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Gold Technicals

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This will be a comprehensive review of
gold technicals utilizing the SPDR Gold Trust (symbol: GLD).

{to view larger images, click on the graph}

 

Gold Technicals

 

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Tue, 07/27/2010 - 22:46 | 491409 MrSteve
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Technical  analysis shows on November 3, 2009 that Bloomberg reported "

Nov. 3 (Bloomberg) -- Gold jumped to a record after India’s central bank bought 200 metric tons of the metal from the International Monetary Fund, heightening speculation that there may be more official purchases.

Gold futures for December delivery rose to a record $1,088.50 an ounce at about 2:22 p.m. in after-hours trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange’s Comex unit. Earlier, the most-active contract settled at $1,084.90, up $30.90, or 2.9 percent. It was the biggest gain since March 19.

“This will encourage other countries and other investors, especially Indians, who are big buyers anyway, to jump into the market,” said Leonard Kaplan, the president of Prospector Asset Management in Evanston, Illinois.

The Reserve Bank of India paid $6.7 billion for the bullion, which it bought from Oct. 19 to Oct. 30. "

 

So technically, "somebody really really big likes gold at, on or around 1080, so if you can't think for yourself, just follow the Bank of India and "be like Buffet". Technically speaking, its easy!

Tue, 07/27/2010 - 22:15 | 491374 zen0
zen0's picture

Being a small winner is better than a small or big loser>

Tue, 07/27/2010 - 22:09 | 491363 zen0
zen0's picture

Maybe somebody sold half their gold so that no matter what happens, they will make a profit.

Tue, 07/27/2010 - 21:47 | 491343 unwashedmass
unwashedmass's picture

 

i think the one thing we can agree on is how proud we are of our government, and our "regulators" when we see things go on like what happened in the metals markets today.

i know i for one believe this is no banana republic on this planet that has it over us! Nope, not any more. We are the best!

Tue, 07/27/2010 - 21:47 | 491342 unwashedmass
unwashedmass's picture

 

i think the one thing we can agree on is how proud we are of our government, and our "regulators" when we see things go on like what happened in the metals markets today.

i know i for one believe this is no banana republic on this planet that has it over us! Nope, not any more. We are the best!

Tue, 07/27/2010 - 17:45 | 491059 BeeTee
BeeTee's picture

Some simple trading advice.

Gold is drawing an inverse head and shoulders.  This is the head....

Stop panicking.

 

Tue, 07/27/2010 - 19:09 | 491165 unwashedmass
unwashedmass's picture

 

i agree ...stop panicking....JPM needs something like 2.9 tons of gold to meet delivery demand and 900,000 oz of silver to meet...

and it seems they don't have it.

today, they tried to shake the tree.

too bad, they didn't get mine.

in fact, i bought more.....and requested delivery.

tant pis, JPM, tant pis.

Tue, 07/27/2010 - 16:58 | 491008 RodeoBull
RodeoBull's picture

I love watching gold bugs squirm. Soon this charade will be over, and you will have no outlet for your fear.

Yes, be bearish on compounding assets and bullish on non-productive ones. Interesting choice.

Tue, 07/27/2010 - 17:46 | 491060 walküre
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"Compounding assets"

Do you own a bank? If not, then you're just full of shit. There's no way you can make money and certainly not by "compounding" anything. Maybe you're thinking "compacting", as in compacting stash of worthless paper before it gets sent to the incinerator when the currency reform happens.

Tue, 07/27/2010 - 18:22 | 491101 JuicedGamma
JuicedGamma's picture

+1

Tue, 07/27/2010 - 15:18 | 490780 jcrows
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its something more than marketeers fleecing the market. someone somewhere is short something or other and they need to pay up_markets have been manipulated since day 1, what's new about that? i bet china puts a floor in wherever they want to step up and keep the revolution at bay.

Tue, 07/27/2010 - 14:29 | 490672 carbonmutant
carbonmutant's picture

EU banks are selling gold to buy Euros

Tue, 07/27/2010 - 15:48 | 490850 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

Given the recent 30% run-up of gold priced in Euros (now sold down to 17%), this isn't really surprising.

Tue, 07/27/2010 - 14:36 | 490686 buzlightening
buzlightening's picture

Another confirmation rat basards must keep the paper ponzi hoax going!!  They're selling everything of real monetary stores of value to maintain the evil consequence of slavorading neoCONoplianism!!  I have one thing to say to paper ponzi bozo goons!  die!!  Fall in to the financial pit you dug for others!!  So it is written!!  So it will be!!

Tue, 07/27/2010 - 14:40 | 490698 Running on Empty
Running on Empty's picture

There's a shortage of Med's isn't there, you sir need to move to the front of the line.

Tue, 07/27/2010 - 14:28 | 490670 Running on Empty
Running on Empty's picture

Say Gold and all the Zombies come out of the closet. Oh it's manipulated blah blah blah.......ad infinitum.

Tue, 07/27/2010 - 15:18 | 490782 pizzgums
pizzgums's picture

+1

 

they've been waiting for weimar to appear for years, hasn't happened.

in the meantime , they get screwed when they try to sell their useless metal.

silly zombies, gold is for jewelers, a tiney amount for electronics and that's about it.

Tue, 07/27/2010 - 17:42 | 491056 walküre
walküre's picture

That's what you stock pumping jockeys don't understand.

Nobody is selling their gold holdings for profit here.

Investors that understand how gold works are accumulating more.

The truth is, the end of paper denominated assets is around the corner so to speak.

The promise of any government on their paper is worthless when their accounting is no longer approved by the people they supposedly represent.

 

 

 

Tue, 07/27/2010 - 16:18 | 490922 unwashedmass
unwashedmass's picture

 

um, excuse me, but...i started buying at 400 four years ago. silver at 4 bucks an ounce.

so, talk about how silly this is....

how are your stocks doing for you? four bagger yet?

Tue, 07/27/2010 - 16:03 | 490883 RockyRacoon
RockyRacoon's picture

Who is selling?  This is a buying opportunity.

Thank you, JPM!

Tue, 07/27/2010 - 14:20 | 490647 buzlightening
buzlightening's picture

 Perfect timing for Jpig roques to come in and burn the rat bastard house of cards down in vaporizing flames of physical delivery exponential demands!   As it was in the Hunt brother days of vigilantism rush to gold/silver; so will it be in the days of Jpigs demise!!! !!  More and more taking delivery in gold & silver will break the backs of the PM cartel!!  They cannot physically meet demand for delivery world wide and all cash payment at any amount; any time; may cease for PM's!  Paper ponzi goonite structure crashes in natural consequence of false premise or lying rat bastards hoaxing monetary gain & power from mainstream innocent public; always!  100% guarantee the housing hoax of insanity gets vaporized; in an instant; suddenly; overnight!!!!!  Out with the bad!!  In with good!!

Tue, 07/27/2010 - 14:19 | 490646 unwashedmass
unwashedmass's picture

 

you know, they got us...tho...i mean, have you ever tried to explain what is going on to a congressman? I have. they have no clue, no understanding. and then, if you do get the congressman to go over and speak to the CTFC, the CTFC boyz just give them the razzle dazzle and send them on their way.

JPM seems to have this game rigged coming and going.

Thank god people are starting to take their physical away from the Comex. that's the only thing that's going to stop them. the government, where no brains function, isn't going to.....i think we can all see that.

in fact, after what we watched today, anyone who can't see it, well, i guess we could find an empty desk for you -- with 24/7 porno feed, at the CTFC. maybe right next to Bart.

Tue, 07/27/2010 - 15:23 | 490794 All_In
All_In's picture

I have a question for all that have followed gold (and silver) more closely than myself over the past 10 years...

there is a lot of talk on ZH (and other gold forum websites) about price manipulation by JPM and company on the price of gold and silver, has this been occurring over the past 10 year run up as well or is this a more recent phenomena?

Tue, 07/27/2010 - 16:01 | 490880 RockyRacoon
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Gold has been manipulated since 1934.

The $35-per-fine-troy-ounce dollar parity was originally introduced by Franklin Delano Roosevelt's proclamation of January 31, 1934, to replace gold standard parity of $20.67 per fine ounce, i.e, 1,504.63 fine milligrams (or 25.8 grains 0.9 fine), which was debased by massive legalized counterfeiting by the Federal Reserve System, a central bank that was imposed upon America by stealth during Christmas recess of 1913 to provide financing for the First World War, whose name I propose to change to: "The First War the British Empire Could Not Afford".

http://www.gold-eagle.com/editorials_00/tlaga121100.html

Tue, 07/27/2010 - 14:04 | 490609 TheSoloKnight
TheSoloKnight's picture

call it "Newton's law of universal gravitation"....

Tue, 07/27/2010 - 14:13 | 490634 doggings
doggings's picture

call it "Newton's law of universal gravitation"....

you mean "Newtons first Law of Manipulation"..?

what is manipulated down, must come up.. ;)

Tue, 07/27/2010 - 13:49 | 490562 LoneStarHog
LoneStarHog's picture

The title of this piece-of-crap should be:  Paper Technicals

I suggest that the "author" learn something about the gold market.

Tue, 07/27/2010 - 13:58 | 490591 unwashedmass
unwashedmass's picture

 

if the guy knew something about the actual market, he'd realize how silly this paper is...

that said, i'm over this. I want to see people perp walked out of the Comex. i'm not kidding.....

this is what is destroying our markets, and by extension, the country. we've got regulatory agencies averting their eyes from what is blatant theft......

who can believe anything the government says or does when you watch them literally condone what goes on at the Comex? condone, hell, Ben is funding it....

you know and you lose all faith in all of them. this is a government that is now literally set up to steal every last dime the peasantry has, and then, walk off into the sunset leaving ruins behind them.

Tue, 07/27/2010 - 13:44 | 490545 unwashedmass
unwashedmass's picture

 

so.....now the Comex is closed. Anyone want to venture a guess as to how long it is before both gold and silver start drifting upward?

Or do we think JPM is going to spend the extra cash today and tonight to keep the global markets in line so the expiry stays right where they want it?

this entire thing now == been watching it for years -- makes me want to vomit. free, fair, transparent markets are no more in the US....

what goes on in gold and silver is comparable to any banana republic on this planet.

thanks Ben, thanks Tim, thanks CTFC...you guys should all be indicted for complicity.

Tue, 07/27/2010 - 13:45 | 490544 unwashedmass
unwashedmass's picture

 

so.....now the Comex is closed. Anyone want to venture a guess as to how long it is before both gold and silver start drifting upward?

Or do we think JPM is going to spend the extra cash today and tonight to keep the global markets in line so the expiry stays right where they want it?

this entire thing now == been watching it for years -- makes me want to vomit. free, fair, transparent markets are no more in the US....

what goes on in gold and silver is comparable to any banana republic on this planet.

thanks Ben, thanks Tim, thanks CTFC...you guys should all be indicted for complicity.

Tue, 07/27/2010 - 13:26 | 490496 unwashedmass
unwashedmass's picture

 

and i think we should talk a bit about the stocks....most -- due to the "containment policies" and the "keep the peasantry out" -- are now selling at the same levels they were at when gold was at 600, and silver was at 8.

charming, isn't it? how our government works? hand in glove allowing -- no, encouraging, a major bank to manipulate an exchange, destroy companies, and basically "keep the peasants" in line?

i'd think that half the companies in the sector would have ground for a very nice class action suit against the parties manipulating the Comex.

Tue, 07/27/2010 - 13:17 | 490471 jcrows
jcrows's picture

some breaking bad entity_ needs liquidity today_pronto!

 

Tue, 07/27/2010 - 13:18 | 490476 unwashedmass
unwashedmass's picture

 

oh, get over it crows. to pretend this is anything but a major operation by JPM is utterly ludicrous.

and i think -- since we the taxpayers -- are paying for this crap, we should start discussing the great unmentionable....

the national security aspect of these JPM gold and silver shorts.

Tue, 07/27/2010 - 13:18 | 490475 unwashedmass
unwashedmass's picture

 

oh, get over it crows. to pretend this is anything but a major operation by JPM is utterly ludicrous.

and i think -- since we the taxpayers -- are paying for this crap, we should start discussing the great unmentionable....

the national security aspect of these JPM gold and silver shorts.

Tue, 07/27/2010 - 12:59 | 490427 TWORIVER
TWORIVER's picture

Anyone else notice that Gold (1164) has broken the uptrend going back to late 08? Or that Oil (77.34) dropped 2$ to 77 in 2hrs to set up a potential reversal day on close below 78. Also, US$ has reversal day potential. Look at USD/CAD (10355), above 103.85 is a reversal. sorry for repost.

Tue, 07/27/2010 - 15:56 | 490868 RockyRacoon
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Gold prices are now precariously close to a bullish trend line emanating from the October 2008 pivot point low. If bulls can't keep spot bullion above $1,180 by week's end, bears will be greatly emboldened to push prices lower. Sights will first be set at a key retracement level at $1,155 and, if that's breached, $1,044. Those giddy with bearish intent might be shooting at a three-digit target at the $974 level.

So, what if the sell-off occurs? Will it spell the end of gold's run? No, not even if gold trades with a $900 handle. After all, there was a $200 swoon in gold prices when the Money Managers Strength Index pitched 26 points lower between August and September 2008. Look what happened afterward.

No, real danger for gold's longer-term uptrend won't be signaled until prices break the trend line passing through the 2006 lows. Today, that's at the $780 level. Could that happen? Sure, but for now the odds are long. The fundamentals that engendered gold's bull market haven't changed. There's been a lot of fear premium built into gold's price, though. It's that which is now being eroded.

For now the line is drawn. Bulls and bears are headed for a showdown. This week ought to be real interesting.

http://www.hardassetsinvestor.com/component/content/article/3/2246-gold-...

Tue, 07/27/2010 - 17:31 | 491041 walküre
walküre's picture

please, please, pretty please let me get an ounce for $780 or even $900 Dollars spot price.

It would be this deflationists wet dream. after all, this deflation is just a foreplay to enter hyperinflation where only real assets count. I still have way too many Dollars and all my cards are paid off too. Just waiting for this gold price "crash", please.

My truck is idling, ready to push back and load up!

Tue, 07/27/2010 - 22:20 | 491380 IQ 145
IQ 145's picture

 What you have to remember is that some very wealthy people, and "entities" are waiting with the gun cocked and their finger on the trigger in case they see $1,150 again; if they do, the price will bounce so hard it'll make your vision blur. This is essentially a crash proof bull market where %80 of the buyers are serious; it's in strong hands, in other words.

Tue, 07/27/2010 - 21:09 | 491286 RockyRacoon
RockyRacoon's picture

Yeah, I know.  But I said the same thing at $500, $600, and $700 gold.

I just bit my lip and bought anyway.  Needless to say I'm glad I did.

Tue, 07/27/2010 - 13:11 | 490461 unwashedmass
unwashedmass's picture

 

dude, of course JPM broke the LT trend going back to 08, was there any doubt that this was going happen? come on....

they have free money from Ben. Of course, now it seems that they are getting held up for the cash over in the silver market, where they don't have the silver, and are paying a very hefty premium to have longs go away....

but...silver broke its trend too?

my question is, are they going to pay off the world and maintain the pretense? And how much is this going to cost the US taxpayer to dig them out of their ditch, as well as fund the manipulation?

Tue, 07/27/2010 - 15:37 | 490825 Bartanist
Bartanist's picture

I think maybe we could just use one less crooked megabank ... boot JPM from the club. Toss Jamie under the bus and move on.

Tue, 07/27/2010 - 15:29 | 490806 DaveyJones
DaveyJones's picture

I'm always happy to pay for other's corrupted mistakes. Nothing says democracy and capitalism like a bailout 

Tue, 07/27/2010 - 12:55 | 490420 israhole
israhole's picture

All manipulations end badly for the manipulator.  Gold is a buy into weakness, and even JPM knows it!

Tue, 07/27/2010 - 21:29 | 491314 New_Meat
New_Meat's picture

hole--not all, if all, then they would be extinct.  end badly for ... - yep, Ned

Tue, 07/27/2010 - 12:49 | 490409 unwashedmass
unwashedmass's picture

 

oh, and does this study have anything relevant to add about what happens tomorrow afternoon? When JPM has expired all the calls worthless, and covered a bit more of its galactic-sized short.....

and takes the pressure off.....

so what do the technicals say will happen then?

the artificiality of the Comex metals market literally defy technical analysis.

Moreover, JPM knows we know that they know we know the levels....so they gun to just overshoot....

Tue, 07/27/2010 - 16:11 | 490902 RockyRacoon
RockyRacoon's picture

From Patrick Heller:

 

According to the COMEX Commitment of Traders report released July 23, which reported positions as of July 20, the largest futures traders have reduced their net short positions in the gold market by 74,292 contracts (7,429,200 ounces or 231 metric tons) in the past three weeks.  As of June 29, the largest traders had 289,956 net short contracts.  On July 20, they had only 215,664 new short contracts, a 25.6 percent decline over the 21 days. During this period, the price of gold has fallen only about 7 percent.

Only three times in the past seven years have the largest futures traders reduced their net short positions by this percentage in a three-week period. After this occurred in the three weeks ending May 17, 2005, the price of gold increased about 4 percent in the next 4-6 weeks.  In the same time period after the three weeks ending July 19, 2005, the price of gold rose about 13 percent.  For the same time period after the three weeks ending Aug. 19, 2008, gold rose about 11 percent.

In COMEX silver trading, the largest futures traders reduced their net short positions by 52,745,000 ounces, or 18 percent of their short position on June 29. During this time, the price of silver declined about 6 percent.

Technical traders learn quickly not to fight the major trend in a market. If the major players in the gold and silver markets are aggressively closing out their short positions, these actions represent a collective judgment that gold and silver prices are near an interim bottom. In other words, there is a stronger likelihood for higher gold and silver prices in the next several weeks than for lower prices.

Now it’s your turn to decide if you want to embrace the gold and silver markets with the major traders, or to trade against them.

http://www.numismaster.com/ta/numis/Article.jsp?ad=article&ArticleId=12738

Tue, 07/27/2010 - 21:52 | 491347 IQ 145
IQ 145's picture

 This is the correct analysis of the COT report; it's a good buying opportunity right now, particulary in Silver. As for the little chart in the article, here; lay a ruler over the lows and draw a line then along the highs and draw another line; what you get is a forty five degree up-channel; which is a healthy and sustainable bull market; all the rest is bullshit. The bull market is 8 years old; there's no way in hell it's over.

Tue, 07/27/2010 - 12:46 | 490400 unwashedmass
unwashedmass's picture

do we say this entire study is completely a crock because today's "drop" was completely engineered by JPM?

so, this is going to be an excellent test. When you have a manipulated market, a blatantly manipulated market, do technicals have any meaning whatsoever?

after all the years this has gone on, no one has any idea of what gold is really worth any more.....

so, how can we pretend that it has support or resistance levels?

Tue, 07/27/2010 - 12:46 | 490399 unwashedmass
unwashedmass's picture

do we say this entire study is completely a crock because today's "drop" was completely engineered by JPM?

so, this is going to be an excellent test. When you have a manipulated market, a blatantly manipulated market, do technicals have any meaning whatsoever?

after all the years this has gone on, no one has any idea of what gold is really worth any more.....

so, how can we pretend that it has support or resistance levels?

Tue, 07/27/2010 - 15:54 | 490863 RockyRacoon
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Buying opportunity just on the horizon?  We'll see.

Gold: Shootout At The 24K Corral

Gold is "precariously close" to a sell-off

http://www.hardassetsinvestor.com/component/content/article/3/2246-gold-...

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