• mikla
    03/12/2010 - 16:53
    Unlike economics, Wildland Fire Science is actually a science. Unlike economists, normal people actually know what the future holds. Debt matters, deleveraging is a bitch, and economist religious rituals ensure our destruction will be more severe and complete than any conceivable alternative. Beware the inevitable conflagration resulting from high levels of debt, followed by extended low interest rates.

Is Gold Set To Hit $1,200 Within 24 Hours?

Tyler Durden's picture




Early spot gold action indicates something is afoot in the gold market. Hitting an absolute record of $1,164 mere minutes ago, the momentum chasing algo funds are now in the picture, set to do to gold what they have been doing to the S&P futures and the SPY day after day for months now: if little volume will cause a move, look for the momentum chasers to crawl out of the woodwork. Yet the key factor determining today's gold price: Comex gold option expiration later today. Over the past several weeks, speculators have accumulated a 3 million ounce option position with a $1,200 strike. With gold flying on the tiniest gust of speculative mania, the possibility that we may see a 1,200 handle on gold seems less and less improbable.

0
Your rating: None



by JamesBrrando
on Sun, 11/22/2009 - 22:00
#138949

roasting up

gold

by You Cant Handle...
on Sun, 11/22/2009 - 22:03
#138951

Hmm... how are tungsten futures doing?

by Anonymous
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 00:29
#139083

The Rumor About London Good Delivery Gold Bars That Are Allegedly Filled with Tungsten

http://www.prisonplanet.com/the-rumor-about-london-good-delivery-gold-bars-that-are-allegedly-filled-with-tungsten.html

by Anonymous
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 08:35
#139215

TOXIC DUMP ON BANK OF AMERICA...FYI

The Feds may be planning to dump all the toxic garbage on Bank of America

The desperate, cornered criminal rats who own the Federal Reserve Board are now planning to take all their toxic financial waste and dump it on Bank of America and make it the fall guy, according to a CIA source. That is why they have been unable to find a new CEO. However, that is not going to be enough to save the criminals.

Multiple, reliable sources including MI6 and the Chinese government now confirm that the Federal Reserve Board and the Bank of England were using gold-plated tungsten to “back up” their massive selling of gold futures. As the contracts came due for the delivery, the scam was unveiled.

This means that as long as the US remains under the control of fascist gangsters, it will be treated as a pariah state. Unless the Federal Reserve Board control of the United States ends, the United States is expected to be cut off from the international trading system in January. Sources both within the N.W.O. and MI6 and in China say the dollar will fall to under 6 cents by that time. In such an event, the Feds will try to implement martial law and detain millions of US citizens in concentration camps, according to CIA and other sources.

However, if the US returns to a constitutional democratic form of government, their debts will be paid off in gold and huge amounts of money will be invested in rebuilding the US economy. In that event, the US dollar should rise in value.
Meanwhile, the Feds have sent N.W.O. agent Dragi Emseriev (of Macedonian descent carrying a Swiss Passport) to Japan along with fellow Turkish and Bulgarian Turks and possibly 1 Turkish Intelligence Officer in an attempt to sabotage the Japanese economy. They are believed to be trying to cash the 134.5 Billion USD Kennedy bonds seized in Italy this summer. A Bulgarian Turk named Emroullah is possibly carrying the bonds. This group is notorious for running fraudulent Private program games(algos,software,etc.) in Switzerland and is now in Japan so we must stay alert. Some well known Japanese are also part of this but we will keep their names to ourselves for now. They know who they are and we know who they are so we suggest they surrender or face the consequences.

by Anonymous
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 08:53
#139222

Wow, now that is an incredible amount of bullshit for a Monday morning!

by LoneStarHog
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 08:54
#139223

Uh, this is extremely interesting - could be right outta a Tom Clancy novel - but you declare no source.  Did you write this and if so, when is the book signing? :)

I do realize the parts based upon current events, by the way.

by Anonymous
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 09:03
#139230

This sounds like something a guy known on the internet as Ferfal would say. Some claim he is accurate with his "inside info" but most of it has been way off.

by Mad Max
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 10:04
#139298

Ferfal is an Argentinean who writes about that country's economic collapse.  Perhaps you are thinking of FOFOA?  FOFOA does write about various things related to gold and currency, but this little claim is beyond over the top for FOFOA.

by Anonymous
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 11:59
#139466

Ferfal is a poser, who embellished his experiences or outright lied in order to gain internet fame.

by Josey Wales
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 10:32
#139338

Sounds more like Jim Willie to me, disregard at your peril as I've been a subsciber of his for years and he is quite accurate.  If it's not him its someone with a similar set of friends.

by Jewelsnorth
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 11:03
#139378

The same Jim Willie who developed a cult of personality back in the 90s on Silicon Investor's QCOM board. Despite his PhD in Statistics, his technical analysis was extremely flawed and when NASDAQ reached the top he advised people to leverage into the dips.

by Anonymous
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 19:48
#140041

The source: http://benjaminfulford.typepad.com/benjaminfulford/

Fulford has interviewed David Rockefeller. Otherwise Fulford is likely a cocaine addict.

by curbyourrisk
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 10:00
#139287

Tin foil friday...runs into Monday!

by TomJoad
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 11:10
#139392

Obviously you didn't realize that aluminum foil is utterly ineffective at blocking the NWO/CIA mind control signals. 

by Anonymous
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 15:46
#139751

Anonymous - 139215

After all that has occurred, if BAC management is so clueless that they allow a toxic dump beyond what they already have then they should be allowed to go under.

On an earlier topic:

Anyone who wants to find out if there is tungsten in their gold bar should read the attached link. There may be better links but I'll leave that little task to those who really want to learn. Bruel & Kjaer is another high quality source but PCB is just as good.

http://www.pcb.com/techsupport/tech_hammers.php

Of course, instead of a beam as shown in the link, we want to check a lot of gold bricks. PCB has some 45 pages of accelerometers of different configurations, sensitivities and functional features. Most of the available configurations have a small thread stup that allows the accelerometer to be firmly attached to a mount. Consultants at either PCB or B & K will be available. I won’t waste your time discussing the possible arrangements for the mount that we would place the gold brick upon for a tap with the hammer.

How much would it cost? I don’t think they make gold bricks that small.

And for those who haven’t figured it out from this recital, readers should know that I have to believe that stories of large numbers of gold bricks spiked with tungsten are highly suspect. It would be too easy to detect by anyone who really wants to know.

But I must admit that I have been astounded by the combination of audacity and cluelessness of many of the in our upper reaches of government. .

by Anonymous
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 16:54
#139839

Tugsten has a different magnetic signature than gold. Its really easy to test for.

by Anonymous
on Tue, 11/24/2009 - 14:44
#140873

Would be greatly interested to know where
I can find resources to back up this story.
Would be nice if you gave a website/source
to this claim for verification. I do know
there was a controversy with the Kennedy
Bonds recently. Please give more details
to support your claims.
Thanks

by 10044
on Sun, 11/22/2009 - 22:03
#138953

sure, why not? with all that tungsten found in bars (done by the Clinton boys) sold to HK, supply could be hammered while the demand is certainly up.

next stop $1650 EASY by Jan/Feb.

by Anonymous
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 08:44
#139219

The US economy will be spiraling out of control in the coming months and will reach critical point by the end of the 1st quarter 2010 and implode by the 2nd quarter.

The massive US$ trillions of dollars stimulus has failed to turn the economy around. The massive blood transfusion may have kept the patient alive, but there are numerous signs of multi-organ failure.

There will be another wave of foreclosures of residential and more importantly commercial properties by end December and early 2010. And the foreclosed properties in 2009 will lead to depressed prices once they come through the pipeline. Home and commercial property values will plunge. Banks’ balance sheets will turn ugly and whatever “record profits” in the last two quarters of 2009 will not cover the additional red ink.

Given the above situation, will the Fed continue to buy mortgage-backed securities to prop up the markets? The Fed has already spent trillions buying Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac mortgages with no potential substitute buyer in sight. Therefore, the Fed’s balance sheet is as toxic as the “too big to fail” banks that it rescued.

In the circumstances, it makes no sense for anyone to assert that the worst is over and that the global economy is on the road to recovery.

by Anonymous
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 10:32
#139336

damn it, what are they gonna do? keep the tungsten bars as if nothing happened? HK is going to be re-embursed with the
loss (or have them replace with pure gold bars) right?
Dude, WTF???

by CB
on Sun, 11/22/2009 - 22:06
#138955

totally possible. 

btw. wondering if anyone thinks we're due for the (much-anticipated by gold bugs) parabolic rise or not.  gold's been traveling out of & above the channel for a while.

by SWRichmond
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 00:00
#139067

IMO we're still quite a way away from that.  Bernanke is trapped, in a prison he built with his own hands.  The only way to save the dollar is to raise rates, killing the economy and crushing tax revenues, ultimately raising debt service to an unacceptably high percentage of GDP: the debt trap.

[summons best Swiss accent]: "Mister Bernankee is a money printer, that is all he is good at and he is very good at that."

Do a survey at your (non-financial industry) workplace: ask your coworkers what hthe price of gold is, and how they woulod buy some if they wanted to.  You will get 98% blank stares.  When 98% know the answers and talk about buying more, brag about their juniors, and when the water-cooler talk is about majors doing buyouts, then you're in the parabolic rise.

 

by WaterWings
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 03:16
#139148

Dewd, shut up I still love the 49ers. Dewd, I dunno, Johnny Depp is pretty cool but I don't know about sexiest man alive. What the hell are people thinking these days? Dewd, have you tried that new black taco at Taco Bell. Hell yeah, but I heard it's not that great.

by mrgneiss
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 06:18
#139186

That will be the time to jump off the train.......but into what?

by Anonymous
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 07:55
#139204

Easy... silver. J6P will soon be priced out of gold and will absolutely want to get some shelter from the dollar storm. The demographic numbers on that move would be staggering. There are analysts saying that selling gold to buy silver now might be the ultimate power play. I am not doing that, but find it an interesting argument.

by CB
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 07:46
#139199

we're definitely not in a gold mania.  i keep tabs on the people around me for the reason you suggested

they're hosting/attending gold parties where they sell everything thing they've got.  some seem vaguely aware of pricing because of that.  one person had a treasury department employee co-host a gold party with her.  i've yet to get more details on the why's & how's of that oddity. anyways, my thinking is that they're SELLING it, not buying it at these parties.  another aquaintance runs a vintage shop & also buys gold/silver.  he often has a line of people coming in to sell.  he claims he's got a couple of local people who buy all of his junk silver as soon as it comes in and that he's got a fairly brisk business in coins.  the rest of the metals go to the melter.  aside from these groups, there are few who mention gold as an investment or protection.

by Anonymous
on Sun, 11/22/2009 - 22:06
#138956

No complaints here, AUM doubled in 12 months thanks to p.m.s

by Tommy
on Sun, 11/22/2009 - 22:08
#138960

All the hedgies are trying to lock in their gains before Black Friday and US T-Bill for negative interest isn't that attractive.

That, and the Chinese watched SNL and didn't think the truth was so funny.

Wouldn't it be funny if the Chinese just said, "what the f&*k, lets dump UST for Gold"

The Chinese may be injured but we will suffer far more grievous damage. 

by Jim ODonnell
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 01:07
#139099

Regarding the Chinese and their UST holdings: A few years ago a top Chinese general said in effect, "We don't care about a nuclear war as if we lost 300 million persons it would not make any difference to us."

Look for a revaluation of the Yuan soon, at the latest Mar 2010. 

 

by Gordon_Gekko
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 01:48
#139123

If the yuan is revalued, USA will be relegated to third world status in short order.

by Anonymous
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 06:19
#139187

A large portion of the US is already in third world status. Half the people in this country do not work for one reason or another.

The prospects for industries to materialize to absorb the indigenous and immigrants-to-come with the addition of a budget busting national health care program, are only going further erode the living standards of the steadily declining middle class.

We may have to invent an internal-only negotiable currency, limited to the USA to handle the movement of survival goods and services required by 500,000,000 people.

by Anonymous
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 09:22
#139248

How does China maintain domestic order after revaluing the Yuan and thus crippling their export industry? Just curious.

by 10044
on Sun, 11/22/2009 - 22:10
#138961

Rumor (from a credible source) has it that Bundesbank is a BIG buyer.

by Anonymous
on Sun, 11/22/2009 - 22:59
#139018

Not to worry. The IMF will simply sell a bunch of gold like its been threatening to do for years.

Oh, wait...

by Anonymous
on Sun, 11/22/2009 - 23:16
#139034

It will be the 12th time the IMF has sold 1/8th of their gold reserves. Gold bears are about to get massacred, thanks to the Helicopter Ben show.

by Gordon_Gekko
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 03:15
#139147

It will be the 12th time the IMF has sold 1/8th of their gold reserves.

ROTFLMFAO!

by Daedal
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 07:39
#139197

I understand the point attempted to be made here, and I'm only trying to be moderately annoying when I point out that there's nothing mathematically incorrect with selling 1/8th your holdings for the 12th time.

by RockyRacoon
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 11:40
#139430

Correct to the Nth degree!  Look how many times the Brooklyn Bridge has been sold.  And, I just bought some of that Florida swampland, too -- you know, they don't make any more of it so it must go up in value.

by Anonymous
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 04:28
#139164

LMAO.

by TurboBob
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 00:27
#139081

That rumor started with Max Keisers weekly television show where a high level source told him that the Bundesbank was buying.

by Gordon_Gekko
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 01:49
#139124

Max Keiser usually tends to have impeccable sources.

by Anonymous
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 02:58
#139143

With all due respect Max called a COMEX default for Dec'08, still waiting for that one.

by Gordon_Gekko
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 09:54
#139278

Perhaps you aren't familiar with the meaning of the word "usually".

by Anonymous
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 05:19
#139171

With all due respect Max predicted a COMEX default Dec '08 I am still waiting on.

by iconoclast63
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 16:18
#139794

I could have sworn that I read a story detailing that the COMEX would have defaulted  were it not for a last minute emergency shipment of gold from Germany. Didn't I read that somewhere? Correct me if I am wrong. Thanks.

by Careless Whisper
on Sun, 11/22/2009 - 22:11
#138962

1. Bama China trip a bust. Emperor has no clothes. SNL is doing skits on it.

2. Iran engaged in military practice for an attack.

3. Uncertainty over Timmay and Benny.

4. Another bullshit stimulus courtesy of the printing presses.

over/under is noon

 

by You Cant Handle...
on Sun, 11/22/2009 - 22:14
#138968

I'm just waiting for the introduction of the Super Dollar™:  

"Like the USD, but Super."™

by Pedro
on Sun, 11/22/2009 - 22:20
#138977

Do you mean us having to hand over our $1150.00 gold bullion for the 50 super dollar face value?

by Anonymous
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 01:20
#139108

Hmmm....Maple Leafs too?

by WaterWings
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 03:23
#139150

Dewd, exactly.

And for those of us without gold there's stimulus II.0 - I heard they're gonna have more jobs this time around. Big infrastructure projects. But you gotta get on Buffet's trains to get there - just like Tom Joad, except on trains. They put you in this camp and train you with new skills. They give you free food, free vaccinations, free movies - what more could you want! 

by TomJoad
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 11:16
#139399

Sweet. Don't forget the showers!

by Anonymous
on Sun, 11/22/2009 - 22:18
#138975

http://forums.wallstreetexaminer.com/index.php?showtopic=826971&pid=848272&st=0&#entry848272

Jul 10 2009, 11:08 AM Post #2

I closed my shorts yesterday because I had to work on dump trucks, couldn't watch 'em. I don't have targets, but the magic calculator says gold will be either 1225 or 551. Take your pick and get off quick if you're on the wrong side.

by Tommy
on Sun, 11/22/2009 - 22:20
#138976

10044:

If Gold hits $1,500 by the 1st Quarter, buy yourself a drink on me and I'll do the same for you.

Something makes me think we, temporary gold bugs, might be in the majority on ZH, though a minority on Main St. and Wall St.

by 10044
on Sun, 11/22/2009 - 22:23
#138984

you're on Tommy.

I'll definitely do more than a drink btw!

before that, let me go weigh my eagle coins.

by Gordon_Gekko
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 01:42
#139119

If Gold continues at this pace, well, let me just say I'll be able to retire at (what many would consider to be) quite a young age.

by Anonymous
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 07:56
#139207

oh great. you have money and you are making more?????

maybe you can pay back that 25K you put on our credit card
and are now refusing to pay....

signed

citibank

by Gordon_Gekko
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 09:57
#139284

Kiss my a--.

by CONners
on Sun, 11/22/2009 - 22:21
#138979

When do we get a short squeeze on the dollar?

by delacroix
on Sun, 11/22/2009 - 22:27
#138991

when they need to sell some more treasuries

by CONners
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 00:23
#138994

"when they need to sell some more treasuries,"

or vice versa when demand for treasuries is high during a rush to safe havens as everything goes down.

by Gordon_Gekko
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 01:33
#139114

Repeat after me...THE DOLLAR AND THE TREASURIES ARE NOT SAFE HAVEN.

by Crisismode
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 09:29
#139255

Except for the Greater Fool.

by Anonymous
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 17:44
#139894

Screw dollars and government instruments. I'm long copper, lead, brass, and cold hammer forged steel.

by Anonymous
on Sun, 11/22/2009 - 22:21
#138980

Gold is passe...Silver is the new gold.

by SilverIsKing
on Sun, 11/22/2009 - 22:54
#139015

Kinda what I was thinking.

by NumisEX
on Sun, 11/22/2009 - 23:07
#139023

diddo

by Hephasteus
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 00:26
#139080

No silver is the new 1970's gold as that will be about the price of it.

by hettygreen
on Sun, 11/22/2009 - 23:12
#139029

If this is the case why is it not well north of 22 by now? I'm agnostic on both but that seems like quite a non confirmation to me.

by dot_bust
on Sun, 11/22/2009 - 23:44
#139056

JPMorgan Chase is shorting 190 million ounces of silver, which is obviously illegal because that number far exceeds above-ground supplies. So, when they have to cover those positions, silver will become liquid lightening. It'll move so fast and so high, you'll be breathless.

The silver-to-gold ratio is about 8 to 1, so silver could easily be worth several hundred dollars per ounce at some point.

If China wanted to crush the big U.S. banks, all they'd have to do is push up the price of silver. 

 

by i.knoknot
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 04:02
#139159

without a hint of argument, history shows that they can ride out their shorts with their printing presses... That's why I don't know how to bet here...

by Anonymous
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 10:11
#139309

Put 4% of your NW in Au,Ag
Consider it a disaster hedge
At least you will have something left
if we experience financial systemic collapse
Tale delivery on physical....

by TomB
on Sun, 11/22/2009 - 23:18
#139037

Silver is for barter, gold is wealth.

by WaterWings
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 03:37
#139154

Bullets, tampons, and #10 cans of dehydrated food to exchange for a range of items for which you unwisely failed to foresee a need: dental floss, AA batteries, bullets for the gun you actually own. 

20% of the total value of your precious metals stash should be silver for unusually 'expensive' barter needs such as to pay for a professional service like dentistry, setting a broken bone, and other needs requiring expertise you probably take absolutely-completely for granted at the moment - and no, not changing your oil - gasoline will probably be non-existent in most areas if not prohibitively expensive (and if you are hunting for gasoline you are wasting valuable time and resources for it - and suddenly you have a stolen car because now other people know you put gas in it). 

The 80% (mostly gold) should not see daylight until you are ready to redeem it for 'full value' - like purchasing land, trading a local tribe leader for the hand of his daughter, or heck, you just want to party like it's 2006!

by i.knoknot
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 04:05
#139160

better be a good looking daughter, as I'm sure the feminine arts will be on sale dirt cheap...

by Anonymous
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 05:33
#139173

Hyper-inflation dude. They may be cheap in real terms, but certainly not in nominal terms.

50 lewd acts for an ounce of Au, $50,000 for a blow-job, get it?

by Hephasteus
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 10:52
#139316

Wet dream over. When the people wake up you won't have the police and military as deterents to abuse. EVERBODY will be a deterent. Now talk about how you are going to make MissCreant, Sqworl, etc cheap when you got 7 billion people who will take truely responsible action not just lie. By sucking up the all the supposed responsibility it forces people into inaction and creates authority without respons-ability. If you think all the kings horses and all the kings men are a detterent. Have you talked to your neighbor lately?

When katrina hit. Who got there first. Authority or repsonsibility. When something bad is happening who's going to show up first. Authority or repsonsibility.

by Anonymous
on Sun, 11/22/2009 - 23:19
#139038

i believe your statement will be correct a lot sooner than most people think. as gold becomes more and more expensive, what are the chinese peasants and poor people worldwide going to do to whet their PM appetites? silver of course. the poor man's gold.

by Anonymous
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 10:04
#139301

Try storing $500K+ in silver
5 Au contracts fits in a shoe box,size 12.
250 Ag contracts needs the back bedroom...

by Rollerball
on Sun, 11/22/2009 - 22:23
#138983

Just like equities - no delivering sellers.  

"Fight Club" ten years later by HuffPo:

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/kim-morgan/fight-club-ten-years-late_b_364...

Disclosure:  I'm a "Jeremiah Johnson" fan too (besides the obvious).  

by QuantumCat
on Sun, 11/22/2009 - 22:25
#138985

Commodity blow off top inidicating that the elevator down will fall hard and fast very soon... too many nonconfirmations in other metals.  MANIA!  Look at all of the commercials... WAKE UP!!!

by Anonymous
on Sun, 11/22/2009 - 22:27
#138992

i will take the other side of that trade.....

by hack3434
on Sun, 11/22/2009 - 23:55
#139062

Commercials WANT the gold...how's that a mania?  

by dfmills
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 06:09
#139183

Wait till LME and Commex longs look for delivery... 

by Gordon_Gekko
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 01:27
#139113

YAAAWN...

by Anonymous
on Sun, 11/22/2009 - 22:25
#138986

maybe they will try and take delivery from the comex...
ha ha ha

by RobotTrader
on Sun, 11/22/2009 - 22:26
#138989

No doubt a big gap up on these:

 

 

by Apocalypse Now
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 00:17
#139074

15-min gold bar chart

by Anonymous
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 01:33
#139115

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GWnY0riDfRo

by JamesBrrando
on Sun, 11/22/2009 - 22:28
#138993

this is the gld gap for tomorrow

 

by Anonymous
on Sun, 11/22/2009 - 22:32
#138995

...this is the big flush out of DZZ 2X short ETF.

by arnoldsimage
on Sun, 11/22/2009 - 22:38
#138999

to all goldman sachs employees, and anyone else for that matter. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mG7EStr8s3I

by Careless Whisper
on Sun, 11/22/2009 - 23:31
#139045

+ 1 bazillion

awesome

by arnoldsimage
on Sun, 11/22/2009 - 23:56
#139064

by arnoldsimage
on Sun, 11/22/2009 - 23:59
#139066

this is one of his finest. thanks for the comment

by Tommy
on Sun, 11/22/2009 - 22:38
#139000

I pity the fool who owns DZZ...especially if he decides to double down.

 

But don't worry too much as I'm sure the Fed is working on a bailout for gold shorts.

by drbill
on Sun, 11/22/2009 - 22:52
#139011

But the Fed (and all central bankers) say that gold is NOT money. Afterall, their paper is "real" money. Here they have a real conundrum...

by Anonymous
on Sun, 11/22/2009 - 23:07
#139024

couldn't happen to a bunch of nicer guys either....

by Anonymous
on Sun, 11/22/2009 - 22:39
#139001

woot! do it.

by Anonymous
on Sun, 11/22/2009 - 22:45
#139004

The reality is that gold is already above 1200$. I bought one coin last week for 1200$.

by Hephasteus
on Sun, 11/22/2009 - 23:15
#139031

You got a good deal. Coins are usually spottin $90 above crimex.

by ratava
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 05:31
#139172

That is a reasonable difference between electronic and physical gold. Shows people still have some sort of trust in the futures/ETF's. Noone is going to give you 100x leverage for buying physical so speculators are likely to prefer electronic version until the actual doomsday comes and everyone stops trusting everyone else.

by Anonymous
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 09:21
#139244

American Eagles are $40 above bullion

by boooyaaaah
on Sun, 11/22/2009 - 22:48
#139008

Banks are hording dollars and not lending them

Are they smarter than the reatail gold horders?

How many dollars do you actually have in your hand any given week

Maybe a hundred -- 200

When the credit bubble bursts there will be no more credit

No more credit cards, no more loans

And dollars, the green rectangular things, you disdain will be very valuable.  

 

http://europe.theoildrum.com/node/5917

Although we could initially see a large glut in energy supply as demand falls off a cliff, this is likely to lead to supply collapse as investment dries up, hence I expect energy prices to bottom early in this depression. Both financial and physical risks to energy exploration are likely to increase substantially in a destabilized and capital constrained world, and even maintaining existing assets could become very difficult. This is a recipe for much greater state involvement in ownership and exploitation of (probably deteriorating) energy assets, with increasing conflict over those assets as supply gets dramatically tighter with lack of investment.

As for gold, I expect it to fall initially as people sell not what they would like to, but what they can, in order to raise the cash they need for living expenses and debt servicing. Owning gold is likely to become illegal again (as it did in the Great Depression) in my opinion. This wouldn’t necessarily stop you owning it, but would stop you trading it (at least without taking major risks) for other things you might need. Owning gold now therefore only makes sense if one is confident of being able to sit on it for a very long time, as it will hold its value over the long term as it has for thousands of years.

 

 

 

by SilverIsKing
on Sun, 11/22/2009 - 22:57
#139016

and that my friend is why Silver is King.

by Anonymous
on Sun, 11/22/2009 - 23:02
#139019

Why would they outlaw gold?
In the Great Depression it made sense because the dollar was backed by gold. But they've been telling us for decades that gold has nothing to do with money, so outlawing would do nothing but admit to everyone that gold is in fact money and they've been lying to us all along.

by RockyRacoon
on Sun, 11/22/2009 - 23:40
#139050

Your reasoning is perfectly sound, as is that of other folks posting here.  It would be financial (dollar) suicide to outlaw the possession of gold.  BUT, you ignore (at your own peril) the fact that the government has made some pretty stupid financial decisions lately.  Why not expect another one?  A slight variation on Hanlon's Razor suggests that rather than a well thought out plan by the government, we would just be subjected to another inane idea. "Never attribute to malice that which can be adequately explained by stupidity."

Plan accordingly.  Have an exit strategy!

by i.knoknot
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 04:09
#139162

what gold? - I don't have no gold... hell, i've been on unemployment for 513 weeks...

by Anonymous
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 02:15
#139135

Also, during the depression, lots of ordinary folks owned gold as a savings account. People could go down the local bank with 20 dollars and exchange it for a shiny ounce of gold. When the call came to turn in all gold, that was the gold that they recovered. But it was only about 60 percent of the known gold out there. The rest just vanished or was driven underground.

Now, most gold is held by strong hands that know the real value of gold in relation to the local fiat currency. How much gold do you think would actually find its way back to the government? Ten percent? Less? What would be accomplished, except to piss off a bunch of very savvy gold owners. "Gold? What gold? No gold around here. Nope, nada..." Meanwhile, the black market would grow organically by word of mouth, and the underground market would quickly dwarf the "real" economy.

Meanwhile, can you imagine the immense guffaw that would eminate from China and the Middle East and India and everywhere else where gold is revered as wealth? The rest of the world would immediately stop doing business with the US, if for no other reason than the UST and Fed were too stupid to exist. And, just for giggles, they may start to demand physical gold to pay for all imports: oil, crap from China, cars from Japan...

Thanks, Timmy and Benny. Got gold and silver?

by Anonymous
on Sun, 11/22/2009 - 23:27
#139043

This was a guest post on theoildrum.com from Stoneleigh of The Automatic Earth; lots of the usual deflationist arguments; I think it's largely misleading; we already had our deflationary episode, however brief; prolonged deflation not possible as long as we have government backed deposit insurance.

by Anonymous
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 04:52
#139168

All these losses eventually end up on taxpayers backs via the depositors...perhaps even retirees (PBCG)

In making them whole, can/will enough be printed to counteract the debt implosion?

by Anonymous
on Sun, 11/22/2009 - 22:50
#139010

Mint went into damage control over missing gold

Charles Weinberg, a professor of marketing at Sauder School of Business at the University of British Columbia, said this is a serious crisis for the mint and that getting advice on its reputation is part of managing the situation.

"Part of the critical issues are how they deal with this crisis," Weinberg said.

"Losing $15 million worth of gold is a serious amount of money, no matter how profitable the Crown corporation is or what a small percentage of the amount of gold it has.

http://tinyurl.com/y8trfry

by Tommy
on Sun, 11/22/2009 - 23:01
#139017

Boooyaaaah:

We live in a different global economic world then the 1930's, making confiscation much more difficult and less effective.

Most people don't own physical gold, but paper which was non-existent even 20 years ago.  Combine that with the Chinese encouraging their citizens to own physical gold and numerous other Central Bank hoarding makes universal confiscation impossible.

Let's say they do "outlaw" gold with a confiscation date of, say, Jan 1 2010.  I'm sure the Chinese will be the first to bid for any gold we stupid Americans are forced to sell.

Not to mention that any talk of confiscation will only serve to further inflame the gold market.

Of course, you may be right, which is why Gold isn't already much, much higher.  While the gold shorts are being proven wrong we will see +$2k Gold, with the bubble of mass appeal bringing it even higher.

How much 401k and Pension money is in gold 1%, 10%?  When it's at 25% I'll start to believe the Gold bubble talk.

by Anonymous
on Sun, 11/22/2009 - 23:02
#139020

The plebs can't be allowed to own gold. That would cause problems.

by Anonymous
on Sun, 11/22/2009 - 23:15
#139032

i don't think that pension funds have much investment in gold. gold and gold stocks simply are not a popular subject for most stock brokers.

by Anonymous
on Sun, 11/22/2009 - 23:05
#139021

Schiff: Roubini Doesn’t Understand the Fundamentals Behind Gold

http://wallstreetpit.com/12333-schiff-roubini-doesnt-understand-the-fundamentals-behind-gold

by phaesed
on Sun, 11/22/2009 - 23:11
#139025

Damn... this is just such a damn battle of forces right now.... It's amazing how each asset class is probed for a weakness...

Since Equities didn't melt down, we got gold melting up. The zero duration assets are now going parabolic... awesome :) Finally the momos are doing something useful

The central banks are seriously fucked here as well as commercial banks, negative t-bill rates drawing liquidity out of the system, assets that were shorted are now being forced as delivery...., add that with the hemmin and hawin over the health care plan passing by a miracle.... just really wonder who's going bankrupt tomorrow and who went last week.

 

by drbill
on Sun, 11/22/2009 - 23:09
#139026

The Fed has been desperately trying to blow a bubble to deflect the attention from their insane money printing. But, much to their horror, one of the bubbles that they are blowing is a golden bubble. Only this bubble exposes their paper as worthless. How ironic!!

by Anonymous
on Sun, 11/22/2009 - 23:17
#139036

nobody has seen anything yet. wait until that stuff starts hitting the fan about those gold plated tungsten bars, if that rumor is indeed true. what are they going to do when they cannot even trust the banks to send them good bars?

by Gordon_Gekko
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 02:00
#139128

"what are they going to do when they cannot even trust the banks to send them good bars?"

Same as what they did before 'banks' existed. Gold existed [as money] before banks did ya know.

by Anonymous
on Sun, 11/22/2009 - 23:10
#139027

Gold to hit $1650 by late 2010

sinclair...

http://www.mineweb.com/mineweb/view/mineweb/en/page33?oid=93428&sn=Detail

by Gordon_Gekko
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 01:44
#139121

The guy is a bit too conservative if you ask me - it WILL hit AT LEAST $2000 next year.

by Anonymous
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 09:14
#139239

This is way to obvious a play GG. Don't bet on this. Our lovely USA gubermint won't let that happen.

by RockyRacoon
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 11:57
#139461

The gubermint has vividly shown that there are some things that are outside their control.  The only real control that they have is your flawed thinking that they DO have control.

(Not your flawed thinking in particular, Mr. Anon, that was meant to be the general populace.)

by Hephasteus
on Sun, 11/22/2009 - 23:12
#139028

But it's supposed to stop and spend the day in the park at 1178.

by Anonymous
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 09:21
#139246

No time to stop.

It's just been ordered to do laps in an Olympic sized Dark Pool.

by Anonymous
on Sun, 11/22/2009 - 23:17
#139035

Alright, I'm no financial genius... just learning what I can from what I'm reading here at ZH and all your comments (it is astonishing how much knowledge this website and its readers possess)! But my question...

What is the argument of gold possibly plummeting? It just doesn't make sense to me that the dollar would strengthen and gold would plummet. We are printing money like there's no tomorrow... how does the dollar strengthen? And who in their right mind would sell their gold for US monopoly money?

by Anonymous
on Sun, 11/22/2009 - 23:39
#139049

No. Gold is no longer just a dollar hedge but rather a hedge against all paper currencies now since all central banks are printing, although most are not as diligently as helicopter Ben. The Friday price action was very telling when gold finished higher together with stronger dollar. From now on, Gold goes up no matter what until central banks around the world stop their printing machines.

by Anonymous
on Sun, 11/22/2009 - 23:49
#139057

gold and dollars are commodities. commodities correct. fact of life. it will happen. happens every year.

by RockyRacoon
on Sun, 11/22/2009 - 23:51
#139061

If one owned precious metals, and we had inflationary prices, one could get rid of debt -- if the metals were sold to get dollars (or the currency du jour) to pay off those debts.  Certainly.  But one would be giving up the security that prompted the accumulation of the assets (gold and/or silver) in the first place.  If one could pick the "top" of the metal prices and cash in, good!  If not, what's the reason for belaboring the process?

When gold had it's dip, around November of 2008, the folks who needed money were cashing in.  That only points up the nature of having precious metals as "a store of value".  Gold was a store of value, indeed.  Tapping that value to dig out of the financial situations many traders found themselves in only proves that gold did what it is supposed to do!  What better illustration could we be given than that?

The price of gold (dollars you gotta pay for it) would decrease and the dollar strengthen if enough fear is in the market.  And, yes, gold/dollar correlation can disconnect.  Fact to keep in mind:  It's the dollar that fluctuates relative to gold, not visa versa.  Gold is inert, the dollar is volatile.

by Anonymous
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 00:06
#139070

Awesome, thanks for both replies! I just don't see why there are some who are still saying "gold is a giant bubble about to crash." The way I see it, if the "bubble" does pop, it will be only for a moment and then gold will skyrocket again, right? The only reason for gold to go down, other than people wrongfully thinking it's peaked, is if our central bank (and all the other, for that matter) decide to turn off the printing presses and start reeling in debt.

If so, we still head to a deflationary depression. If not, we head to hyper-inflationary depression with gold and all other tangible assets skyrocketing.

Someone tell me why this thinking is wrong, if you have another opinion.

by Anonymous
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 09:29
#139257

To me, the whole gold narrative is too simplistic. It's like the Peak Oil narrative that had everyone in the US believing they needed to rush out and buy a hybrid car during the spring/summer of 2008. I still laugh out loud every time I see some dumb fucker driving a Smart car--the dumbest car ever made! It's the Wolves leading the Lambs to dinner, in other words. They dine on you! Deflationary depression or not, the narrative here was created for suckers.

by Anonymous
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 17:20
#139865

I totally love my electric motorcycle. Fun and 10 cents a day to go to work. Some of the numbers on this stuff does work. My car sits except for the winter. I only use a couple hundred dollars of gas a year. It's a cheap Chinese bike, so I already got back much of the purchase price in savings.

by Gordon_Gekko
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 01:14
#139105

"If one owned precious metals, and we had inflationary prices, one could get rid of debt -- if the metals were sold to get dollars (or the currency du jour) to pay off those debts. "

I hope you all followed my advice and maxed out your credit cards on Gold and Silver (prior to defaulting on them, of course).

"But one would be giving up the security that prompted the accumulation of the assets (gold and/or silver) in the first place."

Nobody is telling you to sell ALL your Gold and Silver to pay off your [credit card] debts...just enough so you can get credit again so you can buy Gold and Silver and default on them again...HAHAHAHAA!!!

by Anonymous
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 01:55
#139126

"I hope you all followed my advice and maxed out your credit cards on Gold and Silver (prior to defaulting on them, of course)."

Trying to get the guy arrested for credit card fraud? Very classy.

by SWRichmond
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 08:46
#139220

Let's define "default".  To me, what the Fed is doing is enabling a default by the U.S. Treasury.  Clicking into existence vast sums of (devalued) fiat to pay off U.S. sovereign debt IS default.  So if I go along for the ride, buying gold now and paying off loans later with devalued fiat, in essence I, too am defaulting.  Hence GG's "HAHAHAHA".

by Anonymous
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 09:18
#139242

No one actually prosecutes that dumbass. To late, but the trick would have been to follow GG's advice, wait over 2 years and declare bankruptcy.

by Gordon_Gekko
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 11:05
#139384

Does anybody else smell a bank minion?

by MsCreant
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 13:03
#139530

I thought that was bacon frying. Oh. Thanks Gordo.

by Hephasteus
on Tue, 11/24/2009 - 00:50
#140293

Was he able to make you respond with your higher self while running a financial system that blows legs off of 14 year old girls in foreign countries.

Do you ever get the feeling that the highest ethical offerings available to "The Bank" are getting more and more drastic. More and more harsh. More and more brutal with each passing day? Each bid refusal of compromise supposedly expected to be met wtih a larger offering is actually decreasing and making the possible outcomes worse.

by RockyRacoon
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 16:10
#139583

Worry not.  It's not likely that Swami Gordon will sway my trading techniques.  True contrarians don't follow blindly, no matter how utterly charming and convincing a guy like Gordon is.  As a matter of fact, a real contrarian is always looking for ways to find him in error.  It offsets the ubiquitous cognitive bias that besets the common man.

by RockyRacoon
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 12:25
#139496

Gordon, the time is not quite ripe yet for maxing out and defaulting. (I'll pick up the agricultural metaphor later here.) There is still too much consumer mentality, although that is rapidly dissipating.  The "debt" I had in mind was that of the traders who had to dump gold to meet their financial obligations incurred in the markets, not the ordinary debts of J6P.  To default on ordinary debt right now draws too much attention from TPTB.  One must wait until the mass exodus from debt by default and sneak out undetected with the crowd.

Anecdote:  I have a "friend" whose wife wanted some doo-dad or other.  He found it on Amazon and it qualified for free shipping.  There was a notice from Amazon to apply for their credit card and get a $30 credit immediately.  My "friend" filled out the on-line application and had the credit card in hand about 10 days later.  The doo-dad arrived much sooner, and the total cost for the crappy item was about $10 instead of the $40 list price.  The credit card line was $25,000.  Go figger.  My "friend" buys a lunch or some such about once a month with the card just to keep it watered and fertilized for the ultimate harvesting.  This credit card is one of several in the credit card farming operation.  Harvest time will be soon, but not quite yet.

Watching CNBC this morning.  Boy, are they beating the gold meme into the ground.  The next move will be reporting the gold price along with the usual quotes on NPR when they do the hourly news updates.  This will mean that the quiche-eating crowd is into PM's.  A good sign!

by TurboBob
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 00:49
#139092

"What is the argument of gold possibly plummeting?"

Anon, the simple answer is a collapse of the 'carry trade'. Since Bernancke cut interest rates to zero, every speculator in the world has been borrowing dollars at zero percent interest.  They then invest those borrowed dollars in stocks, bonds, gold, oil, etc.  Hence the rise in all asset classes lately and the decline in the dollar (everyone is selling those dollars to buy all the other stuff...the more dollars floating around....the less they are worth).

When these same folks see the dollar start to rise just a little (remember they don't want to pay back those loans in more expensive dollars) they are going to reverse those trades.  They will sell everything they bought and buy dollars to pay back their loans before they take a currency hit.  The demand for dollars will go through the roof as they scramble to find dollars to pay back the loans, and all asset classes will plummet as a result of this selling.  Or that's the theory anyway.

by Anton LaVey
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 05:40
#139175

TurboBob:

Excellent analysis. I still think gold could go down (way way down, in fact) as a result of the end of the US$ carry trade.

However, the end of the carry trade does not mean the end of the economic problems of the USA - far from it. The enormous, crushing debt of the USA would still be there and economic growth would still be anemic (at best).

Therefore, any "plummeting" in the price of gold would only mean one thing, in my opinion: buy, buy and buy more physical gold (and silver) as soon as possible, as long as the prices are low(er) than today. Because as soon as the dust settles, most people in the world (think of all the billions in US treasury owned by China and India) will take a long hard look at the US economy and conclude the situation is still hopeless.

And, yes, I do own gold bullions and I am looking into buying large quantities of silver bullions. Luckily for me, owning gold and silver is legal and easy where I live.

by SWRichmond
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 08:51
#139221

Excellent and succinct.  If the carry tarde unwinds, the U.S. economy is dead meat, which means the empire is dead meat, which means the dollar is dead meat.

by Anonymous
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 09:32
#139260

See these charts presented to us by the White House.

http://i45.tinypic.com/10si1qu.jpg

Debt as a percentage of GDP!

2.5+ Trillion of Treasury debt coming due(within 1 month - 1 yr)!

It's not too late to buy gold. If you haven't done it do it soon.

by Gordon_Gekko
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 01:09
#139101

"What is the argument of gold possibly plummeting?"

There is none.

by Anonymous
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 03:27
#139152

Quite an exhaustive and rigorous argument there, GG.

Now please, on behalf of everyone here, shut your pom-pom ass up.

by Gordon_Gekko
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 10:00
#139289

Why are all the Prechterite cockroaches anonymous?

by Platinum199
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 07:56
#139206

by Gordon_Gekko
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 10:01
#139292

Just fuel for further melt-up.

by theprofromdover
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 06:12
#139184

Gold has been the wrong price for years.

Everyone was too desperate not to miss the other bubbles, so took their eye off the ball.

The gold price is just correcting itself just now. It has a long way to go before it is over-priced. In the decade of trouble we have coming to us, gold and silver will be the only anchors we can trust. (and maybe the Bank of Mauritius)

by Anonymous
on Sun, 11/22/2009 - 23:43
#139055

Ha ha.

Long woodstoves, fish hooks, sinkers and rambo knives.

Eat my dust.

by Anonymous
on Sun, 11/22/2009 - 23:50
#139058

Has anyone noticed the non-confirmation of this euro rally vs. any of the other "risk currency" tells? AUD/JPY, AUD/USD and NZD/USD have barely budged while Euro is on a rip and camped at 85+ on the RSI.

Completely unrelated thought but does the Fed have any benefit by fanning the gold flame to lay claim that the value of gold in Ft. Knox now supports the dollar...........

by Hephasteus
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 00:00
#139068

Maybe the Canadian Mint is looking to replace it's umm Lost Gold.

http://www.gata.org/node/8069

Which means central banks are yanking the yellow stuff out of every building it can to cover it's shorts.

 

 

by Anonymous
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 01:00
#139094

Oh no. The "Federal Reserve Note" people have come to the thread. Yeah right. A total meltdown of the credit markets, with the world trying to price in zero economic activity in the US, with the dollar probably going both up and down in very sharp moves and then a serious problem with USTreasuries--and then people will want FRN?

Sure.

My friends the balance sheet of the US is already in play. OK? So in the meltdown, the balance sheet of the US will be even more in play. If people are willing to accept FRN under those conditions, then they'll be willing to accept yap stones as well. No one, and I mean no one, will be looking for dollars or FRN to pay back loans or service debt because the entire social action of servicing one's debt will end. You will be in your house, and you will say "Go ahead, try and pull me out and everyone else on the street. No? I thought so. No let me go back to tending my root vegetables."

Federal Reserve Notes. Pshaw!.

by Anonymous
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 10:00
#139288

The fact is, the FRN is still the world's reserve currency and there isn't enough gold to replace it and no other currency is looking sharper. Japan has 200% debt to GDP ratio, EU is right around same. The Yuan is a joke because China is a joke. No matter how bad you think the US is, everyone else is in worse shape. So there you go.

I would avoid gold at all costs. It's ridiculously priced and it will crash back down, the same as tulip bulbs. Unlike tulip bulbs, gold probably has a natural baseline value, but it is not $1200/oz. At least, not for very long. It's your funeral, not mine.

by faustian bargain
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 13:29
#139565

just keep telling yourself that.

by Anonymous
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 01:04
#139096

What in God's name is happening with bond futures right now?!?!

They have all tanked @ the open of electronic trading. Is this correct or is my platform (ToS) wrong?

TIA

by Gordon_Gekko
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 01:07
#139098

AHAHAHAHAHAHAAAHHHHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAAAAAHHHAHAHA!!!!!!

by BobPaulson
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 01:26
#139112

Insane outburst of diabolical mirth or were you referring to a specific post?

by Gordon_Gekko
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 01:37
#139118

Diabolical mirth signifying a truckload of "I told you so's", among other things.

by truont
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 01:47
#139122

GG loves it when he's right.

by RockyRacoon
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 12:32
#139499

I mean, like, you know, when has he been wrong?

by Anonymous
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 01:12
#139102

Hey, I like gold as much as everybody but doesn't anybody here watch FOX News Channel. Good grief. I swear that every other commercial is from some fly-by-night operation SELLING gold. The only name I have recognized so far is Investment Rarities in Minneapolis, and I wouldn't touch that shop with a barge pole.

I have yet to see a commercial offering to buy gold.

Been here before too many times starting with January, 1980.

Gold is overdone, needs a rest, and time to build a base to launch an assault on $1,400 - $1,500.

by digalert
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 01:50
#139125

I'm getting used to this,

don't fight the tape

don't fight the FED

and one day the dollar is going to shoot up

then say your prayers and take cover

by Gordon_Gekko
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 02:09
#139133

YAAAAAWN....

by delacroix
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 02:18
#139129

if they manage to jack the market, driving equities down, pm's down dollar&treasuries up. thats just an opportunity to get more pm's per dollar. all the money I have made in the last 10 months has been in silver. once they sell treasuries, and scoop the available gold, it will be back to dollar destruction, but the equities wont recover fully. gold and silver will. theres not enough silver for everyone on earth to have 1 oz   95% of all silver ever mined, has been used up. and we have been using more than the world output for many years. in 1940 there was 5 times more silver than gold, now theres 5 times more gold do the math, a small demand increase will suck it all up in a week. thats why JPM is vigorously shorting the stuff. if you think gold is hard to deliver, watch what happens to silver, its almost a rare earth mineral.

by orca
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 02:07
#139131

New gold act out of the question, however, I think they will declare force majeure on electronic/physical settle positions in the near future.
They have to, I really can't see any other way out of this giant goldsucking reverse death spiral.
That is the reason my gold positions are physical.

by delacroix
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 02:09
#139134

wasn't it madonna who said   LETS GET PHYSICAL

by orca
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 02:25
#139139

No, it was übermilf Olivia Newton John who caused me many a wet night when I was a teenager.

by Jim ODonnell
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 09:27
#139251

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ow1gS3m1ckM

Sorry Orca to make you have some more dreams. This is a live performance.

by MsCreant
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 10:40
#139344

There is some stuff out there on the net that says she is a lesbian.

by orca
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 11:57
#139460

Thanks MsCreant and Jim! I don't care if she's a lesbian, you can't feel the difference. tonight my girlfriend will play Olivia and I'll try to be an acceptable John Travolta, in "Grease - the X-rated version"

Anyway, there is something on topic I want to share with you. I have no clue where gold is headed, however here in Europe we have a product called "turbo" (by ABN Amro, now RBS), which has synthetic long and short versions of thousands of equities, forex pairs, commodities, indexes etc. There are 4 turbo shorts out now, with strikes 1185-1230-1284-1499. These are reset monthly (down with shorts, up with longs)The fifth was 1130 and is history. Although this bank is not a major player, what is interesting is that they somehow manage to identify countless levels on all sorts of stuff, and it is in their interest to have these levels stopped out. Also, since we are in uncharted territory, it is convenient to see where their levels interest is situated. If they are correct with the remaining 4 short positions we are in for a hell of a spike.

by Gordon_Gekko
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 02:08
#139132

Paging Robert Prechter....paging Robert Prechter....we have a "few"...umm...how do I put this...umm..."dissatisfied" EW customers waiting for you at the front desk, although if I were you I'd jump out the window right now and go to some undisclosed location for a loooooong time. 

by flaxpin
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 07:54
#139202

I'm a short-term EW trader, and I think Prechter's call for a correction of gold to ~600 is off base also.  He thinks we're in a B corrective wave.  But the fundamentals behind this move seems to support that we're in a long-term impulse.  You could feel the real support behind gold back when gold was testing 900 in July (and at many other times). 

by SWRichmond
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 08:56
#139227

Prechter sent Shedlock ahead on a mission to find an "undisclosed location" they can share.

by Gordon_Gekko
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 10:06
#139304

ROTFL!

by Anonymous
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 02:23
#139138

well what the fuck did you expect with the price of gold with it being in severe and permanent backwardation??

we are watching the final gasps of free civilization.....it's all over....it's not coming back - ever......

and to the fucktards who think there is a gold bubble - you are so stupid i wouldn't care to refute the imbecility...

buying gold at 1200 usd is buying below market....

by Anonymous
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 10:48
#139362

Crude and a bit rude, but then the truth always is, is it not/

Touche.

by dbik
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 04:12
#139163

the name of the game from now on is "squeeze".

Dollar - silver, shorts - longs

.

I can tell you the more secured squeeze will be VIX shorts...........

by Anonymous
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 06:58
#139191

Quacks like a duck.......couldn't this be what a currency collapse looks like?

by Anonymous
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 07:36
#139196

Someone should ask JPM how the Silver Short program is going! Maybe this is too expensive for a bailed-out bank, anymore....

by MsCreant
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 07:40
#139198

I love comments on gold threads. I have read some really helpful things over the past couple of years.  With this knowledge, I can be a long strong hand.

Knowing the history of gold and crashes is what has calmed me down about it. This is like the mafia, every few years, they go to the mats to clean out the trash. Gold cleans out the trash. Gold is the enforcer.  With this perspective I see gold as revolution. Gold is the big "fuck you." Gold sez "Death to the Fed (the institution)." Gold sez, "Get real." Gold is the physical, obdurate, kick-able reality that can be empirically confirmed or denied. Derivative$ of derivative$ most certainly are not. The dollar is the original derivative (hehe).

Silver sez all these things too, but she does it in gold's shadow. Gold stomps its way up. When she is sure, she comes out and plays.

Gold doesn't always go up, but gold always is... that is all I need to know.

by Hephasteus
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 07:48
#139200

Welcome to the true value hardware store. Gold buys different flashlights than castle of illusion dollars do.

by Anonymous
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 08:11
#139208

Bricks and slippers. One lines the stairway to heaven, the other makes the travelling easier on those fleet feet as they flee paper IOUs.

by Anonymous
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 08:19
#139209

They took our dollar down

by Sqworl
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 08:24
#139210

Jaime Dimon tapped for Treasury?????  Although he is a bankster.  He also hate Vampire Squid...let the games begin...

by Tommy
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 08:55
#139225

Ron Paul on CNBC, how the heck did he get in Congress?

I thought they had an 3 part test to keep guys like him out.

a.  He fails the intellegence test (he has some)

b.  He fails the integrity test (he has some)

c.  A lie detector (he doesn't do it every time he opens his mouth)

 

by faustian bargain
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 13:36
#139573

somebody junked your comment. i wonder why the Ron Paul hater doesn't come out and say something about it?

by MsCreant
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 15:44
#139746

I hereby junk that junking!

by WaterWings
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 16:51
#139783

Yeah, I was about to say: "Junked? I knew I smelled unwiped butts lurking around here!"

But, about your points: Mr. Paul has backed himself into a corner. He has spent years developing a reputation for straight talk and no lies. So, his dilemma is that he can't lie - unless he wants to see his fanbase drop by 99.9% overnight. No, he will stay the course.

It would almost seem his is the candle on the hill for millions. The soul of our dying Nation counts upon him for guidance.

by Big Red
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 19:27
#140018

seems like the " ( )"'s are damning with VerY faint praise

by Anonymous
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 09:05
#139234

2009 gold year high = 2000 gold year low 252 * 1.20^9 = 1300

by Anonymous
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 09:51
#139272

This may be one of the smartest posts I've seen about gold
in the last 10 years.

http://www.sliderontheblack.com/gold-silver-stocks/december-gold-hits-another-new-high-heres-why/

"It’s become a broken record for gold…

Another new high.

Another new high.

Another new high.

Why?

Because this isn’t Howard Ruff’s, Jim Sinclair’s,
and Doug Casey’s gold bull any more.

It’s John Paulson’s, Paul Tudor Jones’, and
David Einhorn’s gold bull.

And gold's not hitting new highs because of imminent bank
holidays, predictions of a Comex failure, or tungsten
filled gold bars, here's why gold's hitting new highs..."

Very interesting comments on the video from James Rickards.

Michael Cerulean

by Anonymous
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 12:32
#139501

apparently this guy begs to differ:

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/gold-to-fall-under-1000-by-year-end-forecaster-2009-11-23

by RockyRacoon
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 13:31
#139569

So, if Julian Jessop is right he gets his 15 minutes of fame.  If he's wrong he gets a gig as a regular commentator on CNBC's Kudlow show.   Just look at how many times Don Luskin gets to be a featured (octo-box) guest.

by Anonymous
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 13:15
#139546

If you are the largest holder of a thing in the world...you would either want it to increase in value thus increasing your wealth, or want it to decrease in value thus decreasing your wealth. So if the USA holds more physical gold than any other nation on the planet...what do we suppose the gubmint wants to happen???? They want the price of gold to go up, but they can't say so specifically because it will tick off China and there will be an overnight crash of the dollar. That would create so much turmoil as to possibly result in a revolution. However, if it can happen slowly then the USA wealth increases and those holding our dollars decreases (relative to the USA's)while Joe 6-pack gets cooked so slowly that he does not notice it.

by faustian bargain
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 13:39
#139579

And what exactly is the government going to do with all that 'wealth'?

by Nathan Smith
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 14:32
#139643

"The largest holder of gold in the world"

According to who, themselves, lol.

by BobPaulson
on Mon, 11/23/2009 - 14:57
#139683

I tend to believe the amount they hold is of similar order of magnitude to the claimed holdings. I still think they're short and some of their claimed physical is paper, but if too much of their reserves were actually loaned out, it would hugely contort the supply. Obviously that's what has been behind keeping the price down - but it comes down to how short they are on physical.

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