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Frontrunning: January 12

Tyler Durden's picture




  • Bankruptcy would be good for America (FT)
  • Not sure infinity plus one is a number, but as if we needed more reasons to boot Mary Schapiro out immediately: SEC order helps maintain AIG bailout mystery (Reuters)
  • Hussman: Green shoots, weak roots (Hussman Funds)
  • 100% Agreement with this statement: "Every year around this time, market strategists break out their crystal
    balls and economists dust off their models (which amount to the same
    thing) and try to predict the course of the markets and economies for
    the next year. Why they persist in this activity when everyone knows it
    is a waste of time is a mystery. Equally mystifying is why the rest of
    us waste our time reading their prognostications. Predicting the future
    is impossible and there isn’t nearly as much upside to it as one might
    think.
    " (Alhambra Investments)
  • The Fed will now be frontrunning Goldman Sachs for a change: Obama plans to raise $120 billion from banking fees (Bloomberg)
  • Is China really growing that fast? (IBD)
  • More ambiguity out of China: world's biggest bubble raises deposit reserve ratio to cool economy (Bloomberg)
  • Dow to hit 15,000 by 2011. Why? "Because a smoking hot market topping 15,000 would guarantee Obama a
    second term, add to his Congressional majority, and open a whole new
    front in America's polarized cultural wars, with enormous market,
    financial and economic as well as political consequences." (MarketWatch)
  • Even in a recovery, some US jobs aren't coming back (WSJ)
  • Hedge fund lending is back, and helping Tennenbaum Capital make some profits until their other holdings drag everything down shortly (Bloomberg)
  • Federal Reserve earned $45 billion in 2009, in biggest bear market rally since Great Depression (WaPo, h/t Malcolm)
  • Hedging America (The New Republic)
  • Goldman Sachs still shines for MBAs who ignore "hype" (Bloomberg)
  • Barclays favors selling Nakheel bonds after 75% surge (Bloomberg)
  • "Enron-esque characeteristics" hiding an even more explosive credit growth in China (Immobilienblasen)



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Tue, 01/12/2010 - 09:59 | Link to Comment lizzy36
lizzy36's picture

this mornings moral hazard circle jerk brought to you by bill miller......."amzn great investment", "market is not expensive" and "tarp was fantastic".

Tue, 01/12/2010 - 10:05 | Link to Comment docj
docj's picture

If I may...

Bankruptcy would be good for America

I'm sure it would - in the same way my Drill SGT used to tell me the shit he used to make me do would "build character".  Actually, almost all of it did just that.

Hussman: Green shoots, weak roots

Read this yesterday - all sorts of awesome.

Obama plans to raise $120 billion from banking fees

He'll get about 10% of that, if he's lucky, and we (as in, not banks) will end up paying for it anyway in the form of increased fees, decreased benefits, yadda yadda yadda.  Way to go, Barry.  That'll show 'em!

Dow to hit 15,000 by 2011.

Related, DXY to hit 0.01 at the same time, because that's pretty mcuh the only way the DJIA gets a 50% (or so) bump from here.  Don't know how that jives with praise and benefits for Barry, but whatever.

Even in a recovery, some US jobs aren't coming back

Next scoop from the WSJ: Water is wet.

Apologies for the snark this morning, folks.  As the previously mentioned DS used to tell us (usually at 05:30 on a day he was going to beat the ever-loving shiite out of us), "Have a Happy Army Day!"

Tue, 01/12/2010 - 10:18 | Link to Comment ChickenTeriyakiBoy
ChickenTeriyakiBoy's picture

really excellent alhambra piece...the bit about cnbc is pertinent to the debate responding to td's "minsky moment" post yesterday

Tue, 01/12/2010 - 10:28 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Tue, 01/12/2010 - 10:34 | Link to Comment BorisTheBlade
BorisTheBlade's picture
  • Equally mystifying is why the rest of us waste our time reading their prognostications. Predicting the future is impossible and there isn’t nearly as much upside to it as one might think." (Alhambra Investments)

You know that something is wrong with predictions when monkey is the best fund manager out there: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/worldnews/article-1242575/Lusha-monkey-o...

Tue, 01/12/2010 - 10:51 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Tue, 01/12/2010 - 10:53 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Tue, 01/12/2010 - 11:11 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Tue, 01/12/2010 - 11:13 | Link to Comment bugs_
bugs_'s picture

Absolutely stunned at the AIG/Shapiro news.

This needs to be blown wide open big time.

No Warren Commission and magic bullet.

Tue, 01/12/2010 - 11:15 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Tue, 01/12/2010 - 11:18 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Tue, 01/12/2010 - 11:50 | Link to Comment curbyourrisk
curbyourrisk's picture

"The Fed will now be frontrunning Goldman Sachs for a change: Obama plans to raise $120 billion from banking fees"

 

This is nothing more than an indirect tax on the American people.  Obama knows any tax implemented on the banks will be then forced upon the American people with higher fees and new fees.  Obama and his minions don;t care.....as long as the tax comes from the banks and not the administration....they could care less how the leaching of America takes place.  He promised to taxes on the middle class and will say.....its the banks doing it...not me....I swear!

Tue, 01/12/2010 - 12:06 | Link to Comment Assetman
Assetman's picture

The cover-up going on with AIG between Treasury, the Fed, and the SEC is nothing short of appalling.  I would gather if the evidence were made public in real-time, there would be indictments and eventual jail time for more than a few public servants... even those from a prior administration.

If the desire is to conceal information from the public, knowing that massive taxpayer dollars are involved, we should just clean house and start over from the top.  Unfortunately, it appears that a "cover-up" culture has developed so deep within the walls of the Obama Administration, we would need to start with the Chief of Staff and work our way down.

Who in their right minds would vote for these people in 2012, let alone 2010?

Tue, 01/12/2010 - 13:15 | Link to Comment deadhead
deadhead's picture

Brilliantly said Assetman.

The good news is that the public is on this and it seems to me that we could be at a tipping  point......just gotta see how it plays out from here and what other events creep up over the horizon that could offer a deflection...and, those events will occur as we can safely surmise.

I'm still in that camp that something(s) is going to happen and we will hear the old "...the economy was recovering fantastically until ______________ happened and wrecked everything......"

Tue, 01/12/2010 - 12:09 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Tue, 01/12/2010 - 13:09 | Link to Comment Anonymous
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