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Frontrunning: September 20
- Greek bank stress tests delayed until glitchless passage can be ascertained. No way would Europe want to test someone if there is even a small risk they fail (FT)
- Europe debt crisis abates as traders see yield spreads narrow (Bloomberg), yet oddly enough Irish Bund spread surge to 390...strange this thing reality
- Lenihan Rules Out Outside Aid for Ireland as Bond Auction Nears (Bloomberg)
- Raghuram Rajan - Perhaps Paul Krugman believes that by labeling other economists as politically extreme, he can undercut their credibility. But his is badly weakened by the myriad errors he makes. (The American)
- Bond Markets Get Riskier (WSJ)
- Shock Waves for Stocks If GOP Wins Congress (Bloomberg)
- Fear and loathing in Paris and Brussels (FT)
- Escaping Double Dip to Growth Recession Means No Job Relief (Bloomberg)
- Tea with little sympathy for US (FT)
- Japan Can't Curb Yen Acting Alone, Bank of Korea Governor Says (Bloomberg)
- China Must Spur Consumption to Meet Global Challenges, Li Says (Bloomberg)
- Swedish Government Wins Second Term; Far-Right Sees Gains (WSJ)
- Bank of England Says Pound Rally May Reflect Confidence in U.K. Outlook (Bloomberg)
- Krugman on the angry rich (NYT)
Economic data:
- Italy Trade Balance (Total) (Euros) for July 1750.0 - better than expected.Consensus 1000.0. Previous -3058.0.
- UK Rightmove House Prices for September -1.1% m/m 2.6% y/y. Previous -1.7% m/m 4.3% y/y.
- UK Major Banks Mortgage Approvals for August 45K - lower than expected. Consensus 46K. Previous 47K.
- UK M4 Money Supply for August -0.2%m/m 1.8% y/y - lower than expected. Consensus 0.2% m/m. Previous 0.4% m/m 2.3% y/y.
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Catch 22
The IMF itself has become the problem as Europe's woes return Once a quorum of big names says the game is up in a debt crisis, events move fast and furiously.http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/comment/ambroseevans_pritchard/801217...
So what's the moral (hazard)?
We'll punk your yields if you're 'austere' or not so spend first and beg later.
But do keep that gold handy, Portugal.
They're still auditing the cocktail napkins.
Krugman isn't the end all but Rajan is an idiot. Besides, anyone affiliated with the AEI automatically has no credibility.
DOW weekly chart shows key resistance around 10,700
http://stockmarket618.wordpress.com
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The final "tell" on Krugman, from his article:
The spectacle of high-income Americans, the world’s luckiest people (emphasis mine), wallowing in self-pity and self-righteousness would be funny, except for one thing: they may well get their way.
It is very hard to have civil discourse with someone who holds this particular view.