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Here Come The Witchhunts: France Notes Six US/UK "Greek Debt Speculators" Have Been "Singled Out"

Tyler Durden's picture




 

For anyone who thought that Greece's double digit budget deficit as % of GDP (or is that triple digit? We don't know - remember all the numbers are false) was the actual cause for the need to bailout Greece, you are about to get a rude awakening: see, it was all the fault of six speculative US and UK hedge funds. Dow Jones reports that French Finance Minister Christine Lagarade has said that "six financial institutions have been singled out for speculating on Greek debt during the ongoing crisis."

In a hearing with the Finance Commission at the French National Assembly, which was closed to the press, Lagarde told French lawmakers that the six institutions are all anglo-saxon, a word French politicians and media use to designate U.S. and U.K.-based companies.

Heaven forbid such a thing as a somewhat efficient market exists, and Greek yields were merely an indication of the country's otherwise perfectly default status. Nah, surely it is all just speculation.

Oh, and here comes the really funny part:

Lagarde also said that the French government is in favor of giving the  International Monetary Fund an advisory role to solve the Greek crisis, but that its help won't be needed.

So, let's blame the Americans, but while we are at it, let's make sure that the US-backed IMF is here to help us sort our problems. And as for the "help won't be needed" part, let's flash back 2 weeks ago to when Papaconstantinou, not to mention Jenny Craig spokesman-emeritus Joaquin Almunia, were both swearing up and down how no bailout/help would ever be needed. So let the lies and scapegoating continue... And if that means placing the blame for the most recent crisis everywhere but where it deserves to be, so be it.

 

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Wed, 02/17/2010 - 12:00 | 234024 Daedal
Daedal's picture

And I speculate that Christine Lagarade is a moron. </me runs from Speculation Po'lice>

Wed, 02/17/2010 - 12:12 | 234045 Bam_Man
Bam_Man's picture

Madame LaGarde is an ex-McKinsey partner, which means she is an extremely arrogant moron.

Wed, 02/17/2010 - 12:27 | 234079 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

I ought to add that she also happens to have the most obnoxious tone in politics... even Pelosi cant compete with her condescending manner.

Wed, 02/17/2010 - 14:57 | 234348 Enkidu
Enkidu's picture

Hmmm... speaking of condescending - anyone heard Angela Knight, spokesperson for UK bankers, on the radio?!

Wed, 02/17/2010 - 13:30 | 234244 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

Baker McKenzie the mediocre but large law firm, but McKinsey, brah.

Wed, 02/17/2010 - 12:46 | 234122 Going Down
Going Down's picture

 

Lagarde is a former member of the French national synchronized swimming team.

 

Wed, 02/17/2010 - 15:29 | 234385 Arm
Arm's picture

And to think we are here doubting her credentials...

Wed, 02/17/2010 - 17:06 | 234541 knukles
knukles's picture

From Wikipedia.....

"Synchronized swimming demands advanced water skills, and requires great strength, endurance, flexibility, grace, artistry and precise timing, as well as exceptional breath control when upside down underwater."

Hah ha ha...      'Upside down underwater'!  Get it?   Amazing, just amazing.  Only the French could give us this gift!  Wrong line of business, this money management stuff. 

Wed, 02/17/2010 - 16:58 | 234522 knukles
knukles's picture

Morons arise!  Your escapist memes, blames of everyone else has arisen!  Not us said the politicians, we didn't issue the debt!  Not us said the underwriters, we just doin' or jobs!  Not us said the PO'd public, we're just gettin' screwed again.  Quick blame the evil Elderberry farmers!  Who-the-f-ever!  A scapegoat is needed, long live the scapegoat!

Pillory, burn, excoriate, threaten, blame, assignate, opprobate, arise in populist fervor of sorts, lynch, whip, draw, quarter, imprison, fine, be interviewed by Charlie Rose! 

The world rejoices in fairness, justice and gullibility.  On with the bread and circuses.  All shall be fine.  Move along.  Nothing at all.  We found the enemy an its everybody but ourselves.  God save the Queen and country!  We fixed it ourselves. after all!  Whattatrip!

Wed, 02/17/2010 - 12:02 | 234028 Careless Whisper
Careless Whisper's picture

hey, just do what we do... make it illegal to short that stuff

Wed, 02/17/2010 - 12:07 | 234032 Harbourcity
Harbourcity's picture

It's all good in my opinion.  The more negative publicity given to those "mysterious" *cough* JPMorgan, Goldman *cough* speculators the better.

Wed, 02/17/2010 - 12:24 | 234065 hedgeless_horseman
hedgeless_horseman's picture

So if Lloyd Blankfein weighs the same as a duck, then...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yp_l5ntikaU

He turned my currency partner's credit rating into a newt!

Wed, 02/17/2010 - 12:42 | 234106 Internet Tough Guy
Internet Tough Guy's picture

Throw him into the Hellespont?

Wed, 02/17/2010 - 12:07 | 234035 Stuart
Stuart's picture

Morons defending liars by chasing fraudsters, thieves and even more liars.   You couldn't make this stuff up. 

Wed, 02/17/2010 - 13:09 | 234191 MarketTruth
MarketTruth's picture

Agreed and it is truly a spectacular Real Life TV show. Of course those of us with gold love their bantering around about FIAT currency, as it is all doomed to drop in value. So sitting back with a nice stack of gold gives one a truly wonderful perspective as the world's leading fleas arguing over who owns the dog while the dog becomes old and more frail with each passing day.

In the end s/he who has the gold makes the rules :)

 

Wed, 02/17/2010 - 12:07 | 234037 mberry8870
mberry8870's picture

So I am reading Ludwig Von Mises' "The Theory of Money and Credit", pages 252 and 253 on speculation:

"It is not easy to determine whether there are any who still adhere in good faith to the doctrine that traces back the depreciation of money to the activity of speculators. The doctrine is an indispensable instrument of the lowest form of demagogy; it is the resource of governments in search of a scapegoat."

"Speculation does not determine prices; it has to accept the prices that are dtermined in the market."

First published in 1953. It appears there are those that still adhere to the doctrine, but probably not in good faith.

 

 

Wed, 02/17/2010 - 12:32 | 234087 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

Think George Soros and The British Pound put that theory to bed in 1992.

Wed, 02/17/2010 - 12:53 | 234145 mberry8870
mberry8870's picture

No. It proved the worth of speculation. My view, given the state of their finances, Soros' move was early and not enough.

Wed, 02/17/2010 - 12:10 | 234041 alexdg
alexdg's picture

What kind of label do you get if you loan Greece billions of euros at low rates betting on that no matter what the outcome a bailout will always cover your back?

Wed, 02/17/2010 - 14:22 | 234298 faustian bargain
faustian bargain's picture

"lucky"

Wed, 02/17/2010 - 12:33 | 234050 Leo Kolivakis
Leo Kolivakis's picture

If you guys don't think that the big global macro hedge funds got calls from Goldman and other investment banks ahead of time, thereby exacerbating the raid on European sovereign debt and the euro, then you are all smoking some great shit. In the investment banking food chain, pension funds are at the bottom, while large hedge funds (which generate the bulk of the fees) get first dibs on information arbitrage. Before you castigate the French Finance Minister, who is one of the smartest finance ministers out there, think a little. She may be onto something. Let's see what the Spanish probe uncovers too.

Wed, 02/17/2010 - 12:30 | 234083 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

I completely agree that this is one very smart lady. As an aside, her command of English puts most native English speakers to shame.

Wed, 02/17/2010 - 12:39 | 234096 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

Goog Lord, I agree with Leo. Chinese solar stocks here I come!

Wed, 02/17/2010 - 12:50 | 234134 TheFinancialNinja
TheFinancialNinja's picture

Come on Leo. You can't seriously be blaming a couple of hedgies for the mess Greece finds itself in? So let me follow your logic:

 

1) Greece spends far beyond its means for much too long a period of time.

2) Greece actually hides as much of this debt as possible.

3) Finally market participants start to see that a) this is unsustainable; b) that the data was fudged

4) Savvy market participants start to re-price "risk" (short the shit out of this crap) to more appropriate levels...

 

... and you conclude that it was evil of the hedgies? Your solution is to blame the hedgies? What about the Greeks themselves? What about the pension funds that gobbled up the bonds and thereby enabling Greece to live far beyond its means?

Wed, 02/17/2010 - 14:27 | 234306 Leo Kolivakis
Leo Kolivakis's picture

Come on Ben, I respect you as an analyst and as an independent trader, but you are one of those guys that profits from all this market volatility. Those "savvy participants" you're talking about aren't half as savvy as you make them out to be. Greece's fiscal crisis has been festering for years. The big global macro hedge funds got fed information ahead of time, set up their OTC trades and profited big time as they went to slaughter the PIIGS. Sure, these hedgies are smart, but don't kid yourself, they got the phone calls from the investment bankers covering them ahead of everyone else and acted on it, exacerbating the spike in sovereign CDS spreads.

Wed, 02/17/2010 - 18:53 | 234693 ThreeTrees
ThreeTrees's picture

C'mon, you serious?  Insider information "exacerbated" the situation?  According to who's measure?  Do you know how wide CDS spreads would be if this information was disseminated throught less...exclusive channels?  You're throwing your own subjective valuations into the mix and trying to use them as some objective yardstick against market movements.

The fact of the matter is that Greece cooked its own goose when it thought Socialism funded by debtpitalism would work forever.  The opportunity to speculate wouldn't even be there if it weren't for the absurd debt/GDP ratios the government was carrying.

Wed, 02/17/2010 - 17:57 | 234609 morphizm
morphizm's picture

Let's stop calling them hedgies, shall we? As if they some furry little cuties that you just wanted to cuddle all night. They're fucking vampires. And what, vampires don't prey on the weak? It's what they do.

Thu, 02/18/2010 - 03:42 | 235197 faustian bargain
faustian bargain's picture

Governments are not 'weak', they are incompetent or evil. So you've got vampires preying on werewolves.

Wed, 02/17/2010 - 12:16 | 234052 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

So which bond traders (firms) lost money while they held Greek debt ? anybody research that info..?

Wed, 02/17/2010 - 12:16 | 234055 Bam_Man
Bam_Man's picture

The Greek Finance Minister likens his own country's economic situation to "the Titanic", and Madame LaGarde (the former McKinsey & Co. partner) says that "help will not be needed".

Hmmmmmmm....

Wed, 02/17/2010 - 12:18 | 234059 bobby02
bobby02's picture

"So, let's blame the Americans, but while we are at it, let's make sure that the US-backed IMF is here to help us sort our problems"

No, let's blame GS, as the squid is the root of all evil.

Today I received an interesting article from 2003:

http://www.risk.net/risk-magazine/feature/1498135/revealed-goldman-sachs-mega-deal-greece

Wed, 02/17/2010 - 12:21 | 234063 Leo Kolivakis
Leo Kolivakis's picture

Ask Argentina how much the IMF helped them when they defaulted on their debt. The IMF's track record is perfect. They make sure American banksters get more as they impoverish countries. Accepting help from the IMF is the ultimate "kiss of death".

Wed, 02/17/2010 - 12:40 | 234098 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

I agree with Leo again. Doubling down on Chinese solar.

Wed, 02/17/2010 - 13:20 | 234220 callistenes
callistenes's picture

Geez, I have to agree. Ask Thailand how much the IMF helped them. They still haven't recovered. And all the while HeloBen telling them and the rest of Asia spend less, raise taxes, reduce debt. Suckers!

Wed, 02/17/2010 - 14:25 | 234301 faustian bargain
faustian bargain's picture

I guess the question is, would you rather be kissed to death, or just fall off the cliff by yourself.

Wed, 02/17/2010 - 15:06 | 234356 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

good to see that you guys actually read the article. it has nothing to do with the IMF. it is about how swaps with non-market reference rates were common knowledge as early as 2003.

but carry on. no grand theory of market manipulation should be impeded by a few pesky facts.

Wed, 02/17/2010 - 15:14 | 234363 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

read the article - it has NOTHING to do with the IMF!

Thu, 02/18/2010 - 00:55 | 235096 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

leo droppin bombs today

Wed, 02/17/2010 - 18:14 | 234530 BernankeCo
Wed, 02/17/2010 - 12:19 | 234060 bugs_
bugs_'s picture

Demagoging speculators has at its root the most
profound envy and jealousy.  How can anyone be
allowed to profit from predicting the fallout
of my mistakes?  Why couldn't I have been smart
enough to profit from my mistakes?

Wed, 02/17/2010 - 12:20 | 234061 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

If they can manipulate the US stock market, why wouldn't they manipulate some ouzo-drinking, plate-throwing backwater where they park their yachts in May?

Wed, 02/17/2010 - 12:23 | 234068 strike for retu...
strike for return to reality's picture

The squid et al have been above the law in the US for so long that they probably don't know what to do when laws apply to them.

Of course, it is obvious, they just buy more politicians.  Probably won't work in China though.  I think the Chinese have all the USD they want, thank you.

Wed, 02/17/2010 - 12:25 | 234072 Segestan
Segestan's picture

"And if that means placing the blame for the most recent crisis everywhere but where it deserves to be, so be it."

 

 and that is exactly what we will see.

Wed, 02/17/2010 - 12:29 | 234081 Orly
Orly's picture

What is the matter here?

Finally, someone is beginning to look seriously into the obvious shenanigans going on and there is no appreciation for it at all.

I'm not gettin' it.

Wed, 02/17/2010 - 12:59 | 234091 hedgeless_horseman
hedgeless_horseman's picture

Maybe it's not what France is saying, but how they are saying it?  Witch trials are always a political ploy.  If France is really serious, they would throw the banks out of their country, which they will not, because they are not.

Scratch that!  What am I saying... defending a French politician?  Shows you what one day of giving up EtOH for Lent will do to you.

Wed, 02/17/2010 - 12:29 | 234082 BS Inc.
BS Inc.'s picture

Bankers are politicians' best friends when they're enabling their "spend today, for tomorrow we may all be dead!" lifestyle, but when the bill comes due, they're "evil speculators".

What a bunch of hypocrites. Not that I didn't know that, but it bears continual repeating.

Wed, 02/17/2010 - 12:31 | 234084 mthomas
mthomas's picture

in light of the World Gold Council report posted earlier, this is a pretty interesting story on gold and gold mining stocks from an interview with Mark Johnson, who runs the USAA Precious Metals and Minerals Fund

http://www.goldalert.com/stories/Gold-Price-Rises-to-1121-Gold-as-Insurance

Wed, 02/17/2010 - 12:40 | 234101 Internet Tough Guy
Internet Tough Guy's picture

The Dork of Cork was right. Those naive Greeks, who only wanted to frolic in the fields and press olives were forced to borrow more than they could pay back. Probably at lance-point by conniving non-Hellenic bankers (probably Persians!)

Consult the entrails of a chicken to determine the appropriate response.

Wed, 02/17/2010 - 17:49 | 234593 seventree
seventree's picture

The Greeks simply thought they had found the perfect scam and could play it forever.

In contrast, here in the US we thought the same thing, and continue to believe it.

Wed, 02/17/2010 - 12:40 | 234102 UKman
UKman's picture

don't know what the real story on this but Mme Lagarde is not ex McKinsey but was running the law firm Baker Mckenzie.Comes across in interviews as a smart lady - maybe because she did post grad in USA !!

Wed, 02/17/2010 - 12:47 | 234125 Leo Kolivakis
Leo Kolivakis's picture

She is exceptionally bright and knows her subject matter very well. Politicians like her are a dying breed.

Wed, 02/17/2010 - 12:53 | 234147 hedgeless_horseman
hedgeless_horseman's picture

Not nearly fast enough for some.

Wed, 02/17/2010 - 14:26 | 234304 faustian bargain
faustian bargain's picture

+1

Wed, 02/17/2010 - 15:55 | 234412 Arm
Arm's picture

You see Leo.  French politics, like banking, is full of these whizz kid over-achievers.  Smart as hell but in the end they rather spend 4 hours debating heli-skiing and backpacking in Bhutan than actually picking up a book and reading.

Really.  Try them, I have.  They can calculate 4 digit square roots but don't know what was the Thirty Years War (or basic economics for that matter)

McK Alumni seem to be universally very smart, but undeservingly arrogant (I'm ok with arrogant if you can put up the stuff to show for it). 

Furthermore, they are great bull-shitters who are groomed to believe their BS and say it with a straight face. 

Before defending them you should really see how a case interview is done to select them.  The entire selection process is based on how you can think-up wild speculations and sell the idea with a straight face (market size a time machine, comes to mind). 

This is why these guys can be extremely dangerous for a firm's health. They can sell the most toxic of ideas without even flinching because they have conviction, the credentials, and very likely, lack the introspeciton to know they are selling a ticking time bomb.

A very similar profile to Keynes....

Wed, 02/17/2010 - 12:53 | 234140 Leo Kolivakis
Leo Kolivakis's picture

Paul Kedrosky has an excellent insider's account, Greece: Our Debt, Your Problem (HT: exportbank).

Wed, 02/17/2010 - 13:30 | 234142 Trader_Kos
Trader_Kos's picture

yea as someone else already wrote: throw them into the hotspot

HE FINANCIAL ARISTOCRACY’S COUP D’ETAT OF OUR GOV. TREASURY!
http://bartspace12.blogspot.com/2010/02/deficits-unpaid-banks-fed-move.html
US Taxpayers were F00LED that failure of AIG would be Catastrophic for the financial system!
This VEIL of DECEPTION allowed a COUP D'ETAT of the US Government by the Financial Aristocracy and Wall Street.
Politicians in Washington were bought to give Wall Street what it wanted at expense of Americans for many generations to come. And so were Regulators!
Glaring VIOLATIONS= Bush+Paulson+Shelby+Dodd+Rubin+Greenspan+Summers+Geithner+ Bernake+Clinton

Wed, 02/17/2010 - 12:56 | 234155 THE DORK OF CORK
THE DORK OF CORK's picture

Here we go with the again with the quaint "efficient markets" hypothesis.

These roving hedge funds and hedge funds pretending to be investment banks have gained a critical mass of power and are using that power to dominate people ,companies and now nations.

There is nothing efficient in this hypothetical world that this Tyler lives in - there is just those who wield power and those that are victims of it.

These victims are not market participants - they are serfs to their overlords.

Listen to the French perspective as they are true conservatives who are worried about the balance of power within a system - if that gets skewed the system will not work.

Wed, 02/17/2010 - 14:31 | 234312 Leo Kolivakis
Leo Kolivakis's picture

You sir are no DORK! +100

(Any idiot who believes in EMH deserves to get slaughtered in these markets)

Wed, 02/17/2010 - 13:00 | 234167 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

"Listen to the French perspective as they are true conservatives who are worried about the balance of power within a system - if that gets skewed the system will not work."

Yes, definitely conservative. Finding people here to support the way the Greek market was undully and artificially propped up. With the very help of those who will all of a sudden, lash out...

Merci Madame Lagarde.

Wed, 02/17/2010 - 13:04 | 234182 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

"Heaven forbid such a thing as a somewhat efficient market exists, and Greek yields were merely an indication of the country's otherwise perfectly default status. Nah, surely it is all just speculation."

We should probably start with an efficient market for credit ratings and actual bond yields, rather than CDS yields. Since a AAA security in theory has basically 0 default risk, and CDS sold on that security is inherently a scam.

Wed, 02/17/2010 - 13:14 | 234207 hedgeless_horseman
hedgeless_horseman's picture

Since a AAA security in theory has basically 0 default risk, and CDS sold on that security is inherently a scam.

 

Or maybe the theory/rating is wrong?

Wed, 02/17/2010 - 13:17 | 234212 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

Who said that GS didn't organize the whole fiasco,LEO?. And no I don't think that she is smart(if she was the same one at the time of the Jerome incident). I can't recall,but if she is the same woman who was the finance minister during the JErome blow up,then I think she is stupid,just from the way she tried to portay the incident(little did she know,that the whole banking system will blow up).Whether it was GS who created the whole Greek fiasco or the Marcians,the fact is that neither they nor somebody else could have done that without the stupidity of the Greek goverment(or corruption)and all other goverments which are going to suffer the same fate one by one and each at their own time.All for more political (and other demands unkown to us)advantages for the banks.I think the Greek fiasco was a demonstration of the banks prowes for those who wants to create a prop trading limits on the banks.

Wed, 02/17/2010 - 13:20 | 234221 BlackBeard
BlackBeard's picture

It's gonna be awesome when this turns into a no bid market.

Wed, 02/17/2010 - 18:13 | 234515 BernankeCo
BernankeCo's picture

Once the BS good news runs out it will

ONEY and I care NOT who writes the LAWS," Nat_han R0thschi1ds
Learn the truth behind the fake recovery!!FED does that for the Financial Aristocracy and D1CTAT0RSHIP!

Crisis 2.0 Begins!

Thu, 02/18/2010 - 01:05 | 235104 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

madame legarde's a hottie, so as far i'm concerned, she could sell me the brooklyn bridge and i'll listen to her pitch, even though i know she's selling me shit. and she knows that i know. and i know that she knows that i know. and so on and so on...

personally, i would love to see her in a US courtroom testifying as to what she actually said to timmy, benny & hanky about which beans monsieur sarkozy was going to spill if SocGen didn't get their AIG payout.

i hope she wears black leather for the stand...yum.

Mon, 04/19/2010 - 08:41 | 307607 Tom123456
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