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HAMP, HARP, HAFA: Help

Econophile's picture




 

This article originally appeared in The Daily Capitalist.

On Tuesday the House, dominated by Republicans, voted an end to the current program, known as HAMP (Home Affordable Modification Program). Yesterday the NY Times lamented the fact that the government's attempts to solve the housing crisis have failed miserably. It isn't through want of trying. Here are some of the programs listed under the government's MakingHomeAffordable.com site (888-995-HOPE):

And don't forget these programs:

The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 supported the Low Income Housing Tax Credit market by creating an innovative Tax Credit Exchange Program (“TCEP”) and providing gap financing through the HUD Tax Credit Assistance Program (“TCAP”).  In combination these programs are estimated to provide over $5 billion in support for affordable rental housing. The Recovery Act also provided $2 billion in support for the Neighborhood Stabilization Program (NSP) in addition to $4 billion provided for the program in the Housing and Economic Recovery Act.

The Housing and Economic Recovery Act mentioned above is described as follows:

It authorizes the Federal Housing Administration to guarantee up to $300 billion in new 30-year fixed rate mortgages for subprime borrowers if lenders write-down principal loan balances to 90 percent of current appraisal value. It's intended to restore confidence in Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac by strengthening regulations and injecting capital into the two large U.S. suppliers of mortgage funding. ... Includes a first-time home buyer refundable tax credit for purchases on or after April 9, 2008 and before July 1, 2009 equal to 10 percent of the purchase price of a principal residence, up to $7,500 [raised to $8,000 and subsequently extended].

At the same time, the following Acts were passed: FHA Modernization Act of 2008, Federal Housing Finance Regulatory Reform Act of 2008, HOPE for Homeowners Act of 2008, Mortgage Disclosure Improvement Act of 2008, Secure and Fair Enforcement for Mortgage Licensing Act of 2008.

As I reported Tuesday, the problem seems to be getting worse as home values continue to fall. Yet, these programs haven't made much of a dent into the problem.

According to the Times article:

Congress set aside $50 billion for foreclosure prevention, amid administration projections that three million to four million homeowners would benefit from modifications. So far, the Treasury Department, which oversees the program, has spent slightly more than $1 billion, and just 607,000 homeowners have received permanent loan modifications(of those, 11 percent have defaulted).

The Times is sympathetic to the failures, noting that the Obama Administration was overwhelmed by the biggest crisis since the Great Depression, and, at least they are trying to do something, unlike that wimp Bush.

Wenesday CoreLogic came out with more refined data on the "shadow housing inventory" which shows that homes that are seriously delinquent (90 days or more), in foreclosure, or real estate owned (REO) by lenders, declined from 2 million to 1.8 million in January. Of the 1.8-million unit current shadow inventory supply, 870,000 units are seriously delinquent (4.2 months’ supply), 445,000 are in some stage of foreclosure (2.1 months’ supply), and 470,000 are already in REO (2.2 months’ supply). [Note that the data published Tuesday from CoreLogic was a more inclusive, lower threshold, base of data, and doesn't conflict with Wednesday's report.] Another loan servicer, Lender Processing Services, says the total U.S. loan delinquency rate stands at 8.8%, while the foreclosure inventory rate sits at 4.15%.

Banks are struggling to keep up with the problem even though many are trying to renegotiate mortgages. But, foreclosures have gone down not because lenders are nicer or that the government has worked wonders, but because lenders and servicers were overwhelmed by the sheer volume of work involved, and are just catching up.

The more they try, the worse the problem becomes. Every program to forestall a quick economic readjustment has only served to prolong the problem. Let's assume for the moment that the governments (state and federal) had done nothing to assist homeowners. Yes, you are correct in concluding that more homeowners would have lost their homes.

Would they be homeless, as the Times article and the government seem to suggest? Well, if they can afford some kind of mortgage, they can afford some kind of rent. If they can't afford either, then that means they are unemployed and, either receiving transfer payments from the government, are bunking with relatives, or are living in some kind of charity facility. Yes, some are probably homeless, but I believe if they sought the right assistance, they could find a place to stay. I'm not trying to be heartless here, but I'm trying to make a point.

As the data show, these programs have done nothing to aid the housing market and have failed to help homeowners.

The real issue is: how do you solve the problem in the quickest way so people get back to work.

By keeping alive the housing corpses from the boom, you are prolonging peoples' agony because valuable capital that could be used to fund or start businesses or clean up balance sheets, is tied up in a declining housing market. Banks who hold these mortgages are still trying to repair their balance sheets; freezing them into badly collateralized loans doesn't help that problem.

It amazes me that our politicians think they can actually control things, especially the economy. History has shown that they don't do a very good job of solving problems. Instead, more often than not, they create new problems, which comes under the broad rubric of the Law of Unintended Consequences. The jumble of acronyms that have been tried to solve the housing problem is just another example of the problem. They don't understand how the economy works.

I wonder, for example, how the folks who rushed out and bought homes under the first time home buyer tax credit are faring now that they have seen the values of their homes decline beyond the worth of the tax benefits. More good intentions and political expediency gone awry.

 

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Thu, 03/31/2011 - 17:18 | 1122982 DoctoRx
DoctoRx's picture

Agreed the pols don't understand how the economy works.  But they understand quite well how to get re-elected.  Sutton's Law:  Go where the money is:  the banksters.  Make them happy and all shall be well in pol-land.

Thu, 03/31/2011 - 16:37 | 1122794 chunga
chunga's picture

Pretty soon we won't even be allowed to talk about housing...

The First Amendment Fight grows legs...

This is about infamous "Robo-signers" Crystal Moore and Bryan Bly. Blech. Shhhh...nobody is supposes to know about these two!

Just goes to show how much one person can accomplish with their own personal Project Mayhem. BTW, for anyone who still watches television...Lynn Szymoniak, Esq. will be on CBS 60 Minutes this Sunday. She'll be explaining how the fraud factories magically produce the documents necessary to reverse engineer clear chains of title. I didn't even realize that was still on air. What channel is it on?

Where did I put my TV?

Thu, 03/31/2011 - 16:00 | 1122648 barkster
barkster's picture
HAMP, HARP, HAFA: Help

 

Don't forget HAARP. It destroys housing with earthquakes so new ones have to be built...

Thu, 03/31/2011 - 17:14 | 1122964 Ben Fleeced
Ben Fleeced's picture

Deisel powered destruction!

Thu, 03/31/2011 - 17:15 | 1122963 Ben Fleeced
Ben Fleeced's picture

Deisel powered destruction!

Thu, 03/31/2011 - 16:18 | 1122733 Hugh G Rection
Hugh G Rection's picture

Thats exactly what I was thinking.

 

The government thinks destruction and death is the best economic recovery plan.

Thu, 03/31/2011 - 15:58 | 1122632 Bicycle Repairman
Bicycle Repairman's picture

This isn't about keeping people in their homes.

Thu, 03/31/2011 - 15:59 | 1122644 SwingForce
SwingForce's picture

Then Hank Paulson should be tried for treason for using taxpayer's money to finance the pillage operation.

Thu, 03/31/2011 - 16:07 | 1122685 Bicycle Repairman
Bicycle Repairman's picture

I'd settle for having the real estate market clear over the next year.

Thu, 03/31/2011 - 16:38 | 1122803 SwingForce
SwingForce's picture

When the inventory is sold, that's when TBTF Banksta's have to book the loss- can't all happen in same fiscal year- Sheila the Hun will dismember them and then there won't be any bonuses.

Thu, 03/31/2011 - 15:56 | 1122627 sodbuster
sodbuster's picture

Housing?? You ain't seen nothing, yet! Just wait until they get involved with health care!!

Thu, 03/31/2011 - 16:00 | 1122640 Bicycle Repairman
Bicycle Repairman's picture

Medicare, Medicaid, a government protected oligarchy?  The government is already hip deep in health care.

Thu, 03/31/2011 - 16:00 | 1122647 sodbuster
sodbuster's picture

And how's that working out for us?

Thu, 03/31/2011 - 18:03 | 1123083 The Disappointed
The Disappointed's picture

Did you see the article (sorry, lost the link) where Medicare is going to pay $93,000 a pop for a prostate cancer drug which only extends life for 4 months (statistically)? Given that most prostate cancer patients are in their 70's...

Thu, 03/31/2011 - 17:07 | 1122937 Ben Fleeced
Ben Fleeced's picture

Premiums 4x for me.

Thu, 03/31/2011 - 16:05 | 1122675 Bicycle Repairman
Bicycle Repairman's picture

I believe it is the #1 item that has hampered the USA economy since the 1960's.  Just my opinion.  I can't cite any source for it.

Thu, 03/31/2011 - 15:56 | 1122609 SwingForce
SwingForce's picture

Here's Why: There's a law that says" Don't do ANYTHING that causes a bank to book a loss".

Please explain to me why Regions Bank and SunTrust STILL have $5 billion EACH in requested TARP money? They are not using it to resolve troubled assets as the terms of the program require. To blame the programs and not the banks themselves is perpetuating the problem. File under BUCKS FOR BANKSTAS, long live bankstas!

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