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Hindenburg Omen Confirmation #1

Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/19/2010 16:34 -0400

McClellan Oscillator

Today we got our first Hindenburg Omen confirmation. The number of new highs was 136, and new lows was at 69 (per the traditional WSJ source). Granted this particular criteria set was a little weak as the 69 is precisely on the borderline for confirmation (the 2.2%), and the new highs number was not more than double the new lows (although it was close). Less gating were the McClellan oscillator which was negative at -83.6, and the 10 week MVA, which rose, which were the two remaining conditions. The first omen was spotted on August 12 - a week later the H.O has been confirmed. The more confirmations, the scarier it gets from a technical perspective, not to mention the conversion into a self-fulfilling prophecy (like every other technical indicator).

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Fri, 08/20/2010 - 18:03 | 533877 TraderTimm

The linked domain in the psuedo-english comment from zhaowei "qualityarticles.com" resolves to 69.16.242.233

Subsequent WHOIS returns:

NetRange:   69.16.192.0 - 69.16.255.255
CIDR:       69.16.192.0/18
NetName:    LIQUIDWEB-4
NetHandle: NET-69-16-192-0-1
Parent:     NET-69-0-0-0-0
NetType:    Direct Allocation
NameServer: NS.LIQUIDWEB.COM
NameServer: NS1.LIQUIDWEB.COM
Comment:
RegDate:    2005-05-26
Updated:    2006-03-28

OrgAbuseHandle: ABUSE551-ARIN
OrgAbuseName: Abuse
OrgAbusePhone: +1-800-580-4985
OrgAbuseEmail: abuse@liquidweb.com

OrgTechHandle: IPADM47-ARIN
OrgTechName: IP Administrator
OrgTechPhone: +1-800-580-4985
OrgTechEmail: ipadmin@liquidweb.com

Futher investigation reveals that this IP has been used for other spam campaigns. Block 'em or ban 'em. This is no good...

Fri, 08/20/2010 - 18:29 | 533927 kathy.chamberli...

ipadmin

ipad come on.

Fri, 08/20/2010 - 03:22 | 532269 zhaowei

without some thoughts, you can not free society, heart will be apandora little, real friends in your eyes to see you. the long life, friendship is the life of the feelings of?So you need topandora braceletsto give your friend, when you use an ordinary mind to know a man, to make a man, you will be gradually have many true friend, you willpandora jewelry feel life is joy! let us in a calm voice communication!

Fri, 08/20/2010 - 18:10 | 533886 TraderTimm

Probably a compromised commerce website:

jewellerygucci.com

68.65.201.150

WHOIS:

OrgName:    Colostore.com
OrgID:      KCA-7
Address:    1805 South Michigan Street
City:       South Bend
StateProv: IN
PostalCode: 46613
Country:    US

NetRange:   68.65.192.0 - 68.65.255.255
CIDR:       68.65.192.0/18
OriginAS:   AS12260
NetName:    COLOSTORE-COM
NetHandle: NET-68-65-192-0-1
Parent:     NET-68-0-0-0-0
NetType:    Direct Allocation
NameServer: NS1.COLOSTORE.COM
NameServer: NS2.COLOSTORE.COM
Comment:    http://www.colostore.com
RegDate:    2008-09-17
Updated:    2008-09-17

RAbuseHandle: NETWO1268-ARIN
RAbuseName: Network
RAbusePhone: +1-877-719-3698
RAbuseEmail: noc@colostore.com

OrgAbuseHandle: JK378-ARIN
OrgAbuseName: Kramer, Jay P
OrgAbusePhone: +1-319-277-2486
OrgAbuseEmail: jay@ceilley.com

Okay, that is enough NETCOP out of me today..

Fri, 08/20/2010 - 03:26 | 532276 blunderdog

Well, I'm one of the guys holding a "The End is Nigh!" sign.

But taking this technical analysis too seriously seems kinda wacky to me.

Martingale is guaranteed to make you rich on fair bets if your starting stake is big enough, right? But the croupier keeps swapping the dice.

And all the die-hard apocalyptics (again, of which I am one) are paranoid enough to believe there's something going on behind the scenes.

I sympathize with anyone whose livelihood depends on trading this shit. I recommend everyone watch the movie Pi and/or read Foucault's Pendulum. Then exterminate all rational thought.

It's the only way to be sure. The only thing the numbers are guaranteed to do at this point is LIE.

Fri, 08/20/2010 - 05:36 | 532313 MrTrader

Let´s assume you are not protected until now and have not bought your put protection below 1050: you must be a clueless trader. Ergo : the whole world is protected ! 10 yr Bond yields at 2.58 % according to

http://www.ustreas.gov/offices/domestic-finance/debt-management/interest...

Dividend yields still at 2.5 - 3.6 %. I would say this is "fair" valued, or ? :=))))

Fri, 08/20/2010 - 08:53 | 532450 SheepDog-One

I reckons I dont know me much bout no fancy 'puter algorithms nor stawk chartin and such, but my gramma use to say 'Son, if its dead, its dead, aint a no sense in kickin it more'.

Fri, 08/20/2010 - 09:04 | 532478 Greed

There are considerable doubts if the Omen really occured. Many will know this article recently found on bespoke, but for the ones that missed it:

http://www.bespokeinvest.com/thinkbig/2010/8/18/know-your-indicators-hin...

Well, their point is certainly worth considering.

Fri, 08/20/2010 - 09:22 | 532520 optimator

The Hindenburg vs. the PPT. Coming to an equity near you.

(2nd confirmation by the way.)

Sun, 08/22/2010 - 17:12 | 536423 _Biggs_

Fri, 08/20/2010 - 18:24 | 533526 Biggvs

deleted... cross post

Sat, 10/02/2010 - 06:36 | 620589 Herry12

There are certainly a lot of details like that to take into consideration.I read and understand the entire article and I really enjoyed it to be honest.
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Wed, 11/10/2010 - 06:30 | 715673 cheap uggs for sale

Thu, 02/24/2011 - 00:40 | 991760 shawnlee

Could it be that reality is making its way into the walls of Wall Street?

Isn't it time for another round of wake up calls to those investors that tell me, "Well my portfolio is well diversified from risky to less risky, so I should be in good shape."

Those fuckers crack me up. 401k/IRAs will soon make social security look attractive.
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Tue, 03/22/2011 - 03:55 | 1085124 shawnlee

There are certainly a lot of details like that to take into consideration.I read and understand the entire article and I really enjoyed it to be honest.bulova watches - dkny watches - rado watches - tissot watches - croton watches - hamilton watches - kenneth cole watches

Hindenburg Omen Confirmation #1

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