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Hedge Fund Performance Estimates For October And YTD, As Hedge Fund Assets Hit Massive $2.4 Trillion

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Hedge Fund Net has released its preliminary October HF performance breakdown by strategy. Aside from the winners and losers (biggest winners were not surprisingly funds focused on the bubbling Emerging Markets space, the losers were short-biased funds), the notable news for October is that following a sizzling QE2-hype driven September in stocks, engineered in part to prevent redemptions and liquidations, HFN reports that allocations to HFs surged to the highest in 2010, as assets in the hedge fund community hit what we believe is a record $2.4 trillion. In a way this is merely compensation for outflows from traditional retail fund outflows, which as we have been documenting have hit nearly $100 billion for the year, as the rich continue to benefit from Bernanke's economic policies (which is what they are at this point), as everyone else, who has just a token stake in stocks, continues to suffer and withdraw capital for maintenance requirements.

Full highlights from HFN:

October Highlights:

  • The HFN Hedge Fund Aggregate Index was +2.23% in October and +7.43% in the first ten months of 2010. The S&P 500 Total Return Index (S&P) was +3.80% in October and +7.84% YTD.
  • Hedge fund assets increased an estimated +3.04% in October to $2.410 trillion. Performance accounted for an estimated net increase of $52.7 billion and net investor flows added an additional $18.4 billion.
  • The core rate of industry growth (% of asset increase due to net investor flows) in October was the highest rate of 2010, +0.79%.
  • October was the fourth month in a row of net investor inflows following the industry’s first net outflow of 2010 in June. The continuation of net inflows is an important sign of support as the trend in the first half of the year was of declining rates of growth.
  • October performance was driven by the anticipation of quantitative easing by the U.S. Federal Reserve as commodity focused funds performed best, followed by emerging markets and equity focused strategies. Fixed income funds lagged, but were broadly positive.
  • Only short biased and Japan focused funds produced negative average performance in October.

October and YTD 2010 Benchmark Performance: 

Emerging Market Benchmarks:

HFN Brazil Index:                                   +2.51% in October, +10.64% in 2010
HFN China Index:                                   +3.45% in October, +5.59% in 2010
HFN India Index:                                    +1.46% in October, +17.54% in 2010
HFN Russia Index:                                 +2.43% in October, +11.28% in 2010
HFN Latin America Index:                       +2.47% in October, +10.16% in 2010
HFN MENA Index:                                  +2.75% in October, +11.18% in 2010
Emerging Market Debt:                          +0.68% in October, +7.83% in 2010
Emerging Market Equity:                        +2.59% in October, +11.00% in 2010
HFN Emerging Markets Index:                +2.72% in October, +12.94% in 2010
 
Broad and Developed Market Benchmarks:

HFN Asia Index:                                     +1.54% in October, +5.48% in 2010
HFN Europe Index:                                 +1.81% in October, +5.06% in 2010
HFN North America Index:                      +2.50% in October, +8.30% in 2010
HFN Australia Index:                              +4.78% in October, +6.92% in 2010
HFN Japan Index:                                  -0.35% in October, +0.14% in 2010
HFN U.S. Index:                                    +2.42% in October, +7.98% in 2010
 
Fixed Income (FI) Strategies

All Fixed Income Strategies:                  +0.95% in October, +9.84% in 2010
Corporate Bond Strategies:                   +2.07% in October, +11.72% in 2010
Government Bond Strategies:                +0.44% in October, +6.02% in 2010
HFN Distressed Index:                           +2.35% in October, +11.56% in 2010
HFN Mortgages Index:                           +0.09% in October, +17.06% in 2010
HFN Fixed Income Arbitrage Index:        +0.39% in October, +9.31% in 2010
 
Equity (EQ) Strategies

All Equity Focused Strategies:                 +2.27% in October, +6.63% in 2010
HFN Long/Short Equity Index:                 +2.18% in October, +5.76% in 2010
HFN Market Neutral EQ Index:                +1.13% in October, +3.01% in 2010
HFN Short Bias Index:                            -1.65% in October, -9.62% in 2010
HFN Energy Sector Index:                      +3.22% in October, +10.28% in 2010
HFN Healthcare Sector Index:                +0.66% in October, +5.06% in 2010
HFN Technology Sector Index:               +4.37% in October, +21.97% in 2010
Financials Equity Strategies:                   +0.87% in October, +1.53% in 2010
Natural Resource Equity Strategies:       +3.49% in October, +9.99% in 2010
Real Estate Equity Strategies:                +0.55% in October, +0.88% in 2010
 
Commodity and Foreign Exchange (FX) Related Strategies

Foreign Exchange Strategies:                 +0.34% in October, +4.93% in 2010
Financial Futures Strategies:                   +1.94% in October, -1.60% in 2010
Commodity (Non-FX) Strategies:           +3.91% in October, +8.43% in 2010       
HFN CTA/Managed Futures Index:          +3.17% in October, +6.09% in 2010

 

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Mon, 11/15/2010 - 15:35 | 728145 Clapham Junction
Clapham Junction's picture

Thanks, good useful info.  Gotta go, time to STOP TRADING!

Really though, I employ a L/S myself and seem to have done a bit better then the big guys.

Mon, 11/15/2010 - 15:33 | 728146 DollarDive
DollarDive's picture

The rich get richer..... Only "qualified" investors can own a hedge fund.  This means that the have nots have been redeeming mutual fund assets and the haves have been buying hedge funds. This financial system is really a freaking joke.

Mon, 11/15/2010 - 15:37 | 728155 Clapham Junction
Clapham Junction's picture

I totally agree, but remember a lot of those "haves" lost their asses in 2008-2009.

Mon, 11/15/2010 - 15:56 | 728194 goldmiddelfinger
goldmiddelfinger's picture

What's the YTD return on Lisa Falcone? (BTW is Falcone a real name or a nom de guerre?)

Mon, 11/15/2010 - 15:40 | 728159 Djirk
Djirk's picture

And liabilities? What is the net asset growth?

Notice the 2nd biggest winner was the mortgages index? So people made the most on the area with arguably the worst fundamentals. Was it from panic or POMO? 

Tue, 11/16/2010 - 08:01 | 730177 Clapham Junction
Clapham Junction's picture

By the way, even at a fund family like Fidelity, their Mortgage Securities fund did well throughout the crisis.

Go figure!

Mon, 11/15/2010 - 15:52 | 728186 trav7777
trav7777's picture

people still think the "rich" don't like inflation?

Mon, 11/15/2010 - 15:58 | 728197 RobotTrader
RobotTrader's picture

Yeah, those guys like John "Positive Carry" Devaney that crashed and burned in 2008 were able to re-group, round up some more investors, and make vast fortunes again by buying the absolute worst crap available on Wall St.

Funny who these guys emerge from the ashes over and over again.

Mon, 11/15/2010 - 16:00 | 728203 Jupiter
Jupiter's picture

The guy looks like a fool.

But the broad is definitely easy on the eyes.

Mon, 11/15/2010 - 17:25 | 728491 asafyigal
asafyigal's picture

Do you know if these are gross or net profits?

 

Reagrdless, the results don't look that attractive when comparend to industry benchmarks if taking into account the high risk of hedge funds.

 

-- Asaf.

Mon, 11/15/2010 - 18:42 | 728681 Silence_Dogwood
Silence_Dogwood's picture

The high risk? 

uhhh.... enjoy your "benchmarked" mutual fund...

Mon, 11/15/2010 - 21:28 | 729149 aaronb17
aaronb17's picture

I love how this post, which exemplifies the obscene excesses of our corrupt system, garners 10 comments, while the post on the top, oh, 4 percent of federal employees making an OUTRAGEOUS $150,000+ per year has gotten five times that.  And there's virtually no outrage here, while the outrage is palpable over at the federal employees thread.

Yes, your true overlords have you completely distracted.

Mon, 11/15/2010 - 23:07 | 729432 aaronb17
aaronb17's picture

LOL, now its up to 14 times as many posts.  Rage, RAGE against that $3 billion/yr going to your fellow peons.  Ignore the $2.5 trillion the overlords have just sitting around to dump into hedge funds.

Fomenting infighting is a great way to keep us from organizing against our true enemies.

Tue, 11/16/2010 - 01:43 | 729942 Orly
Orly's picture

Are you not counting the additional article placed below it?

Mon, 11/15/2010 - 23:38 | 729571 own (not verified)
own's picture

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Tue, 11/16/2010 - 13:09 | 731254 Silence_Dogwood
Silence_Dogwood's picture

hedge funds are "overlords" now?

you do realize we do this with our own money...  When we lose, WE lose.

 

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