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Guest Post: Yukon Fever - Today’s Hottest Area Play

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Submitted by Andrey Dashkov, Casey Research

Yukon Fever: Today’s Hottest Area Play

Building on the spectacular early takeover of Underworld Resources by gold major Kinross this June, recent discoveries in the Yukon Territory have made this large region of frozen tundra the hottest area play in the junior resource sector today.

Economy

The Yukon is Canada’s smallest sub-economy, with a GDP of only C$1.4 billion. It may be small, but mining is a traditional and essential part of the Yukon economy, and it’s also its fastest-growing segment: from 2003 to 2008, the mining industry expanded at a 10.5% average annual rate, far exceeding the 3.1% growth of all industries.

A lot of this growth came in 2008 (latest available data), after the successful launch of Capstone Mining’s Minto copper mine, and new discoveries in the area started attracting a lot of investment money to this underexplored but highly prospective region. Mining grew by a whopping 56.3% in that year.

 

Minerals

The Yukon is well endowed with a number of mineral resources, including lead, zinc, silver, gold, tungsten, and copper. As of 2009, it had 84 mineral deposits with established reserves and resources, and 2,700 known mineral occurrences.

Much of this natural wealth, however, is spread across areas with little exploration history. Aware of mining’s economic importance, the Yukon government is offering various financial incentives to continue drawing investment capital and exploration effort to the region. These incentives, combined with a stable business climate, were quite successful in making the Yukon one of the world’s best places to explore.

A survey of metal mining and exploration companies operating around the world, conducted annually by the Fraser Institute, places the Yukon 4th among 51 jurisdictions on its Policy Potential Index (PPI). We have used this mining survey extensively when reviewing other jurisdictions. The chart below shows how the Yukon compares to the rest of Canada:

We wouldn’t have ranked Newfoundland and Labrador above Ontario, but nevertheless, this ranking paints a very positive picture: mining companies can take advantage of the territory’s rich mineral potential with relatively little risk. Some 70 mining companies, as of June 2010, already are.

Since 2005, exploration activities in the Yukon were on a steady uptrend, following the lead of such major mining jurisdictions as Ontario and Quebec, as shown in the next chart. (Exploration seems to be dropping back in BC, but that’s a tale for another day.)

But can we really say that another exploration boom is underway in
the Yukon? Yes. Historical data shows that the amount of exploration
there has been extremely high in recent years, dwarfing even the
pre-Bre-X boom of the mid-1990s, as you can see in the next chart.

Exploration expenditures, the key to unlocking the Yukon’s hidden treasures, slowed to C$90 million in 2009 from C$110 million in 2008 following that year’s infamous market collapse, but 2010 looks to be a turnaround year. Exploration spending is forecast to match the 2007 record of C$140 million.

There are many players in this field, with ATAC Resources (V.ATC) and Kaminak Resources (V.KAM) being among the most notable. The stock charts of both of these companies went nearly vertical last summer. It’s interesting to note that most of current gold production in the Yukon comes from placer mining. In 2009, the ten operating Yukon placer mines produced 54,478 ounces of gold, up 3.4% from 52,709 ounces in 2008. The value of this production was US$42.4 million. The next largest source is Minto, which produced 29,000 ounces of gold in 2009.

So what?

Yukon is not just a “good” or “favorable” jurisdiction – it is one of the world’s best. It has a very stable political climate, with a demonstrably pro-mining government. Other variables, like good roads and energy infrastructure, add to its positive attributes. And the place has a lot of room for exploration. The prospects are wide open.

 

 

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Thu, 11/18/2010 - 01:26 | 736895 Rahm
Rahm's picture

They have more REE's than China.  Time to bring them out!

Thu, 11/18/2010 - 01:43 | 736915 honestann
honestann's picture

That's very interesting.  Examples?

Thu, 11/18/2010 - 03:40 | 737125 Herd Redirectio...
Herd Redirection Committee's picture

Rare earths aren't rare, per se.  The reason China has a monopoly on production at the moment is because they were employing environmental shortcuts (resulting in degradation) that made their operations more economical, but no one else was willing to employ similar measures.   Now with China deciding to restrict supply those other sites become viable again.

Here's a great quote, “Any missiles, any aircraft, or anti-cruise missiles - they’re all dependent on rare earths.”

The thing to remember with Yukon is LONG winters.  So don't expect drilling results for the next few months!

http://psychonews.site90.net

Exposing the Oligarchy, one Psycho at a time.

Thu, 11/18/2010 - 12:42 | 737923 honestann
honestann's picture

I understand the basics of REEs, and hold 10K shares of a REE company in Greenland.  I just didn't know anyone had a REE mining operation in the yukon, or had done substantial exploration with viable discoveries.

Thu, 11/18/2010 - 01:38 | 736908 gwar5
gwar5's picture

Drill baby

Thu, 11/18/2010 - 01:51 | 736921 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

PMs going vert, again in Asia, not only on a weak dollar, buyers are emerging.

Thu, 11/18/2010 - 02:29 | 736965 Turd Ferguson
Turd Ferguson's picture

Yes, Jimi, they sure are.

Looks like the BoS think the "correction" is over.

Blythe and her monkeys will fight like hell to contain things but it certainly looks like the worst has passed.

Thu, 11/18/2010 - 02:38 | 736975 Orly
Orly's picture

Seems like you only come out when your trades are green, Mr. Ferguson.

Inquiring minds want to know...

Thu, 11/18/2010 - 11:10 | 737612 Turd Ferguson
Turd Ferguson's picture

Untrue and unfair. I've been pretty busy posting more detailed stuff over on my blog:

www.tfmetalsreport.blogspot.com

Thu, 11/18/2010 - 07:59 | 737239 doolittlegeorge
doolittlegeorge's picture

yeayyyyy!  the General Motors had a GREAT pop!  (Sorry about that...is it San Francisco?  Never heard of 'em....

Thu, 11/18/2010 - 02:46 | 736984 Babalooee
Babalooee's picture

Euro troubles have PM's tearing off like a raped ape tonight

Thu, 11/18/2010 - 08:27 | 737261 hedgeless_horseman
hedgeless_horseman's picture

Dollar getting killed (after being set up) just in time for GM.  Who would of thought?

Repeat after me:

I, __________________________, SWEAR THAT I WILL NEVER BUY A GM PRODUCT.

Thu, 11/18/2010 - 11:44 | 737730 DosZap
DosZap's picture

The stupid Euro  diks, as soon as the NEWS turns, they dump and run.

They are as ignorant as Americans.

Uh, hello.........

Your problems are Pandemic,( as ours are,unless we build ovens and get rid of 150 million people over 50), they are not going away,prepare accordingly and insure your rears.

Buy and hold.

First word of GOOD news,and its back to Bidness as Usual.

Thu, 11/18/2010 - 01:51 | 736922 Orly
Orly's picture

...and friggin' cold.

Thu, 11/18/2010 - 01:55 | 736926 Babalooee
Babalooee's picture

Come on, step right up. Casey Research, world leading specialists in the shallow intellectual drilling

Thu, 11/18/2010 - 01:58 | 736928 GoldmanSux
GoldmanSux's picture

Just so every one is aware the Casey's receive stock options for companies they write up. Some of which will prove to be in the Yukon, if this post meets demographics. It can be made into a monster, if we all pull together as a team.

Thu, 11/18/2010 - 02:02 | 736931 Orly
Orly's picture

By the way, which one's Pink?

Thu, 11/18/2010 - 02:16 | 736947 Cactus Rocky
Cactus Rocky's picture

    There are strange things done in the midnight sun
        By the men who moil for gold;
    The Arctic trails have their secret tales
        That would make your blood run cold;

 

Thu, 11/18/2010 - 02:24 | 736957 Turd Ferguson
Turd Ferguson's picture

Yes and I'd like to fuck Sarah Palin, too, but that doesn't mean the EPA's ever going to allow it.

Thu, 11/18/2010 - 02:31 | 736970 Turd Ferguson
Turd Ferguson's picture

Junk me?

Junk you!!!

Thu, 11/18/2010 - 03:47 | 736978 Orly
Orly's picture

I don't tolerate vulgar very well, turd.

Thu, 11/18/2010 - 08:00 | 737240 doolittlegeorge
doolittlegeorge's picture

vaudville perhaps.

Thu, 11/18/2010 - 05:41 | 737179 Rusty Shorts
Rusty Shorts's picture

Turd !!!

Thu, 11/18/2010 - 02:45 | 736983 Young
Young's picture

And I who thought the movie Canadian Bacon was just fiction... Seems that fat bastard Moore (looks a bit like Jabba da hut) might get it right on that one. Obama: "Dear americans. Today is a sad day in the history of our nation. Our close neighbour and former ally Canada has stripped us of the right of miner... *cough, I mean bacon. The pillar of the traditional american obes.. *cough-cough.. breakfast. As of 08:00 we are officially at war with Canada!"

Thu, 11/18/2010 - 09:32 | 737352 mogul rider
mogul rider's picture

Just so we are clear, That would never happen. See up here in Canada, Leo, me, my brother Bud, and my other brother Bud, my sister Bud, and a herd of udder Canadians would dutifully kick your GI JANE asses.

In military circles - the American military is scared shitless of us. I remember in some war games about 20 years ago, we sent the girlie men home crying like bitchez.

Don't believe hollywood the only tough guys are up here in Canada eh. This isn't a place for girls, real men with back bacon need only apply.

 

next eh

Thu, 11/18/2010 - 10:48 | 737535 Yardfarmer
Yardfarmer's picture

quite the throbbing hard one there. perhaps you should go get that taken care of.

Thu, 11/18/2010 - 10:56 | 737563 BobPaulson
BobPaulson's picture

Apart from that annoying detail that all our branches of service combined are 30000 strong. That's about one soldier for every 250m of border with the US.

Thu, 11/18/2010 - 03:39 | 737115 carbonmutant
carbonmutant's picture

A little global warming could open up an Arctic land rush.

Thu, 11/18/2010 - 07:03 | 737212 zhandax
zhandax's picture

Just like a little QE2 could get everyone back to work?

Thu, 11/18/2010 - 08:55 | 737291 Big Corked Boots
Big Corked Boots's picture

Reminds me of a bumper sticker I saw (on the back of an HVAC service truck) a few years ago:

FIGHT GLOBAL WARMING

Buy a Bigger Air Conditioner

Thu, 11/18/2010 - 04:24 | 737148 AUD
AUD's picture

According to my The Gold Rushes by Robin May, 1977, the Yukon has been worked over well since around 1880.

I'd say the easy pickings have been.

Thu, 11/18/2010 - 05:08 | 737167 Sad Sufi
Sad Sufi's picture

The Yukon is Beautiful country with some fantastic rivers.  Hate to see more destruction up there...for a little shiny metal.  Mining Bitchess

Thu, 11/18/2010 - 07:00 | 737211 hugomarch
hugomarch's picture

The only rare earth the Chinese are interested in hoarding is GOLD.  As a store of value, the Chinese diaspora in SE Asia buys chintzy machine-made gold jewelry for its purity.  They also covet Imperial green jade (found only in Burma) and dZi beads. 

Thu, 11/18/2010 - 07:46 | 737230 Mcat
Mcat's picture

Shameles promotion. Stick to the dirt.

Thu, 11/18/2010 - 08:16 | 737254 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

Looks like the FED is scrambling to buy all the tungsten they can produce.

Why would that be... :)

Thu, 11/18/2010 - 09:17 | 737329 Thunder Dome
Thunder Dome's picture

If it weren't for tungsten, we'd have no gold at all.

Thu, 11/18/2010 - 09:34 | 737363 mogul rider
mogul rider's picture

+100

Thu, 11/18/2010 - 09:02 | 737310 intrinsicvalue
intrinsicvalue's picture

This article completely ignores the lack of infrastructure in the Yukon.  While, yes, the Yukon is certainly open for business, the reason there has not been more mineral development there is that there is very little in the way of infrastructure.  So although building small mines (like Minto) or doing geochemical work and drilling are straightforward, they are limited seasonally (most of them are having to wind down drilling about now until the spring), and building a mine without roads, power, etc. is a huge challenge.

Of course at $1400 gold and $4.00 copper it certainly is more compelling :)

Thu, 11/18/2010 - 09:35 | 737364 mogul rider
mogul rider's picture

There is so!

2 mules, my two sisters, and a goat named Charlie

Thu, 11/18/2010 - 09:42 | 737387 mogul rider
mogul rider's picture

Canada I kinda like Holla up in Copperhead Row. You best be not going up d'ere.

Thu, 11/18/2010 - 10:09 | 737450 Species8472
Species8472's picture

The Yukon, The Bronx, but why not The Brooklyn, or The Nebraska?

 

Thu, 11/18/2010 - 18:38 | 739305 wkwillis
wkwillis's picture

Careful of how you rate Newfoundland. The government wants jobs in return for the minerals you discovered. If you find a mine there, they will make you build a smelter to process them. That's what happened at Voisey Bay.

 

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