The Hindenburg Omen Has Arrived

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Thu, 08/12/2010 - 22:42 | 519172 faustian bargain
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"Do not panic. Please form single file lines and proceed in an orderly manner to the nearest -- aaaaaaaaaugh!"

Thu, 08/12/2010 - 22:59 | 519213 Tense INDIAN
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"Remain Calm , ALL IS WELL" from the movie "animal farm"

Thu, 08/12/2010 - 23:08 | 519237's picture
Animal House - All Is Well!

Fri, 08/13/2010 - 09:12 | 519613 The Rock
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The H.O. has arrived bitchez!

Thu, 09/09/2010 - 02:59 | 571182 qrs521
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Fri, 08/13/2010 - 10:18 | 519748 FoodTiger
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Naked Gun - Nothing to see here

Fri, 08/13/2010 - 10:56 | 519850 iamrage
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"Look at them.  Calm as Hindu cows.."

Fri, 08/13/2010 - 00:39 | 519324 Thomas
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Pass me another bull-frog...

Fri, 08/13/2010 - 04:28 | 519426 Hephasteus
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If chimps raping frogs becomes a necessary component of this Omen you are going to get blamed for it.

Fri, 08/13/2010 - 11:59 | 520015 Tarheel
Tarheel's picture

Dont worry, Uncle Tom and Grampa Bernanke will use the PPT to hold up the market....right...

Tue, 04/26/2011 - 13:27 | 1208257 william.smith61
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One of the main open questions on QE2, is how large the Fed's next monetization episode will be. This year's most prescient economist, Jan Hatzius, has predicted that the minimum floor of Bernanke's next intervention will be around $1 trillion, which of course means that he likely expects a materially greater final outcome from a Fed that is known for "forceful" AC Condenser

Sat, 07/02/2011 - 11:30 | 1421187 cole
cole's picture

I do not believe in predictions. The only thing that can help is the technical analysis or chart in that report on a graph the tensions between buyers and sellers and the trading volume. But this analysis can only be taken as an aid to other economic studies and results.


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Fri, 08/13/2010 - 00:05 | 519302 aint no fortuna...
aint no fortunate son's picture

Yo, Tyler, we algo's don't give a damn bout no stinkin blimps...

Fri, 08/13/2010 - 00:45 | 519329 whatsinaname
whatsinaname's picture

oh gonna get more PCLN, NFLX, AMZN, GOOG as Robo suggested...

Fri, 08/13/2010 - 02:02 | 519383 Red Neck Repugnicant
Red Neck Repugnicant's picture

If everyone knows/believes the bear argument, and few people believe the bull argument, will the market most likely go up or down?  Does the market follow popular consensus or does it move against it?

It's very funny to see so many of you believe in future inflation, yet remained mystified as to why the market remains buoyant. 



Fri, 08/13/2010 - 02:16 | 519391 Young
Young's picture

If no one was short a day ago (ackording to the stats), people have been buying calls, the baby boomers won't do another buy the dip gamble - would you be short or long? That said, bears have gotten a lot of exposure in media - but as long as Jimbo Cramer says buy, i'm confident we can short.

Fri, 08/13/2010 - 07:04 | 519493 Ned Zeppelin
Ned Zeppelin's picture

Belief in inflation? You mean, ZH believes the Fed will be successful in engineering the reflation of assets in an orderly manner by means of its policies?

Nope. No one agrees with that.  Deflation is where we are headed (already there), and hyperinflation, not inflation, could be the consequence.  Given the marked redcution of final demand, we do not understand the "buoyant market," or the sell-side propaganda that has accompanied it. 

Fri, 08/13/2010 - 08:07 | 519533 Treeplanter
Treeplanter's picture

We're not as smart as you are.

Fri, 08/13/2010 - 11:38 | 519959 Red Neck Repugnicant
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Don't fault yourself.  Jesus loves everyone equally - except homosexuals. 

Sun, 08/15/2010 - 19:27 | 523003 ZeroPower
ZeroPower's picture


Fri, 08/13/2010 - 10:31 | 519783 SheepDog-One
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What 'market'? You mean that computer that throws out fake algo bids all day? Whatever, moron.

Fri, 08/13/2010 - 01:06 | 519354 Kreditanstalt
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"DO NOT PANIC...we are trained professionals.  We are going to go AROUND the leaf...!" - "A Bug's Life"

"I suggest you panic." - Hugh Hendry

Fri, 08/13/2010 - 03:37 | 519408 russki standart
russki standart's picture

I recommend you panic.....

Fri, 08/13/2010 - 03:44 | 519409 russki standart
russki standart's picture

Robert McHugh

offers interesting commentary and a rather good explanation.


Fri, 08/13/2010 - 05:12 | 519448 thermroc
thermroc's picture

Don't panic! Don't panic!

Fri, 08/13/2010 - 05:14 | 519449 nmewn
nmewn's picture

Computers don't panic.

Fri, 08/13/2010 - 09:06 | 519603 Datafox
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I forget where or exactly when but during the great depression there was this saying:

"The most frightening words are; We're from the government and we're here to help."

Sat, 07/02/2011 - 18:44 | 1421666 cole
cole's picture

Now the fear is the rating agencies or AAA rating when they say next bankruptcy danger

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Fri, 08/13/2010 - 09:08 | 519604 Datafox
Datafox's picture

I forget where or exactly when but during the great depression there was this saying:

"The most frightening words are; We're from the government and we're here to help."

(sorry for the repost.  It was the math question that threw me.  Needed 2 characters instead of 3.

Thu, 08/12/2010 - 22:47 | 519183 Village Idiot
Village Idiot's picture


"relating to ideas from distant past. relating back to feelings or ideas that people had in the distant past"


thank you.

Thu, 08/12/2010 - 22:49 | 519189 DoChenRollingBearing
DoChenRollingBearing's picture

I sent my signal today, Village!  Did you?  I have not seen here at ZH anyone else fessing up to stripping $500 from the ATMs today.

Tomorrow I sentence myself to (mostly) staying in the gold threads...

Thu, 08/12/2010 - 22:53 | 519197 VWbug
VWbug's picture

I took out $500 today, but i do that quite often, I don't really get it

Fri, 08/13/2010 - 07:07 | 519488 zhandax
zhandax's picture

I get it, I am just not sure my bank will considering I have have drained a grand out of the ATM a couple of times in the last twelve months.  Guess it will depend on how much company I had.

Thu, 08/12/2010 - 23:03 | 519222 the grateful un...
the grateful unemployed's picture

Four days ago I put cash in the 2X bear Profund. Today I pulled it out, and put it in the SHort Gold Stocks fund. 

Thu, 08/12/2010 - 23:15 | 519226 Village Idiot
Village Idiot's picture

Loud and clear, DoChen.  I would really like to know what kind of numbers were inspired?  Maybe ZH can plug in some sort of poll taking computer thingy - that would really get things going, imho.


I will try and catch up with you tomorrow in the gold room. I asked for a call on Au last week as I want to start building a position in the phys.  the advice I got essentially suggested 1050 to start and 1000 to add.  I am seriously interested because I value this persons opinion. 


Thu, 08/12/2010 - 23:17 | 519250 DoChenRollingBearing
DoChenRollingBearing's picture

Village, yes, that would be very interesting to have ZH either do a poll or use their computers to advise if this went viral.  A few people I know said they would.  Several people here at ZH said they would, and a couple from FOFOA's site said they would as well.  I will go check fofoa after I finish up here.


Gold, well, about four or five threads down from this one there is a nice & rancorous back and forth between JB and we gold guys.

My take on gold, and has been for many years, is that the price per oz does not really matter much to me.  If I have some money I buy the gold.  Sometimes I will delay a purchase for whatever reason.  But I never sell.  I hope to GIVE IT AWAY.  The Power of Giving!

I am 1/2 in FOFOA's camp (ultimate wealth preserver) and 1/2 in the gold as insurance vs. bankster and .gov malfeasance wrecking the world economy.  I buy gold because I believe both camps have merit.


I let myself be conned into going to ORI's blog.  YOU, Village, got a nice little write up!  If you want to give yourself a pat on the back, it's worth a look.

Thu, 08/12/2010 - 23:44 | 519264 Village Idiot
Village Idiot's picture

Thank you for the insight, DoChen.  I tend to agree with the idea of buying whenever the mood is right, if that's what I hearing you say.  My problem is that I tend to get a little compulsive when I start on a new project - I like to jump right in. If all that is portended is somewhere around the corner, i would like to build a pretty sizable position. It would be nice to buy on the way down before it starts to really head the other way. Basically, I would like to make a perfect trade.


Fri, 08/13/2010 - 00:01 | 519300 DoChenRollingBearing
DoChenRollingBearing's picture

I am a terrible trader VI.  Long term I usually get things right.  The perfect trade, let me know how that works out...

Actually, I have been buying gold in small increments (1 - 3 oz at a time, typically, although I did buy 10 oz of platinum one time from MONEX because it is harder to find, and I really like platinum too) from coin shops since the 1980s.  Last time I paid spot + $70.  I did buy heavier starting about 2002, so my average cost basis is not so good (average paid price I would guess about $1000 / oz).  Yes, I bought some near the peak as well (+/- $1220), but, again, I do not worry much about the price, I look at the price but it does not my behavior...

A cousin just started buying gold, he came into an inheritance, and started doing things like it looks like you want to.  He pretty quickly got up to 48 oz and has more silver than me and everyone else I know put together!

If you have more than enough FRNs or in the bank to carry you through for awhile, then you may as well jump in and buy.  In that below thread "Today's Winner: Gold" you will see people saying gold will do this or that.

I like FOFOA's response: "It's all about the ounces!"  How many oz you have is what's important.  And if you happen to be a dad (like I am), it will become clear to you REAL QUICK what comfort gold can give.

Disclosure: about 6% of my holdings are in gold, en route to 7%.

Fri, 08/13/2010 - 00:12 | 519309 RockyRacoon
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As I posted elsewhere, DCRB, I actually closed a Regions Bank account and opened one at a local bank.  Already have an account at an S&L.

Fri, 08/13/2010 - 01:43 | 519369 Village Idiot
Village Idiot's picture

"And if you happen to be a dad (like I am), it will become clear to you REAL QUICK what comfort gold can give."

I am a father.  And now that I am blessed with someone other than me to look after I am especially greedy...for the protection of my child.  If that protection turns out to be from gold,  I will be happy.  I want my child to always know that his father (and mother) are there to keep him safe.  I want him to feel the warmth that safety brings, and I want him to be proud of the fact that his parents were strong enough to provide.  And I want him to pass it on.

Every parents desire, no doubt.


One silver lining in this shit storm - he will probably be a better listener, and be more well behaved.


*stepping down from soap box*

Fri, 08/13/2010 - 01:52 | 519378 merehuman
merehuman's picture

I keep 5.00 in a bank. Been like this for the last year.

Fri, 08/13/2010 - 02:13 | 519387 Tense INDIAN
Tense INDIAN's picture

me too ...dnt know when that Shitty bank is gonna blow up......its got a D- rating in weiss research lists of banks.....

Fri, 08/13/2010 - 04:30 | 519428 Hephasteus
Hephasteus's picture

Haha. I have 11 dollars in the bank.

Fri, 08/13/2010 - 09:37 | 519650 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

What a strange coincidence because you owe me exactly $11. I'll waive the interest and penalty if you pay within 24 hours. I take PayPal. :>)

Fri, 08/13/2010 - 11:27 | 519925 merehuman
merehuman's picture

congratulations. Fatherhood brings a change in state of conciousness for sure. Something the childless will not experience. It brings a sense of strenght and maturity to a new perspective.

Good on you VI.     Beware the baby food. Much is tainted. Google 'early breast development due to infant formula.'

Fri, 08/13/2010 - 03:54 | 519416 Henry Chinaski
Henry Chinaski's picture

For more comfort, teach those kiddies how to shoot, Daddy-O.

Fri, 08/13/2010 - 09:16 | 519617 Village Idiot
Village Idiot's picture

just a few more years...looking forward to it.

Thu, 08/12/2010 - 23:19 | 519253 andyupnorth
andyupnorth's picture

I feel bad for not withdrawing any cash today :-(

Although I didn't think it would affect banks here in Canadia, eh...

Thu, 08/12/2010 - 23:33 | 519267 Village Idiot
Village Idiot's picture

No worries, it's the thought that counts.  And there's always next time.

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