Guest Post: Gossip From The Wall Street Journal's Future Of Finance Initiative
Submitted by Janet Tavakoli, via Huffington Post
Last week I was a participant in the Wall Street Journal's Future of Finance Initiative in England. WSJ has written a summary of the conference highlights, and missed some key points. Allow me to fill in the blanks.
Paul Volcker, former Fed Chairman and current Chair of the President's Economic Advisory Board, made the most worthwhile comments.
Moral hazard was not discussed in the open forums, so Volcker reminded
the assembly. Yet even Volcker did not broach the topic of fraud.
Alistair Darling, Chancellor of the Exchequer, spoke on the opening evening. I asked him why massive financial fraud
remained unaddressed. Darling appeared momentarily confused and seemed
to suggest this was exclusively a U.S. problem to be handled by the
courts. I pushed back on this notion. By the time one needs a lawyer,
it is too late. I noted that we, the middle aged financiers in the
room, are responsible for taking action. If we don't face this issue
head on, we will never restore trust in the financial system.
Ana Botin, Banesto's Executive Chairman, suggested that the risk
manager should report to the board. Then she blew it with the
assertion--made several times--that the CEO can also be Chairman. (Ken
Lewis defended his dual role as CEO and Chairman of Bank of America at
a Fed conference in 2003. How did that work out?)
I didn't challenge Botin's assertion, because I used my two minutes
(literally) during the "Too Big to Fail" breakout session to
(unsuccessfully) try to carry the point that when banks fail, we should
allow shareholders to be wiped out, and debt holders should take
losses. (Under that scenario, most of the current managers would be
booted out.) Instead, the group posted the need for a "living will" to
be designed by the managers that made life support during our recent
crisis a debatable necessity.
Elizabeth Corley, CEO of Allianz Global Investors in Europe, presented conclusions from her panel's discussion of
the "Regulatory Frontier." The panel's idea of upgrading regulatory
resources was to deploy senior financial institution officers to
regulators for two or three years and vice versa. Meanwhile, the
financial institutions should chip in to maintain the regulators'
former high pay. Howard Davies of the London School of Economics saved
me from having to explain the concept of regulatory capture. After he
spoke, I was the only one to clap. Apparently everyone else thought the
panel was titled the "Predatory Frontier."
Robert Diamond, president of Barlcays PLC, sounded like a financial holocaust denier.
He seemed to think that the idea of breaking up banks has only to do
with the threat to the financial system, if they fail. The point is
that some of these institutions threatened the financial system--and
continue to threaten the financial system--because they are too big to
Diamond seemed to dislike the term "socially useless" to describe
recent financial innovation and defended Barclays' proprietary trading.
Since Barclays has dropped its suit involving its total return swap with
Bear Stearns' imploded hedge funds, Diamond may have already forgotten
this relevant example of financial innovation gone wrong. Hedge fund
investors were wiped out, the hedge funds' dodgy assets landed on Bear
Stearns's balance sheet, and later on JPMorgan Chase's balance sheet,
after it acquired Bear Stearns. Our past crisis taught us that hedge
funds are not independent of the banking system. This transaction
wasn't merely socially useless, it had negative social utility.
Mario Draghi, Bank of Italy's Governor and Chairman of the Financial
Stability Board, seemed to think that hedge funds are independent. This
is simply incorrect. If the example above didn't persuade him, he might
consider the assets that came back onto bank balance sheets and
contributed to market instability. For example, in March of 2008 as
Bear Stearns bit the dust, the Carlyle Group's CCC fund assets and the
assets of Peloton's funds boomeranged back on bank balance sheets at
the most inopportune time.
Bob Diamond defended structured credit products saying there is a
real purpose for structuring credit for pension funds. He was probably
unaware that state pension funds in the United States were damaged by
the unintended consequences of a "AAA" rated structured credit product.
The pension funds were wise enough to avoid investing in the product,
yet as I explained in my February 2007 letter to the Securities and Exchange Commission, large fixed income pension funds were unintenionally harmed by the market distortions caused by this financial innovation.
My letter to the SEC cited this financial innovation as an example
of why the special NRSRO designation of the rating agencies should be
revoked. The product did not deserve its "AAA" rating. It had
substantial principal risk and deserved a non-investment grade, or junk
rating. Within a year all of these new "AAA" innovations blew up.
Moody's estimated that investors in one of them would get back only
around ten cents on the dollar.
Not all financial innovation is harmful, but it is undeniable that
in recent years it was a runaway train that nearly derailed the global
financial system. You wouldn't have realized that, if you listened to
most of the participants. They chiefly represented the interests of
large financial institutions, and the financial system is still
attached to the privileged placenta of central banks doling out
taxpayer subsidies. Most of the conference reflected the insulated
thinking of this protective womb.
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