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Guest Post: The Last Gasp Bubble of Government.com

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Submitted by Todd Harrison Of Minyanville

The Last Gasp Bubble of Government.com

When I began writing ten years ago, I would offer that the opposite of love wasn’t hate; it was apathy.

I
shared that thought after tech stocks dropped 40% in less than two
months and then recovered half those losses the next two months. We all
know what happened next; the tech sector melted 70% the next few years.

Wash
and rinse, Pete and repeat; we’ve seen that sequel again and again and
again. From the homebuilders (real estate) to China to crude oil, a
“new paradigm” arrived. Every time was different and each offered a
fresh set of forward expectations that would finally prove historical
precedents need not apply


Click to enlarge

I
traded all of those bubbles thinking quite sure they would follow the
path of false hope and empty promises paved by their predecessors. That
proved true as the real estate market crashed, China imploded under the
weight of the world, and crude crumbled just as it seemed ready to
stake claim to the new world order. (See: Oil of Oy Vey)

Sisyphus Now!

While those bubbles hit home for many Americans, they’re hardly unprecedented through a historical lens.

There was the tulip mania in 17th century Holland as Dutch collectors hoarded a hierarchy of flowers.

The Mississippi and South Sea bubbles of the 18th century emerged in the wake of Europe’s dire economic condition.

The
roaring twenties, fueled by an expansive use of leverage, led to the
crash and Great Depression while not necessarily in that order.

And there’s Japan, perhaps the most frequently referenced modern-day
parallel of our current course. The land of the rising sun boasted one
of the strongest economies on the planet before a prolonged period of
deregulation, money supply growth, low interest rates, bad real estate
bets, and “zaitech” (financial engineering) creating a virtuous cycle
of speculative frenzy that ultimately collapsed the country.

Does any of this strike a chord?

If
familiarity breeds contempt, the percolating societal acrimony
shouldn’t come as a shocker. Albert Einstein said the definition of
insanity is doing the same thing over and over and expecting a
different result. That most certainly applies to our financial fate but
as with most journeys, the destination we arrive at pales in comparison
to the path we take to get there. (See: What In the World is Going On?)

Our
Federal Reserve chairman is a student of history and well versed on the
passion and plight of financial excess. We’ve witnessed extraordinary
stimuli intended to shift the natural course of the business cycle, one
that long ago lost its way. While policymakers conceivably “saved” the
system, the resulting imbalances pose a fresh set of issues for the
global socioeconomic spectrum.

I’ve repeatedly offered that
the financial crisis hasn’t disappeared; it simply changed shape.
It--for lack of a better analogy--has gone airborne, migrating from the
tangible to the amorphous, from Wall Street to Main Street, from a
distant coexistence to an emerging class war. It, like most viruses,
will arrive in waves and infect those who haven’t been inoculated with
a steady stream of financial consciousness.

Gauge your
internal reaction to every opinion you read or hear, multiply it by
millions and you’ll begin to imagine the magnitude of the shifting
social mood. While the recent stock market rally reflects renewed
optimism that can conceivably continue the chasm between perception and
reality is widening; while the tape can run, we, the people are running
out of places to hide.

That’s not to say we should lose hope,
quite the contrary. The greatest opportunities are born from the most
profound obstacles and this will again prove true. The trick to the
trade and a pathway to prosperity won’t be found by those wallowing in
the “why,” pointing fingers and placing blame; they’ll be conceived by
those proactively positioned, readily prepared and steadfastly aware of
what lays in wait.

The leaders coming out of a crisis are
rarely the same as those that entered it and the ability to add
capacity into a downturn will define the winners on the other side. We
must reward those who saved, incentivize those who are motivated and
punish those who’ve transgressed. Until there is culpability for
wayward decisions, there won’t be motivation to change behavior and
rebuild society from the inside out.

Therein lies the rub of our
current course; innovation and entrepreneurialism are integral parts of
the solution but many of those in a position to effect positive change
don’t have access to capital. While credit worthy borrowers may be a
rare breed—and lowering those standards were the root of the
problem—the obligations of many have muted the aspirations of most.

The Hot Tub Time Machine

I’ve
maintained throughout our time together that the mother of all
bubbles—debt— would be the final frontier before free market forces
shocked asset classes back towards equilibrium. With total debt-to-GDP
stretched towards 400%, we reached the zenith of that elasticity in
2008 and the system unwound with great vengeance and furious anger; the
gig was up.

It’s hard to say what would have happened if we let
the market do what the market was in the process of doing. It could
have created a domino effect that toppled corporate America from JPMorgan (JPM) to General Electric (GE) to Target (TGT) to Goldman Sachs (GS) to AT&T (T);
the commercial paper market was frozen, payrolls would have halted and
citizens may have taken to the streets to feed their families.

We’re talking potential anarchy here and I’m not prone to hyperbole.

The
alternative scenario—the one the created a chasm of discord throughout
the land—was the evolution of the last gasp bubble, that of
Government.com. $800 billion here, $1 trillion there, numbers so
enormous they seem silly; the reality is they’re anything but. (See: Will the EU Bailout Work?)

While
we remain in the eye of the storm—the relative calm between the banking
crisis and the cumulative comeuppance—a simple yet scary truth remains.
We haven’t cured the disease; we’re simply masking the symptoms. (See: The Eye of the Financial Storm)

I
will again remind you that the opposite of love isn’t hate, its apathy.
We’ve noted the lower volume during rallies and the higher traffic
during the declines—a sign of distribution—but a simpler truth may be
emerging, that of burnout. After four—or five, or six—bubbles and
bursts, folks are both bitten and shy by the gamesmanship in the
marketplace.

Perhaps that’s a function of financial fatigue or
maybe it’s an intended consequence of the war on capitalism; to be
honest, it’s tough to tell. As the machines take over and the secular
bear chews through victims, it’s hard to blame the average American for
wanting to walk away. (See: The War on Capitalism)

I’ll
simply say this; the greatest trick the devil ever pulled was
convincing the world he didn’t exist. While financial markets seem
docile or worse, backstopped by the powers that be for the foreseeable
future, the time to pay attention, remain engaged and prepare for
what’s to come has perhaps never been more acute.

R.P.

 

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Thu, 07/29/2010 - 09:59 | 493948 trav7777
trav7777's picture

Gasp, bitchez

Thu, 07/29/2010 - 10:06 | 493955 kato
kato's picture

harrison is just a blow hard who writes kind of pretty with nothing to say, nothing to offer except circuitous prose

Thu, 07/29/2010 - 12:36 | 494296 traderjoe
traderjoe's picture

Just like your comment?

Thu, 07/29/2010 - 10:02 | 493956 russki standart
russki standart's picture

I still recall Gibbon's famous definition of history as "little more than the register of the crimes, follies and misfortunes of mankind." So what has changed since the Romans, nay since Babylon?

Thu, 07/29/2010 - 10:06 | 493970 Übermensch
Übermensch's picture

There still remains the "ultimate bubble"... 

Fri, 07/30/2010 - 00:50 | 495579 Moonrajah
Moonrajah's picture

Yup, it will be known as a Ponzilla of bublical proportions.

Thu, 07/29/2010 - 10:08 | 493974 B9K9
B9K9's picture

As Ginsberg posed in On the Road:

"Whither goest thou, America, in thy shiny car in the night?"

What he was asking of Kerouac, was what was the point (of their travels)?

So I ask, what is the point of these articles? Either the Fed successfully blows another bubble, in which case the US survives and we all get to party again, or it doesn't.

If the Fed is unable to blow another bubble, it becomes difficult to imagine the US remaining as a functioning political entity. Two possible outcomes in this scenario then become regional secession and/or military coup.

To discuss a popping of the government debt bubble in the abstract is to miss that we are indeed living though historical times.

Thu, 07/29/2010 - 10:20 | 493998 Bankster T Cubed
Bankster T Cubed's picture

bullshit x infinity

 

Thu, 07/29/2010 - 11:28 | 494146 MachoMan
MachoMan's picture

What other scenarios do you contend are likely if the FED, et al, cannot reflate the credit bubble?

Fri, 07/30/2010 - 16:47 | 497067 Geoff-UK
Geoff-UK's picture

To quote Mister T from Rocky III:

"My prediction?  Pain."

Thu, 07/29/2010 - 10:18 | 493989 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

Todd,

I like you as a person and I respect you as a trader/investor. But like you said, you're been writing about this for 10 years. When will you remove the safety and comfort of your trader/investor hat and see the world as the vast majority do, from the bottom up, not the top down.

You're so worried about upsetting your primary readership of middle/upper middle class or better that you just don't have the balls to call the powers that be on the carpet. Oh sure, you've been outing them for years. You were one of the first main stream bloggers to declare the obvious, the plunge protection team was alive and up to no good. And I could list a dozen more examples of your bravery.

But that bravery only goes so far. After all, you have many Minyanville mouths to feed as you rub elbows with advertisers and investors. So you walk a fine line between calling out the ugly truths and demanding the ugly truths be changed, of bringing your considerable weight to bare. And of course, there are some ugly truths you just can't or won't talk about.

After all, your obsession with avoiding social upheaval leads you down the only path you can follow. That of enabling the insanity by not using your considerable power and loud and well travelled public voice to help stop the insanity. All that's left after taking that path is to justify to yourself your non action.

Yes, that's rather harsh. But Todd baby, when are you going to walk the walk rather than just talk.

Thu, 07/29/2010 - 10:57 | 494066 VK
VK's picture

Chaos and anarchy have only been delayed not avoided. Marginal returns across society are falling, the limits to growth have been hit. Peak oil, resource limits, financial ponzis all point to one inevitable conclusion -> Collapse. It's only a matter of when, not if.

Thu, 07/29/2010 - 11:16 | 494129 downrodeo
downrodeo's picture

you know, a little anarchy might be just what the doctor ordered…  

 

personally, I would have preferred the food riots and breadlines if the exchange for that was the destruction of these ‘too big to fails’, especially since it’s the case that there is a decent chance that we will still see bread lines and food riots in our future. the difference is the degree of freedom that we will experience while standing in said bread line.

Thu, 07/29/2010 - 12:57 | 494332 SWRichmond
SWRichmond's picture

+1.  We have cemented in place the notion of the permanence of the oligarchy, and done so publicly, even overtly.  Is genuine reform even possible now?

Thu, 07/29/2010 - 14:29 | 494523 spekulatn
spekulatn's picture

Agreed, downrodeo. 

    "What signify a few lives lost in a century or two? The tree of liberty must from time to time be refreshed with the blood of patriots and tyrants. It is its natural manure."

http://www.loc.gov/exhibits/jefferson/jefffed.html

Thu, 07/29/2010 - 16:47 | 494944 Apostate
Apostate's picture

Nothing wrong with a little anarchy.

Thu, 07/29/2010 - 11:08 | 494097 mcguire
mcguire's picture

ok, todd, cd... i have no idea if this is what you both mean, but this is what i have come to know as true.  this sort of outlines it:

1.  the entire fabric of world history, and especially since the rise of central banking and the ascent of the nation state, has been manipulated by a select group of occultists/luciferians, who since the 1700s have been known as the 'illuminati', or 33rd degree freemasons.

2. the financial system is only one aspect of their domain of control.  it happens to be one of the realms where their control is particularly evident... and tyler, this goes for you too, the reason why we keep on watching, it is not just for profit... it is because in the financial world, the lies are so blatantly obvious, we are drawn to the truth, we cant look away, there is a DRIVE towards truth.  we see the numbers, and then see the spin on mainstream media, and we know the game is rigged, we see the hands behind the curtain...

3. the fact is, the final bubble IS coming, and the result will not be anarchy... at least not for long.  there will be just enough pain, gnashing of teeth, anarchy, so that the people cry out with one voice for salvation.. and it will come in the form of "one world government".  never forget, the illuminati motto is "ORDO AB CHAO"...

so, if this is indeed the conversation we are having, then this is my contribution.  yes, i am preparing, on every front.  and, what keeps me strong is the belief in two principles: 1.  love is stronger than hate... i disagree about apathy.  this fluoride induced indifference will be jolted one way or the other into action; there will be no sitting on the fence... we will all choose, and it will be towards the good or toward evil, and my guess is that these sick fucks have no idea how strong is the power of love, having brewed their hatred in the darkness for so long... the biggest impediment people have for not believing that 9/11 was a false flag event is that they cant believe that such evil exists (like you said, "greatest trick the devil ever pulled..").  but we will all wake up soon, and I think they have grossly miscalculated the human heart.  2.  the law of unintended consequences foils ALL plans...

if this is /not/ what you guys are talking about, then just leave me here to my tinfoil hat...

Thu, 07/29/2010 - 11:52 | 494185 no say
no say's picture

 in response to mcguire's post;

read the law of one @ http://www.llresearch.org/library/the_law_of_one_pdf/the_law_of_one_pdf.aspx

it says that the Illuminati came to earth to offer mankind evil as a choice, so as to make choosing good a more potent tool of evolution . 

 

Thu, 07/29/2010 - 13:30 | 494390 SayTabserb
SayTabserb's picture

Ripper:  Ice cream, Mandrake?  Ice cream?

Fri, 07/30/2010 - 16:51 | 497075 Geoff-UK
Geoff-UK's picture

Stuart Mackenzie: Well, it's a well known fact, Sonny Jim, that there's a secret society of the five wealthiest people in the world, known as The Pentavirate, who run everything in the world, including the newspapers, and meet tri-annually at a secret country mansion in Colorado, known as The Meadows.
Tony Giardino: So who's in this Pentavirate?
Stuart Mackenzie: The Queen, The Vatican, The Gettys, The Rothschilds, *and* Colonel Sanders before he went tits up. Oh, I hated the Colonel with is wee *beady* eyes, and that smug look on his face. "Oh, you're gonna buy my chicken! Ohhhhh!"
Charlie Mackenzie: Dad, how can you hate "The Colonel"?
Stuart Mackenzie: Because he puts an addictive chemical in his chicken that makes ya crave it fortnightly, smartass!

--"So I Married An Axe Murderer"

Thu, 07/29/2010 - 11:14 | 494118 bonddude
bonddude's picture

Perhaps Macke came to the same conclusion.

Haven't seen a MV article from him since mid-June.

"I'm going to speak to you like a child..."

Thu, 07/29/2010 - 11:26 | 494144 spartan117
spartan117's picture

Cannot believe your post was junked.  It was spot-on.

Thu, 07/29/2010 - 11:29 | 494149 woolly mammoth
woolly mammoth's picture

Right on Cog Dis. Todd is reflective of our society. The all mighty doller comes first. Kill the doller (meaning fractional reserve banking), kill the beast. It is really hard to talk to most people about the true issues because they are so scared to upset the apple cart and every thing they have been told to believe.

Thu, 07/29/2010 - 13:11 | 494357 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

We are all to some degree or another hostage to our own beliefs and our worldview. We wind up supporting a facade because we lack the moral, intellectual and spiritual courage to look beyond our own (purposefully) narrow point of view.

We become paralyzed by our own polarized consciousness.

Thu, 07/29/2010 - 14:05 | 494468 trav7777
trav7777's picture

I used to think that only America's way, way was right...

but now the Holy Dollar rules everybody's lives; gotta make a million, doesn't matter who dies

Thu, 07/29/2010 - 12:05 | 494237 curbyourrisk
curbyourrisk's picture

He sounds so tired........

 

Good thing he don't work in the post office.

Thu, 07/29/2010 - 15:54 | 494793 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

I just recognized that I might be poised on the edge and about to plunge into the sweet bliss of senility. Because it took me three different reads over 4 hours before I got your joke.

Now I'll just step outside and go postal if you don't mind. :>)

Thu, 07/29/2010 - 14:59 | 494610 Cammy Le Flage
Cammy Le Flage's picture

Word.

Thu, 07/29/2010 - 10:25 | 494008 BlackBelt
BlackBelt's picture

kondratieff winter...

Thu, 07/29/2010 - 12:54 | 494324 crzyhun
crzyhun's picture

Bingo and could you expand on that?

Fri, 07/30/2010 - 16:53 | 497081 Geoff-UK
Geoff-UK's picture

I'll expand on that.  What happened to Kondratieff will happen to the U.S. middle class.

Thu, 07/29/2010 - 11:08 | 494096 Robert J Moran
Robert J Moran's picture

"It could have created a domino effect that toppled corporate America..."

The author says this like it would be a bad thing!  I wholeheartedly disagree!!

Thu, 07/29/2010 - 15:57 | 494800 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

It would have hurt the author first and foremost. It would have hurt the author's employees and family. It would have destroyed the author's worldview. Thus is should not be allowed to happen.

This makes the author a party to the Ponzi, a willing participant at the same time the author bitches about the Ponzi.

Thu, 07/29/2010 - 16:29 | 494891 RockyRacoon
RockyRacoon's picture

The whole thing is bad, but it's his bad.  N'est pas?

Thu, 07/29/2010 - 11:10 | 494101 Wyndtunnel
Wyndtunnel's picture

America's product cycle has reached its end.  To know what America's future will look like one need only take a glance at Brazil, China, India, Russia...  America and her Western allies pushed to globalize trade and now it is time for the countries that imported our labour to export their social problems back to us... Extreme gaps between the rich and the poor, rampant corruption of officials, gangster politics, and so on, and so on. 

At the end of the day does it really matter? Life will go on. The rich will continue to be jerks and the poor will hate them, and suffer, and try to tear down their castles.  Meanwhile many of those who break through and become rich themselves will join the league of jerks and perpetuate their age-old vendetta against the poor, in full denial of the exogeneous causes of their suffering now that they have moved beyond it. 

Thu, 07/29/2010 - 16:32 | 494895 RockyRacoon
RockyRacoon's picture

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EJ7mEff3_Nk&feature=related

People moving, going about their day,
People planning, knowing just what to say,
In one year we'll have money to spare,
And in five all we require,
In ten years we'll have a place of our own,
And in forty we'll retire.
So we do what we must, before we turn to dust.

Thu, 07/29/2010 - 11:11 | 494106 aerojet
aerojet's picture

All I can tell you is felt murderous outrage when I heard that Chelsea Clinton's wedding will cost $5 million and that $500,000 was spent on fucking flowers!  My net worth is so far below that half mil figure...well, it makes you want to do do...something.

The Clintons are some of the biggest crooks the US has ever experienced.  Bill Clinton put the massive housing bubble into motion.  He and his ilk have been the beneficiaries of a massive wealth transfer mechanism that is now impoverishing a large swath of the US population.  All I care to know is:  When does the revolt begin?  Our situation has nearly all of the initial conditions for a French Revolution type moment.

 

Thu, 07/29/2010 - 11:31 | 494154 lynnybee
lynnybee's picture

good !  I'm glad you said it !!!   How did Bill Clinton go from earning $35,000 being Governor to being worth over $15,000,000 today !!!   I sure wish I knew so I could do it to & not worry about my elder years with no social security !!!   .......... Oh, I know !   He HOOKED UP WITH ROBERT RUBIN & LARRY SUMMERS !!   I may be old, but, I'm madder than hell.

 

 

Thu, 07/29/2010 - 13:16 | 494352 ATTILA THE WIMP
ATTILA THE WIMP's picture

Larry Summers is a Bilderberger, a member of the Trilateral Commission and a member of the Council on Foreign Rlations.http://www.nndb.com/people/191/000029104/

Robert Rubin is a Bilderberger and a member of the Council on Foreign Relations.http://makeiteighteh.com/2010/07/21/robert-rubin-and-the-band-of-bilderberg-ponzi-schemers-would-a-crook-turn-over-a-crook/

Bill Clinton is a Bilderberger, a member of the Trilateral Commission and a member of the Council on Foreign Relations.http://www.nndb.com/people/427/000026349/

Clinton is also a member of the Pilgrims Society as are all serving and former U.S. Presidents.

For more info about the Pilgrims Society see the free on-line book (PDF format) “Meet the World Money Power” by Charles Savoie. http://www.silver-investor.com/charlessavoie/cs_dec04.pdf:

PS: 911 Inside Job

Thu, 07/29/2010 - 14:07 | 494474 trav7777
trav7777's picture

chump change: Lakshmi Mittal spent like $70M on his daughter's wedding.

There is NO decency or shame anymore in anyone.

Thu, 07/29/2010 - 16:38 | 494909 RockyRacoon
RockyRacoon's picture

What the hell else would he do with all that excess cash?  Give it to me and you?

We'd just spend it on women, dope, and other useless stuff -- or so they think.

There will be no changing that attitude in the top 1%.  I guess the good part of it is that some of the cash worked its way down to the flower shop, the waiters, the seamstresses, and the caterers.

Fri, 07/30/2010 - 16:54 | 497084 Geoff-UK
Geoff-UK's picture

Guess who Chelsea's betrothed works for? 

Goldman Sachs.

Someone should make a conspiracy movie.

Thu, 07/29/2010 - 11:13 | 494117 weinerdog43
weinerdog43's picture

While I like Mr. Harrison's note, he leaves out a critical component, namely the prosecution of those that got us here in the 1st place.  If you don't punish the wrongdoers, they'll keep doing it over and over.  Hello!  Until I see Rubin, Summers, Cheney, etc... in jail, I won't be satisfied.

Thu, 07/29/2010 - 11:24 | 494141 downrodeo
downrodeo's picture

Yep, my suspicion that Obama is a fascist was confirmed the moment he got into office and did not prosecute bush for war crimes. Still, it's very difficult to serve justice to those who own the justice system. Pelosi with her 'impeachment is off the table' bs, it all makes me sick.

Thu, 07/29/2010 - 13:23 | 494350 resipsaloquacious
resipsaloquacious's picture

Oh for fuck's sake, is Obama a socialist or fascist?  Can the Grand Poobah of the Teabaggers make up their mind already! 

Because he cannot be both.  They are at opposite ends of the political spectrum. 

Thu, 07/29/2010 - 14:21 | 494395 downrodeo
downrodeo's picture

Sorry, poor choice of words. You can replace fascist with 'bad guy'. My point is that they're all on the same team.

Also, in my view, they're not necessarily opposites as they both tend towards totalitarianism, the true opposite of which is anarchy. I don't view the political spectrum as a line with communism and fascism on opposite ends, they're much more closely related when you view it on a scale of relative individual freedom. I think it is more accurate to view it as a circle or corkscrew.

 

ps, I am not a tea bagger, and i resent the implication. thank you. 

Thu, 07/29/2010 - 14:35 | 494536 nhsadika
nhsadika's picture

Obama is a fascist (wolf) in communist (sheep's) clothing.   Obama is there to enable the use of the state for corporate and pseudo-corporate (military) powers.  He is also there to speak out about mundane useless things in pseudo-populist disguise (for the people).   What has Obama really done that is "communist" other than elect a bunch of pointless "Czars" (obviously the use of this name is to allude to communism while the truth is 180 degrees from).

Do you really believe Summers, Rubin, Bernanke, Immelt, Buffet, and a whole host of corporate pillagers have any communist intent hahahahhaah.

 

Thu, 07/29/2010 - 16:41 | 494924 RockyRacoon
RockyRacoon's picture

I like your avatar!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vLFF2P8fInI

Walked out this morning
Don't believe what I saw
A hundred billion bottles
Washed up on the shore
Seems I'm not alone at being alone
A hundred billion castaways
Looking for a home

Thu, 07/29/2010 - 17:40 | 495048 barkingbill
barkingbill's picture

obama is as much a communist as limbaugh. there are just some who are little bit slow and think even sauron from lord of the rings must be communist. talk about one track minds. the military industrial complex grins as they steal more and more. 

Thu, 07/29/2010 - 17:56 | 495091 RockyRacoon
RockyRacoon's picture

Communist?

Communism -- a totalitarian system of government in which a single authoritarian party controls state owned means of production with the pro­fessed aim of establishing a stateless society; a theory advocating the elimination of private property. (The state holds power not only over property, but over every aspect of life. In practice, communism eventu­ally requires control over all human activities, for all of life is interrelated. If the state is to control one aspect of life, then it must control all aspects to be effective.)

Thu, 07/29/2010 - 14:42 | 494553 Shrimp Head
Shrimp Head's picture

Sorry res ispsa.  They're not.  Here's the best explaination of the "con"

http://www.afr.org/Hultberg/080105.html

Not a teabagger, btw.  That whole idea was hijacked by the republicorps in a matter of weeks.

Fri, 07/30/2010 - 11:29 | 496261 downrodeo
downrodeo's picture

+1billion. This article should be required reading for all thinking humans.

Fri, 07/30/2010 - 12:54 | 496473 SWRichmond
SWRichmond's picture

Not a teabagger, btw.  That whole idea was hijacked by the republicorps in a matter of weeks.

Republicans hijacked oral / scrotum sex?  What a confusing visual...

Thu, 07/29/2010 - 15:30 | 494717 seventree
seventree's picture

The world was once considered to consist of four elements: earth, air, water, and fire. Everything had to be made of these and philosophers argued endlessly trying to fit reality into this limited worldview.

Today we are trying to do the same thing with obsolete words like socialist, communist, fascist, liberal and conservative. The result is futile argument because the complexity of modern life can no longer be contained in these simple boxes.

Maybe we need new words. More likely we need to stop using code words as substitutes for open discussion.

Fri, 07/30/2010 - 16:56 | 497090 Geoff-UK
Geoff-UK's picture

You have no idea what you're talking about regarding the proper placement of facism on the political spectrum. 

Recommend you read the scholarly tome "Liberal Facism" by Professor Jonah Goldberg.

 

Thu, 07/29/2010 - 16:02 | 494814 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

While I like Mr. Harrison's note, he leaves out a critical component, namely the prosecution of those that got us here in the 1st place.  If you don't punish the wrongdoers, they'll keep doing it over and over.  Hello!  Until I see Rubin, Summers, Cheney, etc... in jail, I won't be satisfied.

He leaves it out because he knows that it will never happen without a revolt and social upheaval. He understands all too well that the PTB will never surrender more than a token number to jail. So he doesn't speak about what he knows will only be accomplished by revolt and social unrest. Can't have that as far as he's concerned. Avoid it at all costs. Thus he becomes an enabler of the very system he calls unfair.

Thu, 07/29/2010 - 12:06 | 494240 Tense INDIAN
Tense INDIAN's picture

your government is doing something to the clouds.....i cant paste a picture so i pasted the whole site....

 

http://rense.com/

 

sometimes i see somethings flying over the chennai skies....leeting huge gas streaks nehind.....scares the shit out of me

Thu, 07/29/2010 - 12:51 | 494310 Paper CRUSHer
Paper CRUSHer's picture

Dont worry,calm down.They just stole one o'these contraptions,thats all:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IRHA9W-zExQ

Thu, 07/29/2010 - 13:05 | 494349 FranSix
Thu, 07/29/2010 - 14:07 | 494333 FranSix
FranSix's picture

Rosenberg discusses economic implications of recession without growth:

http://finance.yahoo.com/tech-ticker/%22a-modern-day-depression%22-rosen...

What's  important here are the tax implications.  Bush tax cuts set to expire, which will directly affect short term rates.

Listen to Cramer, he suggests bad banks are set to go:

http://finance.yahoo.com/video/marketnews-19148628/21115662

They accomplish that by means of negative repos:

http://www.ny.frb.org/research/current_issues/ci10-5/ci10-5.html

Nothing new, here:

http://select.nytimes.com/gst/abstract.html?res=F00816FD3F5F1B7A93C6AB17...

Iffin you don't like ZIRP, get ready for NIRP.

Weekly $IRX suggests that negative repos are set for tax season:

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$IRX&p=W&b=5&g=0&id=p19892911321&a=191058127&listNum=2

(note that the $IRX chart on stockcharts.com is one decimal place to the right of where it should be.)

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=apHsMiQ2_mAw&refe...

 

Hey!  I madèd the same chart

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$BVSP&p=W&st=1995-10-06&id=p21324832134&a=118706852&listNum=2

Thu, 07/29/2010 - 13:18 | 494361 The Alarmist
The Alarmist's picture

So a federal judge basically says that non-citizens are able to cross the border at will, do as they please free of fear that law enforcement may force them to identify themselves and their privilege to be here, and other judges have ruled that they have the same rights to welfare and other protections and benefits afforded to US citizens, and busloads of activists from California are roaming the streets of AZ counselling the illegals on how to register to vote. Meanwhle the biggest states are now passing measures to bypass the electoral college, with the net effect that those residing in the suburbs and the countryside are disenfranchised. And to make it even better, the pols are trying to pass an act called DISCLOSE that would essentially strip the majority of their right to speak freely on political matters and politicians in the period running up to an election.

You are worried about a little debt?

 

Thu, 07/29/2010 - 14:40 | 494547 economicmorphine
economicmorphine's picture

The things you're worried about have a way of taking care of themselves, I think.

Thu, 07/29/2010 - 13:30 | 494388 wiskeyrunner
wiskeyrunner's picture

The NY Fed must row the market for Goldman and JP Morgan, otherwise they won't make enough money. Every day these banks are brought up to speed as to the direction the NY Fed will be taking the market. This is how you never loose in short term trading, it's all rigged. This is how they funnel money to the chosen fed.

Thu, 07/29/2010 - 13:40 | 494417 Grand Supercycle
Grand Supercycle's picture

DOW daily chart posted at blog, showing two megaphone wedges . . .

http://stockmarket618.wordpress.com

Thu, 07/29/2010 - 14:06 | 494473 Client 9
Client 9's picture

This story may be year+ old but it's effects still resonate loudly.

The Obama administration bullies GM's bondholders

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/05/25/AR200905...

When the United States government pulled this trick I realized that the United States government is no longer capitalist, free-market, or demoncratic but a dictatorship ruled by special interest groups. 

Why should a senior bondholder be forced to subordinate its position to a junior creditor?  How is that fair, equitable, capitalistic or moral? 

We are now living in a post-capitalist world.

Thu, 07/29/2010 - 14:47 | 494569 economicmorphine
economicmorphine's picture

Son, we jumped the shark back when Kissinger and Nixonlied to the American people and called the negotiated surrender in Vietnam "peace with honor."  We proved we weren't coming back when Bill Clinton wagged his finger at the American people and said he didn't have sex with that, whatever she was.  I suspect it goes back a lot further than that.  Was the Maine incident in Havana harbor a false flag incident?  Who knows?  Was Lincoln's treatment of the south fair?  If you say yes, based on what standard?  Slavery?  Slavery was not abolished in NJ until 1846, less than 15 years before South Carolina seceded.

Ask native Americans how well we've honored our treaties with them.  Son, I guess what I'm asking is just what exactly is surprising about the president of the United States throwing out established law in favor of expediency?  It's not like it hasn't been happening for awhile.

Thu, 07/29/2010 - 16:53 | 494959 RockyRacoon
RockyRacoon's picture

New rage over an old axiom.  Thanks for the perspective.

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