm.  Man this is just so damn scary.

Mon, 05/03/2010 - 23:14 | 330152 Number 156
Number 156's picture

I will enjoy it better if we make the first batches out of crooked bureaucrats and thieving bankers. That way we can take care of the famine and the economy in one shot. We will probably have to hold our noses and drink some strong swill to get them down.

Tue, 05/04/2010 - 02:39 | 330316 Captain Obvious
Captain Obvious's picture

feed corrupt bankers to the bees. problem solved

Mon, 05/03/2010 - 20:21 | 329930 Moneygrove
Moneygrove's picture

HOW IS SPILL BAY SPILL WORKING FOR PALIN NOW !!!!!!!!!!!!! P.S. BUY MORE GOLD AND SPAM !!!!!!!!!!!!

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