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Gold Below $1,200 As Asset Liquidations Spread Like Wildfire

Tyler Durden's picture




 

The European liquidations we discussed earlier courtesy of the ECB MRO and the repo rate spike, which resulted in a massive EURUSD covering squeeze, have followed through into industrial commodities such as oil and lastly into gold. And as liquidations are merely emblematic of a broken liquidity system (as the name implies), the unwind behind the scenes must be fierce. On the other hand, as the only recourse to prevent an all out systemic collapse should the deflationary trend continue, from Ben Bernanke's perspective, is just to print more money and thus solidify the position of the precious metal as undilutable and a currency which can not be backed with toxic MBS and Greek Sov Bonds, today's sell off is a much welcomed respite for the commodity which traded at record highs as recently as this week. Also, our recent disclosure of PM market manipulation via disclosed COMEX-OTC arbing by such former behemoths as AIG then (and presumably JPM now), should only add to your comfort that once the finger on the scales is removed, the natural reaction will be that of a coiled spring.

In the meantime, here is a one year gold price chart.

 

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Thu, 07/01/2010 - 15:20 | 447202 Oracle of Kypseli
Oracle of Kypseli's picture

watch for an israeli attack on iran this weekend.

Load up on PM's

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 15:21 | 447207 unwashedmass
unwashedmass's picture

 

ah. lightbulb goes off. thank you.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 15:21 | 447208 unwashedmass
unwashedmass's picture

 

ah. lightbulb goes off. thank you.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 15:26 | 447223 rich_maverick
rich_maverick's picture

Not this week-end.  New Moon on July 11th, 12th, 13th.  If you are going to do a stealth attack on the Iranian targets, you don't want to have people able to "see you".

 

Rich

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 15:30 | 447241 kridkrid
kridkrid's picture

What about the All Star Game?

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 17:52 | 447706 RichardENixon
RichardENixon's picture

Israel is going to attack the All Star Game?

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 19:25 | 447876 ColonelCooper
ColonelCooper's picture

Nice.  I just spit beer.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 15:31 | 447246 unwashedmass
unwashedmass's picture

the days of that type of warfare are probably long gone. Now you need to look for the "new moon" type media days.....

like a long, long weekend in the US where people can't mobilize and march on washington demanding they stop starting wars. and when the talking heads are all out of town.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 16:01 | 447376 e_goldstein
e_goldstein's picture

yep.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 16:41 | 447377 e_goldstein
e_goldstein's picture

<double post>

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 16:38 | 447521 DocLogo
DocLogo's picture

New Moon? Are they werewolves?

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 16:48 | 447554 HedgingInfinite...
HedgingInfiniteRiskIsNotPossible's picture

You also don't want them to "detect you" on "radar".

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 17:05 | 447597 Treeplanter
Treeplanter's picture

They wouldn't spoil the Fourth.  Ramadan would be a good time for it.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 17:21 | 447637 Oracle of Kypseli
Oracle of Kypseli's picture

Maybe early morning Tuesday when everyone is digesting the burgers 

Fri, 07/02/2010 - 06:20 | 448632 Escapeclaws
Escapeclaws's picture

Just curious how you know this.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 16:07 | 447397 Alexandre Stavisky
Alexandre Stavisky's picture

Whales eating whales.  Rare raptorial whales even.

Another market setup.  The architects of the financial matrix are riding herd and squeezing every little operator however they can.  There is no safe haven nor protective harbours.  Only relativities of wealth preservation.

They have access to information and horizon views we can only dream of.

It's their world, boss.  Their world.  You've got hope and stubborn gold.

Today is their day.  They are ceaselessly disincentivizing the entire productive class.  No way to plan for the future, no confidence in anything but PMs.

This mirage of wealth can vanish in an instant in these conditions.

Pray not. Pray not.  But prepare.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 17:24 | 447648 -Michelle-
-Michelle-'s picture

Thank you, thank you, thank you to whomever put silver on sale today!

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 19:09 | 447844 Temporalist
Temporalist's picture

You should also include the link to the PDF as it's easier to read/manipulate (I've linked PDF for you).

http://www.jubileeprosperity.com/?p=482&upm_export=pdf

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 15:53 | 447339 unwashedmass
unwashedmass's picture

 

if anyone still harbors any illusions about the integrity of our markets or our "regulators"....this all should put it to rest today.

corruption rules!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 21:21 | 448081 Inspector Asset
Inspector Asset's picture

I say Friday will be be black Friday. 

 

800-1000 point drop on the DOW.

 

I have been waiting about 6 month to say this.

 

Yes tomorrow will be black Friday and you heard it hear first.

 

Monday isn't looking good either.

 

I dont have the time to explain.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 22:57 | 448288 RockyRacoon
RockyRacoon's picture

You don't have time to explain?  What, gotta get the kids to soccer practice?  Is there a new Dancing With the Stars on?  Gotta take the trash out?   Come on, give us the goods.  Monday is not looking good?  Something against the 4th of July holiday?

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 23:14 | 448323 akak
akak's picture

I say Friday will be be black Friday. 800-1000 point drop on the DOW.  I have been waiting about 6 month to say this.  Yes tomorrow will be black Friday and you heard it hear first.  Monday isn't looking good either. I dont have the time to explain.

 

I have discovered a truly marvelous proof that it is impossible to separate a cube into two cubes, or a fourth power into two fourth powers, or in general, any power higher than the second into two like powers. This margin is too narrow to contain it.

Fri, 07/02/2010 - 00:36 | 448467 RockyRacoon
RockyRacoon's picture

Too sad to hear that.  I was going to post my solution to world hunger, but I really have to get to the Kiwanis meeting.  Maybe later, eh?

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 15:10 | 447151 Mako
Mako's picture

When all is said and done all these supposed asset prices are a function of a working global credit system.  Expect bigger and bigger moves in both directions.

Musical chairs, eventually all the chairs will be gone.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 15:36 | 447275 Ripped Chunk
Ripped Chunk's picture

"a function of a working global credit system"

WTF is that?

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 15:58 | 447326 Mako
Mako's picture

The opposite of what you have today, where credit creation is growing.

The gold chart looks like the stock charts, credit crunch... huge sell off... bounced off lows.  When you owe money you need to liquidate something to pay the bills.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 15:55 | 447349 pan-the-ist
pan-the-ist's picture

Is Mako a gold bug? I can't remember.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 16:15 | 447410 Mako
Mako's picture

Don't love gold, not hate gold, some for possible trading when the system collapses might come in handing, who knows.  I wouldn't hold it thinking I am going to be rich like some of these nutbags think.    I have some, some. 

I would much rather be able to take care of myself and produce my own food than to hold pounds of gold.  

The problem with the goldbugs is they are holders of it when it goes down ignore the negative and when it goes up they cheer.  Really what they are doing is the same as the CNBC crowd.   Money for nothing and their chicks for free.

I had this one nutbag explain how he was going to buy a whole downtown block in Chicago with skyscrappers included with one gold coin.   He read it in a book. :)  Most of the goldbugs will do what like they did the last time and time before that and the time before that... ride up and ride down the other side. 

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 16:19 | 447445 megatoxic
megatoxic's picture

This is the only rational vis a vis gold or ANY asset class.

What puzzles me is why gold-tards insist on turning this one particular asset class into an idol.  Bizarre and creepy.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 16:28 | 447486 Mako
Mako's picture

I agree... if they were worshipping the Sun and the corn that grows from the Sun I could understand that a lot better.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 16:30 | 447494 pan-the-ist
pan-the-ist's picture

Which asset do you plan to own to attempt to preserve your wealth when the system collapses?

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 16:34 | 447509 megatoxic
megatoxic's picture

That's what so many here don't understand:

THERE IS NO PRESERVATION OF WEALTH WHEN THE SYSTEM COLLAPSES.

A select few may be able to transfer money among different asset classes fast enough--and with enough pure, dumb luck--to preserve some fraction of their wealth.

But if the deflationary apocalypse comes--as I believe it will--then your question is akin to asking whether an umbrella or a raincoat serves as better protection against a tsunami.

Food, family, health, safety: these are the assets that will be valued most highly in teh coming years.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 16:42 | 447528 Mako
Mako's picture

It's going to be challenging for sure.

I have no problem if someone wants to hold on to some PMs, maybe they will be used in trade of used goods or something.

For the most part, I would rather my land, food stock, water, shelter, chickens and guns and ammo.  

I would invest in a shit load of LUCK if I could find it anywhere.  :)  Going to need plenty of that.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 17:01 | 447589 Cathartes Aura
Cathartes Aura's picture

then I'll wish you some "luck" . . .

since it sounds like you've got your tangibles in sound order, luck is simply extra, eh. . . I like the order you listed them in, as well. . .

by the way, all those who are storing up their golds, if they're not also storing those things on your list, me thinks some gold will be coming your way in trades, hmm?

good post Mako - all the best.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 17:32 | 447665 -Michelle-
-Michelle-'s picture

I think I've asked you this before, but what makes you think that those who hold PMs don't already have all of that?

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 20:10 | 447953 New_Meat
New_Meat's picture

Cha--better to be lucky than to be good.  But work on Good - Ned

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 16:40 | 447532 DocLogo
DocLogo's picture

Lead?

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 17:05 | 447599 Iam_Silverman
Iam_Silverman's picture

"Lead?"

Yup, the really poor mans PM!  It's like trading up.  Should you really need Gold/Silver, enough lead can get you some - providing the PM holders are not also as heavily invested in lead and delivery devices as you are...

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 23:15 | 448328 Things that go bump
Things that go bump's picture

Booze.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 17:04 | 447524 akak
akak's picture

"What puzzles me is why gold-tards insist on turning this one particular asset class into an idol.  Bizarre and creepy."

I can't imagine that it might have anything to do with sociopathic politicians and banksters turning their eternally-devaluing and failing Ponzi scam of fiat currency into a vastly more ubiquitous and omnipresent idol --- and forcing EVERYONE to bow at its feet upon pain of death.

Any advocate of gold would be happy to allow any advocate of fiat currency to use paper currency within the freedom of the marketplace if they so chose --- yet curious how the statist, monopolistic defenders of fiat currency invariably refuse to allow those favoring gold the same option.

If the advocates of gold strike you as passionate, it may be because throught history gold has represented monetary and economic freedom, whereas fiat currency has always and can only represent statist coercion, dishonesty, monetary fraud and tyranny.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 17:45 | 447690 Rusty_Shackleford
Rusty_Shackleford's picture

Bingo.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 17:19 | 447632 tmosley
tmosley's picture

Because people like you hate it so.  You buy what everyone else hates, and sell what everyone else loves.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 16:29 | 447490 pan-the-ist
pan-the-ist's picture

I'm long TP, but nobody's asking me.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 16:37 | 447517 Mako
Mako's picture

Yeah... man's greatest invention if you ask me.  :)

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 16:39 | 447526 megatoxic
megatoxic's picture

You clearly don't live in the South, else you'd recognize Air Conditioning as the pinnacle of all human achievement.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 16:44 | 447542 Mako
Mako's picture

Lived in the South about half my life.  I would take TP over AC any day. 

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 18:45 | 447804 UncleFester
UncleFester's picture

Rather sweat than shiver...plus it's hard to impress the Mrs. when you're in turtle-mode.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 19:13 | 447851 Temporalist
Temporalist's picture

You can always wear more clothes but you can't get more naked.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 20:13 | 447960 UncleFester
UncleFester's picture

But being naked is fun.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 21:34 | 448104 Temporalist
Temporalist's picture

Not when it's freezing out.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 16:42 | 447536 DocLogo
DocLogo's picture

Sans the 3 sea shells

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 15:07 | 447152 geminiRX
geminiRX's picture

Market conditions would likely be much worse today if the TSX was trading today

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 15:10 | 447162 Ragnarok
Ragnarok's picture

Happy Canada Day!

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 15:15 | 447181 Treeplanter
Treeplanter's picture

Happy Dominion Day (for the old timers)!  My TSX miners must get hit tomorrow.  Coiled spring tension rises.  Hurry up, coiled spring.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 15:20 | 447201 FranSix
FranSix's picture

Just keep watching those short term rates in the U.S.

http://www.bloomberg.com/markets/rates-bonds/government-bonds/us/

Extreme Futures, if they ever manage to get it right, should have the usual suspects before things lighten up:

Treasuries, Yen, Gold in the winners and Copper, Oil, Silver in amongst the losers:

http://quotes.ino.com/analysis/extremes/futures

 

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 23:54 | 448396 pitz
pitz's picture

Most of the TSX-listed stocks that are also NYSE listed got slammed today.  -6% on ABX (Barrick).  Totally bizarre, the gold stocks barely have any upside, but seem to have leveraged downside on days like today.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 15:09 | 447158 unwashedmass
unwashedmass's picture

 

again, could we stop pretending that the massive galactic bullion banks short position doesn't exist? and that they have to cover before they get killed?

and that our "regulators" are standing with their thumbs firmly up their butts once again today?

i mean, let's show the world exactly how corrupt our markets are......and light it up in neon.....

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 15:09 | 447161 CarsRCoffins
CarsRCoffins's picture

I know I shouldn't be watching, but...Ron Insana is on CNBC bemoaning the "march of the machines" and fearing that this is all "black box trading".  What hole did that tool just dig his head out of?  These market summations by the CNBC "ALL STARS" are classic!

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 16:03 | 447381 DosZap
DosZap's picture

Cars,

You just have to feel for him, he's a part of the Great Unwashed Masses..........he's in it day after day, is so clueless, it's really sad.(except the CNBC folks believe in their fake system).

Machines my ass.........QE 2.0, ready for take off, kick in that 5 Trillion after burner,,,,,,,,,,,10/4 Maverick.

Fri, 07/02/2010 - 04:41 | 448599 Oh regional Indian
Oh regional Indian's picture

Hey Cars, I like your handle. Nader here on ZH? Who would have thought!

Even have a whole solution so they not be coffins anymore. Check it out when you get a chance (http://squareandc.net)

 

Gold, Silver, Land, Community, Self-Awareness, Balance, Detachment, Low needs No wants, in-dependence......

All of the above in no particular order of importance and in just the right proportions for "your" particular circumstance, is about how I see what we all need.

 

ORI

http://aadivaahan.wordpress.com

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 15:10 | 447167 papaswamp
papaswamp's picture

come on down lower...I need more.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 15:11 | 447170 johngaltfla
johngaltfla's picture

The question I need an answer to:

Which Hedge Fund(s) are going Tango Uniform?

Because someone got their nuts caught in the golf ball cleaner with this move.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 15:48 | 447317 Mesquite
Mesquite's picture

Because someone got their nuts caught in the golf ball cleaner with this move.

Too funny....!!

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 16:11 | 447418 Geoff-UK
Geoff-UK's picture

Agree.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 16:13 | 447424 e_goldstein
e_goldstein's picture

you are a funny guy, mr. galt.  I enjoy your radio show, too. thank you.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 18:38 | 447786 velobabe
velobabe's picture

golf ball cleaners are so tall and high. how can a man get them caught?

i know someone invented a hollowed out pipe like golf club, so men can pee pee in it (sorry if that is gross), just think it is hilarious.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 20:14 | 447962 UncleFester
UncleFester's picture

That'll never sell, the entire golf course is our urinal.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 22:03 | 448173 johngaltfla
johngaltfla's picture

Actually, there was a nominee back in 2000 for a Darwin Award. He was drunk. He slipped. His leg turned the crank. His friends had a cell phone and called 911. Good thing a squirrel didn't run by and pick them up.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 15:13 | 447174 brockbrock
brockbrock's picture

Store of value!

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 15:33 | 447260 JLee2027
JLee2027's picture

I'll be using FRN's to wipe my ass before long.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 15:14 | 447176 stopthenewworldorder
stopthenewworldorder's picture

the assholes at the cftc need to be put in medieval stocks in Times Square and pelted with gold and silver eagles by the public - actually add bernanke, geithner and all the other crooks too...would be most gratifying watching wincing like the pussies they are

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 16:09 | 447408 DosZap
DosZap's picture

stop,

you could put me in stocks, and pelt me, if you use Eagles......:>)

Seriously, this is going to kill the little man, and working stiffs.....

I can't imagine not having insurance and cash............95% do not have either.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 16:15 | 447431 e_goldstein
e_goldstein's picture

you would waste gold and silver on banksters? 

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 18:08 | 447740 Rusty_Shackleford
Rusty_Shackleford's picture

Yeah.  55grn lead at 3200 fps sounds more like it.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 15:14 | 447179 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

What me worry?  When the dust clears the only thing still holding real value will be metal.  Look at the doelarr fall!  When people can not trust the doelarr, they will panic and run to gold.  It will be too late for most.  This is all happening so fast.....

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 15:32 | 447255 Johnny Bravo
Johnny Bravo's picture

DXY in 1985 = 80.

DXY in 2010 = still above 80.

Doesn't sound like it's falling to me.  Don't give me that "what about inflation" crap either.
Is our standard of living much higher than it was?  Well there's the extra value that you say the dollar lost.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 15:37 | 447277 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

DXY=Crap index

Don't give me papah vs. papah valuations.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 15:49 | 447323 hack3434
hack3434's picture

 

**Correction**

DXY in 1985 = 164.72 

DXY in 2010 = 84.63

 

 

FAIL!

 

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 16:08 | 447400 monmick
Thu, 07/01/2010 - 16:16 | 447436 Bolweevil
Bolweevil's picture

Tap out Johnny Left Hand, tap out.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 18:01 | 447712 Rusty_Shackleford
Rusty_Shackleford's picture

Fxxkin-A.

 

WTF was THAT??????????

 

Worst comment ever, Johnny B.

 

Price of Gold 1985 ≈ $300-$340

 

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rX7wtNOkuHo

 

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 15:59 | 447363 Internet Tough Guy
Internet Tough Guy's picture

What was the price of a movie in 85? A hamburger? Johnny B don't know.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 16:16 | 447435 Bendromeda Strain
Bendromeda Strain's picture

In '85 he was only concerned with diaper rash.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 17:22 | 447644 tmosley
tmosley's picture

If that.  The boy is still in school.  I'd peg his birthdate as 1987 at the earliest.  More likely 1989 or 90.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 16:40 | 447531 JLee2027
JLee2027's picture

In 1975 it was .29 cents. You could get 2 Hamburgers, Fries and a drink and get change back from your dollar. There was actually a TV commercial about it.  Around 1980, the commercial changed so it was only one hamburger not two. Ah..inflation.

I remember $3 dollar movie tickets.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 23:09 | 448317 RockyRacoon
RockyRacoon's picture

In 1965 we loaded up a car full of people and went to the drive in for $1.  It was "Car Load" night.  Great popcorn, and sex under the big screen was fantastic.  Just don't forget to remove the speaker before you drive off...

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 16:14 | 447428 DosZap
DosZap's picture

JB,

Uh, "Is our standard of living much higher than it was?"

Fk No............and by no means for sure, there's been NO inflation since 85.

Salaries,wages, cost of living ratios are so much higher now percentage wise, it's laughable.

You must be the Exception To the Rule.............

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 19:19 | 447862 Temporalist
Temporalist's picture

No the standard of living is not higher.  Maybe for you.  For many they are waiting in lines for Medical Clinics by the thousands.  Millons on welfare and food stamps.  There are so many more people on lines in homeless shelters that thousands are turned away.

Or did you not notice that there are millions unemployed?  That people have lost life savings in the ponzi markets?

And why is the U.N., Russia, China, Japan, Iran, France, Germany, et al trying to replace the dollar as the world reserve currency?  Because they know it's garbage and headed to the trash bin of history.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 15:15 | 447184 Bay of Pigs
Bay of Pigs's picture

Looks like all the Europeans just sold every ounce they had and rushed back to the "safe haven" of the Euro and Pound.

Yeah, that's it. LMAO.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 15:17 | 447189 stopthenewworldorder
stopthenewworldorder's picture

from my perspective in the UK as much as I see the fallacy of trusting the Dollar, it has a whole load going for it in the next quarter - expect a big rally in the toxic greenback versus other fiat looroll as the ignorant masses know no other way

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 16:46 | 447547 Slash
Slash's picture

truth. We get ahead of ourselves here at ZH. The vast majority of people still fall in the "fool" camp. Look at how many posts we still get here about "gold bubble" and the "direction" of gold. Solid proof of a lack of understanding of gold/silver's monetary history and how our current system works. 

 

What I'm trying to say is that there is no shortage of greater fools to keep the game going for quite some time. Gold and silver will be taken down just like they were in 2008 along with everything else as the dollar skyrockets, simply a function of the false belief of "dollar" safety. Gold/silver will not skyrocket (measured in fiat paper) until we've fallen well through the 2008 lows, done QE4.0 (with no benefits whatsoever), and people start looking around and saying "so what now?" and start investigating what is truly happening.

 

ask anyone on the street if they think america is a wealthy country......they will all say yes.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 18:12 | 447747 Rusty_Shackleford
Rusty_Shackleford's picture

"Gold and silver will be taken down just like they were in 2008 along with everything else as the dollar skyrockets"

 

Bingo. 

All real PM advocates know this, and are prepared to buy hand over fist,...just like in 2008.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 16:54 | 447568 DosZap
DosZap's picture

stop,

You know the scariest, and the worst part of this is, the US Media has been reporting the Dollar, is NOT safe haven material anymore, and millions still flock to it.

It's a tossup, which is worst the pound, or the $,once the Reserve status is pulled folks had better be so far from the USD, their lost.

It's hard to break old habits, and few they be, that were alive when it became the GO TO paper.

In any kind of projected, hard times.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 15:17 | 447192 MGA_1
MGA_1's picture

I think the drops earlier this week set things up - last market sell off saw gold move up.  hmm.... well, I'm definitely not selling what may be the only currency left in a year...

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 15:19 | 447198 billhilly
billhilly's picture

INDEPENDENCE DAY SALE on GOLD!  HAPPY HAPPY

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 15:20 | 447200 cognitis
cognitis's picture

I went long Gold yesterday at the at that time good price of about $1242; what should I do now? Hold on? I'm down about $60,000.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 15:25 | 447221 Bay of Pigs
Bay of Pigs's picture

So you bought 1500 ounces or are you playing the financial suicide paper game?

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 17:11 | 447610 cognitis
cognitis's picture

15 COMEX contracts. What's "financial suicide paper game"?

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 17:26 | 447653 tmosley
tmosley's picture

You're playing it :(

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 17:37 | 447673 cognitis
cognitis's picture

Unless you're BOP's sockpuppet, you couldn't know BOP's description; but in any case, this site attracts many Gold Bugs who ignorantly and recklessly describe COMEX as a fraudulent gold market; these same idiots then direct other idiots to churn and burn bullion and coin dealers who mark up bullion by over $50 an ounce.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 18:06 | 447736 Bay of Pigs
Bay of Pigs's picture

cognitis,

All I meant is that futures/options can be very risky as opposed to just holding the metal longer term. Margin got me a couple of years ago, so I understand how you feel.  I'm sorry you got whacked. BTW, I do think the COMEX is fraudulent in many respects and today's waterfall move down was a classic example of that. Anyhow, good luck to you. 

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 21:00 | 448035 tmosley
tmosley's picture

You are buying from the wrong places if you are paying $50 an oz, unless you are buying a coin of some sort.  If you want a good delivery bar, they can be had from APMEX for next to no premium.

And no, anyone who has been in this game for any amount of time knows what he was talking about.  Playing in the COMEX is like a reverse lottery ticket--if you number comes up, you lose your investment--all of it, because they WILL default, just like they have in the past.  If you are absolutely CERTAIN that they are not a fraud, then you will get what you deserve.  Your sneering dismissal of those with a lot more experience in these matters might just come back to bite you.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 23:17 | 448329 RockyRacoon
RockyRacoon's picture

As one of those dastardly coin dealers described above, I can say you are generally correct.  But premiums will vary according to the spot price.  Today was not a good day for dealers to sell at last week's purchase prices.  It's all relative.  I've seen dealers sell gold they did not have at low premiums.  Sorta like COMEX...

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 15:28 | 447231 Dr. Sandi
Dr. Sandi's picture

Hell YES, hold onto your Gold! It's scary, sure. But it's gonna pay off big if you can just sit tight!

And for once, there's not an ounce of sarcasm in my post.

 

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 23:25 | 448346 RockyRacoon
RockyRacoon's picture

I agree.  The problem comes with defining "pay off big".  For some it is making more of the fiat butt-wipe trading with more fiat butt-wipe.  For others it means survival if the need arises.  If it does not arise, all the better.   It's a matter of perspective, n'est pas?

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 15:31 | 447250 SMG
SMG's picture

There is no question that over the next few years, eventually your position will make money.  The hard part is what happens between now and hyperinflation.  If it is QE2 from here, then you will see an immediate return.  If not gold and silver could drop quite a bit until they start the hyper money printing.  Personally I'm waiting for a decent drop before I load up again, but stand ready jump in big if I'm wrong and the hyperinflation starts now.

Only the Illuminati and insiders know the exact details of how this is going to unfold.  All we can do is take our best guess and try to survive.

 

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 15:34 | 447265 Johnny Bravo
Johnny Bravo's picture

Wait for a technical bounce and then liquidate!

I hope you get your money back, but you bought on the retest of the wedge's bottom trendline, so I'm not sure it's going to get that high again soon.

I'm sorry that you lost money.  Holding for long periods of time will be even worse though.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 17:15 | 447618 cognitis
cognitis's picture

What are "technical bounce" and "wedge"? What if a fund dumps gold down $30 tonight? Wait again for "technical bounce"? Wouldn't I be better if I just got flat now rather than risk additional fund dumping? What if the "technical bounce" is less than the prior additional dumping? You don't trade real money, do you?

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 19:34 | 447887 Diogenes
Diogenes's picture

Cognitis if you are worried you can buy some slightly out of the money puts for insurance. But judging by your posts you DO NOT belong in the futures markets. You simply don't know enough. You obviously do not have a plan.

The thing for you to do is get out but when you can get out with the minimum loss, or possibly a profit, I do not know. It depends if gold goes up before your account blows out. The puts will give you staying power.

Suggest you get flat as soon as you can get out with a whole skin and don't get back in until you study and paper trade for a while. Start by reading anything by Van K Tharpe.

I apologize  if this sounds harsh. Right now you need straight talk more than happy talk and this is as plain as I can make it.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 23:36 | 448370 RockyRacoon
RockyRacoon's picture

The people who need to be in the futures markets are jewellers and electronics manufacturers, for example.  Most others are speculators who have little understanding of what gold really is.  Hope that's not too harsh.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 23:54 | 448397 GoinFawr
GoinFawr's picture

I think this can be considered a 'tap out' by JB.

Oh tell us, tell us again how the USD was worth the same in 1985 as it is today Johnny...

Your TA on that point was so thorough.

 

 

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 15:38 | 447280 Ripped Chunk
Ripped Chunk's picture

Go on vacation. Party, enjoy yourself.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 15:45 | 447303 JLee2027
JLee2027's picture

I went long Gold yesterday at the at that time good price of about $1242; what should I do now? Hold on? I'm down about $60,000.

Sure you did.  And my name is Mickey Mouse.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 17:18 | 447626 cognitis
cognitis's picture

No, you're name is Pee Wee Herman. Why dispute my facts on public forum? Public service for other readers? If I exposed my facts as hypothetical, should responses differ?

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 17:33 | 447663 JLee2027
JLee2027's picture

Is this your first message board experience sir? I would advise you to read "Message Boards for Dummies, how to detect liars, cheats, and outright frauds".  Includes a special section on dealing with people stupid enough to ask for financial advice in a public forum. Available at your local bookstore.

Thank you for your time.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 17:42 | 447685 cognitis
cognitis's picture

I see. So I should consult some idiot who wrote a book in order to scam other idiots like you in "detecting fraud" instead of requesting help gratis (free) in a chatroom. So you prefer to pay idiots for advice rather than receive it for free? Is that it? In any case respond to my post and don't just rant: whether or not I actually traded affects not at all responses or advice, does it?

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 18:14 | 447750 JLee2027
JLee2027's picture

WHOOSH

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 16:38 | 447522 Treeplanter
Treeplanter's picture

Hang in there.  You will still thrive.  The disappointment is in not having that cash to buy bargains.  In a rigged market you just take the punches, knowing gold rules in the long run.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 16:59 | 447579 DosZap
DosZap's picture

cog,

As she said,HOLD..............no way you lose, over the next 12-24 mos, I bet far less.

You close that position, you will kick you ass the rest of your life.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 19:06 | 447839 technovelist
technovelist's picture

Did you buy physical gold, with no margin loan or other encumbrance? If so, hold. Otherwise, sell. Don't use margin with gold.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 15:20 | 447203 Muir
Muir's picture

Kinda have to disagree here with TD and the comments.

So, your gonna have a major deflation and gold up simultaneously?

Jus how exactly do you do that?

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 15:27 | 447220 BrianOFlanagan
BrianOFlanagan's picture

I'd have to agree with you - deflation is gold's Kryptonite, about the only thing that could bring it down.

 

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 15:30 | 447239 megatoxic
megatoxic's picture

Shhhhhhh.........

This place is crawling with a bunch of wannabe Supermen who think that a few ounces of the stuff in the backyard will keep them safe while the world burns...

Deflation shatters everyone, even Gold-tards.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 15:41 | 447288 dryam
dryam's picture

Gold is down 3% today & it's the best performing asset class in the past 10 years.  You are right, it's stupid to be in gold.

Dipshit.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 15:44 | 447299 megatoxic
megatoxic's picture

Wow!  The best performing asset class in the last 10 years???  Sign me up---I'll take it all!!!

Just like I did when "tech stocks" where the best performing asset class in the last 10 years. 

That worked out GREAT for me.

Dumb-ass.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 15:59 | 447360 dryam
dryam's picture

Isn't time to get back to your JPMogran rat cubicle? 

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 17:17 | 447622 Burnbright
Burnbright's picture

Right cause something of value (Gold) is comparible to a bunch of college grads going public with no assets. God your fucking stupid.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 21:05 | 448046 tmosley
tmosley's picture

I hate to tell you, but "tech stocks" aren't an asset class.

Moron.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 15:31 | 447244 megatoxic
megatoxic's picture

double post

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 15:36 | 447274 Johnny Bravo
Johnny Bravo's picture

I disagree.  That's not necessarily true.  Gold has been moving marginally higher despite deflation over the past few years.

As long as there's a retard to drive prices up, prices will be driven up.  I know it SHOULD go down in deflation, but that doesn't mean it will!

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 15:44 | 447301 Fred C Dobbs
Fred C Dobbs's picture

retards like the governments of the world?

What is the low going to be and when will it get there?  I have read the wave theory people saying it will go to $600.  

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 15:59 | 447361 hound dog vigilante
hound dog vigilante's picture

"As long as there's a retard to drive prices up, prices will be driven up."

 

You mean a retard like central banks? 

Central banks backstop the price of gold. If gold is taken lower by deflationary panic, central banks will buy more and more, supporting the price level and maintaining gold's relative increase in value (v. everything else).

 

Gold bears have an irrational faith in FRNs/fiat & "trading" markets, yet they fail to understand that the CBs are puposefully, openly debasing paper money (and paper assets) while buying gold in huge quantities.

Gold bears are actually betting against CBs and their massive physical gold accumulation & holdings. Good luck with that.  Idiots.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 16:24 | 447472 AnAnonymous
AnAnonymous's picture

Indeed. On this site, there is an unexplainable thought that gold is going to hurt the big heavy players.

So yes, good luck with that.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 17:18 | 447628 DosZap
DosZap's picture

JB,

"As long as there's a retard to drive prices up, prices will be driven up."

Lot of retards out there huh?...........Soverigns, and CB's,those really dumb bastards..We all know their stupid as shit.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 16:13 | 447425 MaximumPig
MaximumPig's picture

Isn't the relevant question *not* the dollar value of gold, but the purchasing power of gold.  I.e., in a deflationary scenario, does gold gain purchasing power faster or slower than the dollar?  

Fri, 07/02/2010 - 21:53 | 450350 GoinFawr
GoinFawr's picture

"... in a deflationary scenario, does gold gain purchasing power faster or slower than the dollar?  "

 

Good question.

Ans. In 2008, no. In 201(x), very likely.

Regards

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 15:36 | 447273 Dr. Sandi
Dr. Sandi's picture

So, your gonna have a major deflation and gold up simultaneously?

Jus how exactly do you do that?

You have to pretend you invested for the long term benefits of quality and just sit and watch the turmoil. Gold and Silver will be the players left standing when some of us are using their stock certificates to warm the shack.

The Real Powers want as much of our Gold and Silver as they can scare us out of while this house of clowns crashes. When the paper is ash, PM will hold real value. More value than most of us are willing to visualize in this fresh peek at the scary times.

Why do you think Baron Rothschild just bought a major stake in BullionVault? He now owns another place where a lot of gold is being stored. And after the shareholders have all been paid off in fiat, the Vault will quietly close up shop with all its Gold intact.

Hold that Gold, fondle that Silver. It's going to be a bumpy ride, but if you think you were smart buying PMs before, keep confidence that it's still the right decision. It IS!

 

 

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 15:38 | 447278 Johnny Bravo
Johnny Bravo's picture

Buy gold when the economy's great.  Sell when fear is the highest. 

Don't buy insurance for your house after it has already burned down.

Buy gold again in the triple digits.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 23:42 | 448380 RockyRacoon
RockyRacoon's picture

It's good to hear that you have an entry price.  The down side is that you advocate buying paper gold.  Therein lies the trip wire.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 15:46 | 447309 Muir
Muir's picture

Dr. Sandi

You fall into a logical trap i.e. "You have to pretend you invested for the long term benefits of quality and just sit and watch the turmoil. Gold and Silver will be the players left standing when some of us are using their stock certificates to warm the shack.

... When the paper is ash, PM will hold real value. "

You have a blind spot.

 

Your entire statement argues for inflation.

 

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 16:22 | 447465 Bendromeda Strain
Bendromeda Strain's picture

No, no, no. Not inflation - currency crisis. You see the signs of crisis, but you do not yet see the ultimate form it will take.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 17:20 | 447634 Burnbright
Burnbright's picture

Muir, you also have a blind spot. You seem to think that they only way to cause inflation is by increasing either the money supply or money velocity, it isn't.

All China has to do is stop exporting to the US and you will witness massive inflation.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 17:42 | 447686 Muir
Muir's picture

Oh, no, I agree with you.

Or look at Iceland.

Or what would anyone have paid for a loaf of bread in Stalingrad in 1943?

 

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 17:47 | 447695 ozziindaus
ozziindaus's picture

You seem to think that they only way to cause inflation is by increasing either the money supply or money velocity, it isn't.

Ehhhmmm, how does that make any sense? That's exactly what has to happen by definition and BTW, China didn't have to try, it just happened through collapsing aggregate demand.... and what do you know??? 

http://investmenttools.com/futures/bdi_baltic_dry_index.htm

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 15:48 | 447318 Running on Empty
Running on Empty's picture

"The Real Powers want as much of our Gold and Silver as they can scare us out of while this house of clowns crashes. When the paper is ash, PM will hold real value. More value than most of us are willing to visualize in this fresh peek at the scary times."

Why in the fuck would they want an antiquated metal that only through conditioning we're led to believe has any value what so ever. It's to fucken soft for any industrial application other than making your wife happy when you give her some thus getting you layed, other than that what fucking useful purpose does it serve. When the SHTF I'll know who the Goldbugs are as they will be the ones trying to figure out how to move their heavy haul of useless fucking metal. Fuck you'ed think we were in the FN middle ages.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 16:00 | 447365 Mesquite
Mesquite's picture

Tell that to the computor , and modern weapons, industries...

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 16:16 | 447434 MaximumPig
MaximumPig's picture

You just enunciated what I've called the "tail theory of value" which is, how much tail will the goods in question buy you?  explains diamonds, gold, PMs, and eventually food, shelter and clothing.  and weed.

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 17:15 | 447613 Iam_Silverman
Iam_Silverman's picture

Deleted, deja vu style double post.  Must slow down clicking finger!

Thu, 07/01/2010 - 17:20 | 447635 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

Fat finger

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