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whsle inventories .... splat
Right on ... notice also that Japan is saying it will buy the Eurozone bailout bonds, not Portuguese or Spanish or Italian bonds.
USDJPY it is exclusively driven by the 2Y UST/JGB rate spread. So if Japan really wants to weaken the Yen they might as well start dumping their 2Y treasuries...
I doubt that would work with the bernank on the loose. I like the attitude of those old effers in Japan, it is a whole generation of Gandhis. Japan is hosed because even if they dropped yen from helicopters the people would just hoard it or pay off debts. I hope they enjoy the 100 year depression. As long as the japanese banks survive that's all that really matters. [/sarcasm]
Since this is a global trainwreck, where would one go anyway. After 30 years, the YEN is still hard as nails. The US dollar is having higher lows, no matter what the printing press does.
Welcome to the Matrix and you are stuck with this ridiculous risk swapation norm. Swapping as the whole system goes into i solvency, trying to make as many credits as possible so you can trade them in for your new ponzi, the Globo world currency. Where bankers get it all.
Yesterday, Sarkozi the whore, was lecturing the Callow one on global exchange currencies...
China, Japan, whoever is buying this European crap has to have an ulterior motive because it's crap they're buying.
They're buying crap with poo.
Good charts and analysis, BTW atleast to a novice like me, and hey i got some Alison Krauss going on in the Background to sooth me while i read the latest good news :)
So could you call this an international version of the reach-around?
So few people see it as ccy intervention around these parts - most think its a vote of confidence in Portugal - FFS!
The global "trainwreck" I'm watching is the relentless rise in the NY Composite, despite the wailings and screaming from the double dippers.
After all, why not spend the new found wealth from a rising stock market to buy a few bonds to help out some friends?
Classic. What pray is a Japanese citizen's direct interest in Portuguese fiscal health? is this the butterfly flapping it's wings in the Pacific to quell a storm in Europa? Yes, Europa, no typo there.
The daily reminders that we are firmly in 1984 territory are stunning in their regularity and their magnitude.
Japan has long been a loaner of cheap money through their "development" bank to India. It has been an unmitigated curse in the larger picture. The amount of Industrial India "owned" by Japan is quite shocking.
The unfolding picture does not look pretty.
Japanese "love", ugh!
Since mercantilist Japan has huge piles of T bills in its vaults when it loans money to the EU it is really just handing them US Treasury notes. Debt for debt!
You answered your own question. As the Euro falls exports to Europe fall. The exports are in the direct interest of Japan's citizens.
What would you do if you worked for the BOJ? Your population is too aged to be net savers any longer. They will be net sellers soon. You need foreign buyers or you need to print yen to cover the gap. That's inevitable.
I know what I would do. I would print yen now, while it is propped up by the myth of being a safe-haven, and buy hard assets everywhere they'd take my money. I'd buy rare-earth mines, gold, oil fields, coal mines. Japan has no official sovereign wealth fund - but they know what's coming. It would not surprise me if they have a mechanism to put foreign assets in Japanese hands while they can.
We move higher, but is it real or just our worthless dollar moving us around. Not sure, but have no interest in false rises. But, no shorts.
Of course! This is the pattern you expect when reaching the tipping point where money has become "funny". If Japan were playing with the real marbles, they'd be preaching austerity to the Portuguese, sermonizing about how their wealth has been built on self-sacrifice and delayed gratification.
"Japan Inc" (to use the catch phrase from the halcyon 1980s) has been bailed out non-stop through the back door since 2009 to compensate for cratering US demand and the bailout of GM. It sits at a critical strategic node in the Pacific. Quid-pro-quo.
Bail out another alliance nation's government using FRN's? Why Not?? It's not even "real" and there's lots lots more where that came from. Anything to prevent a global downturn that might hurt Toyota and Sony and put Japan's unemployment level at even more uncomfortable levels. Political instability has been on a sharp rise forcing a government coalition collapse and a changing of the guard about every 6-9 months. That's the psychology.
Caviar, Japan's real problem, especially with regards to employment, is that it is tryly a machine world there. No numbers on-hand, but with deep interaction (work, visits, friendships), I know this first hand.
Most of Japanese manufacturing is robotized. All traditional Japanese skill is being lost due to the generational disconnect. Generational disconnect was launched through the whole gaming/manga/otaku culture and is widening ever faster. Old=bad in Japan and it is full of them (old people) and jobless youth.
In the age of machines, Japan is th eposter child for reasons to launch the Butlerian Jihad. Now.
This is really quite sad . On top of the liquidity provisions to troubled banks , IMF interventions , ECB periphery asset purchases and Chinese assurances to buy PIIGS bonds we now have a very public announcement from Japan , a country with an abysmal debt load and with little or no prospects of alleviation , that it will be tapping into it's foreign exchange reserves to buy Eurozone debt .
This really is it . Kitchen sink is being ripped up and thrown in .
Since the Japanese are dying off, couldn't they just take out a reverse mortgage on the home islands?
It's funny that Japan's making such a splash with its promise to buy Eurozone bailout bonds. It's not like those are the hard ones to sell, as they're backed by all the more or less sound northern European states. Maybe the real message they're sending is to Germany: "Go ahead and increase that bailout fund, we'll buy debt if you're backing it. As for Portugal and Spain, just get that over with."
How is this not the dreaded "Beggar Thy Neighbor" policy that is partially blamed for exacerbating the global Great Depression?
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