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Gold Breakout Refuses To Stop As Imminent Fed QE 2 Expected To Confirm Double Dip Deteriorating
We apologize for pointing out the inevitable, but gold is now breaking out and the usual LBMA gimmicks to slam it down are no longer working. Is the price suppression regime over? And that worthless atavism of a bygone era, stocks, continue to surge on increasingly bad news, confirming that all trading is now driven on expectations of what the Fed will do next Tuesday. If Morgan Stanley is right, expect gold to hit $1,350 in under 7 days. Additionally, should this occur, it will merely confirm that the double dip is accelerating at an uncontrollable pace, and that without the Fed's intervention the economy will tumble. Time to end all this "is there or isn't there" a double dip bullshit already.
And here is Nic Lenoir with his take on QE. We believe the catalyst was not some Goldman announcement as widely misrepresented by the WSJ blog, as this has been the case for a long time, but the MS expectation of QE next week.
The market is aggressively pricing up everything that is USD denominated today. This maket has the sweet scent of quantitative easing. Equities have reversed their overnight / early mornign weakness, US Treasuries are up, and the dollar index is getting pummeled, while gold is accordingly screaming higher.
A few things to point regarding the Dollar Index: the 61.8% and 76.4% retracement since the lows of August 6th are at 81.41 and 80.86 respectively, and the C=A from the local highs at 83.56 stands at 81.26. Therefore we have reached a patch of support here which will be crucial to determine the future direction for the USD. The acceleration lower today could be in part due to a short-term H&S pattern which neckline was sitting at 81.91.
GS is out today claiming the Fed will announce the next round of asset purchases in November, and there is the FOMC next week. So clearly people are getting ready for the free money bonanza. Tough luck for USDJPY which I was myself a proponent of buying as between the results of the Japanese election and the market pricing in Quantiative 2.0, we have expectations of tighter monetary conditions in Japan and looser conditions in the US being priced in. When it comes to the beggar's game, people expect the Fed to show absolutely no shame.
Let's watch the dollar index closely because it will hold the key to all markets... as always USD liquidity is key to the world and is the number 1 driver of all asset prices. Until next Tuesday however it seems premaure to pre-empt. Maybe someone knows something I don't!
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I'm actually surprised that the gold cartel seems to be permanently defeated. If there is no big correction in a 48-hours scale, they are.
No, no, no. They are not, and will not, be permanently defeated until and unless the Crimex is broken. That day may be coming (and soon) but, until it does, the EE will continue to paint the tape with tops and resistance any chance they get. The next attempt will come in the 1285-90 area.
Exactly right sir..Tptb WILL BORROW more Gold from Kentucky to cover if need be..I would be very cautious until the Lbma and or the comex defaults..
I don't think the cartel is through yet. Better not be. I took profits last week and got caught out of position in over half my miners. Counting on JPM and GS to slam the metals enough to get back in at a decent price. The miners are still sluggish in comparison with the big spot price moves today. Besides profit taking, I think the volatility has spooked a few people. Many are waiting for dips that may be pretty shallow. Should have listened to Jim Sinclair who has warned forever not to be caught out of position.
James Turk commented last week that the dips are no longer a daily thing but now hourly. Sometimes, you blink and you miss them, though he was mostly referring to silver.
Going along with Jim's theme, how can you time something you can only observe in the rear-view mirror? Especially when this will likely be a once-in-a-lifetime move (according to Another, FOA, and FOFOA)?
What Jim states over and over again, is that the opportunity cost of being out of the market (due to trading) is not only ever increasing, but accelerating, making timing nearly impossible as it your opportunities get ever shorter. Eventually the timing window becomes so small, you miss it, and your opportunity costs go to infinity (along with everybody else in the herd who failed to hold).
This situation is even worse if you play the leveraged paper game at the Crimex. There you are acting as the fuel used for your own destruction.
As for the idea of "taking profits," I'd say it is time to reevaluate what your measure of profit is, and compare it to what you sell to obtain it. This is another theme of Sinclair. You went and traded the premier currency on the planet for some IOUs of dubious value. You may think you are ahead for your efforts, but I think it is an act of insanity, like picking up pennies off of the train tracks that you just watched Bernanke lay down in front of the daily express train.
The only time one should ever sell gold/silver is when you need to consume/invest (as in a productive business, not a casino called a market) your saved wealth that it represents. Anything less is playing with fire.
Right you are, NA. My gold and silver are stashed away for the very long term, my inheritance showed up just after the '08 crash. Same dynamic. I thought gold was too high and waited a bit, but it had momentum and I got in before I missed the train. I got some silver Maples in Feb. when it was near 14. I figured that was the last time we'll see that price, and now I kick myself cause I had the cash to buy twice as much. Se la vie. Now I'm convinced I'll have to treat miners the same way as the metal. I'm going back to OTR truck driving so I won't have time to make a fool of myself in the market. We're lucky we have these PM old timers blogging daily. Makes us a little less clueless.
What gold in Kentucky? The vaults may be as empty as those at GLD and SLV.
The game plan for PMs:
At USD 84, open your trunk.
At USD 82, buy a P/U.
At USD 80, get a moving van
Below USD 78, retreat into bunker, fully armed.
@ Turd,
Absolutely right. The cartel is not broken, and they will fight on for some time.
They will lose in the end though.
Not much time to buy physical gold for (relatively ) cheap.
Is this thread is missing something?
Johnny Bravo? Master Bates?
Anyhow, I was thinking that since so many who trade silver trade via SLV, the $20 might be a strong point of resistance. SLV is sitting at $20 now. I'm not sure of the precise correlation but selling of SLV would then lead to some selling of actual silver, no?
Funny, I was already feeling like 20 is the new support level for silver.
It may be, just like when $1,000 became support for gold. My point specifically relates to SLV and how the trading in SLV impacts the price of silver. If iShares buys and sells silver for SLV based on the supply/demand of SLV shares, then selling of SLV could mean selling of silver. So a $20 price on SLV might bring on some selling which could impact the silver price. Just a theory that could very well be totally stupid...LOL
It might lead to the selling of paper silver.
I quit SLV last year when I saw miners like SLW did twice as well. And I got worried I'd be caught holding worthless paper.
Something Bitchez!
Organized retreat.
It requires finesse that is impossible for the very reasons finesse is required.
yeah but you've gotta be celebrating the mining stock explosion today as i am turd. have one on me! (but i may not be stopping at one... in fact i now officially haven't!)
spellchek on
miners having a great day today. holding.
No freaking way crimex will be broken.
Have you not seen sufficient precedence that any 'useful' entity that's going bankrupt will be given free money at someone else's expense?
Free 'Money' yes. Free Metal? Impossible. If you want (or need) metal, Ben's Funbux are not a viable substitute.
I doubt that the Crimex is out of business just yet. It's more like a managed retreat. When things really get out of hand, I expect a bank 'holiday,' but I'm here to learn, so my opinion is not so valuable.
Howdy y'all,
Quick thought on PMs. As a PM investor for all of my short adult life, I've been following the investigations by GATA, Dan Murphy, lemetropolecafe for over a decade. It's hard to deny bullion bank intervention to supress the price of PMs.
Now, assuming it's jp morgan running the majority of silver shorts, and assuming the large ownership interest jp morgan has in the FED, and knowing that the COMEX has approved settlement of PM contracts in FRNs: There is no limit to the size of short positions jp morgan can take on to squash price discovery in the futures markets. They have a blank check from the FED & they don't have to deliver physical.
Stay away from longs in the PM futures markets. I suspect the manipulators are waiting to get PM bulls all lathered up and in the chute at these multi-year highs, then..
BAM! pneumatic hammer right in the head.
If I were a predatory corporate machine, programmed to take as much money from as many people as I could, this is exactly what I would be doing. So I assume jp morgan has thought of this too.
I say buy physical only. The PM futures can be manipulated for as long as people take FRNs. What y'all think?
Cheers,
Beef
Precisely right. You can't beat them at their own game, on their own turf, when they make the rules and keep the score.
The achilles heel of the PM manipulation scam is, and always has been, physical supply. The only way to stop this scam is to take delivery. They can print paper FRNs up the wazoo, but with Central Banks becoming net buyers and perhaps less willing to lease their bullion to Da Boyz, real metal will not magically appear at the press of a button if JPM runs into delivery issues.
I think if there really became a significant divergence between physical and paper, there would be a run on physical and paper would have to default (resulting in a domino falling in my bank run/hyper-inflation story). I get your cash settlement argument, as they can print to cash settle, and printing is "free". But confidence in the currency would be dented, and some of the manipulations would come to light - and not just to the tin foil crowd.
I agree that physical possession is the only way to own PM's.
Oh, and wouldn't gold/silver up 2%, S&P down 1% or so represent a win/win for the ZH crowd?
Yep!
Print baby print!!!
Good advice. Futures are risky even without the heavy manipulation of the PMs. I have a cash account for my miners. Keeps me out of trouble.
My bet is that there are limits as to what JPM can do and that we are approaching those limit points...Within the past month, lots of folks around me buying silver for the first time ever...
It's taken me a few years of preaching, but I'm finally seeing people getting over their inertia and started buying (just silver though so far). Here's a typical time-line, where the mental illness known as cognitive dissonance has to be overcome.
Initial discussion
1. Friend complains of savings/retirement evaporating.
2. I explain the coup of 1913, and how there is no "market."
3. Friend asks what do I do?
4. I tell them about silver and gold, along with bankster price suppression.
5. Friend notes the following: First, I missed the easy money (Look how high it is!), but worse, my retirement is structured so I'll have to pay insane taxes to the government to get at my money.
6. I note that 70-80% of something is better than 100% of nothing. Oh, and the clock is ticking.
7. Friend now feels trapped between proverbial rock and hard place, unsure as to which hurts more, while doubting my forecast enough to not feel the future pain as much as the current pain.
Over time, as I see my friends, the initial discussion repeats, but with enough time, some things change.
Their retirement accts are smaller still. Gold and silver, while displaying some scary looking drops, have remained in a long-term upward trend. Interestingly enough, rising PMs reinforce both sides of the argument (the "Is it rising, or topping?" question). At the end of subsequent discussions, my friends are one step closer to letting go of the political economy they've built their trust in (after how I explain that no, the bailout, bailed out nothing, it's all still broken), and moving towards hard-money as the best form of savings.
Eventually, as it becomes obvious to them that their new beliefs match their perceived reality far better than the old ones did, the cognitive dissonance fades away, and they "bite the bullet," and start converting their paper wealth into physical bullion.
But just silver, so far. They all still see gold as too expensive, having missed the easy money.
Over a year ago I had convinced my brother to get into PMs. The next day he was going to call my dealer during a nice dip, on his way to a RR tunnel survey job in the Sierra. I was looking forward to my 10 oz silver bar as a reward for the referral. Never happened. I think his wife talked him out of it. No one else I know has even come that close. One old friend bought a couple gold oz. at $250 way back when and can't bear to pay current prices. I warned my kids last month they better move on the PMs before the short squeeze. Now they're calling me Goldie.
Welcome to the gold/tin/silver foil hat club. They've been warned and advised to do some thorough research in my family too. I,m the "crazy uncle" in mine and friends hold back warily in anticipation of a diatribe from me. Not one of them have remotely considered the possibility of gold and silver as stores of value. Bubble? What bubble?
Live and learn.
I now shut my mouth before I alienate them all.
I have a friend who also bought Au early and then stopped when it started rising above $400.Interesting. I have found that folks are more comfortable averaging down than up!
Kobe I think you're right about futures: stay away.
But in addition to metal, miners will be doing very well. If you think The Precious will do nicely (as do I), what about those companies who actually own the stuff?
As others have said, the miners are breaking out. Grab the gains with both hands. Stay away from the big guys, pick up sub-one dollar explorers who'll be releasing drill core test results soon. I plow miner share gains into physical metal and all I can say is I own more metal than I would had I not made informed bets on excellent PM explorers.
IMO the evidence of a Crimex collapse will be a declaration of force majeure, but here's the thing: they'll try first to delay deliveries, hand out phoney receipts with "errors" on them, pay off in cash, etc, but the sharks will smell that immediately for what it is, and then panic will begin. I am personally hoping that force in Silver results in force in gold, and vice-versa. I think it will.
The question really is, what happens next? Does USD collapse when force is declared in the Precious Metals on Crimex? Or does all fiat collapse? Martial law?
Maybe government employees paychecks will start bouncing. Maybe they'll stay home then and stop fucking hassling me.
keep....taking....delivery.
dupe
.
They seem to be relying on the Fed to do their work for them, because they're out of ammo themselves.
Too bad Bernanke is now officially our version of Baghdad Bob, and anyone who quotes him, pays attention to him or trusts him is worthy of extreme ridicule. The farce is now so grotesquely apparent that those who ignore it (or fail so see it) become obvious farces themselves.
I almost feel sorry for the folks at CNBC, who think they're being taken seriously.
http://www.inflation.us/jpmorgansilver.html
gold/silver ratio is long term 16:1 If suppression is over expect a massive up swing in silver.
Central Banks don't hold Silver on their balance sheets. They hold GOLD. Have a debt problem that needs to be fixed?? Let gold do the job for you
I agee, i got a 100 oz brick of silver the other day. It feels cheap compared to gold.
But ordinary people hold silver, you can't honestly believe that gold is worth 62 times per ounce than silver.
I believe it's worth a lot more than that.
US Commodity Futures Trading Commission
Three Lafayette Centre
1155 21st St, NW
Washington, DC 20581
Dear Chairman Gensler and Fellow Commissioners,
The new Financial Regulatory Reform law mandates that the Commission institute hard position limits in the derivatives trading of all commodities of finite supply; energies, metals and agricultural products. The Commission has sought input to help guide it in determining the proper levels of speculative position limits in these commodities. It is important that the formula for determining such levels be consistent, economically sound, fair, and readily understood by all market participants. These same principles must also be applied to the granting of exemptions to any limits for bona fide hedging purposes.
The economic legitimacy behind commodity futures and derivatives trading is to permit the producers and consumers of commodities the opportunity to offset price risk. Hedgers transfer unwanted price risk to those speculators willing to assume it. The purpose of position limits is to guard against concentration and manipulation, without unduly restricting the liquidity provided by speculators to our derivatives markets. The key to ensuring economic legitimacy and guarding against manipulation without unnecessarily crimping liquidity is setting position limits at appropriate levels; not too high and facilitate manipulation, not too low and choke off liquidity.
All commodities of finite supply are physically produced and consumed. That’s what makes them finite. Therefore, any formula for determining the proper level of position limits should be based upon world production and consumption. The simplest formula would be one based upon a uniform percentage of the world production of all commodities of finite supply. Position limits should be established based upon a set percentage level of world production that must not be exceeded in any commodity. By insisting that the same percentage figure be applied across all commodities of finite supply, the Commission will assure consistency and fairness in the process.
The One Percent Solution
I propose that the Commission adopt a hard position limit in the contract equivalent amount of no more than one percent of the world annual production of any commodity of finite supply. This 1% speculative position limit would apply to all related derivatives on an aggregate (across all markets) and on an all-months-combined basis. No single speculative trading entity could control on a net basis, long or short, a total derivatives position greater than one percent of the annual world production of any commodity. Such a limit would be large enough to accommodate all but a handful of traders in every market. Importantly, such a level, evenly enforced, would make concentration and manipulation impossible. This is the primary mission of the Commission.
To be sure, so sensible is the one percent solution that it is largely in force already across most commodities of finite supply. This is as it should be. Currently, only a very few commodities have speculative position limits greater than one percent of world production. Therefore, no radical revision in overall position limits is required. This should mute concerns about market disruptions, loss of liquidity, or trading migrations to foreign bourses. Truth be told, the levels of position limits in most commodities are where they should be. That’s because most commodities have current or proposed position limits much less than one percent of annual production.
For example, the largest and most important commodity of finite supply, crude oil, has a current de facto position limit of close to one-tenth of one percent of annual world production. With an annual world crude oil production of 30 billion barrels, a position limit of one percent would result in any one trader being allowed to hold 300 million barrels, or 300,000 contracts of the standard 1000 barrel-sized contract. Clearly, that’s way too high and the exchanges have established accountability limits closer to one-tenth of one percent, or 30,000 contracts or less instead. Recently proposed energy position limits by the Commission (withdrawn as a result of the new law) appear to adhere to the one tenth of one percent threshold in crude oil.
In those commodities where the Commission has set federally-mandated position limits, such as the grains and oilseeds, those limits are all well under one percent of world production. For example, corn has a position limit of 0.35% of world production, wheat is at 0.15%, cotton at 0.5% and soybeans are at 0.62% of world annual production. I’m not suggesting that those limits be raised to one full percent; I’m just demonstrating that the Commission has seen fit to traditionally set hard position limits at less than one percent across a broad range of commodities.
Since most commodities already fall well under the one percent of world production threshold, it is only necessary to bring the few commodities which have position or accountability levels greater than one percent into line. There are only four commodities of finite supply which currently have position limits or accountability levels greater than one percent of world production. Three of them trade on the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) and one on the COMEX, owned by the CME Group, Inc.
The three ICE commodities include cocoa, coffee and frozen orange juice. Cocoa currently has an accountability limit of 6000 contracts, or 2% of current world cocoa production, coffee 5000 contracts, or 1.5% of world production and FCOJ, with a 3200 contract limit is at 1.25% of world production. It should be a relatively simple matter to bring their respective position limits down to the one percent level.
However, the current accountability level of COMEX silver is more problematic. The current silver accountability level is 6000 contracts, or 30 million ounces. This is 4.3% of world annual silver mine production of roughly 700 million ounces, head and shoulders above any other commodity of finite supply. Based upon the one percent formula, the position limit in silver should be no greater than 7 million ounces or the equivalent of 1400 contracts (each silver contract is 5000 troy ounces).
It is perplexing why the CME does not bring silver position limits into line with the other major metals contracts traded on the COMEX. In copper, the current accountability level is equal to 0.4% of world copper production. Why should silver’s level be more than ten times greater than copper’s? The COMEX gold contract has an accountability level of 6000 contracts, or 600,000 ounces, based upon the 100 troy ounce contract size. This represents 0.75% of world production of 80 million ounces. Why does silver have an accountability limit more than 5 times greater than gold in terms of world production? As I previously informed the Commission, silver’s accountability level compared to gold’s is also four to five times larger than it should be in terms of volume, open interest and exchange inventories. On each and every measure, silver’s accountability level is out of line.
The Commission recently received almost 3000 public comments on position limits in metals, with more than 90% of the comments asking the Commission to enact a position limit of 1500 contracts in COMEX silver. Based upon a fair and consistent cap of one percent of world production for all commodities, those writing to the Commission were justified in their collective opinion. It is a matter of public record that I have urged the Commission and the exchange to adopt a position limit of 1500 contracts in COMEX silver, for more than 20 years. There has never been, in all that time, any logical explanation for not adopting such a level. In light of the mandate given to you by congress and the President, isn’t it time to institute this limit?
As far as the matter of bona fide hedging exemptions to legitimate position limits, the granting of exemptions should be as fair and consistent as the setting of the amount of limits. Any legitimate producer or consumer of any commodity of finite supply should be able to hedge its risk up to the amount of its own annual production or consumption. If a farmer grows, or a miner produces, more than 1% of world production, that entity can hedge up to the actual annual amount produced. If an entity owns the physical commodity and is at price risk with that holding, that entity should be allowed to hedge that actual inventory, even if it is more than 1% of world annual production. But close attention must be paid by regulators to ensure that such an entity is not gaming the market. Any thought that financial middlemen, such as large banks, should be included in the legitimate producer or consumer category must be resisted. Our futures markets were not created so that big financial institutions could manipulate them. The whole thrust of the Dodd-Frank financial reform law was to get the big banks to stop interfering in our markets.
The Commission has a unique opportunity to finally set position limits on all commodities of finite supply in a manner that is fair, simple and economically sound. A formula based upon a straight one percent or less of world production would accomplish just that.
Ted Butler
Butler Research LLC
September 14, 2010
GGensler@cftc.gov Chairman
MDunn@cftc.gov Commissioner
BChilton@cftc.gov Commissioner
JSommers@cftc.gov Commissioner
Somalia@cftc.gov Commissioner
PosLimits@cftc.gov
You go get 'em!
He posted that so YOU could help go get 'em -- as I have.
Get on the ball.
It's not as if they are or were unaware of their responsibilities from the get go. There have been untold submissions to the commission, from reputable interests, only to have the commission state: "Move along, nothing to see here!"
This current "investigation" is nothing other than a continuation of their farcical and contemptuous treatment of the complainants.
Its a farce and the refusal of the commission to include input from Ted Butler and Andrew MacGuire (of whistle blower fame) at the public hearing, exposes the commission's mendacity.
They denied evidence from two of the most aware members of the public, with information critical to the outcome and resultant proposed recommendations.
They shut off the video link of Bill Murphy's evidence, and it was more than coincidental that it was restored (magically) at the end of his alloted time.
Andrew MacGuire exposed in the hearing, via Bill Murphy, that the Chief of Enforcement at the CFTC, ignored his exhortations of JP Morgan traders collusively manipulating the price of silver to the down side, by naked shorting the trade and pulling their bids, in real time, as it happened, his reply being; "Thank you for your input. Nothing to see here"!
The latest members of the CFTC club include Gary Gensler and Bart Chilton. They may be relatively new to the job and as outspoken as Chilton may be, he is still outnumbered by the members of the "Old Guard", who are fully coversant in the process of manipulating the price of a commodity through the force of position size, either up or down. That's why they are called regulators.
Chilton has stated that he is outvoted by the other members when it comes down to doing their job. He claims that the new laws will give them the power to regulate. That's an admission of deceit. Why?:
They have never admitted that the laws were ineffective. They have never admitted that there was a reason to change them. They have been dragged kicking and screaming into a public hearing and did everything in their powers to deny openness and accountability.
They are paid by the powerful to turn a blind eye, the very people they are charged with protecting the public from.
They are now dragging their feet in implementing the new regulations, the evidence of this being the fact that Ted Butler is still having to ask for help from the public in forcing these bastards to do their job, expeditiously.
They have chosen a water boy as their public face but behind the scenes continue on their merry way, protecting their crony pals who pay them.
Ted, don't hold your breath waiting for your glorious outcome. It's going to take a revolution. That will only come through collapse.
Burnbright.
Correctomundo.......should be at around 30-40-1 now.
It's not,by the time J6P figures out they need to buy ANY kind of PM's........
Silver will be at $30.00 an oz., and Gold will hit $1,500.00 by end of this year.
Unless........the GOP takes both the Senate/House, if they do, look for them to defund most if not all Obammmys programs, and then we will see a MAJOR correction in PM's.
Not because of any technical/real change in our situation, but the Physcology of the people will turn immediately, they will start buying, and small business will start hiring.
The GOP taking over, will be the best thing Obama has seen since sliced bread.
It may just get him re-elected.............the economy turns, he get's credit, if it stay's the same the GOP get's the blame, it's a win-win for him.
Lord forbid.
DosZap, I agree re your price projections for Au and Ag.
Re the Rs taking control of the House and Senate, my hunch is that the American people have caught on as to what SOCIALISM is. If we have gridlock in Washington, so what. If a conservative Congress really pushes for lower taxes, less regulation, booting Obamacare, etc., and then Obama vetoes everything, well then, who is now the party of no?
Do you really think that another party in power will give up their gravy train?
The same one which showed no restraint when they were in the saddle before?
I thought you were better than that.
A GOP win would do absolutely nothing for the world economy, unless they can miraculously change overnight the debt/GDP factor of over 500:1 (including all unfundeds); the Chinese will be the ultimate deciders of PM value.
This time will be different - austerity(for people)/QE2(for Banks) will backfire, Gold will respond differently Jan 2011. Stocks down, Dollar down, Gold up.
I like my gold man.
I would say it feels 62 times better then silver.
It felt 70 times better 2 weeks back
You're either totally insane or you need money if you sell silver below $35 an ounce. If you sell it below $55 an ounce you're really warped and bent individual.
Right. BUT:
Gold will be harder to liquidate if we end up in a barter economy. Plus, silver is an industrial metal, with many, many more uses than Gold. If the shit really hits the fan, silver may outperform gold.
Answer me this. If silver is say $25 around election time & i'm pretty sure the Rs will win big. should I sell wait for the drop & buy back?
I'm new to this shit.
Politics have almost have nothing to do with it. We have had bad monetary policy since we went off the gold standard, IMO. You can argue Clinton tried to put us on a road to rationality, but that's pretty much moot at this point.
There are a very short list of things I watch these days:
Nothing else matters.
Which commodities? 'Diversify your portfolio'. Gold, silver, laundry soap, socks, shoes, pants, storable food, ammunition, bicycles.
I hear ya man, been getting ready here for sometime, I'm in the country & if the light's went out tommrow we would be just fine, so long as we don't get overrun. We could probably put a couple hundred rounds a minute down range. I was inquireing about a comment earlier about the repub's getting in & slv going down. I would like to increaese my stash.
The only safe move is to hold and buy more on the dips. Otherwise you are gambling with your savings/insurance, which is never a prudent thing to do. The potential increase is not worth the risk that you will lose (i.e. sell for dollars) your existing silver.
To put your question another way, on any given day, odds are that the world is not going to collapse that day, or week, or month, year... Would you sell your guns today in order to buy more after the election if you thought you could get them back cheaper?
Better yet, would you base this bet on criminals manipulating the gun market for political purposes?
While understanding the manipulation itself may be a no-brainer, timing, direction and magnitude are a whole different story. One that can turn you into roadkill (the diet of the banksters).
The only way to win this game is to not play it.
One that can turn you into roadkill (the diet of the banksters).
The only way to win this game is to not play it.
Got it ...nicely put..
IF the delayed delivery problems are real for the crimex, silver is going to scream upward past $30 an ounce, I have my money where my mouth is on this BET.
Sure. But you can't eat gold so it doesn't matter. Plus, if gold ever went up in price it would be the end of the world, so you would want shotguns and canned food instead. No matter how you look at it, you should never, ever, buy gold.
Your arguments leave me underwhelmed by the strength of your "logic".
I thought my sarcasm was obvious. I guess I was wrong.
I thought so.
buried canned ham in the backyard bitchez!
Simple: It Is A Goddamn DEPRESSION !!!!!
Johnny Bravo, and his 23 posts in 90 minutes, is no where to be seen.
"he" got phlebitis doing that.
You have one junk. i bet its JB lurking, afraid to be a man and own up to his error.
Maybe JB is in class?
Don't you need class first...?
JB would tell us to sell while the price is good. He may be occupied with school. If there is a decent dip expect him to show up. Come back, Johnny I need to dip to buy more miners.
He is supposed to be gone forever. At least that is what he promised. There were some dollar amounts associated with his promises but I forget. What? I have to live and die on what the dimwit says? I could go back and look at the details -- but I don't care. If he shows up again there are a few here who will go ballistic. Me? I could care less. Enough of the canned ham bithez crap. Just reporting what I recall from his past comments.
He'll be back the very next day that gold corrects by 5 bucks.
who gives a shit about Johnny Bravo? Where the hell are the Prechterites??
Any time the gold bull market gets a natural correction, the Prechterites show up in full force, waving their little charts around.
I'm continually amazed that the fraudulent shill, Prechter, still has "customers" who buy his "newsletter". The guy hasn't been right about anything in over 20 years yet he continues to find new dupes to fork over their hard-earned cash for his "services".
Exactly right in my opinion, throw out all the charts graphs and technical resistance lines! People are selling stocks and buying gold hand over fist! Its a damn depression! I dont care about T/A when massive manipulation runs the markets!
Time to buy into CHF (Swiss Franc)?
Swill will have to intervene AGAIN if they want to sell any watches.
naw, they're just wat(ching!)
Boooyah. BUY BUY BUY
I just hope all the crybabies who sobbed themselves out back in July after the gold bull market suffered a mere 8% correction are feeling sorry for themselves today.
It is now past Labor Day. Gold is, in fact, out of its EE-induced box. As I've stated as often as possible on this wonderful site, it will soon trade at 1290. After a brief pause, it will head to 1350 before Halloween and 1500 by 12/10/10.
Yes you have ...
(Austin Powers Goldmember voice):
"isch Goolllld!"
QE is the deal with the devil. It'll surely be road to hell. Anger will equel that of the Germans in 1923 and the scapegoats should be scared out of their wits.
To this day, it baffles me we could be so dumb to try to use the magic money tree to fix all our problems.
Paula and Carole would be so proud under the Magic Tree in the Magic Garden. I guess the gold bugs are sitting in the giggle patch.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Magic_Garden_%28TV_series%29
Where is Johnny? The guy who predicted a big pull back in Gold for this week and a big surge in the SPY also....
Well he was only off 4%...errr I mean 6%...errr I mean 8%...
Who the fuck is buying stocks? NASDAQ up 9% since the 1st. Are they that stupid to pump this turd this hard?
"Are they that stupid to pump this turd this hard?"
Whoa, whoa, wait a minute. The Turd does the pumping, not the other way around.
At any rate, TD gave you your answer yesterday:
http://www.zerohedge.com/article/primary-dealers-prepare-invest-27-billi...
IFG??????
The Indexes are national security priority. They let the sheep come home at night and get 5 minutes of biz news and then drink themselves senseless. No upsets are allowed in the happy marriage!
If the EU wants a temp Short Selling ban ( DJ newswire).
Then HSBC & JPM are upside down and up a creek with this one...
I wonder if goldman opened any shorts lately?
When the physical crisis hits in Gold and Silver thats when we have the 100$ a day moves
Remember the guy in charge of the London bullion market said in March 2010 they are selling 100 pieces of paper (etf) for every one piece of Gold/Silver 100:1 ratio
There will be a scramble for physical within the next 3 months
The market = A cross between Liar's Poker, Hot Potato and Musical chairs - but - "The music plays".
Just be ready when it stops !
+1 oz
Threeggg,
The long-missed Gordon_Gekko said a few months ago:
Buy.Gold.Now.
He said there was not much time. I agree.
And yet you didn't. You are still are only 10 percent in and going to europe while rome burns.
Heph, it's even worse! I am about a lowly 6.5% in Au, though I own worthwhile amounts of Ag and Pt. So, let's call it 7.5% in PMs. I'll be buying more as money comes in, just like always.
NOT going to Europe! Since this is our 25th Anniversary year, I am taking my lovely to Tahiti, at least we are going on American Airlines' miles! So not too expensive.
Next year is our Year of Austerity.
Grrr those servers.......DPing
Ramp-up jobs in S&P and Dow are now virtually linear... Not programmed?
Not aimed at making puts expire worthless?
Result of short squeezing?
S&P 1,127 at 3-month high + massive equity outflows (aka stronger hands) + DXY down = Look out above. Not much resistance til 1,200. No?
Gotta clear 1130 area for the upside to continue. If it does, it'll move extremely fast up to 1175 area. If that happens, it's the best time to short via SDS IMO.
Totally agree with this... IYR has lead the bounce and it will lead the decline again. This is just a continuation of the 2008 crash. Maybe SRS will be slightly better.
When this all ends I hope everyone who had faith in the Federal Reserve and government take a step back and say, "How could we ever possibly have believed that they could achieve the impossible?"
There are severe consequences to have 0% interest rates, record low mortgage rates, stock market intervention, currency market interventions by central banks and precious metal suppresion all in an effort to stave off reality and falsify market stability. Panic cannot be contained and the people have had enough of the political rhetoric. They wanna know two things?
1) Where are the jobs?
2) Why are bankers being paid Pre-Lehman wages & larger bonuses (And hiring) while the economy is in a depression that they caused and how can they possibly be receiving bonuses when they have losses not yet taken and false earnings?
Number two will end up in people hanging from poles if the over all economy does not improve. Things will get interesting shortly.
It's not like they all live on an island with only a couple of escape routes.
What? Oh shit.
#3 - Where'd my retirement savings go? -or- Why is my retirement account worthless? - or - Who stole my pension?
Gold Manipulation Capitulation?
Earth to Johnny Blowvo...Earth to Blowvo...'Mon Back Blowvo...Not receiving him Commander Cody...Should I try again? He's pulled back to 1100 and out of range? OK
Pension funds buying gold ...u think?
Not yet - but soon the owners will Demand it !
TA my ass JB ...
Can't eat it Bitchez!
Hi again Hulk.
Yes, I too have noticed the pattern that our Dearly Beloved JB comes along more often when gold is down.
So what. We gold buyers are the ones who will sleep the best...
Johnny be poopy pants lost a ton of street cred' with his bad s&p call last week and then not showing up for his beating ...
Johnny' ... Enjoy.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Lvlt3Uyoli0
Any news from Bill I-Bought-So-It-Must-Be-The-Top Gross?
Gold doesn't move up and down in a vacuum Bill. What does this continued strong bull market in gold say about the viability of (your) so-called uni-credit marketplace?
Congrats to the longs! We are right and the chart shows we are right! Gold is the peoples money! Fuck the New world Order!
Except when the new world order decides to reprice gold.
Tell me how that "reprice" thingie works.
Awesome stuff Tyler!
look for a short term top in gold prices when Denninger throws in the towel. Contra indicator.
I like Karl, I think he would at least treat his opponents with some degree of respect. Mish is a douchebag.
Oh, I like Karl too, but then again I like jock itch.
How 'bout scabes? You like that as well? Cancre sores?
Hey wheres Johnny Bravo to tell us how gold will be viciously mashed down?
I dont know where he is, but i would not be surprised to see a 20$ vertical drop anytime soon ;)
Depends, let there be a whiff of physical shortage, and you could easily see $100 up days! No one wants these BS bubble stawks, everyone wants physical gold in their safes. Personally I have very little of the shiny stuff, but have invested in thousands of rounds of Golden Sabre ammunition.
Mouse fart whiff of physical shortage sends the hoards hoarding!! USA where the paper dollar is king and the sheep are scared!! hehehehehehehe
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eVB-SSkkLnY&feature=related 3:59
Side bar- This articles headline states Q/E2 will confirm deterioration? How? Theyll just paint it as 'recovery confirmed due to Q/E2 trillions' and go about their merry way.
Breaking news...major smoke seen coming out of Niceville, FL...internet blogger Karl Douchinger's head exploded
Yeah, and I hear the tragic story of a college kid in Colorado who jumped out the dorm window.
What do we need QE for? Has anyone at the FED looked at how strong the government statistics are?
Have a quick look at the "other" yellow commodity.
I wonder where JPM will find enough corn to hold down the price on this one ....
might take several million bushels ....
Put an hourly chart of TLT against an hourly chart of TIP. Tell me what you see coming down the pipe. At some point people will reaize TIP pays out in dollars though.
i just bought some gold and silver last night before going to bed....damn i just feel like kissing myself right now
Go right ahead! Good move.
I woke up today and shot up to sitting position in bed and said. "Something is wrong with the forex markets".
LOL, flat screen on the ceiling Hep?
yea, awesome stuff, TYLER, you are tops !!! I adore ZEROHEDGE & all the people on this website ....... regards to all of you .........
My kids & I will not be destroyed by these people (gov't) . Today I'm chasing gold, going to buy a coin & also going to buy my first SHOTGUN .
Some advice from someone that did it all wrong:
1. Pick one each caliber of pistol, rifle, and shotgun ammo to standardize on, (my suggestions would be .40SW or .357spl, NATO standard 7.62 also known as .308, and 12ga)
2. Get your shotgun first and buy a box of 7 1/2 shot shells from WalMart and a case of Law Enforcement grade buckshot from ammoman.com or whoever.
3. Get a case or three of surplus NATO 7.62 ball from any one of many online sources and get yourself a quality FN/FAL or a knockoff. Or two or three. An M1A is even nicer. Whatever you get make sure you get at least six magazines with it and something to carry them in.
4. Finally, buy a a pistol and all the ammo you can find for it. If it's an automatic make sure you get three or four extra magazines.
There is your start. Build from there.
Nothing to see here,please.. keep moving, please ...
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rSjK2Oqrgic
I went with a 9mm. Otherwise, I'm on your plan...
Don't forget food, water, medicine as other building blocks.
Don't shoot me with a 9mm it makes me mad. Sorry but that is a crappy round. Unless you shoot people 6 times with it mp5 style.
Hell, I've got a .22 pistol that I've no doubt that I can take your jimmies off with. I just doubt I'll get much of a chance once I announce my intention. And unlike aiming for someone's head, there isn't any fear of a murder charge, therefore no fear of shooting someone who needs shot.
Ball-less mad men are of no consequence to me. Ego's are to mad men, however.
But a .22 is more deadly than 38 special, 380 auto and slightly less deadly than 9mm.
basic good move. Another smart move is to not have all your eggs in one place and think a littleof the possible sitiuations that might arise.
eg. if my starving neighbor is at the door will i feed him or turm him away? What might be his response? If i aid him once how often can i before i starve?
If the rebels or government troops come to my house to raid for food how do i handle that and am i prepared for confiscation?
Where will i get help or food if i run out?
I do wish this were all fiction.
Remember that old twilight zone episode where the family had a bunker and the neighbors were going nuts to get in?
That had to be scariest one I ever saw, could all be too true.
I think city dweller's better keep their radars on high alert, you won't have long to get out. Have a plan. I think GOD every day I don't live in the city. If you have a family @ least carry a case of MRE's in your trunk some water and a water filter.