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Greece Threatens EU It Will Go To IMF For Bail Out Unless Merkel Stops Changing Her Song Every Fifteen Minutes

Tyler Durden's picture




 

From Dow Jones: Greek PM Says If EU Doesn't Help Greece It May Go To IMF. Also, this is the definition of a complete lack of leverage: Greek Cabinet Member: PM Says Greece Needs EU To Show Its Support Now, and that the Time for EU Help Has Arrived. And screw strikes - here comes the civil war:

  • Greece to cut public sector salary benefits by 30%,
  • Cuts wages across the board.
  • Establish emergency tax of 1% for salaries over €100,000
  • Freeze public sector hiring in 2010, and in 2011 one new job will be filled for every 5 retirements

And all this is followed by a cold water throwing Angela Merkel who just said that the Friday meeting will be purely on the "State of things" and no aid to Greece will be promised.

As always, pure anarchy - should be enough for some 1-2% worth in computerized S&P buying on a few hundred ES blocks.

 

 

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Wed, 03/03/2010 - 09:08 | 252111 godfader
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A couple of more provocations from the garlic chewers and I am sure the Wehrmacht will bring their tanks in position and march into Athens.

Wed, 03/03/2010 - 09:43 | 252140 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

Nahhh... Not with the obscene cost of diesel for those tanks. The Germans will simply wait for Greece to be auctioned off for pennies on the Euro.

Wed, 03/03/2010 - 09:15 | 252115 SWRichmond
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Didn't I say two weeks ago or more that IMF would "get the nod"?  Should I search and find the post?  Duh.

Edit: IMF will wait while a Greek face is put on the "austerity" measures, so that it is viewed as Greece and not the IMF that is imposing its will on the nation, and then the IMF will lend them money.  Don't you guys know how this shit works?

Wed, 03/03/2010 - 09:26 | 252125 jerseyredd
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+1

Wed, 03/03/2010 - 10:05 | 252153 taraxias
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Respectfully disagree. An EU bailout (through EU banks) will come as early as the end of the week. The surprise will come from the FX markets where the euro will continue to fall. Currency speculators know that these austerity measures just announced are 1) papering over deep structural issues in Greece's economy 2) throwing a very weak Greek economy into a depression/deflation spin 3) they will be met with riots in the streets, either now or as soon as the public begins to "feel" the pain of reduced salaries and spend.

The EU knows which direction this is going. If the EU refuses aid and the IMF steps in and the situation disintegrates further in the near future (which it will) then Greece will pull out of the eurozone. It will become unattainable for their politicians to continue with the EU. Germany can't afford this scenario with Portugal and Spain no too far behind. Expect them to blink.

Wed, 03/03/2010 - 10:59 | 252218 Anonymous
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Spot on

Wed, 03/03/2010 - 09:20 | 252121 john_connor
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An IMF bailout may trigger a series of events that allows us to skip to the final phase of the crisis immediately where US and UK bonds collapse.  In that case I look for a percent or so higher in the Dow right after the announcement followed by an 8000 point drop over the course of a month.

We might as well just cut to the chase.

Wed, 03/03/2010 - 14:54 | 252588 Mr Lennon Hendrix
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wow. bring the Dow down to gold instead of vice versa?  what will happen to all those monies (dollar/sterling pound)?  No inflation on the debt owed?  All fiat currencies will collapse in this case.

 

Wed, 03/03/2010 - 09:28 | 252127 Internet Tough Guy
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Might as well write off the EU if they let the IMF eat their lunch. Who will take them seriously?

Wed, 03/03/2010 - 09:35 | 252132 tip e. canoe
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if you think it's drama now, just wait til Italy starts to crack.

Wed, 03/03/2010 - 09:39 | 252136 Racer
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"- should be enough for some 1-2% worth in computerized S&P buying on a few hundred ES blocks."

 

exactly, but I wish I could go along with it, but I cannot because it is just plain out of economic and fundamental reality. I do not want to be caught in the carnage when reality finally hits, so I just have to watch and wonder at the madness of computers

Wed, 03/03/2010 - 09:39 | 252137 gilligan
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"Greece to cut public sector salary benefits by 30%"

That'll go down well with the public servants.  No drama I'm sure. 

Wed, 03/03/2010 - 10:26 | 252184 Anonymous
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the Greeks will say anything to get the money. they have absolutely no intention of following through on any of the promised "austerity" measures. business as usual.

Wed, 03/03/2010 - 09:39 | 252138 godfader
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Why are we paying $1.36 for a EUR again? The EUR was at $1.00 10 years ago and we bid it up to $1.60 because supposedly the EUR zone is such a great, debt free paradise of producitvity. Now we find out it's not.

Wed, 03/03/2010 - 09:45 | 252141 crosey
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+1.  But then again, it's hard to gain ground when Benny and Timmy keep on a-printing.

Wed, 03/03/2010 - 09:53 | 252146 hedgeless_horseman
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That is why it is called a race to the bottom.

Wed, 03/03/2010 - 10:18 | 252174 tpberg7
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Yes, indeed!  Let the presses roll come hell or high water.  Uncle Ben and Tiny Tim will always find the necessary funds to help the Greeks.  The IMF will be the conduit for disaster, let the games begin. 

"But the U.S. government has a technology, called a printing press (or, today, its electronic equivalent), that allows it to produce as many U.S. dollars as it wishes at essentially no cost."

Wed, 03/03/2010 - 10:15 | 252169 reload
reload's picture

Perhaps it is because if the IMF do the bail out the Euro states do not have to put their hands so directly on the printing press / bond guarantee / fiscal aid lever - or whatever mechanism they would use. As far as the Euro goes the IMF is the least bad option IMO. However I dont disagree with your sentiment that the Euro could / will fall further but for now a few weak shorts will possibly get liquidated. I would like to know how many crappy MBS the Euro central bank has taken in from Spain et al, anybody know if the information is `out there`?

Wed, 03/03/2010 - 10:20 | 252176 SWRichmond
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As far as the Euro goes the IMF is the least bad option IMO.

Mine, too.  IMF loans provide the best obfuscation.

Wed, 03/03/2010 - 09:45 | 252142 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

Merkel hasn't been changing her song. Her tune has remained the same "No bailouts for Greece." What's so difficult to understand about that?

Oh, right -- some German MEP of Greek heritage keeps babbling to the press about some guaranteed debt deal - when he's so junior in the government that he has no plausible reason to know who, what or when any of this would happen.

Wed, 03/03/2010 - 10:06 | 252154 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

If you don't start drinkin'/I'm gonna leave. - George Thoroughgood

Wed, 03/03/2010 - 12:47 | 252406 hedgeless_horseman
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I see Turbo Tim listening to Gear Jammer whilst printing zillions of FRNs.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EcQWvWD9YR0

Wed, 03/03/2010 - 10:11 | 252163 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

the Greeks will say anything to get the money. they have absolutely no intention of following through on any of these "austerity" measures.

Wed, 03/03/2010 - 10:16 | 252172 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

the Greeks will say anything to get the money. they have absolutely no intention of following through on any of the "austerity" measures.

Wed, 03/03/2010 - 10:20 | 252177 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

So a 1 percent tax rise for the 15,000 Greeks who earn over 100,000 EUR and bother to pay any tax on it.

Wed, 03/03/2010 - 10:21 | 252180 bullchit
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Greece slowly puts the gun to it's head...."give me the money, or the deigo gets it."

Regards.

Wed, 03/03/2010 - 10:23 | 252182 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

the Greeks will say anything to get the money. they have absolutely no intention of following through on any of the "austerity" measures. business as usual.

Wed, 03/03/2010 - 10:34 | 252192 Jim in MN
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IMF! IMF! IMF!

The proud Greeks will fight against the IMF legions and their newly bought mercenaries, AKA the Greek security apparatus.

How surprising when the austerity measures melt away like olive oil soaking into soft bread.  Oopsie! 

Really no big deal, more a distraction to try to reorient the crisis into a 'useful' crisis--with the terribly boring target of public sector unions.

Come on.  These financiers (say it with a sneer) just about killed the world, continue to steal billions from our kids, and want us to....attack unions.  Riiiight. 

Oh and call Mish Shedlock and tell him to retune his banjo...maybe after the real issues are dealt with we can fix things like unions and littering?

 

Wed, 03/03/2010 - 10:43 | 252200 MarketTruth
MarketTruth's picture

Apologies if comes off as sophomoric yet that is exactly what i seem to be hearing from greece. This is getting so childish like "My dad will beat up your dad" taunting. Greece needs to face the fire and borrow from the IMF because obviously no one wants to give them money that will never be repaid. Other countries are not is a good position so they have nothing really to give away and Germany has experienced a currency crisis before so they know to hold on to what they have... and hold it tightly.

Wed, 03/03/2010 - 10:43 | 252201 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

"that allows it to produce as many U.S. dollars as it wishes at essentially no cost."

No cost. Wow. Just print away then Benny.

"Money for nothin' and your checks for free".

Wed, 03/03/2010 - 10:45 | 252204 Gordon_Gekko
Gordon_Gekko's picture

Should be good for another 100 point rise in the SPX.

Wed, 03/03/2010 - 11:01 | 252220 swamp
swamp's picture

Fiscal responsibility is now termed "austerity".

Wed, 03/03/2010 - 12:07 | 252336 jmc8888
jmc8888's picture

Yep they'll call the genocide by whatever name.  Either way it's wrong, doesn't have anything to do with the problem, and engaging in 'austerity' won't solve it anyway.  It'll just keep some bankrupt banks from appearing more bankrupt because the loan don't go belly up and trigger something larger.

Besides they'll have to get all these austerity measures past the Greek people, who at this point wow I just don't know what to say.  We've seen how their people will stand up over the past few years.  These cuts seem bigger to me than all the others combined. 

People who force austerity have ran out of ideas. If they're out of ideas, DON'T VOTE FOR THEM.

Wed, 03/03/2010 - 12:03 | 252331 jmc8888
jmc8888's picture

Pride can be overruled.  Will europe really hate being bailed out by the IMF? Normally I would say yes.  But if the situation is as hopeless as it appears its getting, then perhaps Merkel and everyone else think it will let the IMF waste their money?

 

Wage cuts will be (and have) been attempted too.  Kudlow was screaming about how Ford was great that it got it's employees (obviously under threat of bankruptcy...but not because of their wages), to cut wages/benefits from the around 75 to 50.  That's about a 33 percent salary and benefit cuts. 

Is a 30 percent wage cut going to become the new normal? Will it be patriotic to suck it up and take these wage cuts, while Big Ben is making it rain with as many dollars as bankers need to appear solvent? Nope.  You'll just be a sucker.  But let's not get ahead of ourselves too much.

30 percent wow, who would of thought the best thing on TV during sweeps might be GREEK....no not the tv program (that's probably canceled for all I care about it), the revolution.

I'm sure their businesses will do well now that a huge swath of their population will now have 30 percent less to spend, with fewer overall numbers having that 30 percent less to spend.  Wage cuts for everyone else.  Even more taxes.  Wow.  30 percent shocks me.  My guesstimate was around 10-15, and that would cause much social unrest.  30 percent....watch out below that's a greek statue falling towards your head.

I'm sure at a time when Greeks are taking money OUT of the banks, they'll happily put more in now that they'll be making 30 percent less.

Holy Arctropolis Batman

Wed, 03/03/2010 - 13:14 | 252437 texpat
texpat's picture

I think it's 30% of 'benefits', being 1 month of their three months of bonus holiday pay.

No wonder the fuckers are bankrupt.

I concur with the poster above that they'll do anything to get the guarantees, then welch on the austerity measures.

SUCKERS!

Wed, 03/03/2010 - 14:50 | 252573 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

The IMF/World bank runs the world.  DOelarr DOuble Xrossed, YES!!!!!!!!!!!!

Global currencies in two short years unless America and Europe take over their banking system.  I am not talking about any "Nationalization"; simply give power to the states to have State Funded banks.  This may piss China off.  I formally apologize, sirs.  Why did you play games with Henry Kissinger and David Rockefeller?  China you have two years too spend your Doelarrs on gold, go!

Fri, 04/16/2010 - 09:30 | 303763 mark456
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