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Futures charts May 13th

Cheeky Bastard's picture




 

Be free to use the comment space as if this was an open thread and discuss anything you want. Charts are provided for up-to-date information purposes only and you are not obliged to focus your comments solely on them. 

 

Indexes

 

 

Energy

 

Metals

 

 

Agricultural commodities

 

 

Bonds

 

Currencies

 

 

UPDATE: In addition to these charts i will also post a graphic data set which will round the day up. It a 1-day-relative-performance across the spectrum. 

Charts provided by finviz.com. Charts update automatically every time you hit refresh button or open this article. Non-listed futures can be found here: http://finviz.com/futures_charts.ashx?t=ALL&p=m5. For e-minis visit http://www.cmegroup.com/trading/equity-index/us-index/e-mini-sandp500.html.

 

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Thu, 05/13/2010 - 01:56 | 348487 velobabe
velobabe's picture

you fuckin suck†

from every possible position

what happened?

Thu, 05/13/2010 - 02:03 | 348493 Cheeky Bastard
Cheeky Bastard's picture

wtf is wrong.

stop talking with the Internet and go to fucking sleep.

PS

i like how insane you are. want to hang out :)

 

Thu, 05/13/2010 - 06:49 | 348608 velobabe
velobabe's picture

did you know, that i am maid marion?

Thu, 05/13/2010 - 03:09 | 348522 i.knoknot
i.knoknot's picture

good answer

hurtin' tonite, methinks

missing an era gone "bye"

strong one, tho'

Thu, 05/13/2010 - 01:46 | 348475 Renfield
Renfield's picture

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/financetopics/financialcrisis/7716530/EU-imposes-wage-cuts-on-Spanish-Protectorate-calls-for-budget-primacy-over-sovereign-parliaments.html

Spain imposing '1930s-era wage cuts' to the cheers of banksters everywhere. I'm sure the Spanish won't mind giving up a little thing like their economic sovereignty. It's not like they have any money left anyhow.

I'll go out on a limb here. Miss Cleo says: Get your party hats on for a EUR rally today/tonight, and hands in the air for a big ride back down next week when the Spanish citizens show Greece how it's done. Sovereignty, shmovereignty.

Read it all! Here are the fun bits:

"Spain has followed Ireland and Greece in imposing 1930s-era wage cuts to slash the budget deficit, complying with EU demands for further austerity...

Premier Jose Luis Zapatero told a stunned nation that public sector pay will be reduced by 5pc this year and frozen in 2011. "We must make an extraordinary effort," he said.

Pension rises will be shelved. The country’s €2,500 baby bonus will be cancelled. Aid to the regions will be slashed and infrastructure projects will be put on ice. Mr Zapatero’s own monthly pay will fall 15pc to €6,515...

Commission president Jose Barroso unveiled plans for EU control over national budgets, including an incendiary demand that Brussels should vet budgets before their first reading in Westminster, the Bundestag, and other parliaments. Current account deficits and credit growth will be monitored. Brussels can imposing sanctions on states that let booms run out of control. "We must get to the root of the problems," he said.

Such a plan would greatly improve the working of the EMU system, but it would also entail a drastic erosion of sovereignty. The intrusive surveillance is a wake-up call for states that have tended to view the euro as a free lunch.

Mr Zapatero - who long prided himself on being an "anthropological optimist" - plans to cut the deficit from 11.2pc to 6pc of GDP this year, with further cuts next year. The fresh move is to placate bond vigilantes and to calm German fears that eurozone discipline is breaking. He has already raised income taxes and lifted VAT from 16pc to 18pc.

US President Barack Obama played a key role behind the scenes...

"Just months ago the government said it would never cut wages, so this is a very humiliating U-turn. There will be protests, but we don’t know yet whether there will be a general strike," he said.

Spain’s UGT union federation warned of "social conflict" and vowed to inflict "maximum punishment" on the government. However, the nation as a whole has so far handled a property slump and a rise in unemployment to 20pc with stoicism, befitting the tradition of the Spanish-born Stoic philosopher Seneca.

(emphasis mine)

Thu, 05/13/2010 - 01:10 | 348463 GottaBKiddn
GottaBKiddn's picture

Great charts. Thanks Cheekman. People who eat real food and use real "stuff" should know how to read these charts. It takes brains to learn new things.

Thu, 05/13/2010 - 00:51 | 348440 imaginalis
imaginalis's picture

It was me that drove cocoa up. I'll be melting chocolate and injecting it shortly.

Thu, 05/13/2010 - 00:30 | 348416 RockyRacoon
RockyRacoon's picture

The Federal Reserve's and IMF's participation in the eurozone bailout will not be lost on union members and politicians of heavily indebted US states such as California and Illinois. When the day of reckoning arrives for the US states who are unable to close their budget gaps and whose pension plans have huge funding gaps, they will be up in arms for their bailout as well. How could the US government politically defend its bailing out Greece via the IMF and the Federal Reserve and refusing the same for its own citizens? The idea that California would be allowed to default on its obligations when Greece wasn't is unthinkable. Therefore, the bailout of the PIIGS sets the stage for similar bailouts of bankrupt US states and cities.

A Greek Tragedy in the Making

Mises Institute

"Make no mistake, this supposed 'containment' boondoggle was yet another bailout of the world's largest banks. A majority of the PIIGS's debt is held by large French and German banks."

Read more: A Greek Tragedy in the Making - - Mises Institute        http://mises.org/daily/4365#ixzz0nmSML9vy
Thu, 05/13/2010 - 00:58 | 348447 Renfield
Renfield's picture

Rocks

My thoughts exactly.

When it gets to be MSM knowledge that the US is stepping up for French banksters, no-one will need to organise any million-man march anywhere. Congress'll need the National Guard and the Marines to manage the crowds from Cali, Illinois, Michigan...all demanding THEIR bailout FIRST.

And the irony is...they'll be right. If the Fed is fine for handing out free fiat, then it kinda stands to reason that US citizens (both legal and illegal) and taxpayers should really come first.

Wed, 05/12/2010 - 23:44 | 348356 Cookie
Cookie's picture

Cool stuff Cheeky, thank you.

ZH just keeps getting better and better

Wed, 05/12/2010 - 23:34 | 348342 kensuneit
kensuneit's picture

Yep the sugar is in deep green but that's hardly a blip in the longer-term downtrend.  Think globally about belt tightening and one of the first things people, all of us, cut down on is excessive consumption of treats and sweets.  No great surprise, people also get healthier during finacial pullbacks.  Maybe they save a ton of unnecessary co-pays.  Also, the softs (sugar, cocoa, coffee, orange juice) can really hold a trend.  Then along comes a little cold spell, or a heat wave, and pow!  Away it runs in the other direction!  Like catching a big fish...I love futures!!  The leveraging will either make or break you.  And fast.

Wed, 05/12/2010 - 23:16 | 348306 Jim in MN
Jim in MN's picture

Actually it does.  We missed the Antarctic ozone hole for like seven years because the satellite data was auto-dumped; it was outside the preset acceptable parameters.  So as long as someone is looking....

Wed, 05/12/2010 - 22:48 | 348258 woolly mammoth
woolly mammoth's picture

Cheeky, if you would be so kind in allowing me to drag you into a curreny question. Their has been an intimidating push to force China to float their currency. Which it seems the answer so far has been, Ahh, don't thing so. Any idea what the syndicate might have planned for China if they were to succumb? Oh, hope you finally got some rest yesterday, seems to be a lot going on. Almost like a controlled panic.

Wed, 05/12/2010 - 23:11 | 348281 Cheeky Bastard
Cheeky Bastard's picture

The Yuan will take care of itself with massive deflation when the Chinese bubble bursts. China is now officially in a recession given that the main index trades app 10% then it did 2 weeks ago. Here is the chart

Also, loans will have to be marked to app. 65-75 cents on the dollar and that spells deflation. But since the Chinese banks to not depend on international inter-bank lending mechanisms they can simply pretend all is fine, and the PBoC can simply mark-to-model their GDP growth as they did in the past 15 years. Also they can manipulate the dollar by dumping it on the open market, converse to yuan's and devalue it by not monetizing the debt which would also achieve their goal. Im not a trader, nor am i an economist or an analyst so take everything i say with a grain of salt, if for nothing else, then because of the lack of specialization. Also, property prices have fallen as much as 30% month-on-month and with the infusion of the excess credit in the market that spells carnage. Calculate into that the monthly inflation rate of 2.8% [last month data] and you see the game is OVAH for China. You know something is wrong when there is a deflation in the biggest bubble on the market while inflation reigns.

 

Thu, 05/13/2010 - 00:03 | 348382 woolly mammoth
woolly mammoth's picture

Wow. excellent information. Thanks so much.  

Wed, 05/12/2010 - 23:11 | 348293 Jim in MN
Jim in MN's picture

I always figured we wouldn't really know China was broken until we saw the smoke rising from the cities on the satellite pics. 

Which in turn makes me wonder, is anyone looking?

Wed, 05/12/2010 - 23:14 | 348301 Cheeky Bastard
Cheeky Bastard's picture

Chanos is. I dont know if that gives you any comfort or not, but he is looking with a goddamn microscope. His main fund strategy is short everything chinese that is related to property, construction and banking.

Wed, 05/12/2010 - 22:20 | 348218 WaterWings
WaterWings's picture

Cheeky's Corner.

Awesome. I never saw your glory days, but I'm glad you're back.

Wed, 05/12/2010 - 22:02 | 348186 cbaba
cbaba's picture

Thats great Cheeky, thanks a lot.

Wed, 05/12/2010 - 21:48 | 348166 Gimp
Gimp's picture

Great charts Cheeky B.

I live close to the 500,000 acres of Sugar cane planted down here in South Florida and a friend of mine owns a sugar cane/molasses trucking company (200 trucks). They are getting top dollar currently for sugar cane/molasses.

FYI- Molasses is trucked to the Port of Palm Beach loaded on ships and sent to the islands to be turned into "Island Rum". Things are never what they seem......like the market.

Wed, 05/12/2010 - 21:39 | 348145 Zé Cacetudo
Zé Cacetudo's picture

Been using FinViz for a while now. Their Forex and ETF pages are great.

Now then, want to see something really scary?

http://www.google.com/crisisresponse/oilspill/

Wed, 05/12/2010 - 21:34 | 348135 Cyan Lite
Cyan Lite's picture

ANybody else besides me think we can retest 1222 on the SPX by next week?

Thu, 05/13/2010 - 00:03 | 348383 abalone
abalone's picture

Harry might...but I wouldn't discount it either as you have been reading the play exceptionally well of late. Good luck, I have conceeded & will meet you at or near the bottom whenever that may be.

Thu, 05/13/2010 - 00:27 | 348415 Cyan Lite
Cyan Lite's picture

Thanks.  I would take credit but it's pretty simple: be bullish at all times and the gov't will reward you handsomely.

My current thesis is that we retest (and fail) the double top highs near 1220 (also 61.8% retracement of the entire bear market) and then we plunge down to 1065.  If we fail at 1065, we can go to 875 in a heart beat (or a fat finger).  If we break through 1220 decisively, we then go to 1575 (yes, 1-5-7-5) to the 2007 highs.  I'm leaning towards the 2007 highs. 

Thu, 05/13/2010 - 00:48 | 348434 abalone
abalone's picture

Cyan, you might find this blog of interest as he too believes new highs are coming.

http://carlfutia.blogspot.com/

Wed, 05/12/2010 - 20:22 | 347990 Irwin Fletcher
Irwin Fletcher's picture

Thanks a lot - this is really great.

Wed, 05/12/2010 - 20:04 | 347944 anynonmous
anynonmous's picture
Jupiter loses a stripe

Jupiter has lost one of its prominent stripes, leaving its southern half looking unusually blank. Scientists are not sure what triggered the disappearance of the band.

 

http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn18889-jupiter-loses-a-stripe.html

 

and where is ProjectMayhem????

 

Wed, 05/12/2010 - 21:31 | 348129 velobabe
velobabe's picture

i think i like you†

you need to jazz up your avatar, add some color, hell add some sex.

 

you had me at..............)(

Wed, 05/12/2010 - 21:06 | 348084 ShankyS
ShankyS's picture

No kidding PM was the bomb. Could use some of his wisdom and wit right now for sure.

Wed, 05/12/2010 - 19:50 | 347922 mtguy
mtguy's picture

Is it any surprise that soy bean meal is the worst performer in the one year chart? Have you ever tasted that shit?

It also pointed out that I'm very happy I've been eating all my stored oats this year rather than saving them. Good for my cholesteral and even better for my pocket book since oats are down pretty big as well.

Wed, 05/12/2010 - 19:38 | 347882 John McCloy
John McCloy's picture

Cheeky can we arrange for all ZH members to call the Goldman crystal ball at 9:15 to ask if the market is going up or down daily and make a youtube video to bring it to the attention of the American Idolites? Would make for some fine humor and curious what the responses would be

 

Wed, 05/12/2010 - 22:18 | 348216 WaterWings
WaterWings's picture

Response 1: "Wut dis" +9 votes

Response 2: "BNAKERS HAVE STOLEN THE ECONOMY. WATCH ALEX JONES ON INFOWARS . COM!!" +4 votes

Response 3: "I thought this was suposed to be a booty video" +11 votes

Wed, 05/12/2010 - 19:35 | 347874 waterdog
waterdog's picture

Thanks Cheeky, now I know where they get the term "futures point to a ------ open. Gives me something new to gaze at. By the way, what the hell is up with sugar?

Wed, 05/12/2010 - 19:39 | 347889 Cheeky Bastard
Cheeky Bastard's picture

hurricane season

 

basically they are betting it will hit Florida and fuck up the sugarcane harvest which falls in the same period as does the hurricane season. Oh and all the government subsidies to sugar producers.

Wed, 05/12/2010 - 23:38 | 348350 Carl Spackler
Carl Spackler's picture

A big hurricane season will erase any remains of the BP spill!

 

It's the ultimate beach cleaner.  Valdez, Alaska did not enjoy that type of maid service. 

Wed, 05/12/2010 - 20:22 | 347989 fallst
fallst's picture

Was hot as hell down there last week. 82 degrees at midnight. In early May? Has that 2004 feel...

Wed, 05/12/2010 - 20:02 | 347957 anynonmous
anynonmous's picture
2010 Hurricane Season Will Be More Active, Joe Bastardi Predicts

 

I like this guy and have followed him for years - (a lot of folks hate him) - accuweather pro is available on a subscription basis and they offer a 30 day free trial - worth checking out if you like weather - he nailed this past winter to a tee

article

http://www.accuweather.com/blogs/news/story/25984/joe-bastardi-more-acti...

 

free trial

https://wwwl.accuweather.com/professional_signup.php

Wed, 05/12/2010 - 20:13 | 347977 PhD
PhD's picture

He was spot on in predicting a fucking freezing winter this year.

Stocked up on firewood on his prediction and thank god that i did.

 

 

Wed, 05/12/2010 - 19:33 | 347868 Mitchman
Mitchman's picture

Cheeky,  this is great stuff and a real service to the Zhers.  Bless you my boy!

Wed, 05/12/2010 - 19:29 | 347850 Steaming_Wookie_Doo
Steaming_Wookie_Doo's picture

I'm still stoked about the gold-to-live cattle chart you had yesterday. Two of my favorite things...but seriously, look at how crappy the volatility is on live hogs and lumber. If you want to trade that, just lie down til the feeling goes away.

Wed, 05/12/2010 - 18:58 | 347746 anynonmous
anynonmous's picture

CB great site that finviz is

 

check this out very interactive and very free, how nice

 

http://finviz.com/futures_performance.ashx?v=16

 

they also have a subscription service for real time but the free stuff compared to what some sites/contributors (snark) offer is outstanding

Wed, 05/12/2010 - 19:02 | 347763 Cheeky Bastard
Cheeky Bastard's picture

Oh thank you for that. Im updating the article with 1 day relative performance chart. Again, thank you so much, that data set really sums the day movements up.

Wed, 05/12/2010 - 19:06 | 347773 anynonmous
anynonmous's picture

that's a one year chart but check out gold relative to cotton who'd a guessed

Wed, 05/12/2010 - 19:17 | 347808 Cheeky Bastard
Cheeky Bastard's picture

really not weird at all. markets up=more money=more money to spend=new clothes and shit.

Wed, 05/12/2010 - 18:47 | 347722 illyia
illyia's picture

Very useful - all in one place.

Thanks.

Wed, 05/12/2010 - 18:33 | 347691 legerde
legerde's picture

On futures I am a naive.  Zerohedge has been a great place to learn about many financial things.    Ive played with covered calls that expire on the third friday of each month, so I get the concept of futures (I think).

 

What is the time frame on the options charts above?

 

Thanks for the pictures.

Wed, 05/12/2010 - 23:26 | 348324 Sam Clemons
Sam Clemons's picture

Futures are quite different from options.  The only option you have at the end of the period is to take physical delivery of barrels of oil (or whatever) or to roll the contract to the next month (or close).

 He said what time-frame they were in the post, I thought.

Wed, 05/12/2010 - 18:39 | 347701 Cheeky Bastard
Cheeky Bastard's picture

They are not pictures; those charts are are live and update on a 1-minute basis. As to your question; i have never bought a single futures contract in my life nor do i trade nearly as much as i did before [which wasnt much to begin with] so i would not really know how to answer your question. But someone will.

Wed, 05/12/2010 - 23:18 | 348304 Sam Clemons
Sam Clemons's picture

http://nowandfutures.com/inflation_long_term.html

 

Anyone else thinking cattle, wheat and corn are starting to look like "deals" here?  I don't normally do value investing, but not much seems cheap right now.

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