Here We Go Again: European Peripheral Spreads Explode As Safe Havens Collapse
It's starting again. Japan 10 year JGBs just dropped to fresh 7 year lows of 0.95%, as UST 10 years are down at 16 month lows of 2.65% and German 30 Year yields are down to record lows of 3.09%. Maybe the Fed should just let deflation run its course to get ever closer to the target UST curve which we noted before. And while Japan is ravaged by a fresh bout of deflation, Europe is starting to crumble once again now that (lack of) vacations are generally over: the Greek/Bund spread has just hit the widest level since May 10, at 811 bps, while the Irish/German spread is at its widest ever of 303 bps, a move of 10 bps on the day. European weakness is resuming now that CPI came in at expectations (as opposed to beating them as has been the tradition for the past month) at 1.7%. The export-driven golden age, as we noted, is over. Elsewhere, the Telegraph posted rumors that the BoE is preparing to join the Fed and is about to commence a fresh round of QE as a new wave of global monetary easing is about to hit.
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