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The Global Revolution Is Accelerating - Mike Krieger Explains
Submitted by Mike Krieger of KAM LP
Terrorism is the best political weapon for nothing drives people harder than a fear of sudden death.
- Adolf Hitler
Sometime around the year 2005, perhaps a few years before or after, America will enter the Fourth Turning. A spark will ignite a new mood. It will catalyze a Crisis. In retrospect, the spark might seem as ominous as a financial crash, as ordinary as a national election, or as trivial as a Tea Party. It could be a rapid succession of small events in which the ominous, the ordinary, and the trivial are commingled.
Remnants of the old social order will disintegrate. Political and economic trust will implode. Real hardship will beset the land, with severe distress that could involve questions of class, race, nation and empire. The very survival of the nation will feel at stake. Sometime before the year 2025, America will pass through a great gate in history, commensurate with the American Revolution, Civil War, and twin emergencies of the Great Depression
- Strauss & Howe in “The Fourth Turning” written in 1997
All people who try to get elected to government are in love with government, it’s just that the Democrats are in love with one kind of government and the Republicans are in love with another kind of government, and government is going to continue to grow until there is revulsion for government.
- Jared Dillian (he puts out a great daily piece I would look into it at http://www.dailydirtnap.com/)
The Global Revolution: Welcome to Phase Two
When first I mentioned the food riots in Tunisia and Algeria in my note two weeks ago the former authoritarian leader Zine al-Abidine Ben Ali had yet to flee to Saudi Arabia with much of his nation’s gold. What I find so amazing about this whole situation is why someone in their right mind would take the time to take some shiny little element that is in a bubble and that you can’t eat in the chaos surrounding one’s escape to another nation. Surely he has hidden foreign bank accounts and since gold is just another “fiat” currency according to a Wall Street strategist, why bother? He must be some right-wing radical that likes the Constitution and is therefore anti-American. Isn’t that right Mr. Potok?
So back to the food situation. When I say that we are in Phase Two I am actually not referring to the simple fact that a leader with a 23 year rule under his belt was deposed in weeks seemingly out of nowhere, I am referring to the actions that are being taken and will be taken all over the world in response. As I have said time and time again, government’s today throughout the world could care less about their citizens. When they show signs of caring it is merely to satiate the people back to sleep so that they can stay in control. The leaders of governments throughout the world today consist of the worst humanity has to offer. The most egomaniacal, narcissistic specimens on the planet (with some exceptions of course, Ron Paul for one). They care about power and maintaining it. So what does this have to do with food? A lot. I have stated in the past that we are in revolutionary times. The system that has existed for most of our lives (all of my life) is crumbling under its own weight of insanity, immorality and fraud. The last ditch effort by the global elites has been to flood the world with money and make sure nothing they are invested in ever fails or defaults. This bought them a little time and their hope was that rising asset prices would boost confidence and lead to a recovery that could maybe keep this scam monetary system running for another decade or two. The problem with this strategy is that we are in the Fourth Turning. My generation is coming into its own and we don’t buy the bull shit of our parents’ generation. We don’t believe in Democrat or Republican. We don’t believe in the system itself. We will be the ones making the decisions going forward. We will default on the astronomic promises our parents made to themselves. We will create an entirely new monetary and financial system. Real free-market capitalism will flourish, not this socialism for the rich garbage Obama loves so much. We will focus on doing good while doing well. Not because the government forces us to, rather because we are witness to and victims of this sick, twisted creation of our parents generation that celebrates total greed without the slightest concern of the consequences to others.
With this as a backdrop, the leaders of all nations are scrambling to somehow survive in their positions through this time period. What is happening across the emerging world now is countries that had increased prices for food and energy are reversing policy. Countries such as Saudi Arabia are bidding for world grain supplies. Think about this for a minute. What this means is that what is being employed around the world at a time of global crop failures is essentially price controls. What happens when you have price controls? No elasticity of demand. What does that lead to? Even worse supply/demand imbalances and ultimately food shortages and everything goes to the black market and farmers stop planting as much. So what we now have is the very beginning of a food price spiral that will lead to prices in dollars at unimaginable heights. I would start to be very careful of the quality of food you buy and where it comes from. I assume companies will start mixing in all sort of fillers and garbage into their foods. Especially in emerging markets looks for increases in tainted or corrupt food supplies.
This will also affect oil prices and they should move substantially higher. While people still quote WTI as the oil price and claim it is down, this is total and complete nonsense. Nobody pays WTI prices. Brent is $98/b and Asia Tapis is $101.50/b. Anyone that is telling you oil prices are moving lower are either lying or don’t know what they are talking about. For example while WTI is down 7% from recent highs, gasoline is down only 4% and heating oil is at the highs. Do you pay WTI or do you buy gasoline? There is also this idea that OPEC is going to come out and save the world by boosting production. Good luck with that. First of all, OPEC’s true spare capacity number is highly debatable and I am in the camp of those that thinks they do not have control over the market at this point. Banana Ben Bernanke does. Secondly and most importantly these Arab nations are short food and we are in a food crisis. They are also amongst the most vulnerable governments to overthrow. You think for a second that they will crash oil as food prices are soaring? Oil is their currency. For what it is worth I think many of these regimes will be history within a year. Then the Western governments will fall one by one. This is the Fourth Turning. There is no point trying to stop it, the only thing you can do is prepare. There is precious little time left for that.
U.S. Treasury Bond Holders Will Never Be Paid
Remember the old saying, “if you don’t know who the sucker is in the market, you are the sucker.” Well ladies and gentlemen if you own U.S. treasury bond you are the sucker. There is one way these things will be paid back. With completely worthless pieces of paper, OR not paid back at all. The one thing linearly thinking investors are not appreciating right now is that there is a gigantic awakening occurring in the United States that will develop into a successful and peaceful revolution. The new leaders that will emerge will consider this debt illegitimate as I do personally. It will not be paid. Think it can’t happen? Watch.
Meanwhile, looking at the chart of long term treasury yields what we see is a coiled pattern where rates have been in a tight range ever since breaking to the upside in early December. I think these rates are about to break hard in one direction and I think that direction is higher. When I looked at the commentary from the Fed yesterday and I saw this line “expectations have remained stable, and measures of underlying inflation have been trending downward,” all I could think was if I was a bond investor I would just say “alright I have had ENOUGH.” I think that some of the biggest moves ever in the history of financial markets could be coming within the next 1-2 months. I would focus on treasuries and precious metals.
Silver Disobedience
While the 20th century was a brutal and violent one, some amazing things happened. Two prophets, Martin Luther King Jr. and Mohandas Gandhi we able to usher in a period of tremendous social justice for their respective causes through non-violent means. We are now entering a time where the people (completely and totally sold out by their leaders and masters at the banks) must exercise civil disobedience and non compliance with an evil system. Fortunately for us, the most effective and powerful means of this I can think of is completely legal and consists of buying physical silver and taking possession. Although the comex paper silver price is showing a drop, this is not reflected in the physical market which is tight as a drum. Many major dealers are sold out of product all over the world and the U.S. Mint recently stated that they sold 4.7 million silver eagles in January alone, a new record and the month isn’t even over. If you do not like the way the banks and politicians are robbing you blind in broad daylight buy physical silver and take delivery. I think it is abundantly clear that the raid on the comex silver market is a desperate attempt to shake out some supplies since the actually physical market is being depleted rapidly.
One of the irrational “fears” out there is that the Fed will somehow tighten rates. Get out of the emotional brain for a second and into the logical one. The Fed funds rate is 0-25 basis points. The two year treasury yields 0.60%. If the Fed raised rates even to 0.50% with the two year note at 0.60% total and complete chaos would ensue and the government wouldn’t be able to deal with the rising costs of debt service. It is just not going to happen. They will print and print until the whole corrupt house of cards crumbles to dust.
V for Victory
We are in revolutionary times. The new generation will not accept the Federal Reserve. We will not accept feudalism by an oligarchy of banking criminals. We will not forget the Constitution. We will not accept SDRs or any global fiat currency. We will not accept global government or “governance” (sounds so much better doesn’t it).
As I went to grab dinner last night, I noticed V for victory posters plastered all around downtown (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s5GlOeEUyQ4&feature=related). Go Boulder we are winning the infowar!
Turn off the tv and think for yourself,
Mike
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Is free-market capitalism is possible without greed?
Why compare with socialism while both failed like capitalism is better somehow?
Why not look why both failed?
Like they haven't been doing it for 30 years already.
Mike's been living in Boulder for a month .. culture shock :)
MK sounds quite comfortable on his new plateau, looking down at the world as it "happens". . .
Galt's gulch.
Mark Potok is not only a sniveling little rat, he's also a homosexual (and also a Jew). I know, I know, don't say "homo", they're just like you and me.
Bullshit. It's nothing more than brainwashing to destabilize society. Promote the underclass.
"My generation is coming into its own and we don’t buy the bull shit of our parents’ generation."
Interesting observation that I have listened to for 3 generations now.
One of the generations you are trashing overthrew segregation, the draft, changed the global perspective on the environment and started the change in the social equation between the sexes.
Hmmmmmmm ... and Mr. Krieger, what has your generation taken to the streets and bled for???
......*..........*...........*.........
I'm sorry, I didn't hear you over the wind and the tumbleweeds.
For the ZH'ers:
1) If you are going to trash each other's generation, please go do something more useful to society - like watching American Idol. Zerohedge should be for discussion, learning and even open disagreement over ideas. Trash talking someone else is a worse level of distraction than AI.
2)This really isn't Fight Club. Talking big and bad on here is of no value. If you think violence is enjoyable or recreation or anything but the worst of the human experience - you have no experience with it OR you need to seek professional help. Caveat: I am far from a pacifist - more of a reformed sinner who has sought professional help.
3) On Cognitive Dissonance's article the other day,I commented, "This does not end well." It won't. The change that is coming has happened before. Millions will die. Bernanke will be recognized as being worse than Hitler or Stalin when it all plays out. If you don't want to be one of the statistics, this is a good place to learn how to listen to ideas that are different and to expand your way of thinking. The ability to find common ground for agreement, action and reforming society will be more valuable than gold, guns or food.
I have been a daily visitor here for almost two years because it is an excellent source of knowledge and insight. My hopes and prayers are for all of you who worry for your family and friends. The best hope to get to the other side in one piece is tuning out the distractions and focusing on working with others. Anything that doesn't lead in that direction, IS a distraction.
barliman
4 trolls junked you, it was that good!
Barliman, thank you. My thoughts were running down the same line, your words were more eloquent.
We reap what we sew.
sow jusayin
dbl
Voilà! In view, a humble vaudevillian veteran, cast vicariously as both victim and villain by the vicissitudes of Fate. This visage, no mere veneer of vanity, is a vestige of the vox populi, now vacant, vanished. However, this valorous visitation of a by-gone vexation, stands vivified and has vowed to vanquish these venal and virulent vermin van-guarding vice and vouchsafing the violently vicious and voracious violation of volition.
[carves V into poster on wall]
The only verdict is vengeance; a vendetta, held as a votive, not in vain, for the value and veracity of such shall one day vindicate the vigilant and the virtuous.
[giggles]
Verily, this vichyssoise of verbiage veers most verbose, so let me simply add that it's my very good honor to meet you and you may call me V.
Good evening, London. Allow me first to apologize for this interruption. I do, like many of you, appreciate the comforts of every day routine- the security of the familiar, the tranquility of repetition. I enjoy them as much as any bloke. But in the spirit of commemoration, thereby those important events of the past usually associated with someone's death or the end of some awful bloody struggle, a celebration of a nice holiday, I thought we could mark this November the 5th, a day that is sadly no longer remembered, by taking some time out of our daily lives to sit down and have a little chat. There are of course those who do not want us to speak. I suspect even now, orders are being shouted into telephones, and men with guns will soon be on their way. Why? Because while the truncheon may be used in lieu of conversation, words will always retain their power. Words offer the means to meaning, and for those who will listen, the enunciation of truth. And the truth is, there is something terribly wrong with this country, isn't there? Cruelty and injustice, intolerance and oppression. And where once you had the freedom to object, to think and speak as you saw fit, you now have censors and systems of surveillance coercing your conformity and soliciting your submission. How did this happen? Who's to blame? Well certainly there are those more responsible than others, and they will be held accountable, but again truth be told, if you're looking for the guilty, you need only look into a mirror. I know why you did it. I know you were afraid. Who wouldn't be? War, terror, disease. There were a myriad of problems which conspired to corrupt your reason and rob you of your common sense. Fear got the best of you, and in your panic you turned to the now high chancellor, Adam Sutler. He promised you order, he promised you peace, and all he demanded in return was your silent, obedient consent. Last night I sought to end that silence. Last night I destroyed the Old Bailey, to remind this country of what it has forgotten. More than four hundred years ago a great citizen wished to embed the fifth of November forever in our memory. His hope was to remind the world that fairness, justice, and freedom are more than words, they are perspectives. So if you've seen nothing, if the crimes of this government remain unknown to you then I would suggest you allow the fifth of November to pass unmarked. But if you see what I see, if you feel as I feel, and if you would seek as I seek, then I ask you to stand beside me one year from tonight, outside the gates of Parliament, and together we shall give them a fifth of November that shall never, ever be forgot.
***********************
I can't believe that on this article, 360+ comments and I'm the first to quote this.
The young author is so naive. Remember our 'Land of Confusion', and the War? 'My Generation' will get it right! We were teaching the people to 'Love One Another Right Now'. Now we are already in the Age of Aquarius and the devotees are all enlightened in the Cosmic Consciousness. Does he really believe that this bunch of effeminate slackers is going to stand up to water cannons and tear gas? Their smartphones might get wet while texting 'Come dn to the R3VOLution!'
As I told the other nincompoop, human nature does not change ya moron.
and they'll never be able to run fast enough from the tear gas in their skinny jeans, or see where they're going with the bug-eye glasses.
Where are all the people in the streets?
Well flouridated and hypnotized by the 1080p flicker rate.
It seems like Strauss & Howe in “The Fourth Turning” hit it right on the head. Good call, but I sure wish they where wrong. Because it's going to look ugly.
It's probably going to be "ugly" beyond our comprehension. The result will not be anything any of us can imagine now. Remember, it's early. Strauss and Howe don't mark the end of this until, roughly, 2026. If they are correct, many of us will not be living to see it, and it will not be because of old age.
"While the 20th century was a brutal and violent one, some amazing things happened. Two prophets, Martin Luther King Jr. and Mohandas Gandhi we able to usher in a period of tremendous social justice for their respective causes through non-violent means"
"Social Justice", really? This site is really f'd up....too many kids living with their parents thinking they undertand what REALLY makes the world turn.
I've got an ass full of social justice, don't need to pay for any more...
Night kids.
V for VICTORY ............ THANK YOU, ALEX JONES, FOR YOUR EFFORTS. GOD BLESS YOUR HEART / ALEX JONES IS THE NEW JOHN WAYNE . IT'S TIME FOR THE JOHN WAYNES OF THIS UNITED STATES of AMERICA TO RIDE TALL & SPEAK TRUTH. 1913-2013 ........ 100 YEARS, IT IS OVER, THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK IS FINISHED.
Does anyone know how to track this Mike Krieger guy down? I can't seem to find any contact information out there when doing search. I'd like to get on his email list and get in touch on speaking at out economics club.
AGRICULTURE
What Is Really Causing ‘Agflation’?
http://www.ipsnews.net/news.asp?idnews=42134
I appreciate the fervor, and the market calls are correct
But you lack vision.
Mostly, there this main problem with what your're saying: Your generation is a generation of WORTHLESS FUCKWAD IDIOTS completely out of touch with reality, pampered, clueless BUBBLE-HEADED MORONS of the we-the-people aw-shucks-cant-we-all-get-along variety that's EVEN WORSE than the generation that preceded it. Re: Fourth Turning predicitons et. al.
Fourth Turning? HA! You fucking idiot. WORLD. WAR. THREE.
And fyi: I'm a memeber of your piece-of-shit generation of iPod idiots