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Fukushima Update: Reactor 1 Core Now At 380 Degrees Celsius, 80 More Than Normal Running Temperature

Tyler Durden's picture




 

The latest news from Japan is not the radiation has now been found in various leaf vegetables in Fukushima, including cabbage and parsley: after all that was to be expected following the radioactive rain of the past few days. The news this time comes straight from TEPCO which finally admits that the temperature of Reactor 1 is 380-390 Celsius (715-735 Fahrenheit), which apparently is a "worry" as the reactor was meant to run at a temperature of 302 C (575 F). That is when the reactor is fully operational, not when it is supposed to be in a cold shut down mode.

From Reuters:

Hidehiko Nishiyama, the deputy-director general of Japan's nuclear safety agency, later said the smoke at reactor No.3 had stopped and there was only a small amount at No.2.

He gave no more details, but a TEPCO executive vice president, Sakae Muto, said the core of reactor No.1 was now a worry with its temperature at 380-390 Celsius (715-735 Fahrenheit).

"We need to strive to bring that down a bit," Muto told a news conference, adding that the reactor was built to run at a temperature of 302 C (575 F).

Asked if the situation at the problem reactors was getting worse, he said: "We need more time. It's too early to say that they are sufficiently stable."

As was reported only on Zero Hedge so far, the termal imagery from Fukushima indicates that if reactor one is a "worry", then reactor 3 should be a "nightmare", as according to some it is now "operating" north of 500 degrees celsius, and possibly as high as a 1,000. That's three times what it is designed to withstand.

From yesterday:

h/t TH

 

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Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:44 | 1087349 AN0NYM0US
AN0NYM0US's picture

STFU   lol

On a long enough timeline...

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:01 | 1087163 sangell
sangell's picture

Abercrombie and Fitch? Why not Japanese auto companies. All those radioactive elements sound like car names already.

The 2012 Toyota Cesium 137

The Lexus Strontium 90

Hell, Nissan nee Datsun could now become Datsium

 

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:32 | 1087296 DoctoRx
DoctoRx's picture

'Too hot to Hondale (= hondle)' might be quite the marketing slogan . . .

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:09 | 1087203 Rodent Freikorps
Rodent Freikorps's picture

Sounds like just the product for neutered American males. No balls to lose.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:00 | 1087094 Highrev
Highrev's picture

Got to get the temp down "a bit" or those marshmallows are going to burn.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 15:50 | 1087097 redpill
redpill's picture

We need to strive to bring that down a bit.

 

Like if you were 5 lbs overweight maybe.  No biggie, just tell the reactors not to eat so many burritos.

 

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 15:51 | 1087110 Alea Iacta Est
Alea Iacta Est's picture

And considering that messing with burritos can get you shot these days, that is sound advice.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 20:30 | 1088063 MSimon
MSimon's picture

Same thing can happen from playing with the wrong taco.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 15:49 | 1087098 sangell
sangell's picture

One wonders when the UN Security Council will pass a resolution authorizing the 'international community' to protect innocent civilians in Japan?

'I saw a newborn baby with wild wolves all around it'

Bob Dylan- A Hard Rains Gonna Fall

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 15:54 | 1087126 cossack55
cossack55's picture

I've been 10,000 miles in the mouth of a graveyard.

 

IMO, Bangladesh concert best rendition.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:16 | 1087233 Ruffcut
Ruffcut's picture

That was the movie; Evil Roy Slade

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 18:14 | 1087627 Natasha Fatale
Natasha Fatale's picture

+1

Sadly, Dylan's lyrics ring especially true these days:

"I saw ten thousand talkers whose tongues were all broken" = MSM + TEPCO + CNBC, FED et al....

"And it's a hard, it's a hard, it's a hard, it's a hard

And it's a hard RADIOACTIVE rain's a-gonna fall."

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 15:52 | 1087099 avonaltendorf
avonaltendorf's picture

Bulldoze a dike and flood it. No time to fly in concrete. No sense in entombing piles of hot, squashed, near-critical fuel.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 15:51 | 1087111 FranSix
FranSix's picture

Pouring water on a meltdown will make critical mass a certainty.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 15:55 | 1087120 avonaltendorf
avonaltendorf's picture

Enlighten me how cooling it makes critical mass certain.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:08 | 1087184 FranSix
FranSix's picture

Water does not have a cooling effect on a nuclear reaction, instead, the metals involved are highly reactive in a heated state and create metal hydrides and lots of hydrogen gas.  A class 'D' fire does something similar, though it liberates its own oxygen.

They are presumably contained within the reactor core, though by now the mass of lava pooling at the bottom of the core may have breached the structure.  Considering the damage to #3, and the grey smoke coming out, it might mean that the pooling lava has burned through containment into the basement as it did in Chernobyl, buying some time, but making control almost impossible.

As I understand it, which nobody seems to be able to explain, the mass of fuel containing uranium/plutonium in a breeder reactor design that has melted down its zirconium jacket(it would have to be extremely hot) comes into contact with water will catylize the water and create hydrogen, which if it ignites the surrounding air can provide enough of an explosion in the subbasement to drive the  remaining fuel (many tons of high grade uranium/plutonium) into criticality.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:10 | 1087208 avonaltendorf
avonaltendorf's picture

Maybe. Or produced hydrogen will vent in open air, unroofed. Take the roof off #2 as a precaution.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:16 | 1087232 schoolsout
schoolsout's picture

I sure hope you don't know what the hell you are talking bout...

 

sounds like you do, though....sigh

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:25 | 1087261 FranSix
FranSix's picture

Well, let's hope that I'm totally wrong.  

The Soviets got it right totally by mistake, to fill the melted core when they could with sandbags & lead, and that the sand in the walls of the reactor spilled down into the basement along with the molten fuel rods basically stopped any further breakdown of the concrete in the basement.  The fuel fused with the sand and stopped reacting and cooled.

Reactor cores don't cool for many years until the fuel is spent, when they're placed inside the ponds.  The ponds went re-critical, meaning they bred their own fuel and boiled off the water when the pumps failed, which provided the hydrogen for the initial explosion.  That means the control rods, which are essential to controlling the reaction inside the reactor are gone.

What I'm saying is if the cores had melted and breached their containment, then the lava would be in the basement, still very hot.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:38 | 1087313 Judge Judy Scheinlok
Judge Judy Scheinlok's picture

No wonder Obluber is in Rio. What better place to hope it changes and goes away.

I heard that Japan made the best teleprompters on the market. What's going to happen Fran6? Will the rousing speeches continue?

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:48 | 1087364 FranSix
FranSix's picture

They can resort to using smoke signals.

Wed, 03/23/2011 - 09:34 | 1089596 Iam_Silverman
Iam_Silverman's picture

"The ponds went re-critical, meaning they bred their own fuel and boiled off the water when the pumps failed, which provided the hydrogen for the initial explosion.  That means the control rods, which are essential to controlling the reaction inside the reactor are gone."

I'm pretty sure almost all of this is incorrect.  Where do you folks come up with this stuff?

1) the SFP's don't have to "go re-critical" to boil off their cooling water, they have decay heat that will be measurable for years.

2) bred their own fuel?  Is it really that easy to make new fuel?  Why do they order new fuel every 18 to 24 months for refueling outages?

3) now, explain exactly where you think that hydrogen came from....

4) and now, the doozy - you jump from the SFP to addressing the control rods in the reactor - postulating that they are gone.  So, are we talking about the SFP or the reactor?  Two totally different places.  Assuming we are talking about the reactor, now where would those control rods go anyway?  What do you even know about control rods?

Sometime these armchair nuclear design engineers just wear me out.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:26 | 1087265 kaiserhoff
kaiserhoff's picture

Fortunately, the world doesn't have much experience with this.

When the molten mass of crap hits the water table, doesn't the resulting steam explosion blow the whole thing to hell, creating essentially a dirty bomb?  Not sure it matters how Japan is destroyed, but enquiring minds want to know.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:44 | 1087352 FranSix
FranSix's picture

The danger is that all of the uncontrolled nuclear fuel goes critical mass under the pressure of an explosion(because that's all it will take - because its already in a near-critical state), be it steam or hydrogen produced in a reaction with water.

If it hasn't gone critical mass yet, then the containment has done its initial job protecting the contents, but that doesn't mean that critical fuel in the damaged reactor buildings can't continue to meltdown.

Until they know that the containment hasn't been breached, and that the control rods have been inserted fully, then this is the risk here.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:54 | 1087398 kaiserhoff
kaiserhoff's picture

Thanks.  The more I understand, the less joyful I am.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 18:15 | 1087632 Thorlyx
Thorlyx's picture

Ignorance is bliss. Go back watching MSNBC. You will feel better.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 17:40 | 1087550 ShatteredArm
ShatteredArm's picture

I don't think the control rods not having been inserted is very likely.  That was the first thing that should have happened when the plant shut down in the earthquake.  From what I understand, everything was going as expected until they ran out of juice eight hours later.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 21:09 | 1088134 Things that go bump
Things that go bump's picture

My question is, are those of us sitting on the North American Continent toast?  

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 21:55 | 1088277 Fearless Rick
Fearless Rick's picture

I'd prefer to be a biscuit. The Brits will undoubtedly become muffins and the French, croissants. Kugel, anyone?

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 22:07 | 1088307 tmosley
tmosley's picture

Only if your savings are dollar denominated.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 23:25 | 1088622 trav7777
trav7777's picture

this is false...the chance of runaway criticality is negligible.

For nuclear weapons to even work, they have to have not only an implosive pressure wave, but neutron reflectors and dense tampers surrounding the criticality portion of the physics package because the thing repels itself violently via Coloumb repulsion.  The fission yields on atomic bombs are quite low for this reason

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:57 | 1087410 Ident 7777 economy
Ident 7777 economy's picture

by kaiserhoff, on Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:26 #1087265 

When the molten mass of crap hits the water table ...

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Rocky coastline (literally: the plant was cut into the rocky coastline), next to the ocean - how does one figure a 'water table'?

 

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 17:17 | 1087484 kaiserhoff
kaiserhoff's picture

Oh, there will be fissures in the rock, saturated more or less at sea level.  Just one more thing to go boom.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 17:57 | 1087588 avonaltendorf
avonaltendorf's picture

Fact: moisture in all rock except basalt. Is this an igneous (volcanic) coastline?

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 19:02 | 1087756 Reptil
Reptil's picture

There is no "core catcher" in these plants, is there? o__0

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:27 | 1087278 Broder_Tuck
Broder_Tuck's picture

And all the water they have been pumping all over the place? Collected somewhere? Below?

This I some scary stuff indeed. Vaporizing + 40 million sure would make the TEPCO-stock rally. Sarcasm?

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 20:08 | 1087970 oygevalt
oygevalt's picture

Hi there - I don't recall seeing you on the threads last night (sorry if I missed you), so FWIW, physicist with Ph.D who does a bit of work on nuclear matters is a resident of my household.  I'm not a scientist, but the following is what physicist has to say, which I hope will be found reassuring... not minimizing the horrors at Fukushima, simply a measured assessment... "The zircalloy is *oxidized* in the presence of steam (time/pressure/temperature dependent) to produce hydrogen in the initial stages of a loss of coolant accident. That hydrogen is what led to the explosions last week. The fuel in the rods is already in an oxidized state with a melting point of 3000C if significant amounts of the reactor were at (or near) that temperature, there would have been a massive steam explosion caused by the large amounts of water which have been pumped in - more than sufficient to breach the primary containment vessel with a far more obvious signature than the explosions and fires we have yet seen. The probability of a pool of molten fuel exisiting at the bottom of the primary containment vessel is quite remote, at this stage."

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 21:44 | 1088234 CD
CD's picture

You mean some kind of steam explosion like this: ~0:30

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fa58Yjcnkq8

Or perchance something like this: ~1:14

http://www.cbsnews.com/video/watch/?id=7359708n

Heck, take your pick of the footage:

http://www.youtube.com/results?search_type=videos&search_query=explosion+fukushima&search_sort=video_view_count&suggested_categories=25%2C27&uni=3

Also, the water being "pumped in" was a) dropped from a 'basket' via helo, or b) sprayed in through holes in the walls via firehose. How much of that would get into a cracked containment vessel?

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:07 | 1087192 Blorf
Blorf's picture

Water slows down the neutrons.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:47 | 1087356 cornedmutton
cornedmutton's picture

As well, plain ole' water is a spectacular moderator, creating thermal neutrons from fast neutrons, which are needed to sustain critical operation.  Submerging the molten blob of amorphous metal in water (assuming it doesn't simply flash to steam at these temps) might add enough reactivity to cause the mass to go prompt critical.  Snoogins.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 20:40 | 1088082 MSimon
MSimon's picture

Odds are the water would flash to steam first. But this is an uncontrolled experiment (commonly referred to as an accident) so who knows?

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 23:27 | 1088631 trav7777
trav7777's picture

no, it wouldn't.

There are infrequent fission reactions in SFPs; read about them.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 15:56 | 1087130 InconvenientCou...
InconvenientCounterParty's picture

Boron

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:50 | 1087381 cornedmutton
cornedmutton's picture

Hafnium is better.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 21:54 | 1088273 Iam_Silverman
Iam_Silverman's picture

"Hafnium is better."

Yup.  I wonder why control rods aren't made outta that stuff?  Oh, wait, they are.

Never mind.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 17:30 | 1087519 Blorf
Blorf's picture

Needs more hopium.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 18:32 | 1087665 goldsaver
goldsaver's picture

Unobtanium

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 15:53 | 1087122 InconvenientCou...
InconvenientCounterParty's picture

I like where you are going with that. Please use engineered concrete structures though. Don't want to dump a million galllons of radioactive soup into ocean if a 6.0 aftershock hits.

You listening TEPCO?

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 15:59 | 1087151 InconvenientCou...
InconvenientCounterParty's picture

once you get the bitch cold, you can go in with divers and do the rest. The boron solution should knock down the radiation.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:07 | 1087183 avonaltendorf
avonaltendorf's picture

Step 1. Dynamite turbine halls, push rubble into seaward dike and pour concrete over it.

Step 2. Dynamite nearby shop structures and dike the two ends, north of #1 and south of #4.

Step 3. Push dirt and more rubble to make a landward berm. Start pumping water. Keep building it up, throw bridge parts on top. Add boron to water bath.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:12 | 1087218 InconvenientCou...
InconvenientCounterParty's picture

I would use diesel machines, not explosives for demo. Quicker yes, but the dust from dynamite blasts would be the equivalent of a multiple "dirty bombs". messy, disruptive to the project etc.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:23 | 1087257 avonaltendorf
avonaltendorf's picture

Time is of the essence. Tomahawks.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:51 | 1087382 FranSix
FranSix's picture

You have to wait until people start turning brown before bombing them.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 20:30 | 1088059 long-shorty
long-shorty's picture

+10^1000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 21:36 | 1088210 Blano
Blano's picture

They're not white.  Close enough.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:42 | 1087343 Broker NotBroke
Broker NotBroke's picture

Nuke it!

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 18:23 | 1087649 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

actually....this idea is....

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:02 | 1087164 InconvenientCou...
InconvenientCounterParty's picture

just a SWAG but 8 weeks/reactor might be doable if you throw everything at it. 6months, and you've got it.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:41 | 1087330 Judge Judy Scheinlok
Judge Judy Scheinlok's picture

Better call Fedex, they need it overnight.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:47 | 1087371 Jim in MN
Jim in MN's picture

They're probably just scheduling the kickoff meeting of the group that will discuss the scope of the study to be bid out for consulting engineers. 

If senior management approves the scoping recommendation.

Meanwhile, babies can't drink formula made with the tainted water....

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 17:19 | 1087488 10kby2k
10kby2k's picture

Keep me notified of bid date. What are pre-qualifications?

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 20:03 | 1087769 Threeggg
Threeggg's picture

Fuck the prequalifications they will just want a bid bond so your locked in @ that price.

Question: Will the AFLAC Duck write one ?

They won't require a Payment & Performance Bond because by the time you are finished, there will be no one left to pay and/or review your work, much less call in a warrantee issue.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 15:50 | 1087104 Alea Iacta Est
Alea Iacta Est's picture

News 3/22/2011 -  TEPCO and the Japanese government have announced that they have reached an agreement under which TEPCO will remain in charge of the re-arranging of the deck chairs.  The government however will assume responsibility for band, thus allowing TEPCO to move the chairs in a more expedient manner.

In the meantime the life preservers, previously believed to act only as flotation devices, will now, according to Ministry of Thermal Redaction repel both sharks and frigid temperatures.

 

 

 

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 15:57 | 1087139 Natasha
Natasha's picture

Well said, sir.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 15:52 | 1087105 InconvenientCou...
InconvenientCounterParty's picture

Better send in some heros to change out those coolant pumps and controls and wires and sensors and pipes and supports and weld flanges and well, you get the picture.

Kobe beef, whisky and cigarettes for all. Dying healthy is such a waste.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 15:55 | 1087121 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture

They are using homeless people, now, as it's been reported.

 

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:06 | 1087182 InconvenientCou...
InconvenientCounterParty's picture

"dying unknown and irrelevant" is no longer their worst fear.

If we could all be so lucky.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:51 | 1087392 Judge Judy Scheinlok
Judge Judy Scheinlok's picture

I'll go in Commander, [that is if Slewie goes too]. Might as well have some fun!

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 20:59 | 1088120 slewie the pi-rat
slewie the pi-rat's picture

 

JJ!  all morning you rubbed yer genie and i didn't say one f'n word!  but that doesn't mean i didn't understand.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 17:53 | 1087583 OddFieldIsStrong
OddFieldIsStrong's picture

Source please?

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 17:23 | 1087497 Buck Johnson
Buck Johnson's picture

Spot on, your exactly right.  That is what many of the people who aren't using their noodle don't understand.  That much damage has really did a number to the internal instrumentation of the reactor.  All that stuff and more they would have to do would require these heroes to not only work in Radiation that is thousands of times the daily limit or monthly limit, but also the massive heat that is coming from the reactor.  It's not possible, truly not possible and they don't dare to use a water cannon directly onto that hot core it might give them the explosion that they have been dreading. 

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 18:51 | 1087721 SilverBaron
Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:07 | 1087107 Contra_Man
Contra_Man's picture

Liars... Nothing really being done...maybe intentionally just as planned:

http://contramanfund.wordpress.com/2011/03/22/japan-bombing-north-america/

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 15:51 | 1087109 the not so migh...
the not so mighty maximiza's picture

they don't call it a melt down for nothign

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 15:54 | 1087124 Alea Iacta Est
Alea Iacta Est's picture

In other news, the airlines are now whipsawing stuff.....I don't know wtf it means to be "whipsawed", but I will sure as hell pass!

 

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Airlines-whipsawed-by-costly-apf-3922888288.html?x=0&sec=topStories&pos=2&asset=&ccode=

 

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 15:55 | 1087133 max2205
max2205's picture

Move away from the building....move away from the building

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 15:56 | 1087140 HungrySeagull
HungrySeagull's picture

As hot as you can stand.

 

As far as I am concerned, they should have vaporized the place with a nuclear warhead or thermobaric bomb series.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 18:06 | 1087611 Matte_Black
Matte_Black's picture

Yes, you have said nuke it from the very beginning. Honestly though, I thought you were either drunk or mad.

I'm not quite as sure now. JC....

Anybody care to hazard a guess what this will do to that $264B estimate of rebuilding costs? I'm thinking that's low, myself.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:11 | 1087142 Threeggg
Threeggg's picture

Well @ least "yellow" fin tuna will make a comeback ! even though they will be Iridescent Green.

Scientific name will be re-named from Thunnus albacares to Thunnus albawhocares it wont hurt you.

There is another punchline in there somewhere, I know it. !

 

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 21:44 | 1088237 Jack Burns
Jack Burns's picture

Surely, you mean yellow cake tuna.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 15:56 | 1087146 Cortez
Cortez's picture

I am eagerly awaiting a local bar to offer Fukushima wings.  So hot they'll melt your face!!

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 15:56 | 1087147 Navigator
Navigator's picture

I found a great app for Android phones called RadDroid.  It provides current, real-time,  radiation mesurements (Beta & Gamma) in whatever area you choose anywhere in the U.S.  It's $2 and it shows meaningful information about the levels of radiation starting to reach the USA.

The readout is compared to normal ambient radiation so, for example, right now where I live is S. Calif it's reading the measurements from San Bernadino County and indicates that Gamma is 93% of normal and Beta is 36% of normal. The numbers are real time numbers and they're from the EPA’s radiation detection system.  The readout is like having a radiation detector with you all the time and it can be shifted to any of the front pages of your Android phone. 

https://market.android.com/details?id=net.rage.radnet

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:04 | 1087156 redpill
redpill's picture

I watched that video of the #3 Reactor explosion again.  Now that I have a better idea of just how large these buildings are (4 stories tall), the scale of that blast really becomes more clear.  That was a truly massive explosion.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T_N-wNFSGyQ

 

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 18:55 | 1087346 Ident 7777 economy
Ident 7777 economy's picture

 

Re: the three 'reports'  (booms) heard:

 

1) Outer building?

2) Drywell/containment (light-bulb shaped on a GE Mark I containment)?

3) Reactor vessel? Or the quenching Torus below the light-bulb-shaped containment?

 

Okay - after some cogitating, here's what might have blown:

1) A interior room or section on the south side where we see the first fireball.

2) The roof - taking with it several of the walls (note these were not truss-type structures) ... this creates the small dark mushroom cloud that rises quickly

3) Additional interior rooms/section blew ...

 

BTW, the status for the past few days has indicated:

Pressure of the Reactor Pressure Vessel -

#1 Stable

#2 Unknown

#3 Unknown

 

Containment Vessel Pressure -

#1 Stable

#2 Stable

#3 Decreasing after increase in Mar. 20th

Source of status reports: http://www.jaif.or.jp/english/index.php

 

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 20:05 | 1087952 Goyim Sheep
Goyim Sheep's picture

This video tells us something. First explosion was horizontal but prolly had enough downward force to crack the lid covering the core chamber. Second blast was pure vertical telling us it was deep in the structure and the concrete walls surrounding the core forced it straight up. Third bang, dunno.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 20:31 | 1088062 Ident 7777 economy
Ident 7777 economy's picture

Good analysis.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 21:13 | 1088138 Matte_Black
Matte_Black's picture

Terrible prognosis.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 17:33 | 1087515 Convolved Man
Convolved Man's picture

Based on the scale shown in Figure 1 of the article presented at the following link, those containment buildings are ~120 ft cubes.

http://allthingsnuclear.org/post/3940804083/possible-cause-of-reactor-bu...

Google "2000 lb JDAM bomb explosion video YouTube" and view some of the videos to get an idea as to what a 2000 lb conventional bomb explosion looks like.  The explosion at reactor 3 appears to be at least the equivalent of 2000 lbs of high explosive.

 

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:15 | 1087157 John McCloy
John McCloy's picture

As all this is occuring the full might and focus of the Anglo American elites remains with killing Gadaffi. Supposedly our leaders are concerned about being humanitarian while the resources of our nations focus on illegal war. This make sense to anyone ? If a earthquake, tsunami and ongoing nuclear catastrophe cannot give the war mongers pause what will? Every resource and brain in the Western world should be concentrated on ending/assisting Japan with this. Instead our puppet in chief is on vacation, watching NCAA and claiming we are attacking Libya to SAVE LIVES. I'm disgusted.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:25 | 1087264 Day_Of_The_Tentacle
Day_Of_The_Tentacle's picture

Yes I agree, it is negatively nauseating. And it is so wacked from any reasonable common sense, that I can't help wondering if something more sinister is going on.....

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:38 | 1087325 Sweet Chicken
Sweet Chicken's picture

Even my 8yo asked me last night why the news isn't talking about Japan anymore and why we were bombing Libya. I told him to write the president and ask him or our congressman and senators. I know that wouldn't matter but I thought it was important I give him some sort of avenue to have his questions answered.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 17:04 | 1087435 John McCloy
John McCloy's picture

  That was a great idea. Better off with the Senate & Congress than the prompter. All of this can be reversed if we just teach our children the right things about economics, corruption and try to guide them to the right places for information free of propaganda. Eventually it will all pay off because of primarily the Internet and sites like ZH. 

    Even your child understands that people need our help on a very small island and all these guys can stay centered on is trying to win votes and keep the recovery illusion intact. True leaders address the problem at the core that do not wait and say,

" I need to know where my people are going... so that I can lead them"

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 17:23 | 1087505 dbTX
dbTX's picture

you can't teach what you don't know neither can you lead where you won't go

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 17:55 | 1087584 Highrev
Highrev's picture

+ 1000 John, Day, and Sweet.

 

That’s the best recap of the current insanity I’ve seen.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 17:20 | 1087491 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

Explain to your son that they are all criminals, being wholly incompetent for any other line of work.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 18:53 | 1087687 Sweet Chicken
Sweet Chicken's picture

Honestly he asked me about 9/11 the other day and what happened and I had to swallow hard and simply say it was a sad day for everyone. Since he still believes in Santa I don't want to steal his childhood away just yet. On a positive note I have not baptised any of my children and want them to come to their own conclusions ob the subject. We've had very interesting conversations already. He has come to the conclusion that Jesus was not god but was definitely speaking from the heart. I was so amazed by the simply beauty of coming to that most important factor (being the message and not the belief) I almost cried.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 19:35 | 1087844 Big Corked Boots
Big Corked Boots's picture

Sounds like you have a smart kid there.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 21:01 | 1088124 samsara
samsara's picture

Ah,  to be in that magical state of mind to still believe in Santa Claus, the Easter Bunny and 19 highjackers....

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:49 | 1087379 velobabe
velobabe's picture

john Mac, you forget to add to the BO's running tally, he has lowered his handicap to 9. i know damn well, he cheats, his golf swing sucks.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 17:40 | 1087552 TruthInSunshine
Tue, 03/22/2011 - 19:58 | 1087922 Yes We Can. But...
Yes We Can. But Lets Not.'s picture

Obooba plays golf the way he bowls and throws a ball - like a young girl.  His real handi is 20+ for sure.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 21:00 | 1088121 samsara
samsara's picture

First,  I think the whole Right/Left,repub/dem thing is a joke

but a funny thought exersise would be;  What Would McCain and Palin be doing right now?

The MILF and the Maverick would have fixed it all???

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 21:16 | 1088146 Matte_Black
Matte_Black's picture

same script, same show

different costumes and soundtrack

probably a lot funnier though....

 

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 22:32 | 1088390 samsara
samsara's picture

Ya Alot funnier.

Political Parties are like The Globetrotters vs the Washington Generals.

Two different teams.  Both paychecks cut from the same company.

 

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:02 | 1087161 surfwon
surfwon's picture

but we have the generators powered up....... isn't it working great.......

 

what hogwash they don't have a clue........

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:01 | 1087162 AC_Doctor
AC_Doctor's picture

So what is the plan Japs?

 

Russians don't take a dump, son... without a plan.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Rb0QLxcvowk

AC

 

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:02 | 1087171 Threeggg
Threeggg's picture

I will be going grocery shopping with my wife in about 15 minutes, who will take the over under when I will see portable geiger counters in the "Fresh Produce Isle"

Or do you want the vigorish ?

Shopping for Broccolli and start hearing someones counter "Raging" is what too expect soon !!

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:05 | 1087188 mynhair
mynhair's picture

Already beat ya.  NO important readings above background here in FL.

Cue GW's next doomsday post.......

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:22 | 1087235 Threeggg
Threeggg's picture

mynhair,

Thats a great Idea for a website like "AngiesList" lets call it "Schindler's Lists"  for real time fresh produce radiation level updates. 

The next "BIG" I-Phone app ?

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:08 | 1087187 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture

Can they report this in the Main Stream Media now? Markets are closed and all.

Where are our incredibly intrepid and frisky muckrakers of truth in the press?

 

 

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:10 | 1087210 Cdad
Cdad's picture

This just in at the Ministry of Truth [CNBC]...Simon Hobbs reporting that the lights are on in the control room for reactor #1. 

There.  See?  All better.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:17 | 1087236 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture

Hobbs!

Again with the Hobbs!

Damn that CNBC and their limeys.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:20 | 1087252 Jim in MN
Jim in MN's picture

"My pocket protector!  I thought I'd never see you again!" 

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 23:35 | 1088656 trav7777
trav7777's picture

People here HATE any positive developments.

They're just stating a fuckin fact, control room power is restored. 

I know you guys are disappointed as hell that shit hasn't hit the fan and "The Road" isn't reality yet

Wed, 03/23/2011 - 02:20 | 1088955 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture

You probably have a worse record than TEPCO.

In other words, it's fucking comical to hear you bitch and preach.

By the way, reactor 1 temp is 400 degrees celsius as I type this, and you said it would be cool as a popsicle.

Fucking poser.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:21 | 1087211 Fenlander
Fenlander's picture

I'm hoping that running at 380/390 celsius when designed for 302 celsius is well within the design specification:  ~25-30% additional heat should not be enough to cause structural failure of pressure containers.  These things should be massively over-engineered, at least for physical conditions.

 

I'm more worried than before about building 2.  Because the roof is intact, the heat is rising to the roofline and evenly distributing heat into the roof.  While heat rises and concentrates vertically, it is then displaced by hotter air coming up.  The displaced heat dissipates according to the inverse square law, so with a reasonable margin of error, the actual heat inside the building could be calculated by knowing the height difference in free air between the reactor and the roof, and the location of the reactor within the building.  I don't know what the orange colour on the picture means in degrees celsius, but the guys operating the plant will have that info.  They'll know the temperature.  My guess?  Higher than in the other 3 buildings.

 

Why can't they make a small hole in the wall and put in a camera and probe?

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:24 | 1087260 dugorama
dugorama's picture

small hole = kabloom!

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:27 | 1087271 King Dong
King Dong's picture

Agreed. Heat map of reactor 2 seems to be slightly more concentrated towards the top right of the image.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 19:55 | 1087911 mick_richfield
mick_richfield's picture

Um... the reactor is hotter than operating temperature 11 days after it was scrammed.  To me that indicates a strong possibility that at least a portion of the fuel has reached recriticality.

Unless that heat came from the sporadic fires.  Lets hope it came from the fires.

 

 

And ... Fed delenda est.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 23:38 | 1088663 trav7777
trav7777's picture

And you base this conjecture of recriticality on WHAT exactly?

Are you aware that like 5-10% of a NPP's MWs are provided by decay heat alone?

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:13 | 1087227 Lapri
Lapri's picture

There's ABSOLUTELY NO MENTION of this in the Japanese media in Japanese. It's beyond criminal.

This Nishiyama guy at Nuclear Safety Agency is about the only bureaucrat who speaks straight (bureaucratically speaking that is), and therefore he is not covered by the Japanese media. Only Bloomberg Japan follows, occasionally.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:21 | 1087254 Cdad
Cdad's picture

Maybe a bit of a lag, but the Ministry of Truth [CNBC] just reported that the Fukushima engineers were able to get the lights on in a control room at the facility. 

This should could cause you feel less angry...and I can tell you are the type that has anger management issues.  We all know that getting the lights on is the step that happens right before the destroyed reactors are swiftly cooled and brought under control.

I'd buy shares of Apple in the AH if I were you...and then I would chill out and start counting my chickens.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:29 | 1087286 rosiescenario
rosiescenario's picture

"Maybe a bit of a lag, but the Ministry of Truth [CNBC] just reported that the Fukushima engineers were able to get the lights on..."

 

...or maybe it was just a fire...

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:32 | 1087302 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

Well, I would count the chickens that are still alive. Then find some sucker in Tokyo to purchase them quickly.

Judging from this pic, there isn't a light bulb left in either containment building to turn on. So it might takes a few more days. Patience grasshopper.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:42 | 1087337 Cdad
Cdad's picture

You know brother Cog,

You could have chosen to put up a picture of an aquatic unicorn.  But did you?  No, you choose to repost that ugly picture.  I'd be willing to bet that you even photo shopped out the control room lights that just came on.  Am I right?

And you know as well as I do that hooking up the electrical line and replacing the light bulbs in the control room represents great progress at the site, and the meltdown, such as it is, is probably going to be fixed in the next hour or so.

Really....I don't know why I did not go long Apple sooner.  The simple act has changed my very life.  Maybe, while on vacation, I should splurge and buy an Ipad 2?  I understand it is the wave of the future, dude...100 % electronic.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:48 | 1087369 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

Nope, no photo shop needed. That's an unqualified grade 'A" number one 100% all natural fuck up right there, TEPCO style.

Too bad those emergency generators that were placed in the basement of a nuclear plant building on the coast of a country known to experience massive earthquakes and tsunamis acted so traitorous and conked out in less than one hour.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 17:12 | 1087467 hardcleareye
hardcleareye's picture

You can usually rubber cord a gen set in a crisis, it's the location of the switch gear that got me (think of it like the main circuit breaker panel for you house going under sea water, silt etc)!  It's great that they got a light on in the control room but how about the radiation levels in the control rooms? How are the I&E techs doing getting the critical controls, instrumentation and pumps back up (fuck the lights!)?  And what are the plans for dealing with the corrosion, structural compromising and further reduced cooling ability (as the damn thing scales up), that will result from using sea water in the cooling loop?  Stable and under-control my ass.....

"Tomorrow I'll think of some way . . . after all, tomorrow is another day."    TEPCO engineers.......

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 18:36 | 1087672 prophet
prophet's picture

I suppose it could have been way worse, the tsunami could have just washed the spent hot rods all over the countryside.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:49 | 1087383 hardcleareye
hardcleareye's picture

Great post

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:55 | 1087400 velobabe
velobabe's picture

can you say G L O R Y  H O L E , bitches?

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 23:40 | 1088670 trav7777
trav7777's picture

JFC WTF is WRONG with you?

Why do you WANT this disaster to get worse?

You motherfuckers are BOOING decent news or ANY positive development as if ANYONE implied shit is going to be fine as a result of a positive development.

They state a fucking FACT and you boo it.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 18:17 | 1087639 whoopsing
whoopsing's picture

If I'm not mistaken CD,that structure right in front of the main building look's like a chiller plant,and that pipe to nowhere is prob. the chilled water pipe- Hmmm,not good

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 19:55 | 1087875 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

No problem. They'll just send a few boys down to the beach with some 5 gallon buckets and scoop up some nice cold seawater. We'll have this baby down to 98.6 F in no time.

OK, now who's got the Tylenol?

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 23:40 | 1088674 trav7777
trav7777's picture

NOBODY is saying that!

When faced with the HORRIBLE outcome of a NON negative development, you people simply invent a strawman like that ANYONE ever said that shit was going to be "just fine"!

WTF is WRONG with all of you?

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 18:34 | 1087667 Convolved Man
Convolved Man's picture

 

Slap on a little sky blue paint, dab on some fluffy white clouds, re-hang the curtains and it'll look good as new.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 18:55 | 1087732 whoopsing
whoopsing's picture

Flip that house Special edition-it aught to make a killing

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 21:55 | 1088274 Jack Burns
Jack Burns's picture

Better yet, Extreme Makeover Home Edition. I don't think anyone would be calling for them to move the bus, however.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 19:11 | 1087781 Reptil
Reptil's picture

What annoys me to no end is that in any FOX and some other "presentations" they show these structures as intact (pristine cubes), and NON of these photo's, thermal images, or videos.

Here's a resfreshing difference from the usual "nothing to see here. Some good footage.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RiXIODVlfXk

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 20:15 | 1088005 whoopsing
whoopsing's picture

 Thank's for the link Reptil-good stuff

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 20:29 | 1088055 samsara
samsara's picture

I agree,  On the left side of that picture,  I believe there are at least 3 light bulbs that need replacing.  Get a couple maintenance people with some 60 watt bulbs.

 

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:37 | 1087318 Ruffcut
Ruffcut's picture

Here I can't say it is criminal. They are dealing with a complex situation and giving an accurate media feed, should be the least of their problems.

Sure there are population exposure issues, but where the fuck are all these millions of people going to go? Candyasses here are freaking out about rad readings, but though we all need to be concerned.

Even though gubbermints are corrupted at many levels, IF they want the best and they are the best corrected to resources around the planet, they will do their best. Or at least, I hope so.

If "ifs" and "buts" were candy and nuts, we would all have a merry Christmas.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:21 | 1087250 SgtShaftoe
SgtShaftoe's picture

Every day that goes by, the safer the situation is.  Fission stopped the moment the reactors scrammed.  Since then, heat has been residual as the fission byproducts break down.  Zerohedge has done a knock up job dramatically over-hyping the seriousness of the situation.  I blogged about it here: http://freedomofoceania.blogspot.com/2011/03/media-please-panic-into-com...

Do yourself a favor and read up on the reality of the situation:

http://www.theregister.co.uk/2011/03/22/fukushima_tuesday_2/

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:26 | 1087255 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture

First, your name is "SgtShafttoe.'

Second, you didn't pay your web hosting bill.

Page not found

 

Edit - did you just pay the damn bill? That was fast.

Edit - You have a few good articles on your blog, but I think you're way off base on the Fukushima event.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:30 | 1087283 Cdad
Cdad's picture

Freedom of Oceania...sounds lovely.  Do they have aquatic unicorns there?  They swim so gracefully...it's beautiful.

Now that the lights are on at Fukushima and things are just about fixed right up, maybe I should take some time off and visit F.O.Ocieania? 

I never knew how bullishness was so mood altering?  I feel like I could probably fix Fukushima from here :)   :)    Double happy face :)...oh, triple.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:32 | 1087301 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture

I don't think he knows this is in centigrade.

 

Hey SgtSaftToe: This shit's in centigrade.

He should know now.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 18:14 | 1087628 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

I still don't think he heard you. Try all caps.

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 18:20 | 1087641 traderjoe
traderjoe's picture

LOL...CD's been on fire lately...

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 18:27 | 1087650 SgtShaftoe
SgtShaftoe's picture

Got it, still not touching failure temp though...

 

http://freedomofoceania.blogspot.com/2011/03/media-please-panic-into-com...

Tue, 03/22/2011 - 16:30 | 1087285 Jim in MN
Jim in MN's picture

Well we could all use a refresher. 

What do you estimate the residual thermal energy to be in each reactor core, in MW?

Same question, common fuel storage pool, in MW.

How much water can each boil from room temperature in, say, a week?

If there is no water present, estimate the time to 1) cladding oxidation point and 2) fuel melting point.

No need to estimate the combined potential heat from residual heat, cladding oxidation and recriticality....'hot enough' is the answer.

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