Frontrunning Today's NFP Number (And Benchmark Revisions)

Tyler Durden's picture

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Snidley Whipsnae's picture

It would be interesting to know what per centage of ZH readers believe the gov produced stats...vs...what per centage of ZH readers believe the Shadow Stats produced stats...

Tyler...How about a poll?

HelluvaEngineer's picture

I think that would be pointless.  Why not have MTV host the poll?  Then you might get a useful metric.  Just remember to make option 3 be "whatever".

Snidley Whipsnae's picture

If MTV hosted the poll I think 90% would not respond, 10% would fire up a doobie and press the 'whatever' option... not a bad thing...

topcallingtroll's picture

They are both correct. Pass the doobie.

gigeze787's picture


PRINCETON, NJ -- Unemployment, as measured by Gallup without seasonal adjustment, increased to 9.8% at the end of January -- up from 9.6% at the end of December, but down from 10.9% a year ago.

...Gallup's measures paint a real-time picture of the current job realities on the ground: nearly 1 in 10 Americans in the U.S. workforce are unemployed, nearly one out of five are underemployed, and the nation's overall hiring situation has not improved over the past four to six months."

topcallingtroll's picture

Good. Should moderate inflation a little. Get back to work slaves!

HUGE_Gamma's picture

whaTever the number its due to GLOBAL WARMING..

straddle please

Oh regional Indian's picture

I believe snow should have a lagging impact. But if it snows all the time, there is no lag. See? it's simple. And when it stops snowing, it'll start flooding. You can count on it.

Weather has tipped over people. No getting away from it.

So NUMBers will be more and more meaningless as they need to be spun harder as people look around and ask, who is getting jobs?

Weather Overground!!!


UnRealized Reality's picture

Geez, since when did this country care about exporting inflation?

Who cares about North African (and soon Middle East)?

tickhound's picture

Never... and it seems, according to cnbc's very astute Maria B, its the inflation emerging markets are "importing" to the US that should be our concern. The point is mute, however... This morning on Squawk, Kroszner, cnbc's fed insider, happily reports "every measure of inflation is declining"

topcallingtroll's picture

Fuck the third world. This issue always brings out the troll in me. I wont repeat my argument why it is their own damn fault./p>

tickhound's picture

Yeah, nuke the whales! USA! USA!

Larry Darrell's picture

Inflation??  What inflation??  I'm with the FED in that prices are actually still falling and we need to print more money.

A personal example:


Here in my town gas went from $3.06/gallon last night down to $3.18 this morning.



ageofreason's picture

Leave it to the govern-mint not to count professional snow shovelers......

Snidley Whipsnae's picture

A daily perusal of two local newspapers in this area have not shown any increase in 'wanted to hire' ads. I have noticed an increase in 'position wanted' ads. Anecdotal? Yes it is, but the facts are what they are.

Increases in gasoline, food, taxes and fees are definitely on the rise.

Even IF employment is increasing in some areas of the US, what do those jobs pay and what is the real take home disposable wage adjusted for inflation since 2000? IOWs, what can one buy with their new job and new income?

topcallingtroll's picture

Yen up a little today. Pivotfarm may have a good recommendation here. Silver 28.875... damn you silver! market looking great and.usa market set to open higher. Brent up 0.37. Day traders and swingers like me get ready for a new day!

uhb's picture

Well , i hope that you get a few new jobs for making 1.400.000.000.000 $ new debt PER YEAR. Thats approx. the value of 14.000.000 new mercedes S-Class per year.

Grand Supercycle's picture

As mentioned numerous times, EURO downside and USD upside will keep recurring.

Please be careful as it should affect some commodity prices.