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Frontrunning: November 8

Tyler Durden's picture




 
  • Germany Attacks US Economic Policy (FT)
  • Forget left and right. The real divide is technocrats versus populists (Reuters)
  • China Is `Available' to Support Portugal Through Financial Crisis, Hu Says (Bloomberg), they also better be available to support Ireland, Spain, Italy, Greece, and all those other bankrupt European countries
  • Hatzius is now bullish: Goldman Says Bernanke Engineers `Substantial Pickup' (Bloomberg), he will be even more bullish when QE2 is expanded to $4 trillion
  • BofA May Pay Bonuses in Stock as Deadline Looms on Capital Gap (Bloomberg), unclear if it will throw in toxic MBS as part of compensation
  • Citigroup debt funds probed by SEC (Reuters)
  • Andy Xie: To Hell Through QE (China Int'l Business)
  • If you thought the bank bailout was bad, wait until the mortgage defaults hit home - Ireland is effectively insolvent – the next crisis will be mass home mortgage default (Irish Times)
  • Ireland Will Honor Its Debt Obligations on Time: John Bruton (Bloomberg)
  • CEOs Most Optimistic on U.S. Profits in Bull Signal for S&P 500 (Bloomberg)
  • Irish Debt Woes Revive Concern About Europe (NYT)
  • Papandreou to Push to Reduce Debt After Local Election Win (Greece)
  • hat If The Bankers Gorged On A Record $144 Billion In Bonuses And No One Noticed (Daily Bail)
  • G-20 Conflict Eases as U.S. Says Surplus Goal Unrealistic (BusinessWeek)
  • A little more inflation: Sticker Shock for Travelers as Airfares Climb (NYT)
  • Bidding wars back at art auctions (Reuters)
  • Olbermann, Impartiality and MSNBC (NYT)

Economic Data Highlights

  • Australia ANZ Job Advertisements 0.6% m/m. Previous 1.1% m/m.
  • Japan Official Reserve Assets $1,118.1B. Previous $1,109.6B.
  • Japan Coincident Index 102 – in line with expectations. Consensus 102. Previous 103.3.
  • Japan Leading Index 98.9 – lower than expected. Consensus 99. Previous 99.5.
  • Euro-Zone Sentix Investor Confidence for November 14.0 - higher than expected.Consensus 10. Previous 8.8.
  • Germany Exports SA for September 3.0% m/m - higher than expected.Consensus 1.5% m/m. Previous  -.02% m/m.
  • Germany Imports SA for September -1.5% m/m - lower than expected. Consensus 1.0% m/m. Previous 0.3% m/m.
  • Germany Current Account (EURO) for September 14.0B - higher than expected.Consensus 9.0B. Previous 5.0B.
  • Germany Trade Balance for September 16.8B - higher than expected.Consensus 12.0B. Previous 9.0B.
  • Germany Industrial Prod. (nsa wda) for September 7.9% - lower than expected.Consensus 9.5% y/y. Previous 10.7% y/y.
  • Germany Industrial Production (sa) for September -0.8 m/m - lower than expected.Consensus 0.4% m/m. Previous 1.5% m/m.
  • Switzerland Unemployment Rate for October 3.5% - in line with expectations.Consensus 3.5%. Previous 3.5%.
  • Switzerland Unemployment Rate (sa) for October 3.65% - in line with expectations.Consensus 3.6%. Previous 3.7%.
 

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Mon, 11/08/2010 - 09:43 | 707839 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Well as long as the Giant Squid backs Bennie and the Inkjets, then all must be well!

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 09:44 | 707840 snowball777
snowball777's picture

Olbermann, Impartiality and MSNBC

Watch the Puppethead children! Never mind the men behind the curtain.

How much did Rupert the Monkeyboy donate this time? That's right! You'll never fucking know!

How about the heads of GE? Any clue? Didn't think so!

Watch the puppethead! Keep your motherfucking eyes on the puppethead!

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 09:46 | 707843 scratch_and_sniff
scratch_and_sniff's picture

China to the rescue!

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 10:04 | 707873 snowball777
snowball777's picture

Yes, Portugal's gold will be much safer in China.

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 10:26 | 707912 scratch_and_sniff
scratch_and_sniff's picture

yes sir, plenty off it they have too.

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 11:52 | 708112 Kayman
Kayman's picture

China to Portugal's Rescue ?

The crack dealer give you more crack on credit...

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 09:49 | 707848 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Looks like whats up is the opposite of what Bernanke is trying to achieve!

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 09:52 | 707856 Spartan
Spartan's picture

If you look at the wider bull channel from June it does deserve a bit of a break...if Ben will let it have one...perhaps after the first Mega POMO?

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 09:51 | 707853 unum mountaineer
unum mountaineer's picture

Hatzius is now bullish: Goldman Says Bernanke Engineers `Substantial Pickup' (Bloomberg), he will be even more bullish when QE2 is expanded to $4 trillion

oh well, goldman being..well, goldman..protect the shield female dogs!!?

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 09:52 | 707857 Grand Supercycle
Grand Supercycle's picture

My long term indicators continue to warn of USD strength and EURO weakness.

http://stockmarket618.wordpress.com

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 10:00 | 707864 Hubbs
Hubbs's picture

Re: Hatzius's change:

What new information does he have, that we don't have,

 

    OR

 

Is this yet another (last desperate?) pump and dump via Goldman ?

 

 

 

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 10:07 | 707880 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

When prices are shooting up at the pump and the grocery store, then no one cares what some bankers stock is doing or what Bens policy happens to be.

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 10:09 | 707882 LongSoupLine
LongSoupLine's picture

Picturing Merkel, with hiking boots on, kicking Bernanke in the groin region with the velocity of a World Cup striker.

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 10:12 | 707888 jus_lite_reading
jus_lite_reading's picture

CHINA is only saying that they will back Spain because they hold $1 TRILLION in EURO-trash-bonds. If they said otherwise, that $1 Trillion would be cut down to $500 B in an instant.

 

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 10:13 | 707891 macholatte
macholatte's picture

GLOBAL ECONOMY-Obama returns fire after China slams Fed's move

 

"I will say that the Fed's mandate, my mandate, is to grow our economy. And that's not just good for the United States, that's good for the world as a whole," Obama said during a trip to India

 

http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTOE6A706720101108

 

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 10:38 | 707933 Bob
Bob's picture

Sounds like an update of the old GM slogan. 

Fraud is now "America's Business."  And what's good for America is good for the world. 

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 10:16 | 707895 New Revolution
New Revolution's picture

Bennie and the Jets; What are you going to do when the price at the pump jumps to $4 along with your POMO injected QE2 stockmarket as the economy stagnates and people want to tear you limb from limb?

Are you prepared to answer that question?   Are you prepared to flee the country?   Are you prepared to flee the country provided you haven't been indicted and your passports been revoked?

Inquiring minds want to know.

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 10:38 | 707932 Hansel
Hansel's picture

FT is reporting the CME is trying to avoid futures position limits. My summary is here.

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 11:34 | 708067 unum mountaineer
unum mountaineer's picture

someone will be shot before they allow position limits. damnit somebody keeps stealing my damn tin foil hat..

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 10:51 | 707951 bobboberson
bobboberson's picture

"BofA May Pay Bonuses in Stock as Deadline Looms on Capital Gap (Bloomberg), unclear if it will throw in toxic MBS as part of compensation"  Priceless.

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 11:00 | 707975 A Man without Q...
A Man without Qualities's picture

BofA's share price rise these past few days has been nothing short of miraculous.  I keep on thinking of Einhorn's comments re Lehman (i.e. I am not sure of the extent of what they are hiding, but they are clearly hiding something) in light of William Black's excellent article.  There appear to be glaring inconsistencies in the way they are operating their business.  Decisions seem to be made in order to improve the appearance of the books, even though they erode value on a longer term basis.  The Fed has experience of disguising the insolvency of banks, eg after the Peso crisis, or Citi in 2007/ 2008, but there is a limit to what they can do without revealing the true chronic issues faced..

If this gets out of hand, the Fed's $600bn will be no more than micturating into a tornado.

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 11:18 | 708020 vegaspilot03
vegaspilot03's picture

I have a question and hopefully Tyler can pick it up and post it somewhere or maybe you guys can chip in.

With Scientists turning skin into blood and lights hovering all over cities around the world, how long will it be before we can turn an abundant material into Gold.

Would that not solve all the FED's problems? (as long as they keep it quiet of course)

Then they could open the doors and let everyone look at our mountain of real money.

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 11:23 | 708039 snowball777
snowball777's picture

I've sarcastically referred to the experiments done by Dr. Seaborg to convert other elements into gold through fusion as a source of gold price depression, but the physics of the situation is that the amounts of energy required to perform this alchemy greatly outweigh the economic gains to be had (even at $100k/toz). The rate at which the conversion could be made to take place, even if one had sufficient energy (say a few meters from the sun with an expansive solar array and battery of capacitors to store up the required amounts), would prohibit it from being used for financial gain as well.

You might as well be hoping for great advancements in leaching gold from other mining products.

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 11:55 | 708119 Kayman
Kayman's picture

You can already change Lead into Gold.  It just costs more that the price of Gold (in real or nominal terms).

Mon, 11/08/2010 - 12:42 | 708252 kathy.chamberli...
kathy.chamberlin@gmail.com's picture

When both horns were repositioned with the skull, the span of the horns was more than 6 feet.

WE HAVE A WINNER!

Gigantic' bison skull unearthed in Snowmass

 

http://www.aspentimes.com/article/20101108/NEWS/101109868/1077&ParentPro...

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