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Frontrunning: August 9

Tyler Durden's picture




 
  • Systemic Regulator Risk: Does the Fed of New York Need a Haircut? (Institutional Risk Analytics), also Zero Hedge will have much more to say on the persona of Sarah Dalgren shortly
  • U.S. Investors Regain Majority Holding of Treasuries (Bloomberg)
  • Here comes Big Brother: US to Pay Big Sums For Wall St Tip-offs (FT)
  • Fed debates winding road to more easing (Reuters)
  • Trichet Market Rally May Let Bernanke Hold Off on Bond Buying (BusinessWeek)
  • Bank of Japan Expected to Hold Rate Steady (WSJ)
  • One Chart To Rule Them All, One Chart To Find Them (Out) (Fistful of Euros)
  • The end of responsibility: From homeowners to government, the buck stops nowhere (Post)
  • China Buys $5.3 Billion of Japanese Bonds in June, Set for Annual Record (Bloomberg)
  • Commodity spike queers the pitch for Bernanke's QE2 (Telegraph)
  • German Exports To Be At Pre-Crisis Levels In 2011-DIHK (WSJ)
  • Housing Policy’s Third Rail (NYT)
  • The Federal Reserve and Quantitative Easing  (FX Solutions)
  • Wheat Speculators Slow Bets on Gain After Best Month Since 1973 (Bloomberg)
  • Drought Doubles Price Of Barley In Six Weeks (FT)
  • Swedish Earnings Signal Biggest Economic Rebound in EU Region (BusinessWeek)
  • U.S. Economy to Improve Slowly, Former Treasury Secretaries Say (BusinessWeek)
  • Regulators Plan First Steps on Credit Rating (WSJ)
  • Krugman: America Goes Dark (NYT)

European economic data:

  • Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence for August 8.5 higher than expected Consensus 1.6 Previous -1.3
  • Germany Trade Balance for June 14.1B - wider than expected Consensus 12.0B Previous 9.8B (Revised from 9.7B)
  • Germany Imports SA for June 1.9% higher than expected Consensus -2.0% Previous 13.7% (Revised from 14.8%)
  • Germany Current Account (EURO) for June 12.9B lower than expected Consensus 13.6B Previous 1.8B (Revised from 2.2B)
  • Germany Exports SA for June 3.8% higher than expected Consensus 1.5% Previous 7.9% (Revised from 9.2%)
  • Bank of France Bus. Sentiment for July 101 as expected Consensus 101 Previous 101 (Revised from 100)

Aian economic data:

  • Australia Home Loans for June -3.9% - lower than expected. Consensus -2.00%. Previous 1.9%. (Revised 3.0%).
  • Australia ANZ Job Advertisements m/m for July 1.3%.  Previous 2.7%. (Revised 2.8%).
  • Australia Value of Loans m/m for June -1.0%. Previous -0.3%. (Revised 0.9%).
  • Australia Investment lending for June-3.6%. Previous 2.6%. (Revised 3.0%).
  • Australia Foreign Reserves for July 47.5B. Previous 43.7B.
  • New Zealand QV House Prices y/y% for July 4.1%. Previous 5.2%.
  • Japan Money Stock M2 y/y for July 2.7% - lower than expected. Consensus 2.9%. Previous 2.9%.
  • Japan Money Stock M3 y/y for July 2.0% - lower than expected. Consensus 2.2%. Previous 2.2%.
  • Japan Current Account Total for June ¥1047.1B - lower than expected. Consensus ¥1311.6B. Previous ¥1205.3B.
  • Japan Adjusted Current Account Total for June ¥1362.1B - lower than expected. Consensus ¥1447.0B. Previous ¥904.8B.
  • Japan Trade Balance (BoP Basis) for June ¥769.0B – lower than expected. Consensus ¥784.0B. Previous ¥391.0B.
  • Japan Bank Lending Banks Adjusted y/y for July -1.7%. Previous -1.9%.
  • Japan Bank Lending Ex-Trusts y/y for July -1.9%. Previous -2.1%.
  • Japan Bank Lending including Trusts y/y for July -1.8%. Previous -2.0%.
  • Japan Bankruptcies y/y for July -23.1%.Previous -19.3%.
  • Japan Eco Watchers Survey:Current for July 49.8 – higher than expected. Consensus 48. Previous 47.5.
  • Japan Eco Watchers Survey:Outlook for July 46.6 – lower than expected. Consensus 48.8. Previous 48.3.
 

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Mon, 08/09/2010 - 08:36 | 510382 wang
wang's picture

lakshman (ECRI)  coming up on Bloomberg radio after 830am et

 

http://noir.bloomberg.com/audioplayers/playr_owm.html?clipName=Bloomberg...

Mon, 08/09/2010 - 08:42 | 510386 papaswamp
papaswamp's picture

I find China's purchases of Japanese debt very interesting. Economic invasion and take over? Japan, in my mind is very vulnerable, and long term is on a demographic death spiral.

Mon, 08/09/2010 - 09:09 | 510424 snowball777
snowball777's picture

Japan is very much the tinker's shop which can't afford the lease anymore because the city grew up around it while it was puttering away.

China looking for a way out for their dollar reserves or some subtle way to continue fucking with the Yuan when necessary?

Mon, 08/09/2010 - 09:18 | 510431 anvILL
anvILL's picture

Economic invasion and takeover through purchase of Japanese debt is way too difficult considering the amount held internally.
Buying Japanese stocks would be a much more easy and cost efficient way of invading and taking over the economy.
Also, China has been getting rid of US and European debt recently.
Since China doesn't have much Japanese debt, this is more likely a basic diversification, especially in this environment where the Yen is strong.

If this trend continues for a long period, then it gets interesting.
Even if it didn't, Japan's economic collapse caused by its demographic death spiral would eventually come, which will be interesting anyways.

Mon, 08/09/2010 - 09:21 | 510437 snowball777
snowball777's picture

Could be prep work for the day when we switch to SDRs as the one currency to rule them all!

Mon, 08/09/2010 - 10:03 | 510514 DosZap
DosZap's picture

papa,

China is on the verge of a major bubble..............

Dig on this...........and we think WE had a bubble?........at least they are not broke.

http://theburningplatform.com/blog/2010/08/08/the-mother-of-all-bubbles/

Mon, 08/09/2010 - 09:23 | 510438 ejmoosa
ejmoosa's picture

I can't decide what is more disturbing- US debt levels, or the US public's willing to finance the debt, despite what it knows is coming?

There's a major disconnect here. 

And I won't even mention the lousy yield for the risk they are taking.

 

Mon, 08/09/2010 - 09:27 | 510447 snowball777
snowball777's picture

US Public? No.

Monetizing self-dealing assholes on Wall St, at Liberty 33, and in DC? Yes.

Mon, 08/09/2010 - 10:20 | 510550 goldfish1
goldfish1's picture

the US public's willing to finance the debt, despite what it knows is coming

US Public? What do 90% of the US Public know about it? Zero.

Mon, 08/09/2010 - 09:26 | 510445 snowball777
snowball777's picture

Oh, P-Krug, you simple fop...

"And the federal government, which can sell inflation-protected long-term bonds at an interest rate of only 1.04 percent, isn’t cash-strapped at all."

Mon, 08/09/2010 - 09:27 | 510446 rapunzel
rapunzel's picture

i would just L U V to fu*k the editor of

F R O N T R U N  N I G

you know what i mean, in the morning and all

running

the front

the globalness of it all.

t o t a l     TURN ON

f o r e

 

 

Mon, 08/09/2010 - 09:28 | 510451 snowball777
snowball777's picture

Velo, is that niagra kickin' in agin'?

Mon, 08/09/2010 - 10:05 | 510517 rapunzel
rapunzel's picture

Y E P

Mon, 08/09/2010 - 09:28 | 510449 lizzy36
lizzy36's picture

And so it began.......Third Anniversary of the Credit Crunch:

ECB Lends 94.8 Billion Euros as Money Rates Surge (Update3)
Mon, 08/09/2010 - 09:29 | 510453 snowball777
snowball777's picture

You mean that stress test wasn't on the level?!

Well I declare.

Mon, 08/09/2010 - 10:05 | 510516 DosZap
DosZap's picture

Yep, now they screaming BUY DOLLARS!!!!!!!.

The Fix is SO in.

Mon, 08/09/2010 - 10:23 | 510543 goldfish1
goldfish1's picture

I liked this article...sorry if it's already been posted, especially in light of news that the Wyoming Governor is planning on selling part of the Grand Tetons:

Requiem for Barron's

 by Howard Katz 

excerpt:

" The (Al) Abelson trashing of gold

“…gold, in keeping with its hoary tradition revels in the world’s misery.”

 

         “A Contrarian’s View of Gold,”

Barron’s, 7-26-10, p. 7.

 is simply one more example that we live in a society which is single-mindedly devoted to taking our wealth.  It used to be the case that Americans recognized that cooperating with one’s fellow man and creating more wealth was the way to go.  Redistributing (stealing) the wealth was something that the Russians did.  But do you know what also happened last week?  On Wednesday, just one day after the Abelson gold break, Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin,

 

“…approved a wide-ranging plan on Wednesday to sell off state property…”

 

 

 

Mon, 08/09/2010 - 10:52 | 510666 nedwardkelly
nedwardkelly's picture

“there are rumors that the Obama administration is about to order government-controlled lenders Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to forgive a portion of the mortgage debt of millions of Americans who owe more than what their homes are worth.”

This would be fine if they also stipulated that any future capital gains on those same properties were taxed at 100% until the forgiven portion is paid back. Of course that wont happen though, that wont buy as many votes as a free ride.
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