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Gold and Silver v. Currencies

thetechnicaltake's picture




Figures 1 and 2 are weekly charts of continuous gold and silver contracts, respectively. The indicator in the lower panel measures each metal's 52 week performance relative to a basket of 8 currencies.Those currencies are: 1) Australian Dollar; 2) Canadian Dollar; 3) Swiss Franc; 4) Eurodollar; 5) British Pound; 6) Singaporean Dollar; 7) Japanese Yen; 8) US Dollar. Relative to these currencies, gold and silver are outperforming. Over the past decade, such outperformance led to significant gains in the price of the metal.

Figure 1. Gold v. Currencies/ weekly

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Figure 2. Silver v. Currencies/ weekly





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Fri, 09/04/2009 - 06:12 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Thu, 09/03/2009 - 22:47 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Thu, 09/03/2009 - 20:45 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Thu, 09/03/2009 - 19:57 | Link to Comment Gunther
Gunther's picture

What is new about that?

The currency basket looks strange to me:

4) Eurodollar, 8) US dollar??

Should 4) read euro instead?

Thu, 09/03/2009 - 18:18 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Thu, 09/03/2009 - 17:38 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Thu, 09/03/2009 - 18:38 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Thu, 09/03/2009 - 16:49 | Link to Comment Lionhead
Lionhead's picture

Any more news about buyers taking physical delivery? If gold takes off, futures buyers may want delivery on their contracts in coming months. Note how gold rose as LME was closed on Monday. This could also be a short squeeze.

Thu, 09/03/2009 - 20:21 | Link to Comment Howard_Beale
Howard_Beale's picture

You can take delivery of a bankers bar but as of March 27th, no more kilo bars:

http://seekingalpha.com/article/128150-nyse-runs-out-of-gold-bars-what-happens-next

 

Thu, 09/03/2009 - 19:53 | Link to Comment Frank Owen
Frank Owen's picture

"Hong Kong recalls gold reserves, touts high-security vault
In a challenge to London, Asian states invited to store bullion closer to home"

The Hong Kong Monetary Authority, which functions as the territory's unofficial central bank, will transfer its gold reserves stored in other vaults to the depository later this year, the Hong Kong government said in an earlier statement. 

The monetary authority reported $63 million in physical gold reserves as of July 31, according to its International Reserves and Foreign Currency Liquidity statement. The authority wouldn't disclose where the reserves are held, but local media reports cited gold traders as saying that London's the most likely location.

Source: http://www.marketwatch.com/story/hong-kong-recalls-gold-reserves-from-lo...

$63million, uh, around 63,000 ounces.... I wonder if it is currently lent out?? Might explain gold rocketing the last couple days.

 

Thu, 09/03/2009 - 16:53 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Fri, 09/04/2009 - 05:15 | Link to Comment eggy123
eggy123's picture

FYI - Central Fund of Canada (CEF) may be better than an ETF. They claim to have 90+% in physical, unencumbered gold.

Thu, 09/03/2009 - 18:29 | Link to Comment Joe Sixpack
Joe Sixpack's picture

80X more paper than gold in existence according to Martin Hennecke:

 

http://www.cnbc.com/id/32638139/

Thu, 09/03/2009 - 21:57 | Link to Comment Rusty_Shackleford
Rusty_Shackleford's picture

Martin Hennecke rules.

Thu, 09/03/2009 - 18:45 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Thu, 09/03/2009 - 18:39 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Thu, 09/03/2009 - 16:47 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Thu, 09/03/2009 - 17:31 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Thu, 09/03/2009 - 16:45 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Thu, 09/03/2009 - 16:44 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Thu, 09/03/2009 - 18:21 | Link to Comment wwtdd
wwtdd's picture

no but you CAN have a paper that is backed by a metal..a la USD pre nixon years..

Fri, 09/04/2009 - 07:36 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Thu, 09/03/2009 - 20:44 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Thu, 09/03/2009 - 16:29 | Link to Comment Joe Sixpack
Joe Sixpack's picture

hard money > fiat currency

Thu, 09/03/2009 - 16:21 | Link to Comment austij
austij's picture

Is there a point or is this just a factoid?

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