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Here Comes Moody's: "We Have Long-Term Concerns About The US Rating Outlook And They're Not Being Addressed"

Tyler Durden's picture




 

But being the spineless paragon of worthlessness, Moody's adds that it "doesn't see any change in US ratings in next 18 months to 2 years." That the market jumps on this news is merely yet more confirmation that this toxic piece of garbage company has to be put out to pasture already (not even its former master and current hypocrite extraordinaire Warren Buffet is a fan anymore) - the only rating agency that matters is Dagong, which is expected to downgrade the US to junk in the next 3 months.

 

 

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Tue, 12/07/2010 - 13:37 | 786103 Ragnarok
Ragnarok's picture

It is possible that one of the big three agencies will downgrade the US by one notch in order to force through/give cover the deficit commission's suggestions.

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 13:37 | 786107 John McCloy
John McCloy's picture

  Why would they even come out with a note? Same nonsense out of Moody's for a year now..just shutup until you downgrade. 

What are we paying in interest annually now 320 Billion a year? Who in reality actually thinks we will not default in coming years?

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 13:41 | 786121 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Moodys release of the warnings with rosy projections must be a predetermined cue to ramp bubble equities
www.usdebtclock.org spinning faster now, 10 million new debt per minute...certainly we have years left. Of slow starvation.

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 14:44 | 786381 Ripped Chunk
Ripped Chunk's picture

Pirate Bay should take down Moody's & S&P servers.

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 13:48 | 786162 Max Hunter
Max Hunter's picture

At some point, one would think, investors will see the FED and the US Treasury swapping fancy papers with each other for what it really is. Then Bonds collapse and the house of cards with it.. Maybe.. probably not though.. :)

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 13:50 | 786170 Conrad Murray
Conrad Murray's picture

What are we paying in interest annually now 320 Billion a year? Who in reality actually thinks we will not default in coming years?

Give this a view. Pay particular attention to the graphs on pages 5 and 6:

http://www.gao.gov/new.items/d11201sp.pdf

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 13:58 | 786205 thetruth
thetruth's picture

and who do you suppose that $320 billion is going to...

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 14:02 | 786212 Conrad Murray
Conrad Murray's picture

Be sure to watch this clip at 4:00 for a real mind-numbing fact about interest:

http://video.foxnews.com/v/4449620/beck-the-choice-is-yours

Here's the original chart:

http://www.heritage.org/budgetchartbook/interest-spending

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 13:37 | 786109 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Looks like it should be good for 3% ramp in equities easy. Suffer on, peasantry.

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 13:38 | 786114 hedgeless_horseman
hedgeless_horseman's picture

                     Dagong

The only rating agency that matters.

_____________________________________

Coming soon to a T-shirt in my wardrobe.

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 13:42 | 786133 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

I think Tyler should start a ratings company.

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 13:56 | 786191 jus_lite_reading
jus_lite_reading's picture

The problem is, Tyler is way ahead of the curve. The US would already be downgraded to above junk, and Dagong would rate it soon after to above junk. GO DAGONG!

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 13:59 | 786204 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

It ain't no problem to be ahead of the curve.

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 14:50 | 786393 hedgeless_horseman
hedgeless_horseman's picture

m

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 14:02 | 786207 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

Black and yellow, black and yellow, black and yellow....

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 14:01 | 786210 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

Black and yellow......

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 14:03 | 786214 nonclaim
nonclaim's picture

The lowest rating would be "bailed out". Well, actually that is also the highest rating since there's zero risk involved from that point on. Only one bias: yet to be bailed.

Everything is, of course, guaranteed by your future income tax even if there's no guaranteed income.

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 14:02 | 786225 Freebird
Freebird's picture

Yup. Bang Dagong.

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 13:38 | 786116 redpill
redpill's picture

If they have concerns, why are their forecasts always so laughably rosey?

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 14:06 | 786240 jus_lite_reading
jus_lite_reading's picture

It's sort of like a person being held hostage with a gun to his head calling his wafe and saying everything is fine, as his voice quivers with a tense shaking of fear.

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 13:38 | 786117 Dick Darlington
Dick Darlington's picture

Why Moody's still exists? Does someone still pay for their "analysis"? Those muppets haven't even downgraded Ireland yet, lol!

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 14:53 | 786405 Raynja
Raynja's picture

Can't float a bond without mafia, I mean rating agencies, approval so yes they still get paid very well with all the junk being issued

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 13:44 | 786141 DoChenRollingBearing
DoChenRollingBearing's picture

I was singled out and given a pitty-pat by the TSA because I was taking a fat wallet full of Benjamins out of the USA.

I got a grope, but more money out.  Fair trade.

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 15:01 | 786431 MachoMan
MachoMan's picture

At least they weren't caught beating off this time.

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 13:39 | 786123 Spalding_Smailes
Spalding_Smailes's picture

We should have a gold/silver super thread today ..... WTF ? So much action today.

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 13:44 | 786140 hugovanderbubble
hugovanderbubble's picture

Gold in Euros has made today new record high

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 13:49 | 786164 Spalding_Smailes
Spalding_Smailes's picture

I bet. Euro going to fall like a stone for the next few months ...

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 14:18 | 786288 spartan117
spartan117's picture

Your dollars are depreciating in value against just about everything out there.  My silver holdings purchased last month are up 10%.  Annualize that and you get over 100%.  How does it feel to earn 0.05% annually on your money?

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 13:50 | 786167 damnitalready
damnitalready's picture

"Buy the dips!"

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 13:40 | 786127 hugovanderbubble
hugovanderbubble's picture

Short MCO till they dissapear¡¡¡¡

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 13:41 | 786129 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

Doublespeak from a corporation,,, surprised?  One hand washing the other.

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 13:41 | 786131 hugovanderbubble
hugovanderbubble's picture

Look Possible H&S in SP500  (30 min time frame pattern)

1234.50 Head

1215 neckline

 

target 20 points from neckline 1195

Regards,

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 13:49 | 786166 Robslob
Robslob's picture

20 point SP drop will last from 12:15 - 12:16 PM...then begin it's preplanned journey to 121,212...

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 13:43 | 786135 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Moodys never downgraded Enron until after it declared bankruptcy. Tells the entire story right there.

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 13:44 | 786143 traderjoe
traderjoe's picture

Personally, I think the news of the day is the drubbing in bonds. TLT down 1.7%. That's a massive loss for a 'safe-haven' play. QE2 is doing nothing good for bonds (except letting the PD's and the Chinese sell into the bid) and the budget deal demonstrates that we have no interest in ever making good on the debt.

IMHO, the hits to credibility have hit a critical mass. We're driving towards the cliff - and just hit the accelerator... 

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 13:50 | 786171 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Sums it all up pretty good- All party time on the bus as the accelerator is floored, cliff fast approaching but no worries, the Everclear punch is flowing like water.

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 14:08 | 786249 Deep
Deep's picture

I agree. Bonds are selling off hard. This recovory better be for real(LOL), at some point, the powers that be hae to deciede, bonds or stocks?

Or maybe a bond market crisis is coming that really no one expects.

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 15:00 | 786424 Raynja
Raynja's picture

Don't worry someone at macroeconomic advisors already gave bil gross the inside scoop about the looming bond crisis

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 13:47 | 786152 hugovanderbubble
hugovanderbubble's picture

One thing,

What would normally happen if we suffer a mini sell off (5%-10% in gold or silver)? to

1.Bonds

2.Equities

3.USD

 

tia, for scenarios proposals.

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 13:49 | 786163 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

Up until the POMO operations of the last month, equities chased PM.  Now thanks to Brian "Sackman" Sacks, the PDs are flush with cash to continue to naked short paper contracts.  Farcism at its best.  

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 13:53 | 786182 TraderMark
TraderMark's picture

Totally unrelated... well I guess totally related when we speak to fall of empires and breads and circuses but latest global test data is out and US killed it in math, sciences, and reading

25th out of 34 OECD countries in math, and 17th in science.  Up to 14th in reading, take that Latvia.

http://www.fundmymutualfund.com/2010/12/us-students-17th-in-science-25th...

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 14:29 | 786336 RafterManFMJ
RafterManFMJ's picture

I've red that link 3 times, but I still can't be makin head no tails of its. Mebbe I red it agin.

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 15:14 | 786454 youngman
youngman's picture

and the kids that took the test are the 50% that are still in school...the other 50% dropped out...its a very scary stat

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 15:19 | 786475 trav7777
trav7777's picture

Scores don't matter.  ONLY DIVERSITY MATTERS.  In anything

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 18:51 | 787280 cougar_w
Sun, 12/12/2010 - 14:20 | 800250 Old Europe Avan...
Old Europe Avant-Garde's picture

A very good documentary indeed. Unfortunately diversity isn't ment that way any more. Today it's like "all being different" is an achivement in itself.

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 13:56 | 786196 WineSorbet
WineSorbet's picture

Does any news really matter anymore?  I'm totally burned out on all this noise.

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 14:00 | 786213 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Just white noise as they get thru another day by supporting what they want, punching down what they dont want, resume farce tomorrow.

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 14:02 | 786224 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

Has Moody's been to Sweden lately? Watch out boyz!

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 14:06 | 786226 LostWages
LostWages's picture

The Ben Bernank waves his hand Jedi style in front of the Moody's analyst...."These are not the bonds you should be downgrading."

Moody's: "Errr.....yes these are AAA...of course."

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 14:03 | 786227 Thunder Dome
Thunder Dome's picture

Still don't understand Moody's relevance.

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 14:03 | 786230 Paul Bogdanich
Paul Bogdanich's picture

When the Romans used to administer a province they used to look for the local authorites that had the power to collect taxes and then they would deal with them.  Any other "leaders" who claimed some social authority without the ability to lay taxes were marginalized or disposed of.  Hence the maxim the power to govern is the power to tax.  Now, our political leaders have just proven that they don't have the political power to lay taxes.  Sure the legal authority exists but politically they can't do it.  As a result their whole authority rests on the police power of the state.  If they did not have the armed services, FBI, DHS, Federal Marshalls, scads of state and local authorities and so on would anyone even bother listening to what they had to say?  Would you?      

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 14:04 | 786234 Cash_is_Trash
Cash_is_Trash's picture

Dagong kicks-ass! U.S. credit rating: Trash

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 14:06 | 786239 Haywood Yablomi
Haywood Yablomi's picture

I think it's a good day to withdraw some money and buy some physical silver :).

Anyone know what the max withdrawl is that doesn't get flagged for special attention by the government?  <$5k?  Or the limits to what Bank of America will let you take out without advance notice?

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 14:08 | 786248 boooyaaaah
boooyaaaah's picture

Inflation Deflation

 

Clip on Gary Shilling

Take away "what if a gog jumps over the fence"

 

http://www.amazon.com/Age-Deleveraging-Investment-Strategies-Deflation/dp/0470596368/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1291745093&sr=8-1-catcorr

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 14:10 | 786256 HarryWanger
HarryWanger's picture

It's 6:10pm in Ireland and, what a surprise! No bank run! Who would have guessed? Ok can we toss that one on the pile of "just wait untils" or "this is not going to end wells"?

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 21:27 | 787673 penisouraus erecti
penisouraus erecti's picture

So Harry, make a couple million more today?

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 14:14 | 786273 wreynol4
wreynol4's picture

This one goes out to Bennie and the inkjets from the late Johnny Cash

 

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wxh-FfElY0M

 

"Sooner or later God's gonna cut em down" - Johnny Cash

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 14:15 | 786274 cougar_w
cougar_w's picture

Shorter Moody's: "We don't down-grade anybody with nukes. Evar. Except maybe France."

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 14:35 | 786353 orangedrinkandchips
orangedrinkandchips's picture

WORTHLESS as tits on a bull!!

worthless.

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 14:48 | 786392 Hugh_Jorgan
Hugh_Jorgan's picture

The entire establishment is lining up to sell their souls out in the light of day. Sounds like a confirmation of of the fact that this ship is going down and they will rely on the media to spin it the way they need it.

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 14:49 | 786394 destiny
destiny's picture

Since when private companies rate sovereing states ???

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 14:49 | 786399 Hugh_Jorgan
Hugh_Jorgan's picture

The entire establishment is lining up to sell their souls out in the light of day. Sounds like a confirmation of that this ship is indeed going down. I guess they will be relying on the media to spin it the way they need it. Isn't soft revolution grand?!!!

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 14:56 | 786411 johngaltfla
johngaltfla's picture

In other statements, Moody's said the re-affirmed the AA+ rating it assigned to a Subprime Tranche of MBS issued by Countrywide to cover mortgages sold to blind, unemployed, residents of a Turkmenistan village where $480,000 non-conforming loans were issued using goats and ostriches as collateral.

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 15:10 | 786446 Matxeu
Matxeu's picture

Hmm... I sense a DDoS attack and the international dating patrol

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 18:48 | 787271 cougar_w
cougar_w's picture

+1 lulz

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 15:22 | 786479 trav7777
trav7777's picture

just bomb Moody's.

I mean, seriously, why the fuck do they even STILL EXIST?

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 15:46 | 786551 Dick Darlington
Dick Darlington's picture

And here comes Fitch to the rescue (from Ran Squawk):

12-07 14:42: Fitch says extension of US tax cuts, unemployment benefits to help secure economic recovery And all is well again in the kingdom of FIAT. To the moon Bernank, to the moon!
Tue, 12/07/2010 - 15:53 | 786569 tom
tom's picture

The only ratings agency that matters re: Treasuries is the Chinese politburo, and its ratings aren't published. Dagong would matter if it were a reliable mouthpiece of the former, but I'm skeptical.

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