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How Ben Bernanke Sentenced The Poorest 20% Of The Population To A Cold, Hungry Winter

Tyler Durden's picture




 

The following chart prepared recently by JPMorgan demonstrates something rather scary, and makes it all too clear how the Chairman's plan to "assist" the US population via some imaginary "wealth effect" due to QE2, is about to backfire. As is now becoming very evident, the prices of energy and food products are about to surge, and in many cases have already done so, but courtesy of some clever gimmicks (Wal Mart selling what was formerly 39 oz of coffee as a 33.9 oz product for example) the end consumers haven't quite felt it yet. They will soon. There is a limit to how much every commodity can open limit up before it appears on the SKU price at one's local grocer. And while a marginally declining "core CPI" is irrelevant for this exercise as it measures only items that are completely outside of the scope of everyday life, what will be far more important to end consumers will be the push higher in food and energy costs. The problem, however, is that for the lowest 20% of Americans, as per the BLS, food and energy purchases represent over 50% of their after-tax income (a number which drops to 10% for the wealthiest twenty percentile). In other words should rampant liquidity end up pushing food and energy prices to double (something that is a distinct possibility currently), Ben Bernanke may have very well sentenced about 60 million Americans to a hungry and very cold winter, let alone having any resources to buy trinkets with the imaginary wealth effect which for over 80% of the US population will never come.

Here is how JPM explains the phenomenon:

When the Fed considers the possible consequences of a falling dollar resulting from QE2, it should perhaps focus on food and energy prices as much as on traditionally computed core inflation.  First, the food/energy exposures of the lower 2 income quintiles are quite high (see chart).  Second, the core  CPI has a massive weight to “owner’s equivalent rent”, which suggests that the imputed cost of home occupancy has gone down.  Unfortunately, this is not true for families living in homes that are underwater, and cannot move to take advantage of it (unless they choose to default and bear the consequences of doing so).   Due to the housing mess, there has perhaps never been a time when traditionally computed core inflation as a way of measuring changes in the cost of things means less than it does right now.

Since nothing else appears to have jarred America from its prime time TV/iPad hypnosis yet, perhaps this is for the best, and a few hungry months in subzero temperatures is precisely what several tens of millions of Americans need to finally march on Constitution avenue.

 

 

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Fri, 11/05/2010 - 22:18 | 704340 UGrev
UGrev's picture

Duh.. what do you think is the force behind skittle factories.. :)

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 01:12 | 704772 MayIMommaDogFac...
MayIMommaDogFace2theBananaPatch's picture

+2

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 20:50 | 705840 kathy.chamberli...
kathy.chamberlin@gmail.com's picture

don't know what a skittle factory is, babe.

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 21:05 | 705859 A Nanny Moose
A Nanny Moose's picture

You beat me to it. I hate to burst your bubble, but having worked with M&M/Mars, I can categorically state that Skittles are not the product of the southbound end of northbound unicorns.

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 11:20 | 705066 Gully Foyle
Gully Foyle's picture

I am more equal...

Where the fuck you been? The Winchester brothers put paid on that bill last season. Devil is back in his box and Sam's returned as something seemingly not human.

Don't worry though Dean will save us all.

Dean: All those angels, all those demons, all those sons of *******, they just don’t get it, do they Sammy?
Sam: No, they don’t, Dean.
Dean: You see, Brady, we’re the ones you should be afraid of.

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 11:20 | 705067 Biosci
Biosci's picture

Dogs and cats living together!  Mass hysteria!

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 12:10 | 705129 Kayman
Kayman's picture

Religion was invented to control the masses. Now, in replace of the Magical Scary Big Guy in the Sky, we have Central Bankers controlling the masses.

It starts as mystical hyperbole and continues as media hyperbole. He who can control the message rules.

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 13:54 | 705319 Uncle Remus
Uncle Remus's picture

I dunno - "Ben Akbar" just doesn't have the same ring to it....

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 18:26 | 705660 Biosci
Biosci's picture

And Petraeus is the new messiah.

Seriously, your point is right on target.  Now it's both message and distribution.  Radio, then TV, now the Internet and the ubiquity of its access points (cell phones/SMS, Twitter...).  The "democratization" of message has coalesced into a few major centers.  There are hundreds of experiments being conducted all over the world right now to see how best to manage this:  state controlled media in China, Iran, etc; hell even corporatist media here in the US vying to match the message with the largest, or at least most committed, audience (Fox?  ZH?).  The next twenty years are going to be interesting times.

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 20:02 | 705782 Rhodin
Rhodin's picture

looks like wheat has a ways to go yet!

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 18:00 | 703749 hambone
hambone's picture

Extrapolate the above chart for the poor of the world...massive intentional inflation for the poor of the world w/ little to no discretional income mean massive hunger and deaths.  Anybody thinks this is Obama's plan to "redistribute" America's wealth to the world...Obama and Ben will be responsible for massive famine and die off for the poorest of the world.  Somehow I don't think big O or Ben has the poor of the world's interests at heart any more than America's interest.  Anybody really believe big O or Bush were really in charge?  They are proxies for the real power of the ultra elite represented by the Fed. 

PURE FUCKING EVIL - SERIOUS EVIL AND COMING DEATH BY STARVATION AND PRIVATION WILL BE ON THE ORDER OF WW2.

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 18:10 | 703792 cossack55
cossack55's picture

13 bankers

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 01:21 | 704778 MayIMommaDogFac...
MayIMommaDogFace2theBananaPatch's picture

...baked in a pie...

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 18:31 | 703828 Green Leader
Green Leader's picture

This crisis is mostly engineered.

http://www.marketskeptics.com/2009/12/2010-food-crisis-for-dummies.html

Make sure you can become adept at growing food via sheltered agricultural systems.

Yahweh Yireh.

 

 

 

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 18:49 | 703880 trav7777
trav7777's picture

No, it isn't.

ENOUGH around here with the Omnipotent Directors Fallacy

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 19:05 | 703893 Green Leader
Green Leader's picture

You spend too much time indoors, obviously.

The crisis is mostly created. Chemtrails & geoengineering have done my crops (and my health). I am about to move to safer ground.

Chill out.

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 19:18 | 703953 merehuman
merehuman's picture

Safer ground? Where? Under it , yea!

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 19:24 | 703966 Green Leader
Green Leader's picture

There are specific places that by the very nature of flora and topography/microclimate are able to deflect most of the cocktails. That's all I'll write on the internet.

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 20:07 | 704069 Fraud-Esq
Fraud-Esq's picture

Are you the bearded mystic? 

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 20:11 | 704082 Green Leader
Green Leader's picture

Nah...got a hold of enough Schick Quattro@ 50% off and my last haircut cost four dollars!

You guys watch the stocks and the charts, I watch the skies, nature and NOAA:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/loop-wv.html

That hurricane Thomas is man made.

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 20:23 | 704108 trav7777
trav7777's picture

this is fucking moonbat shit.

Why in the HELL would these Omnipotent Directors suddenly want to kill off the ponzi?  If they are all-powerful, why not just continue to let the GOOD TIMEZ ROLL forever?

Manmade hurricanes...LOL

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 22:20 | 704348 Green Leader
Green Leader's picture

"Manmade hurricanes...LOL"

Better catch up with the times.

I have printed some wicked looking stuff from the NOAA site.

Stay indoors.

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 22:47 | 704399 trav7777
trav7777's picture

my subscription to Moonbat Times has expired, sorry...

amazing how I get junked for being skeptical that freakin hurricanes are manmade...lol

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 23:20 | 704517 Hulk
Hulk's picture

Hurricane and earthquake weapons are solar powered too, note that sunshine always precedes these events...

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 03:49 | 704835 i-dog
i-dog's picture

"amazing how I get junked for being skeptical that freakin hurricanes are manmade"

Wrong. You get junked because you ALWAYS post a load of shit. How much do they pay you to be the resident shill here?

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 22:52 | 704405 Cathartes Aura
Cathartes Aura's picture

tad behind the curve trav7777 - maybe start here:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Weather_control

if you can't be bothered reading, scroll down to the references & general information and note the preponderance of corporations associated with the military, such as Raytheon, BAE, Microsquash, etc.

note that:

Some work is done by The United States Navy using ELF: Simulations of ELF radiation generated by heating the high-latitude D- region.

aluminium & barium chaff is aerosoled into the atmosphere to conduct these "experiments". . .

here are a few of the patents listed:

I could go on, but that's enough to confirm that weather control is a fact, and there is soooo much more proven information, should anyone care to look at it.

really, it's like trying to get people to be "aware" of the financial system, and the role of the Fed - unless one is ready, it will be mocked or laughed at.

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 01:28 | 704781 MayIMommaDogFac...
MayIMommaDogFace2theBananaPatch's picture

aluminium & barium chaff is aerosoled into the atmosphere to conduct these "experiments". . .

Should be fine as long as it isn't that nasty carbon dioxide stuff...Right?  </sarcasm>

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 08:33 | 704934 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

Will that aluminum and barium chaff help my roof last longer?

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 10:34 | 705022 Blankman
Blankman's picture

Screw the roof, I'm hoping it will help me keep a nice shiny head of hair.  Nevermind forgot about the barium. 

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 13:27 | 705270 trav7777
trav7777's picture

hahahahaha...cloud seeding to manmade hurricanes.  What a HELL of a leap.  There is no moonbat conspiracy theory you guys won't swallow, is there?

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 20:44 | 705825 Cathartes Aura
Cathartes Aura's picture

. . .thanks Goldilocks - that's one of the better sites, I was working my way up to linking it, ha!

but here's some interesting RECENT (29Oct2010) news:

NAGOYA, Japan – In a landmark consensus decision, the 193-member UN Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD) will close its tenth biennial meeting with a de facto moratorium on geoengineering projects and experiments. . .

. . .attention has turned to a range of futuristic proposals to block a percentage of solar radiation via large-scale interventions in the atmosphere, stratosphere and outer space that would alter global temperatures and precipitation patterns.

http://foodfreedom.wordpress.com/2010/10/28/un-votes-to-ban-chemtrails/

one of the "excuses" put forward about aerosoling the atmosphere is to reflect the solar radiation back, as in putting up an aluminium "layer" to "protect" the earth.

again, the information is readily available should anyone seek to research it. . .

and, according to the washington post: “The prohibition does not apply to the United States, which has yet to ratify the convention.”

with regards bills put forward in Congress - there have been quite a few, they change the wordage over time, but there's usually at least one bill hanging in limbo - HR2977 Space Preservation Act was one of the first I think:

http://vodpod.com/watch/3280523-hr-2977-chemtrails-haarp

Sun, 11/07/2010 - 20:28 | 707245 nmewn
nmewn's picture

Great...seeing as how we think we have ourselves completely under control and we think we know all there is to know about everything (finance, culture, disease, justice etc.)...let's start screwing around with what we know we don't have under control.

Perfect.

Man's arrogance is only surpassed by his stupidity.

Sun, 11/07/2010 - 15:38 | 706900 Kayman
Kayman's picture

Gonna be one hell of a snow storm in Iran... WTF ???

ZH has always had its share of tin hatters.

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 22:52 | 705968 RockyRacoon
RockyRacoon's picture

Hey, Trav, I think it's the same people who took down Building 7.

Whaddaya say?

Sun, 11/07/2010 - 15:40 | 706903 Kayman
Kayman's picture

Hey Rocky

Building 7 ?  There never was a building 7....

Sun, 11/07/2010 - 20:16 | 707233 tip e. canoe
tip e. canoe's picture

building what?

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 10:05 | 704983 ISEEIT
ISEEIT's picture

Smartru!

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 20:18 | 704096 kathy.chamberli...
kathy.chamberlin@gmail.com's picture

get drunk and fornicate (don't have to be married), bitchez

WOW that was made over a year ago. over 3000 hits. i had no idea about zero hedge.

night.

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 08:25 | 704931 Careless Whisper
Careless Whisper's picture

"get the full adrenaline rush" at zero hedge

"it's like a bunch of people on the titanic running around stealing the silver"

 

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 20:53 | 705848 kathy.chamberli...
kathy.chamberlin@gmail.com's picture

complete package

shhhh

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 20:21 | 704104 trav7777
trav7777's picture

LOL...tinfoil hat much?

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 23:29 | 704554 Cathartes Aura
Cathartes Aura's picture

check this trav - there has been some controversy around this story, that Monsanto bought out Xe/Blackwater - Max Keiser (trying to keep with people "reputable" to ZH'ers) has some interesting links & explanations in the comments threads:

http://maxkeiser.com/2010/10/16/monsanto-now-owns-blackwater-xe/

and this is an important addition to the mix:

 

Almost simultaneously with the publication of this article in The Nation, the Via Campesina reported the purchase of 500,000 shares of Monsanto, for more than $23 million by the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, which with this action completed the outing of the mask of "philanthropy." Another association that is not surprising.

It is a marriage between the two most brutal monopolies in the history of industrialism: Bill Gates controls more than 90 percent of the market share of proprietary computing and Monsanto about 90 percent of the global transgenic seed market and most global commercial seed. There does not exist in any other industrial sector monopolies so vast, whose very existence is a negation of the vaunted principle of "market competition" of capitalism. Both Gates and Monsanto are very aggressive in defending their ill-gotten monopolies.

http://blacklistednews.com/Machines-of-War%3A-Blackwater%2C-Monsanto%2C-...

if you just apply a bit of thinking, the connection between Monsanto's new aluminium resistant GMO seed, and Gates funding research towards stealth vaccines:

investigation of nanoparticles to release vaccines when they come in contact with human sweat.

Read more: Gates makes 78 global health grants | Puget Sound Business Journal

and you understand that skies are being aerosoled in many NATO countries, that nanoparticles are part of the heavy metal "soup" sprayed. . . well, it's not rocket science. . .
Sat, 11/06/2010 - 03:46 | 704834 merehuman
merehuman's picture

well then the elites will be exposed to it also ? I feel like a guiny pig or vegetable being sprayed from the sky,fluoride in the drinking water, hell, gas in some  drinking water. Gulf coast fish are poison and so is the air, folks are sick and dying down there. All kept quiet from most of us. This sure is awful bad for us common folk, unable to make a stand against superior armed forces and not heard by our leaders.

A lot of us will die because of these criminals even if we do nothing.

Might as well fight back then, but how? The folks on the east coast seem to be the deciders as they are where the action is. Here in the west it feels like we dont matter.

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 03:55 | 704839 i-dog
i-dog's picture

"well then the elites will be exposed to it also ?"

That is an incredibly weak argument. Would you willingly expose yourself to it if you knew it was happening?

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 21:42 | 705887 benb
benb's picture

The elites allow themselves to be exposed to it because they have access to the treatments and antidotes. We are in the eugenics wars and the Great Culling is underway. To understand what is going on you need to get yourself informed. A good starting point is to watch ENDGAME.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x-CrNlilZho

Sun, 11/07/2010 - 00:52 | 706064 i-dog
i-dog's picture

"To understand what is going on you need to get yourself informed"

I'm fully informed! You, sir, are the one who is confusing the "useful idiots" with the true oligarchs who are planning the cull and don't even live in the USSA.

Make no mistake, the destruction and enslavement of the US is underway. The US has served its purpose and the circus is moving on. But most of those in what those on here call "the elites" have no comprehension of what the consequences to them and their families will be.

In typically American fashion, most commenters here think that the public faces -- the Dimons, Bernankes, Blankfeins, Obamas, etc -- are the planners. They are not. They are simply appointed officials, with no security of tenure, who are in on the scam but are entirely disposable at any time they step out of line. Bernanke serves at the whim of the oligarchs. Blankfein serves at the whim of the oligarchs. Buffet and Gates prosper at the whim of the oligarchs. The members of Bilderberg and the CFR are invited at the whim of the oligarchs.

Those useful idiots who have sufficiently enriched themselves -- the corporate executives, Wall Street players, elected representatives and appointed officials -- will escape to their offshore boltholes, but most of their families and supporters will be too poor, too dumb or too obstinate to leave until it is too late.

For example, the body and vehicle scanners at every airport and border crossing are not there to detect terrorist bombs, they are there to ensure that -- after the cutoff date, whenever that may be (my guess is late 2012, but things are moving so fast now that they may have to bring it forward to retain control) -- nobody leaves the country with hidden PMs or currency. The laws prohibiting farmers' markets and sales of home-grown food are not there to protect your health, they are there to allow them to control the quantity and content of foods that you will be permitted to eat. The planned electronic money system is not being introduced to stabilise currencies, it is to ensure that you won't have, or be able to spend, a cent unless you are fully submissive to their rule.

The only hope for America to defeat the oligarchs at this very late stage is for a complete change in paradigm ... away from a central government and back to individual sovereign states, each with their own militia and currency -- and powers limited to protecting the individual rights of their citizens. The oligarchs can't herd 50 cats with 300 million kittens, but they can control anyone who is controlled from Washington, DC.

Read 'Atlas Shrugged' and you will understand why most of those destroying the system from within actually go down with the ship.

This video explains who the real "elites" are: Max Keiser interviews Damon Vrabel (part 2 of 3), yet still doesn't go to the tip of the pyramid to the real "oligarchs" who have been planning this for many generations.

Sun, 11/07/2010 - 01:46 | 706175 Cathartes Aura
Cathartes Aura's picture

way to tie up some "loose ends" i-dog!

it's really important to keep one's mind open just now, not shut down, as there are many many fronts this battle is being waged on - it's NOT just financial folks.

I'll keep it short, but here are a few links for those who are interested/ready:

Atmospheric Geoengineering: Weather Manipulation, Contrails and Chemtrails (Revised)

http://coto2.wordpress.com/2010/07/28/case-orange-60-years-of-geoenginee...

Stratospheric Welsbach seeding for reduction of global warming

United States Patent 5003186 

(lists aluminium oxide, thorium oxide as materials used)

http://www.freepatentsonline.com/5003186.html

and THIS is something people might want to think about:

Leaked trade agreements and hidden dangers of S 510: Corporations plan to end normal farming

“Under provisions in CETA [Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement], using saved seed could result in a farmer’s land, equipment, and crops being seized for alleged infringement of intellectual property rights attached to plant varieties owned by corporations such as Monsanto, Dow, Syngenta, and Bayer..."

http://foodfreedom.wordpress.com/2010/10/31/leaked-trade-agreements-and-...

we are all aware that those-who-want-to-rule stealth these bills into law while "other news" is distracting us. . . it pays to share information when we find it!

Sun, 11/07/2010 - 18:30 | 706879 benb
benb's picture

I-dog -"I'm fully informed! You, sir, are the one who is confusing the "useful idiots" with the true oligarchs who are planning the cull and don't even live in the USSA..."

If you were fully informed (which would be pretty awesome as I know of no one who’s got the complete handle on this unbelievably nebulous and interlocking global takeover) you wouldn’t have made the statement – “That is an incredibly weak argument. Would you willingly expose yourself to it if you knew it was happening?” in the first place but I’d agree with a lot you’ve said…. Watched that Kaiser interview you linked to. (Really like Max Kaiser)

In previous comments I have stated clearly that what the public is exposed to, indeed drenched in 24/7 is propagandistic theater, The Mighty Wurlitzer. The real power is exercised behind the scenes and out of public sight.

So I m very much in agreement with your statement – “most commenters here think that the public faces -- the Dimons, Bernankes, Blankfeins, Obamas, etc -- are the planners. They are not.” And in a real sense the Dimons and the Obamas are just theatrical props paraded before the public to mislead them in a chickenshit, concocted narrative. It’s a shame that many people can not get past this. You might like this statement from an insider who left the White House in early October - as reported by Joel Skoulsen:

“It’s a nightmare in there. Obama is just a television watching second fiddle guy. He doesn’t make any of the decisions. He doesn’t have any interest.”

My understanding is that basically there are 30 families that control most of this planet that have, in part, ceded great authority to a group of 200 scientists who head a Global Scientific Dictatorship which relates to Cathartes Aura’s postings.  The Western governments by and large no longer exist.

I would encourage others to watch ENDGAME - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x-CrNlilZho

 

 

 

 

 

Sun, 11/07/2010 - 21:36 | 707318 chopper read
chopper read's picture

i-dog, you're the man.

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 05:32 | 704879 cossack55
cossack55's picture

Between the southern earthquakes and the Cascades, you don't matter. Sorry, MH.

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 10:24 | 705008 Bob
Bob's picture

I don't know about aerosoling, HAARP, or the rest--and at this point, don't really want to--but I gotta say that Monsanto and Blackwater make for the most deadly synergy that I've ever heard.  There's one that speaks the truth very clearly on its face alone. 

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 11:30 | 705075 DaveyJones
DaveyJones's picture

Had the same thought, They are in the same business, control

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 12:11 | 705131 Husk-Erzulie
Husk-Erzulie's picture

Creepy shit.   Monsanto, Xe, Micro$oft/Gates Foundation, a triumvirate super creepola.  I had no idea about this, thanks again ZHers for the most pertinant factoids.

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 15:49 | 705468 cossack55
cossack55's picture

Throw in JPM and GS and welcome to hell.

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 12:12 | 705133 Husk-Erzulie
Husk-Erzulie's picture

dub

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 22:21 | 705934 benb
benb's picture

To witness the accelerating total domination and destruction of what’s left of free humanity is nothing to be cheerful about. Monsanto is one of the flagship fronts for the Globalist’s scientific dictatorship and they are as evil as it gets on this planet. Bill Gates was literally set up by the ruling oligarchy, and, his whole contrived mythos is merely a front for eugenics and the supposed ‘national security’ apparatus. His agenda is run and controlled by the NGOs. (His father headed up Planned Parenthood which exists to implement global eugenics.) Your post is a very important one giving us a glimpse into the tapestry of the Brave New World.

As far as 7777, I wouldn’t waste the time.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V2f-MZ2HRHQ

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 10:13 | 704997 ISEEIT
ISEEIT's picture

Fuck you you goddamned moron. The only reason they get away with this vile shit is because of your fucking programming. If people like you actually used the fucking mind that you were provided at birth, all your Leftist fantasies would perhaps become reality. Instead what we get is an artificial construct supported by those to weak, timid, cowardly, SLAVE like to be MEN (and WOMEN); HUMAN.

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 19:04 | 703913 Herd Redirectio...
Herd Redirection Committee's picture

I don't blame people for it too much, as the Oligarchs WANT us to believe they are omnipotent.  They may not be in 100% control of the crisis, but they definitely knew it was coming, and have prepared for its inevitable result: the destruction of the US dollar as world reserve currency.

Right now we are experiencing a 'race to the bottom', which will make it easier to convince the citizens of the world they need to accept the new fiat reserve currency (likely a modified form of the present SDR).  Its not a currency war as much as co-ordinated devaluation, with the intent to bring in a new reserve currency at the culmination.

From that perspective, it doesn't matter if the crisis has been engineered or not, because the (hoped for) RESULT has been engineered.

http://psychonews.site90.net

Read our latest PsychoNews stories:

Misconceptions:Quantitative Easing & The Fed 

Misconceptions: Hyperinflation & The Oligarchy

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 19:37 | 703995 Green Leader
Green Leader's picture

The destruction of the dollar is by design and so is its replacement. The Bible mentions it: the Dinar.

 

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 20:26 | 704116 trav7777
trav7777's picture

moonbat alert AGAIN.  Wow.

Why is it that you guys HAVE to believe that there is some kind of deterministic certainty to everything?

SOME of the leadership saw this crisis coming...those who produced the military's peak oil reports, for example.  But people in power are used to 20 years of having their asses kissed.  They live in bizarro realities.  They are irrational.  They are certainly not in fucking control.  They are out of touch and clueless, by and large.

Yet you guys see sinister, calculating malice in all this ineptitude...lol

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 20:53 | 704168 hardcleareye
hardcleareye's picture

"They live in bizarro realities.  They are irrational.  They are certainly not in fucking control.  They are out of touch and clueless, by and large."

Occam's razor....  ++

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 23:19 | 704506 Yits and the Yimrum
Yits and the Yimrum's picture

hey Trav, so your living in a nice little pluralistic society and the good layers, judges and politicos are going to make sure that bad asses don't get out of hand

is that what you've been taught by your peerless peer group

if this doesn't pan out, you may want to go virtual back to plural land so as to sleep good at night with the little goblins running around on their witch programs

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 22:40 | 704387 Pope Clement
Pope Clement's picture

edit - message i replied to has disappeared..

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 07:02 | 704905 Admiral Bolitho
Admiral Bolitho's picture

@ Green leader above...I read the blog you inserted into your reply.  It was for the most part doomsday speculation which in fact was proven wrong by events as they unfolded this year.  There is no food shortage and that was clear by July.  Yes energy costs will affect the food supply.  However, one must also factor into the analysis market mechanisms which will compensate...for example in the US should energy costs rise to the point of making the current distribution system too expensive farmers will sell locally produced foodstuffs to take advantage of the differential in production costs and transportation.  Our food distribution system depends on cheap transportation to ship food halfway around the world.  Should those costs become too burdensome the market will act to encourage local production.  Virginia, once a large apple producer, now imports apples from all over the world.  I often eat apples from Chile. Should oil go sky high due to QE2,3,4,5....I expect to see orchards replanted in Virginia. 

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 13:10 | 705236 Green Leader
Green Leader's picture

Hi,

We have been following this food (manipulation) crisis since 2006. Food can be grown on a short & mid term basis but the objective is to create a political-economic crisis. Orchards take a while to grow...peaches in about 5 years, olives around 25. Back in 2008, the coordinator of our group, told me of a dream she had about a white dust falling on orange trees. Later on we found it was chemtrail spraying.

The article is correct, not bogus. For some reason prices have not gone really high as we were expecting, in spite of the thousands and thousands of hectares of corn not planted and all the 'coincidental' crop failures. A few weeks ago I asked my man in the supermarket about the upcoming surge in food prices: his face was conveying very bad news. This guy is from Cuba (Granma) and emigrated after the Russians stopped subsidizing Cuba's agriculture. He told me people there ended keeping their pigs inside their homes to avoid being stolen.

This is going to hit in the first quarter of 2011, not 2010 like we were expecting.

Prepare yourselves.

Sun, 11/07/2010 - 01:46 | 706176 Kelly
Kelly's picture

never mind

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 18:32 | 703830 Minion
Minion's picture

If the banksters own all the food and the public can't afford it, enter the BREAD LINE. 

The game is all about control - of you, by the banksters. Yes there was even a story about the power of food in the Bible......... Egypt owned a lot more wealth after the 7 year famine because they had saved food during the 7 years of overabundance.   They didn't blow their wealth on McMansions and Granite countertops, SUVs or plastic surgury, they stored it safely.

Trading is all about anticipating scarcity and buying it on the cheap.  :)  Natural gas is still one of the most unloved commodities, usable in many forms, clean burning, and able to provide power plants and automobiles with an alternative to crude oil based stocks. 

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 18:37 | 703845 svendthrift
svendthrift's picture

First things first, we need to stop using stand-in words. Inexact words are not our friends. It is not the bankers who are destroying our country. My personal banker is a swell Hispanic-Catholic fellow who earns 40k year. It is a small, greedy group.. Somebody help me out here.. Who are they?

We can not change what we don't allow ourselves to describe.

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 18:45 | 703867 Minion
Minion's picture

Bankster = professional manipulator, liar, owner of propaganda outlets, buyer of politicians, funder of both parties in wars / conflicts, etc. Typically wall street types, long (inter-generational) history of participation in legislation / lobbying, tied to the central banking system around the world. Admittedly it is a slang, derogatory term deserving of any banker who is also a criminal, so well connected to be above the law.

Banker = lower on the food chain, not in the controlling class. Small regional banks (which are not too big to let fail), credit unions, etc.

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 23:22 | 704538 Yits and the Yimrum
Yits and the Yimrum's picture

that's not a banker, that's a mgt trainee or a teller

you only talk to real bankers if you millions you want to put at risk

so please, stop the class warefare dialectic

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 21:05 | 705861 Rusty Shorts
Rusty Shorts's picture

What's Scum? Politicians, Bankers, Cattlekings...Scum.

 

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4wH28Hg5eX0

@ 0:33

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 20:20 | 704099 -Michelle-
-Michelle-'s picture

Please note: FoodStampsNow.org doesn't host any food stamp resources. After filling out the information page you will be shown a series of advertising offers. The offers are optional and you are not required to complete any of them to be redirected to a site that can provide you with food stamp resources.

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 19:05 | 703891 trav7777
trav7777's picture

Historically, apparently Joseph basically enslaved the Empire through this famine.  Read the biblical account.  He and the Pharoah knew of the coming famine, so they instituted a 20% tax.

When the people started starving and ran out of money, the Bible says they came to Joseph begging for food and so he gave it to them in exchange for their cattle and horses.  When they ran out of the grain (taxed out of their own hands by him), he traded them more of their own grain back in exchange for their lands and their bodies.

Joseph's family, i.e., the jews, were spared from this.  He ensured his tribe had abundance.  After the famine was over, Pharoah and Joseph and his tribe owned the ENTIRE realm of Egypt and every single person outside of the priesthood or jews was a SERF.  The best part of it was that they managed this by taxing the people and then selling their own grain back to them at insane markups.

This is inflation/deflation, the original banker racket.  It really does go back fucking 5000 years with this tribe.

Eventually, the jews, who were protected from the famine by their Patron, multiplied and became so rich and powerful and numerous that interethnic strife occurred and eventually the egyptian people rose up and threw off the economic oppression under a new tyrant.  The jews were then enslaved until the time of Moses.

You can read all about this shit in Genesis 47.  What should stand out are the parallels between ancient and modern history.  The oneline response from jewish historians is that it's all just "antisemitism" rearing its ugly head yet again.

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 19:23 | 703965 svendthrift
svendthrift's picture

And it continued.. We've had a few respites from the Jewish banking system. The greenbacks in America, Hitler's incredibly/amazingly/unbelievably successful monetary system during the Nazi years.. But few examples.

Libertarians think they can opt out of the system by buying gold. They think they protect themselves from the system with a metal.. Oh my, what a good bunch of poop. Why? Because Voldermort owns most of the gold. Voldermort's banks manipulate the gold market. In opting out of one system your just opting into a different form of exploitation.

It's shocking. History ain't over. It hasn't even changed much.

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 00:58 | 704755 CrockettAlmanac.com
CrockettAlmanac.com's picture

Libertarians think they can opt out of the system by buying gold. They think they protect themselves from the system with a metal.. Oh my, what a good bunch of poop. Why? Because Voldermort owns most of the gold. Voldermort's banks manipulate the gold market. In opting out of one system your just opting into a different form of exploitation.

 

Do you have any figures to back that up? I'll just go ahead and post this for the fourth time:

World gold holdings (2008) (Source: World Gold Council[18]) Holding Percentage Jewelry 52% Central banks 18% Investment (bars, coins) 16% Industrial 12% Unaccounted 2%

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gold_reserve

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 10:53 | 705034 tip e. canoe
tip e. canoe's picture

crockett, with all due respect, it might be wise to at least question as to whether that 'unaccounted' category is really only 2%.   this is not to bash the argument for holding it, only to say that we can't take anything for granted at this point.

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 15:03 | 705414 CrockettAlmanac.com
CrockettAlmanac.com's picture

The numbers come from the World Gold Council, not what I consider to be the most trusted organization. However, I invite others to post figures and citations as available.

My concern is mainly with the incorrect and often repeated assumption that the bankers own all the gold. That misconception leads folks to believe that a return to sound money is either impossible or it is a scam. Don't fall for the neighing of the naysayers.

What I see in the WGC numbers is that a plurality of gold is probably hanging around the necks of Indian brides. Proceeding from that point would make for an interesting discussion which would be more worthwhile than the false lament that the bankers own all the gold.

Sun, 11/07/2010 - 10:53 | 706475 tip e. canoe
tip e. canoe's picture

agreed, crockett.  hence maharajabama's great adventure to attach u.s. to the hip going forward to counter the china/russia grand alliance?

fwiw, i wasn't implying that it was the bankers that hold all the gold or even that amorphous 'unaccounted' figure.  i'm willing to argue that the only thing the 'bankers' really "own" at this point is information.   and that information has been/is/will be strategically disseminated to further their best interests at the appropriate time in the fashion of a mass mindfuck.

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 21:17 | 705869 jelyfish
jelyfish's picture

+1 'unaccounted' category is really only 2%. 

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 12:30 | 705167 Kayman
Kayman's picture

svend

Hitler's rise was floated through a huge output gap in the German economy. Once he started invading neighboring countries, he financed through plunder, just like every other invader.

Certainly, for America, it would be far cheaper to move all the Israeli people to some other place on the planet and stop financing Middle East security and wars. 

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 20:09 | 704075 Client 9
Client 9's picture

Hey Trav,

Is that straight up bigotry/anti-semitism or just really bad sarcasm?  Either way, just want to know whether or not to put ya on my permanent 'ignore' list.

 

 

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 20:42 | 704151 trav7777
trav7777's picture

WTF, dude...I'm quoting from the goddamned BIBLE, written by a jew!

I described exactly what happened from the jews' text itself and you call me a BIGOT?

Let go of your conditioning, dude.  I know, it's hard to...anytime anyone details a set of facts that portray any nonwhite, especially a jew, in a bad light, your conditioning rears up and starts emotionalizing and the accusation of racism and whatever comes out of your mouth.

As an aside, I really honestly don't give a fuck if you put me on ignore or if anyone thinks I'm racist.  I don't care.  That epithet long ago lost any real meaning to me.  When I see people applaud that 90% black support of a black candidate BECAUSE he is black is progress, it is utterly SILLY to worry about anyone saying ANYTHING to me about racism.

I used to be like you, hell we back in high school used to nearly come to blows over being accused of being racist.  Then I went to NYC and I woke the fuck up after seeing things with my own eyes, the double standards, the nepotism, the clan mentality among every other group, the ostracism by ethnic minorities of other minorities who "broke ranks" and the rampant exclusionary mentality where color was always stronger than friendship.

There was no sarcasm whatsoever in my previous post.  I cited to you from Genesis 47.  Do you need a goddamned link?

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 20:52 | 704167 Fraud-Esq
Fraud-Esq's picture

have you read the Magna Carta recently? 

Just heard a debate about those provisions. 

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 22:15 | 704330 Rusty Shorts
Rusty Shorts's picture

trav7777,

 The "Jews" descended from Judah, not Joseph...Judah sold Joseph to the Egyptians, remember? The Jew sold his own brother to the Egyptians.

 

Both Judah and Joseph are Israelites, as are the rest of the 12 (13) tribes, but only Judah is the father of the Jews.

 

Joseph held the birthright, he was an Israelite, but NOT Jewish.

 

And where are all these Israelites that are not Jewish???

 

 

 

 

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 04:06 | 704846 i-dog
i-dog's picture

"And where are all these Israelites that are not Jewish?"

Follow that trail and you are on the right track to the true oligarchs.

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 08:56 | 704941 Shylockracy
Shylockracy's picture

The Zionist nationalist myth of enforced exile as exposed by Prof. Schlomo Sand is a key piece in this puzzle:

 

Israel deliberately forgets its history. An Israeli historian suggests the diaspora was the consequence, not of the expulsion of the Hebrews from Palestine, but of proselytising across north Africa, southern Europe and the Middle East. by Schlomo Sand.

http://mondediplo.com/2008/09/07israel

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 10:02 | 704981 i-dog
i-dog's picture

That's not what I mean. I'm talking about the Israelites who left hundreds of years before the Jewish religion started.

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 11:34 | 705080 Biosci
Biosci's picture

Holy sweet little eight pound baby Jesus...is this what ZH brings out on the weekends?  Are the true oligarchs the ones controlling the weather and seeding the earth with intelligent nanoparticles, or am I unfairly lumping you with a different fringe group entirely?

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 12:37 | 705176 Kayman
Kayman's picture

Biosi

Good Question.  Seems Divide and Conquer still reigns.

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 13:38 | 705289 Village Idiot
Village Idiot's picture

If memory serves me, Its been a while since the whole "the jews are to blame" thing has been in bloom.  If you want to blame the "Jews" go ahead, just be a little more specific.

full disclosure:  I am a Jew. 

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 15:52 | 705473 trav7777
trav7777's picture

so can we just fast forward to the part where you call us all Nazis?

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 17:29 | 705563 chopper read
chopper read's picture

+1


"If you want to know who your rulers are, ask who cannot be criticized."

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 17:45 | 705578 Village Idiot
Village Idiot's picture

@chopper

I'm not sure how that applies to what I'm saying, but I get your point.  fwiw - no one is above reproach in my book.  But lay blame where it duly lies.

Sun, 11/07/2010 - 19:06 | 707147 chopper read
chopper read's picture

my comment is geared towards the fact that American Foreign Policy can often be explained by what benefits Israel. I do not believe this is a coincidence, but rather a result of Jewish culture deep within the highest echelons of our ruling elite. I believe America's large Christian population often acts as the useful idiots in support of Israel because Jesus was a Jew.

America did best when it was an isolationist country as it related to foreign wars. I believe the creation of the State of Israel was an imperialist endeavor, and occurred at the expense of the prior inhabitants of this land who toiled there for the most recent 3,000 years.

It is not a good thing for America to be defending a land grab with our lives and money simply because ancient scrolls suggest that a presupposed god made a promise for this land to it's favorite people.

often this viewpoint is viewed as racist towards Jews. Of course, i know that we (everyone on the planet) are all cousins within 30,000 years. Each of us is an individual, and religious and ethnic labels only divide us.

I'm on the side of liberty, property rights, and protecting the individual from both mob rules or jungle law. I despise group agendas over efforts to protect the rights of each person and what is rightfully their own.

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 17:54 | 705594 Green Leader
Green Leader's picture

I started to see the light when I found out about people being imprisoned for denying the 'holocaust'.

Who cares what others think?

Evidently the Zionists care.

I am Sephardim and I approve this message.

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 18:12 | 705634 Village Idiot
Village Idiot's picture

Zionist? Wrong agenda, GL.  I'm just your average Jew looking to get along in this world.  And here's one for you - I'm a religious/political atheist.  I AM proud of MY Jewish heritage/experience, however.  Think about that statement for a moment. 

btw, are you of any religious faith, GL?  And what is your racial profile, if you don't mind me asking?

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 20:08 | 705788 Green Leader
Green Leader's picture

I am not accusing you of being Zionist, Idiot.

Most Jew-ish are atheists. My university in NY was 20% Jew-ish.

I am a Sephardim/Hebrew-Celt, a disciple of Yahushua ha Mashiach, a true son of Ya'akov and do not belong to any organized religion.

Like Isaiyah prophesized, I was raised in an island and lost trace of my lineage. If you want to know about heritage, Google radiation experiment + Sephardic children.

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 20:16 | 705801 Village Idiot
Village Idiot's picture

Sounds like I misread your post, GL.  If so, my sincere apology.

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 18:32 | 705670 Biosci
Biosci's picture

@chopper: 

Wow!  The scales have fallen from my eyes.  I had no idea gay people were so powerful!

Sun, 11/07/2010 - 19:09 | 707155 chopper read
chopper read's picture

+1 hilarious!

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 19:10 | 705569 Village Idiot
Village Idiot's picture

"so can we just fast forward to the part where you call us all Nazis?"

 

Come on, trav, not my MO and you know it.  Just asking the bashers around here to tighten up their game.  I'm not disputing the fact that certain elements don't deserve blame. 

If a commenter just wants to be a hater, well, they probably (guessing) hate blacks, hispanics, gays, etc., and don't do this site a service.  Why you ask?  Instant loss of credibility. Ignorance.  Need I go on?  Where do you stand, trav?

 

edited

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 19:22 | 705734 Client 9
Client 9's picture

I'll call you no such thing.  Just trying to understand the mind of the ignorant.  How is it that you can blame an entire race of people for theoretical crimes committed by individuals?  Trav my friend, let me break this down for you in simple terms:

Some jews are 'banksters'.  Some 'banksters' have theoretically destroyed the US financial system while benefitting their own self-interest.  It does not follow that all bankers are jews and that all jews destroyed the US financial system!  I can guarantee your ignorant ass that Village Idiot's Bubbie has nothing to do with the rescue of Goldman Sachs!  You can quote the Bibble til your blue in the tush, it makes no difference.

How can you discriminate against a person based solely on their religious or cultural identity?  What a disgace/hate speech.

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 20:07 | 705766 Village Idiot
Village Idiot's picture

@Client 9

 

You drove the point home much better than I could, thanks.  Every time the rhetoric reaches a certain pitch, I'll step in with the same theme (same words!) and it always ends up the same way - the crowd disperses...and the big fade.  "They" can't counter or even rationalize the rebuttal when it comes at them this way. Give it a rest, people.

 

edited

 

Sun, 11/07/2010 - 19:20 | 707160 chopper read
chopper read's picture

actually, i believe the fear is that the discrimination is the other way around from Jews towards non-Jews, similar to Muslims discriminating against 'infidels'.

Sun, 11/07/2010 - 15:58 | 706924 Kayman
Kayman's picture

Trav

While I can agree with a lot of your argument, I for one, judge a man by his actions not his ethnicity or religion.

Cause and effect not, correlation and effect.  Some of the most ruthless, filthy rich in history were not of the Jewish persuasion.

Full disclosure: Not a Jew, born into Christianity, believe in most Christian principles, do not believe in magic.

As I have stated before Religion is to control through fear of the unknown. IMO.

Sun, 11/07/2010 - 16:27 | 706962 Village Idiot
Village Idiot's picture

Personally, I don't think travis gives a shit what lies beyond his agenda.  Smart dude, mixed message at best.  Organizer of ignorance at worst. 

Sun, 11/07/2010 - 19:44 | 707187 chopper read
chopper read's picture

most folks need a label in order to have an identity because thinking is too hard. However, for those who do accept a label, this psychological phenomena often causes them to dehumanize those outside of their group. Dehumanization is the prerequisite for genocide. Folks in power who take their chosen or assigned labels too seriously become dangerous to others at the expense of individual liberty.

'Frothy-mouthed Christians', 'self-absorbed Jews', 'wild-eyed Muslims', for example, can all get carried away from time to time, and its up to us to keep these folks in check, particularly if we share the same cultural background with them.

being from a Midwestern American Protestant upbringing, i'm forced to give the 'frothy-mouthed Christians' the proverbial slapdown routinely. Last time they were fully in charge we had Crusades, Inquisitions, and witch hunts. My friends of Muslim and Jewish upbringing do the same within their communal tribes.

i get an erie feeling that if the extreme elements of the 'self-absobed Jews' was ever fully in charge that 'frothy-mouthed Christians' would be marching off to Middle Eastern countries to murder 'wild-eyed Muslims' in order to fulfill an ancient real estate promise from a presupposed god.

i'm sure that one of these days we'll all pray to the exact same imaginary friend and then figure out another reason to kill each other (read: Northern Ireland on a global scale).

p.s. where are all of the Hindu extremists?

Sun, 11/07/2010 - 23:19 | 707506 Village Idiot
Village Idiot's picture

moved

 

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 18:56 | 703894 Waterfallsparkles
Waterfallsparkles's picture

Yes, in Egypt they did store the Grain in case of a Drought.  When the 7 year Drought came the People sold their Sheep, their Cattle, their Herds to the Pharaoh in exchange for grain.  When they ran out of Grain they sold their Lands to the Pharaoh in exchange for Grain.  When they ran out of Grain they sold their future labor to the Pharaoh for Grain and became Slaves of the Pharaoh.

 

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 22:47 | 704098 Alexandre Stavisky
Alexandre Stavisky's picture

 

 

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 17:55 | 703752 Tiberius
Tiberius's picture

Tyler, I applaud you for talking about this demographic.  The world of finance doesn't concern itself with them very much.  But, these are the people who suffer the most acutely from poor economic policy decisions.  I would like to see more posts like this.  Besides, if America ever shakes up the ruling elites, these people are going to be the mob in the streets.

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 18:04 | 703774 SloSquez
SloSquez's picture

Agreed, this will be the lost story until it is front and center.  The world of finance will be concerned.  Their skillset insures it. 

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 18:16 | 703808 mikla
mikla's picture

+1

This is a serious issue:  Inflation is a tax on the poor.

These financial events are to explicitly rape the middle class, and especially the poor.  Yes, this is including, and especially, the ones that don't even pay taxes. 

Quite literally, there isn't enough money in the middle class.  Jacking up inflation is *exactly* how we extract cash from the 49% in the US that pay no taxes.

<insert moral judgement here>

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 18:53 | 703887 Fraud-Esq
Fraud-Esq's picture

But - how does inflation affect massive consumer debt? It helps, doesn't it?

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 18:57 | 703897 goldsaver
goldsaver's picture

Marginally and only if two things happen:

1. Your salary is inflated along other prices.

2. You are smart enough to use your inflating income (and rise in asset prices) to deleverage debt.

Otherwise you suck it. When gasoline costs $5 a gallon is hard to get rid of your visa bill.

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 19:18 | 703949 Fraud-Esq
Fraud-Esq's picture

Inflation hurts creditors and fixed income.

I would speculate that the rich always got MUCH richer in times of low inflation. That's one reason, these basics, that I never totally bought into the inflation = always bad meme. still testing the theory. 

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 20:21 | 704103 mikla
mikla's picture

Inflation hurts creditors and fixed income.

That's true, but only to the extent you're being repaid with "depreciated dollars".  Since banks have no reserve requirements, *technically* their old loan for 5% can "kind of" be perceived as a "loss" when inflation is 15%.  For example, that would imply a 10% amortized loss, if marked-to-market, under the assumption that the capital could otherwise have been deployed elsewhere (e.g., "opportunity cost").

That's mostly true for you-and-me:  As debtors, we have an "old" mortgage, so we benefit from lower-than-expected future liabilities by repaying our loans with a depreciated currency.

However, that's not really true for the banks:  It will still be a 5% amortized "profit" (they technically didn't "lose" anything), they printed the money to extend the loan so it didn't "cost" anything, and there was no "opportunity cost" because they made every loan that crossed their doorstep (i.e., they didn't "skip" some other loan because they made this loan at 5%).

I would speculate that the rich always got MUCH richer in times of low inflation.

For the most part, the "rich" are not sensitive to inflation:  They merely pass the costs on to you.  That's true for all businesses too.  Rather, the businesses might suffer under the scenario that they have fewer customers (e.g., due to economic climate).

The reason the "rich" are not sensitive to inflation is that they have "the means of production" (e.g., non-cash assets).  If you're a landlord, and inflation is high, no problem, just raise the rent.  If you're a small business owner that makes sandwiches, and inflation is high, no problem, just raise the prices of your sandwiches.

It's irritating to re-price your product daily, but that's what businesses can/will do.  They pass the inflation on to the consumer.

It is only the "static/friction" costs that would force businesses to "eat" inflation:  They signed contracts to provide for a given price, and now that their input costs are up, they are screwed until they can get out of those delivery contracts that assumed a lower rate of inflation (which is why the price of cereal should have gone up a year ago, but is only starting to go up now).

If you're a business owner making sandwiches, it might be bad that your customers can no longer afford to buy your sandwiches.  However, as a business owner, you won't suffer inflation:  You'll merely raise the price of your sandwiches a couple times a week (or at some rate to match inflation).

This is *also* why inflation is a tax "on the poor":  They have no pricing pressure.  They can't demand higher wages (e.g., wages are "sticky"), and they have nothing they are able to "re-price" since they don't own apartments to rent out, and they don't make sandwiches that they can re-price with inflation.

Finally, because the "poor" get hammered during high inflation (remember the 1970's?), the price of assets drop because the poor cannot afford them, and the "rich" buy all the assets (because nobody else can afford them).

WARNING: Don't read that wrong.  It's not a class warfare problem (e.g., it is NOT true that, "the evil rich are screwing the poor.")  Rather, you should merely read that as, "Inflation is a weapon that dis-proportionately penalizes the poor", and yes, we probably agree that inflation is a tool that is currently being intentionally deployed by the Central Planners.

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 20:37 | 704137 SloSquez
SloSquez's picture

Excellent Mikla!  Excellent!

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 21:05 | 704194 Fraud-Esq
Fraud-Esq's picture

Good post, thanks for the response. Lots to chew on. I still have the suspicion that high inflation is such a uncertain environment, it can't help the ultra-rich get much richer - as they are now (and through the 00's of low inflation and easy money). At the end of the day, if you're a debtor with a mortgage, and you still have your job, you're in better shape on that particular loan - you've been advantaged vis-a-vis inflation. Now, whether that hurts the bank or other creditor, I'll leave to you. A peek a bank charts in inflationary times might help guide. I understand what you're saying about the bank's cost shifting and opportunity cost, but I'm thinking in terms of the bank's shareholders (general creditor, capital class) versus the upwardly-mobile, employed debtor.  

Do you think that debtor gets the advantage through inflation? That's usually the strongest political class - that group. Ironically, today, it might be the retired, fixed income for which inflation could cause a NEW government remedy and whole new debt problem for the country. 

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 21:17 | 704224 mikla
mikla's picture

Do you think that debtor gets the advantage through inflation?

If you are a "renter", then you are absolutely *screwed*.  Gas is $5/gal, and your rent keeps going up.  Your Visa bill doesn't matter -- you're more "paycheck-to-paycheck" now than you have *ever* been.

That's *also* true for "homeowners-with-a-mortgage" -- they are *more* paycheck-to-paycheck now than they have *ever* been (because the cost of everything in their life is "up").  However, if they can "hold on" long enough for inflation to be reflected in *wages*, then yes, they don't have the problem of increasing rent.  Unless they have a variable-rate-mortgage.  Then they are *TOTALLY* screwed.

However, if you're in the 30%-40% of the homeowners-underwater-with-mortgages, AND you have a fixed-rate-mortgage, we're talking YEARS maybe DECADES before you break even.  So, if it's inevitable that you default (because you can't break-even), then no, inflation does *nothing* in your favor.

No matter how you slice it, you're *screwed*.  However, I *will* concede that there is *one* scenario with "mitigating circumstance" where the costs of inflation can be partially "offset":  If you have a *fixed rate* mortgage, *and* you don't "walk away", then you can benefit somewhat.  However, you probably don't "come out ahead".  Rather, it depends on how much food-and-gas you buy, compared to how much the dollar depreciates, as reflected in your wages, to offset your mortgage payment (and these are exponential computations, so they often are not intuitive).

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 22:05 | 704307 Fraud-Esq
Fraud-Esq's picture

well, that last group that inflation usually does help was once the voter majority group: Fixed rate mortgage, inflation reflected in wages.

Granted, we have no idea that will happen tomorrow. For example, I'm 30-year fixed, not underwater. REFI'd lower.

By pure theory, the Fed's actions at holding interest artificially low and perhaps generating inflation would assist that group, even if you were underwater but intended on staying, it would certainly help to have the refi window, lock low and fixed, then have your wages inflate for the next five years. right? I suppose that's their dream scenario that stabilizes and increases real estate values as well.

I'm not saying i buy it or don't see more harm in the unintended consequences, just trying to visualize their perspective. You could make the argument that the Fed is attempting to assist the biggest voting/political class, employed debtors at the expense of the lowest 20% and the highest 5%. I won't get carried away with the top 5%. But, the top 5% definitely lose interest on easy and safe investments, like money markets. Now, I have to really THINK about what I'm going to do with money. It was never this hard to get a yield. That's a squeeze and the FED is not helping that class with an easy investment, but pushing them into a risk -equities. The top .5% is always served so i won't spend much time there. They're huge gainers from the 08 bailout.

But - is the '10 QE2 bailout aimed lower, at a different constituency, and hence all the anti-fed talk from the .5% the last week? They loved the Fed in 08.      

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 22:19 | 704344 mikla
mikla's picture

I'm not saying i buy it or don't see more harm in the unintended consequences, just trying to visualize their perspective.

IMHO, the "consumer", and even the "homeowner-with-a-mortgage" is absolutely irrelevant.  They are so far in the "noise" that I don't think they register at all.  Even if money-printing/inflation were to help them, the numbers are so insignificant that IMHO nobody cares (it would do absolutely nothing to change the structure or address the issues in the economy).

Rather, IMHO, it's pretty simple:

  1. The Fed needs to print or the US Treasury defaults *now*.  (That would be bad, we'd prefer to default after Europe defaults.)  This is not altruism:  For the same reason the "bookie" decides to extend you "free credit for your sure-thing", the Fed is extending free credit to the US Treasury.
  2. The Fed is a private bank, with responsibility to its shareholders, a dozen private banks.  They all need to *increase* their leverage, or they die *now*.  To increase leverage, we need to print *now*.

That's it.  Nothing else matters.

IMHO, all the "squealing" you hear from the pundits (and yes, the big institutions too), is wailing-and-gnashing-of-teeth because they are finally realizing that "The End Is Nigh".  They don't like that, they want to whine about that, but it's mostly irrelevant.  Before "big gestures" like this Fed action, people could pretend the "emperor had clothes".  After actions like this from the Fed, they can't (because they would look like idiots if they did).

IMHO, they were morons not to see it miles away (that was their job).  Even today, people are pretending this will "work out".  LMAO.

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 22:53 | 704408 Fraud-Esq
Fraud-Esq's picture

thx. good answers. 

Do you think buying the treasuries is better for Fed's sharholders (banks) or expanding their balance sheet by other emergency means, like buying more toxic assets off the banks books? I completely agree the 08 bailout was exclusively for the banks and the criminals. It was the crime of the century. 10T plus on the line. While I agree liquidity and some intervention was needed, Paulson's methods was a RICO and TARP was a distraction, IMHO. I'm not sure how Lehman fits this logic, but I'm discounting crime with human error and politics. I also believe it was unconstitutional for the FRBNY to purchase the Freedom CLO from Lehman in the Spring of 08, so it's not like special investors inside Lehman weren't rescued, some were. But - I digress.

I suppose I'm exploring whether QE2 is different in motives than the 08 bailout. You're saying we default now without QE2, instead of lending at higher interest rates and just dealing, which will probably lead to default by other means. Wouldn't the absence of QE2 lead to the certainty that banks and creditor class end up with even a higher ratio of assets v. the common man? In deflation, isn't cash and assets king and default of all but banks certain?

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 21:11 | 704200 zaknick
zaknick's picture

I agree with almost every comment of yours ever except for one critical point:

 

(e.g., it is NOT true that, "the evil rich are screwing the poor.")

 

They are genocidal against "the poor". I mean the banksters who shape the culture, prey on society's prejudices for enacting policies that bring them political, economic, and genocidal profit. If you don't know this, it is because they have even managed to pull the wool over your formidable intelligence as well.

 

https://docs.google.com/document/d/184QQFdCAHRkFfqR1XeLc3sZXhdHuIxllYgLU...

 

If you actually read the documentation, listen to the testimonies and put the whole thing together, you will see that I am correct.

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 21:26 | 704240 mikla
mikla's picture

It might be a "definition of terms" problem.

We probably agree that socio-paths and psycho-paths *do* drive these central planning decisions, and yes, it so-happens that those people are almost universally "rich".  It was, "for the greater good" that collectivist governments murder millions of their own people (an annoyingly recurring pattern), and those government officials were, in fact, "the evil rich".  So, on that front, we agree.

However, if the little-old-lady next door won the "lotto" and is rich now, no, her bank balance doesn't make her genocidal.  Similarly, if a widower is "rich" from a departed partner, or a teenager inherited piles of cash, that doesn't make them genocidal either.

Of course, with enough ambition, they could probably all *become* genocidal.  ;-))

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 10:12 | 704994 deagle44
deagle44's picture

The apartment owner can raise rents all he wants, but if nobody can afford his rent he has a problem.  The sandwich maker can raise prices all he wants, but if people stop buying his sandwiches, he has a problem.

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 12:54 | 705203 Kayman
Kayman's picture

Mikla

Thanks for bringing us back on point.

I agree with the bulk of your argument except that small business has a difficult time simply passing on increased (inflated) costs.  The more competitive the market place the harder it is to pass on price increases.

And ultimately, you have a time lag where you eat into your (shrinking) liquidity while you watch how your competition reacts to inflation.

Only monopolies and cartels can pass on increased costs smoothly.

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 13:17 | 705250 mikla
mikla's picture

I agree with the bulk of your argument except that small business has a difficult time simply passing on increased (inflated) costs.  The more competitive the market place the harder it is to pass on price increases.

I *completely* agree with you:  Because of economic decline, and because inflation ensures *more* people are living paycheck-to-paycheck, you'll lose a lot of customers that simply cannot afford what you sell.  That's economic decline.  Yes, it's triggered/amplified by inflation.  However, inflation *itself* won't hurt businesses -- rather businesses will be hurt by the economic decline (i.e., the customers are now broke).

I attempted to assert that with this quote (from above):

If you're a business owner making sandwiches, it might be bad that your customers can no longer afford to buy your sandwiches.  However, as a business owner, you won't suffer inflation:  You'll merely raise the price of your sandwiches a couple times a week (or at some rate to match inflation).

So, I think we agree (maybe with some minor definition-of-terms problems).  In short, businesses will be "worse off" under inflation because of economic decline (but they will pass the inflation on to their customers, other than for friction costs to repricing, which we agree *does* actually *hurt* businesses).

Only monopolies and cartels can pass on increased costs smoothly.

We pretty much agree there.

Of course, any "Mom&Pop" business with very low debt service (e.g., if they own the building and all their equipment) will be better able to weather the bad economy that will persist for a *long* time.  In that respect, national chains will be disproportionately "hurt" (franchises typically manage high debt due to expansion pressures), while the immigrants running a family restaurant serving exotic cuisine are more likely to be "smarter" about that.

In that respect, long periods of economic decline will *wipe out* national franchises, but "Mom&Pop" eggs-flippers will appear out-of-nowhere.

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 20:07 | 704068 SloSquez
SloSquez's picture

Deflation kills creditors.  Inflation helps creditors.  Its that simple.  Lord knows we don't want to kill creditors.  <sarcasm off>

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 20:11 | 704080 Fraud-Esq
Fraud-Esq's picture

You got it backwards, huh. 

Deflation kills debtors. You're paying the same principal in dollars earning less dollars. 

Inflation helps debtors. If you owe 100,000 at 6%, five years of inflation can wipe 30% of the principal off. 

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 20:34 | 704132 SloSquez
SloSquez's picture

Yep - you got it.

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 10:07 | 704986 goldsaver
goldsaver's picture

but only if:

Your income is above inflation. A 5% pay raise on 6% real inflation environment makes any savings on your debt a wash.

or

You own assets that keep up with inflation (eg. metals), and are able to sell the assets at the new inflated price in order to pay your debts.

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 10:12 | 704993 Waterfallsparkles
Waterfallsparkles's picture
But, the purchasing power of that Dollar went down 30%.   It takes 30% more Dollars to pay that Mortgage Payment.   More than likely your Income did not go up 30%. So, how are you better off?
Fri, 11/05/2010 - 20:44 | 704155 zaknick
zaknick's picture

Agreed. These fascist banksters are always going on and on about overpopulation, impose policies which end up in genocide and ethnic cleansing and then act all concerned about human rights and democracy around the world.

 

Out freaking rageous.

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 20:11 | 704079 mogul rider
mogul rider's picture

I agree too - however, when that socioeconomic class comes to your neighbourhood and eats your family then I suspect your attitudes will change.

Guns, fools gold (to hand out to the Army when they come to confiscate your stash), grub....................

 

beechez

 

But I do agree this inflation thing could be problematic for the large portion of the population who have no idea what inflation is.

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 23:50 | 704667 Cathartes Aura
Cathartes Aura's picture

adding my "voice" to Tiberius - and others - it is important to acknowledge that the people at the lower reaches of the "economy" will continue to suffer as this all ramps up - the chart showing how heating & food sucks up so much of people's after tax income doesn't even take into account housing payments - lower income people tend to pay between 30-50% of their after tax wages on rent (high mortgage payments passed on to the renter). . . many people are having to move in with family - kids back to parents, older parents in with their adult offspring, etc.

it would be a good balance to start looking at the real effects of this financial destruction from the ground up. . .

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 17:55 | 703753 midtowng
midtowng's picture

Now combine that with cutting off unemployment benefits starting December 1. January is going to be a very dreary month for millions of people.

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 18:01 | 703767 E pluribus unum
E pluribus unum's picture

Let them eat cake!

  = Bennie Antionette Bernanke

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 04:57 | 704871 The Alarmist
The Alarmist's picture

Give it a rest ... The article in Bloomberg yesterday went something like "This will be a slow holiday retail season because people's unemployment benefits are running out," which leads one to the conclusion that while it might be more difficult to buy that new iPhone, it is highly unlikely that a lot of people are going to be going hungry for the winter.  And given the size of most of the poor I saw on my last visit to a local mall in the dodgy part of town, more than a few could use a leaner winter.

 

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 13:17 | 705252 midtowng
midtowng's picture

You don't really have much idea about these people, do you?

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 19:42 | 705758 The Alarmist
The Alarmist's picture

Yeah, I get it ... they can't do anything for themselves in this tough environment?  So when will it ever change, especially if we simply keep feeding them with no corresponding effort on their side?  As the burden to productive society continues to grow, we run a greater risk that civil society will break down.  Two things will come from this, the worst of which is that the unproductive poor will be seen as both a threat and a burden to be dealt with [harshly]. 

We haven't done anyone a favor if we let things deteriorate to that point.

 

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 18:02 | 703768 Rogue Economist
Rogue Economist's picture

No problem.  Just double the digits dropped on the SNAP cards to keep pace with the price increases.

 

RE

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 18:29 | 703822 dark pools of soros
dark pools of soros's picture

why?  when we can create payday food stamp loans and charge them 25% interest on their handouts??  plus fees

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 09:01 | 704946 Augustus
Augustus's picture

Interest and fees are only earned on the amounts that are recovered.  My guess is that there is a large charge off factor that you fail to recognize.  Of course, the feds could pass a law making loans illegal.  That would be a great way to protect people from themselves, now wouldn't it?

Sat, 11/06/2010 - 11:11 | 705052 dark pools of soros
dark pools of soros's picture

just saying that where there's lots of loose free money, there will always be a parasite nearby... anyone selling smokes and beer in egg & milk cartons yet?

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 18:02 | 703770 rawsienna
rawsienna's picture

What the Fed fails to realize is that NOBODY in the markets believes that in the unlikely event that they will have to raise rates and sell assets, that they will be willing and/or able to do it. THat is why the dollar and the long bond are getting killed and gold/commodities arare going higher. The Fed thinks they can do it, but they are the only ones.

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 18:37 | 703846 Minion
Minion's picture

Commodities sounded the alarm in early 2008, right before the banking system collapsed.  Could it happen again?  The charts seem to think so....

http://finviz.com/futures_charts.ashx?t=ZS&p=w1

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