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Frontrunning: November 12

Tyler Durden's picture




 
  • Fed's Lockhart Says Tax, Regulatory, Fiscal Uncertainty Hurts Employment (Bloomberg)
  • Globalized "cooperation" proves it is completely worthless as usual as US loses all leverage - G20 Closes Ranks but Skims over Toughest Tasks (Reuters)
  • ...As is US foreign trade policy, as Obama is humiliated once again: U.S. Hit by Trade Setback (WSJ)
  • Krugman stunned deficit commission wants to cut deficit (NYT, h/t Fernando)
  • Bankrupt California searching for idiots to sell $14 billion in bonds to (LA Times)
  • As Zero Hedge has been saying for over a year, Taxes May Solve U.S. High-Frequency Trading Mess: Peter Coy (Bloomberg)
  • Fed Efforts to Revive Economy Find Critics (NYT)
  • Why Oil Could Top $100 a Barrel (Bloomberg)
  • China Real-Estate Bubble Concern Fails to Deter Investors (Bloomberg)
  • Obama mulls compromise on tax cuts plan (FT)
  • China's Faster Inflation Fuels Speculation Rate-Rise Near (BusinessWeek)
  • Is Market Preparing to Issue Sell Signal? (Minyanville)
  • European Ministers Hold Ireland Debt Crisis Talks at G-20 (Bloomberg)
  • The uninvited guest: Chinese sub pops up in middle of U.S. Navy exercise, leaving military chiefs red-faced (Daily Mail)

European economic release bloodbath:

  • Euro-Zone GDP s.a. 0.4% q/q 1.9% y/y - lower than expected.Consensus 0.5% q/q 1.9% y/y. Previous 1.0% q/q 1.9% y/y.
  • Euro-Zone Ind. Prod. for September -0.9% m/m (sa) 5.2% y/y (wda) - lower than expected. Consensus 0.2% m/m 7.1% y/y. Previous 1.0% m/m 7.9% y/y.
  • Germany GDP for Q3 0.7% q/q (sa) 3.9% y/y (nsa) - lower than expected.Consensus 0.8% q/q 3.7% y/y. Previous 2.3% q/q 4.3% y/y.
  • Germany GDP wda for Q3 3.9% y/y - higher than expected. Consensus 3.7% y/y. Previous 3.9% y/y.
  • France GDP for Q3 0.4% q/q 1.8% y/y - lower than expected.Consensus 0.5% q/q 1.9% y/y. Previous 0.7% q/q 1.7% y/y.
  • Italy GDP sa and wda for Q3 0.2% q/q 1.0% y/y - lower than expected. Consensus 0.4% q/q 1.2% y/y. Previous 0.5% q/q 1.3% y/y.
  • UK Nationwide Consumer Confidence for October 52 - lower than expected.Consensus 53. Previous 53.

 

 

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Fri, 11/12/2010 - 09:41 | 721674 Oh regional Indian
Oh regional Indian's picture

Aaaaalll Bbbbbaaaaad noose.

Feels like global finance is on the hangman's stand and someone is standing by to yank the lever.

Will Flag = False?

Me thinks so. 

If not familiar, please read about Timewave Zero.

http://www.viewzone2.com/timewavex.html

Get ready to be shocked.

Guarantee it.

 

ORI

http://aadivaahan.wordpress.com

Fri, 11/12/2010 - 10:07 | 721725 Bob
Bob's picture

Not sure of its value, but given a prediction of a major event on Nov 14, I'll follow it for a few days . . .

Fri, 11/12/2010 - 10:11 | 721737 Oh regional Indian
Oh regional Indian's picture

Bob, if you dig a little deeper, the match-up with major world events is actually quite startling.

ORI

http://aadivaahan.wordpress.com

Fri, 11/12/2010 - 10:20 | 721753 Bob
Bob's picture

From what was presented there, the events one selects appear absolutely arbitrary and idiocyncratic.  Looks like a rorschach (damn, why do I always have to google that for spelling, even as a psychologist for the last 20 years!) to me.

Fri, 11/12/2010 - 10:25 | 721765 snowball777
snowball777's picture

Yeah, I like Terence, but seeing things in the I-Ching isn't helpful in finance.

Fri, 11/12/2010 - 12:24 | 722206 Oh regional Indian
Oh regional Indian's picture

But if it is all one, then all things are related.

Oracles forecast trends, not events. Events just happen to co-incide with major turnign points in trends.

I think that is invaluable information, applicable anywhere.

For example. Short Monday!!!

;-)

ORI

http://aadivaahan.wordpress.com

Fri, 11/12/2010 - 11:00 | 721855 kathy.chamberli...
kathy.chamberlin@gmail.com's picture

oh thanks for that link to my wake up call.

or the read scared the shit out of me.

or i am jealous some people can handle psychedelics.

or what the fuck is happening?

i kinda got the ying yang thingie.

Fri, 11/12/2010 - 09:39 | 721677 EscapeKey
EscapeKey's picture

Bankrupt California searching for idiots to sell $14 billion in bonds to

I've got a tenner on Uncle Ben as the "sophisticated investor".

Fri, 11/12/2010 - 10:03 | 721712 snowball777
snowball777's picture

Tax-free 1.5% on short-term bonds? Ben and Brian won't be alone.

Fri, 11/12/2010 - 09:40 | 721680 unwashedmass
unwashedmass's picture

 

ah, forget all this, what time is the POMO scheduled?

Fri, 11/12/2010 - 09:52 | 721695 johny2
johny2's picture

QE2 is about to sail forth in just a few hours time...or is it Titanic?

Fri, 11/12/2010 - 09:47 | 721687 Bob
Bob's picture

Bad link on the Fed's Lockhart/Bloomberg article.

Fri, 11/12/2010 - 10:05 | 721715 snowball777
snowball777's picture

Insert some pablum about uncertainty in the champagne delivery schedule somehow being more relevant than the Chicxulub-sized hole in demand.

 

Fri, 11/12/2010 - 10:08 | 721727 Bob
Bob's picture

LOL.  Sounds right.

Fri, 11/12/2010 - 09:49 | 721690 jm
jm's picture

US loses all leverage

 

Did you see where Obama was standing in the G20 group-hug photo?  Guess who was in the middle.

Fri, 11/12/2010 - 10:08 | 721728 EscapeKey
EscapeKey's picture

link, please?

Fri, 11/12/2010 - 10:27 | 721770 suteibu
suteibu's picture

Here a video of the photo shoot

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wikedQ-kOwo

Fri, 11/12/2010 - 10:31 | 721778 Dagny Taggart
Dagny Taggart's picture

That was kinda spooky.

Fri, 11/12/2010 - 10:54 | 721841 macholatte
macholatte's picture

front row center was China, not the USA

Fri, 11/12/2010 - 09:50 | 721692 Mercury
Mercury's picture

As Zero Hedge has been saying for over a year, Taxes May Solve U.S. High-Frequency Trading Mess...

Correction: As some on ZH have been saying:

http://www.zerohedge.com/content/transaction-tax-harmful

Fix the damn market structure, don't band-aid it up with more red-tape, loop-holes and complexity.

Fri, 11/12/2010 - 09:56 | 721701 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Tyler has the solution for the HFT mess, each trade wont be executed until a CAPTCHA is correctly completed! And I have a solution for QE, all money printing MUST be in DIMES!

Fri, 11/12/2010 - 10:07 | 721722 snowball777
snowball777's picture

The transaction tax addresses the HFTs which are the problem with our market structure.

Fri, 11/12/2010 - 10:10 | 721731 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Hell with a transaction tax, screw all these tax scams they'll find a way to rip that off too! I say we put in a mandatory CAPTHCA on every trade executed, no exceptions. Problem solved and it costs -0-.

Fri, 11/12/2010 - 10:17 | 721749 New_Meat
New_Meat's picture

Marla gives us a range of -99 to 99.  With 23,000 trades/sec, wouldn't take much to rip through all of those.  Need more captcha-Ned

p.s. Captcha yells at me with 3 -digits of a good answer.  then takes it.

Fri, 11/12/2010 - 10:19 | 721754 Mercury
Mercury's picture

...or limit electronic trading to that which can be transacted off of electricity personally generated by Wall St. CEOs.

<insert williambanzai7 graphic here>

Fri, 11/12/2010 - 10:26 | 721769 snowball777
snowball777's picture

Pedal faster, Lloyd! You don't want me to have to taze you, bro.

Fri, 11/12/2010 - 09:57 | 721698 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Hey what happened to magical futures rise for sure bet pump POMO day? What the hell is goin on? Harry?

Fri, 11/12/2010 - 10:00 | 721704 Cdad
Cdad's picture

It is happening right now.

Typical...the criminal syndicate known as Wall Street, feeling how extended this market was, used 3:00 am E minis to set the buy signal at 1193.  Done.

Perp walks.  We will remain stuck in this mess until the syndicate is broken up.

 

P.S.  And now here comes team propoganda, CNBC, to talk about how we are off our lows and on our way into a brave new bullish day.

Fri, 11/12/2010 - 10:01 | 721706 chinaguy
chinaguy's picture

G20:

"They pledged to shun competitive devaluations, a line addressing other countries' concern that the U.S. Federal Reserve's easy-money policy was aimed at weakening the dollar.

In a nod to emerging markets struggling to contain huge capital inflows, the G20 gave the okay to impose "carefully designed" control measures"

......and NO frontal attack on China....as predicted:

No attack on QE2 & no attack on China...arrangements that were apparently hammered out in Japan last weekend & the EMs can continue to fend off the big guys w/ currency controls.

Meaning a 100% totally ineffective dud - status quo & the slippery slope towards currency wars continues unhampered.

 

 

Fri, 11/12/2010 - 10:06 | 721716 99er
Fri, 11/12/2010 - 10:06 | 721717 Cookie
Cookie's picture

A lot of red faces in the Pentagon after the Chinese sub popped up undetected.

Fri, 11/12/2010 - 10:16 | 721747 sumo
sumo's picture

My face would be ashen white, not red.

It's not easy designing and making ultra-quiet propellers for submarines. If China has solved this, I'd be be very afraid.

Fri, 11/12/2010 - 10:57 | 721851 macholatte
macholatte's picture

Clinton sold them the technology for a new set of dishes.

Fri, 11/12/2010 - 10:16 | 721748 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Yea no doubt, and Bernanke and Geithners sphinters were so clenched I bet their usual evening activities were highly curtailed!

Fri, 11/12/2010 - 11:36 | 721973 nevadan
nevadan's picture

....and tell me again what that missile launch...er con trail off the coast of California was ?????

Fri, 11/12/2010 - 10:07 | 721721 mark mchugh
mark mchugh's picture

It's good to see someone else float the notion of a transaction tax.  The way the pundits go apoplectic every time it gets brought up, tells me it's a great idea.

Fri, 11/12/2010 - 10:10 | 721733 Bob
Bob's picture

Something so obvious and simple is of course a radical threat.

Fri, 11/12/2010 - 10:15 | 721739 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Think they cant get around a tax? These clowns figured out a way to sell a mortgage 47 times!

CAPTCHA on every trade that goes thru any exchange, problem solved! And I'd love to see Geithner and Bernanke Abbot and Costello routine over a _ + -37 = -54.

Fri, 11/12/2010 - 10:42 | 721807 mark mchugh
mark mchugh's picture

"No, no it's "QE"; just try "QE"!!!"

Fri, 11/12/2010 - 10:12 | 721740 snowball777
snowball777's picture

There are some reasonable short-term arguments against, like the 6% drop in the Swedish market when they implemented theirs, but its the best way to keep speculators on the level without depending on porn-surfing goobers.

Fri, 11/12/2010 - 10:46 | 721821 mark mchugh
mark mchugh's picture

But how ridiculous do we sound?  Our markets are both an efficient mechanism for allocating capital AND a crooked casino.  Cause we're that smart.

Fri, 11/12/2010 - 10:34 | 721785 snowball777
snowball777's picture

"Why Oil Could Top $100 a Barrel"

($2.9T / $2.3T) * $78 == $98.34 (assuming OPEC can divide too)

Fri, 11/12/2010 - 10:34 | 721787 Revolution_star...
Revolution_starts_now's picture

revolution bitchez. It' smaking its way to the table as a viable alternative to th esame old BS:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NIGras8tr3o

 

Fri, 11/12/2010 - 10:37 | 721791 jesusonline
jesusonline's picture

What's the deal with Fed's Tarullo comments today?

The Federal Reserve will adopt a "conservative" stance on any request from large bank holding to increase their dividends that were slashed during the financial crisis, Federal Reserve Board Governor Daniel Tarullo said Friday. The Fed will "soon be issuing supervisory guidelines applicable to such requests from the largest holding companies for the first quarter of next year," he said. The Fed will expect banks to submit convincing capital plans under a new stress test. Banks will also have to have a "sound estimate" of any significant risks not captured by the stress testing. They will also be asked to show how they will meet the Basel III capital requirements, Tarullo said in a speech at George Washington University.

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/fed-to-be-conservative-on-bank-dividends-tarullo-2010-11-12

a new stress test?

Fri, 11/12/2010 - 11:10 | 721873 King_of_simpletons
King_of_simpletons's picture

Quote of the day (from the bloomberg - HFT article):

"But liquidity is worth nothing if it goes away when it’s most needed, like a swimming pool that dries up just as you jump off the high dive. "

Fri, 11/12/2010 - 15:47 | 723014 DosZap
DosZap's picture

Krugman stunned deficit commission wants to cut deficit (NYT, h/t Fernando)

 

Krugman is an ADD idiot.

No one who is mentally stable, can espouse what he has for the past 2+yrs, and now start acting like the SEER of Oboombaland.

Sheeeesh, I want to hurl.

Fri, 11/12/2010 - 21:56 | 723972 sub Z
sub Z's picture

The Fed can produce new money, but it cannot produce new jobs. Fiscal policy — and its threat of overtaxing, over-regulating, and overspending — is what’s ailing the economy.

 

 

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