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IMF Selling One Eighth Of Its Gold Reserves, Will "Safeguard Against Disruption Of The Gold Market"

Tyler Durden's picture




In what can only be called a rather surprising development, the IMF has disclosed it is selling 403 metric tons of gold, or about one eighth of its total gold holdings. The reason: to continue providing lending to the poorest countries. Just so readers visualize who these "poorest countries" are, and who this current manipulation in the gold market will presumably benefit, here is a map of the IMF's most recent activities:

From the IMF:

“I am delighted that the Executive Board has given its overwhelming
backing to a strictly limited sale of Fund gold to put the financing of
the IMF on a sound long-term footing, and enable us to step up
much-needed concessional lending to the poorest countries,” Managing
Director Mr. Dominique Strauss-Kahn stated. “These sales will be
conducted in a responsible and transparent manner that avoids
disruption of the gold market. Most importantly, the sales are strictly
limited to 403.3 metric tons, which is one-eighth of the Fund’s total
holdings, so the IMF will continue to hold a relatively large amount of
its assets in gold.”

The new income model
is designed to provide the Fund with more diverse income sources that
are better aligned with the variety of functions performed by the Fund,
with a central component being the funding of an endowment with the
profits from these limited gold sales. Resources linked to the gold
sales will also be used indirectly to increase the Fund’s capacity to
provide concessional loans to low-income countries (see Press Release No. 09/268).

The gold sales could be conducted on-market in a phased manner over
time, following the approach adopted successfully by the central banks
participating in the Central Bank Gold Agreement.
Participants in the recently renewed agreement announced ceilings on
sales of 400 tons annually, and 2,000 tons in total during the five
years starting on 27 September 2009, and noted that the Fund’s sales
can be accommodated under these ceilings. Hence, on-market gold sales
by the Fund will not add to the announced volume of official sales.

As one of the elements of transparency, the Fund will inform markets
before any on-market sales commence. In addition, the Fund will report
regularly to the public on the progress with the gold sales.

Conclusion: even more forced capital reallocation disguised as a "transparency" boosting initiative. Next up: rioting in Goldbugland.




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Fri, 09/18/2009 - 17:38 | Link to Comment bonddude
bonddude's picture

Uh, everybody out of the POOL !

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 18:25 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Fri, 09/18/2009 - 20:18 | Link to Comment johnnyBoy
johnnyBoy's picture

Guess the IMF (United States) is taking China's threat to default on those derivitives seriously.  China trying to unload those USD's while they still have some value.  Here goes $13b of them in one swell foop!

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 20:42 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Sat, 09/19/2009 - 06:03 | Link to Comment h4rdware
h4rdware's picture

Bear in mind the IMF, like nearly everyone else in the world, 'keeps' their gold in NY.

I'd still be surprised if most of it:-

 

A: - truly changes ownership

B: - moves

C: - actually has 79 protons, even taken as a loose average

 

This announcement has been made repeatedly over the last few years. In fact I've never seen any organisation get so much mileage out of one announcement over such an extended timespan, ever. I hope they make the most of it.

 

Sat, 09/19/2009 - 11:39 | Link to Comment ZerOhead
ZerOhead's picture

Good points... however... 

Hasn't there been a move towards repatriation of the gold held at the Fed in the last couple of years though?

Sat, 09/19/2009 - 10:04 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Fri, 09/18/2009 - 20:58 | Link to Comment Project Mayhem
Project Mayhem's picture

Congress has to approve the sale.  This happens every year  (IMF threatens to sell gold.) Think about this:  If it were true, why announce it to the world?

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 21:05 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Sat, 09/19/2009 - 12:49 | Link to Comment gmrpeabody
gmrpeabody's picture

My hunch is that this deal WILL go down this time. China wants gold and wants to pay for it with American paper. Buying it from IMF saves the WEST from the embarrassment of actually having to trade gold  (which will likely be going up in value) for its own paper (which will not).

If I am not mistaken, and I usually am, I believe Congress will put their stamp on it, and may have already.

Sat, 09/19/2009 - 14:59 | Link to Comment DaddyWarbucks
DaddyWarbucks's picture

"and may have already."

A very good bet IMO also.

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 21:18 | Link to Comment Mr. Mandelbrot
Mr. Mandelbrot's picture

Mayhem, I saw you recommended www.apmex.com on a post a week or so ago, so I checked them out.  The prices were excellent, but my experience was not.  I bought twenty more 1 ounce American Eagles "random years.  What I received was: seventeen 2003 brilliant uncirculated eagles, one 1997 severely dented eagle (despite the coin being 22k!), one 2007 severely dented eagle, and a 2000 eagle with a small rim ding.  I'm working to get them exchanged at their cost, but feel they deliberately tried to pass off some damaged junk since all the random years besides the 2003's were damaged.  Do you have a back up source you'd like to recommend? 

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 21:30 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Sat, 09/19/2009 - 06:36 | Link to Comment gezza65
gezza65's picture

Correct.

Sat, 09/19/2009 - 08:11 | Link to Comment Marge N Call
Marge N Call's picture

What about sales tax? When you buy locally aren't you subject to state sales tax (around $40-$75 per ounce) depending on the state.

I know that some of the Internet sites take a fee per ounce but do not charge taxes. If shipping is free or close to free, then it could be worth buying online vs buying locally and paying state and local sales taxes if they apply. This of course assumes it is a reputable online dealer.

I have used bulliondirect.com and have been very satisfied.

Sat, 09/19/2009 - 09:05 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Sat, 09/19/2009 - 09:48 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Sat, 09/19/2009 - 17:46 | Link to Comment chumbawamba
chumbawamba's picture

Correct, any purchase $1,000 or larger is considered "investment" and is not taxable.  Any purchase under $1,000 is taxable.  I'm not sure if this is a State or Federal thing, but in either case it's fucking dumb.

That being said, my local dealer doesn't charge me any tax, whatever the total.  This is the advantage of getting to know a good, reputable, local dealer.

I am Chumbawamba.

Tue, 09/22/2009 - 06:54 | Link to Comment Marge N Call
Marge N Call's picture

Got it, and, yes it's fucking idiotic. With the prices at these levels $1000 is nothing.

I have a good, reputable dealer I can use and now that I know the rules I will buy from him.

Thanks for the great info.

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 21:36 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Sat, 09/19/2009 - 13:09 | Link to Comment keehotee
keehotee's picture

The old stuff- numismatic gold- has appreciated much faster than bullion so far.

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 21:37 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Fri, 09/18/2009 - 22:05 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Sat, 09/19/2009 - 18:27 | Link to Comment chumbawamba
chumbawamba's picture

Ha, how ironic.  I'll bet they're doing a brisk business these days amongst the bankers.

I am Chumbawamba.

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 22:13 | Link to Comment mattco
mattco's picture

I have used Gainesville coins as well as APMEX. Had good experiences with both.

Sat, 09/19/2009 - 22:18 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Sat, 09/19/2009 - 03:05 | Link to Comment Bearish News
Bearish News's picture

Only good experiences with Apmex here. Bought gold/silver coins, and silver/palladium bullion. I've heard mostly good stuff about Monex, but they have higher minimum purchases and prices last I checked.

Sat, 09/19/2009 - 13:54 | Link to Comment WilliamShatner
WilliamShatner's picture

I recommend APMEX for buying online, they're the best IMO.

They usually are very good about refunding or replacing damaged mechandise.

Sucks you had a bad experience, but I'd stick with them for ordering online. 

Best prices and delivery compared to anyone else. 

 

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 22:19 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Fri, 09/18/2009 - 23:11 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Sat, 09/19/2009 - 00:39 | Link to Comment Hephasteus
Hephasteus's picture

Sell on the News? Even if it's IMF lying news?

Sat, 09/19/2009 - 01:48 | Link to Comment SilverIsKing
SilverIsKing's picture

This is not news.

Sat, 09/19/2009 - 12:53 | Link to Comment I Ching
I Ching's picture

Let's say it is news.

Sell on the news applies to bullish news. You don't sell on any news.

This would be BEARISH news. I think you would buy on bearish news.

But then this isn't really news.

Sat, 09/19/2009 - 08:08 | Link to Comment monmick
monmick's picture

See my post #73951 below. Congressional approval was obtained in June.

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 20:35 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Sat, 09/19/2009 - 15:44 | Link to Comment SilverIsKing
SilverIsKing's picture

Here's a page from the IMF site that explains their BS in their BS terms.

http://www.imf.org/external/np/exr/facts/gold.htm

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 17:40 | Link to Comment cougar_w
cougar_w's picture

If it's transparent, then maybe we'll get to see who the buyers are.

Announcing on a Friday seems to recognize that this move will impact market perception. They must think the peeps will need the entire weekend to let the medications take effect before Monday.

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 17:41 | Link to Comment brandy night rocks
brandy night rocks's picture

GOLD WILL HOLD ITS VALUE IT'S ONLY 13 MILLION OUNCES THERE'S NOTHING THAT HOLDS ITS VALUE LIKE GOLD IN INFLATION OR DEFLATION OR 13 MILLION OUNCE SURPLUS LALALALALA I CAN'T HEAR YOU 

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 18:52 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Fri, 09/18/2009 - 19:47 | Link to Comment lsbumblebee
lsbumblebee's picture

I have no doubt China will be more than happy to buy 13 million ounces at the current (cheap) price.

I smell more desperation in the air. Everytime gold looks to explode out pops the IMF with another threat to sell.

 

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 21:38 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Fri, 09/18/2009 - 23:09 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Sat, 09/19/2009 - 01:37 | Link to Comment steve from virginia
steve from virginia's picture

<blockquote>I smell more desperation in the air. Everytime gold looks to explode out pops the IMF with another threat to sell. </blockquote>

You are right on the money!

I wonder what else the IMF is selling? Office furniture? Signs of fear are everywhere. Look and listen to CNBC.

There is no sign of greater desperation than the current Fed- supported stock rally; we couldn't stand a real market, could we? It might go down ... and not ever go up, again!

http://economic-undertow.blogspot.com/2009/09/s-1500.html

 

Sat, 09/19/2009 - 13:18 | Link to Comment keehotee
keehotee's picture

 What else are they selling?  FEAR.  Fear is the only power TPTB really have.  There is nothing to be afraid of- even the worst case scenarios.

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 19:02 | Link to Comment SteveNYC
SteveNYC's picture

You are absolutely right, it will hold its "value". But not its "price".

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 19:57 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Fri, 09/18/2009 - 21:07 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Sat, 09/19/2009 - 01:53 | Link to Comment SilverIsKing
SilverIsKing's picture

Most of the time when they make these announcements, they don't sell anything and this could be the same thing once again although I think if their intention was to hammer the price of gold, they would have made the announcement during the week while gold was trading to get an immediate reaction in the price.  The Friday, post market close, announcement leads me to believe that they didn't want this one to get too much attention because it is not a head fake.  You can read the link I posted below for an alternative explanation involving China.

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 17:51 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Fri, 09/18/2009 - 18:20 | Link to Comment bonddude
bonddude's picture

Love that swiss chick in the hologram movie on the train windows at the Zurich airport.

First you hear cowbells and then you see swiss boobies hoisting hot chocolate. What a welcome. You swiss guys are cool! Thanks

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 22:25 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Fri, 09/18/2009 - 17:53 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Fri, 09/18/2009 - 21:10 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Fri, 09/18/2009 - 17:54 | Link to Comment E Thomas St.
E Thomas St.'s picture

Actually they're selling calls on GLD.

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 18:16 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Fri, 09/18/2009 - 17:56 | Link to Comment IE
IE's picture

Smart.  Buy Low; Sell High

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 19:27 | Link to Comment jdun
jdun's picture

I think they are going to make a killing on this trade.

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 19:51 | Link to Comment IE
IE's picture

If you mean the IMF, I agree with you.

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 17:57 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Fri, 09/18/2009 - 18:22 | Link to Comment bonddude
bonddude's picture

If China sez they are buying...THEY ARE SELLING !

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 23:04 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Fri, 09/18/2009 - 23:58 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Sat, 09/19/2009 - 12:27 | Link to Comment bonddude
bonddude's picture

You don't make pipes and wiring out of gold. Anyway China doesn't buy at the top, they buy when things are cheap like when they were buying massive amounts of oil and copper AFTER the prices crashed a year and more ago.

As for Anonymous gutless wonders  ...

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 17:58 | Link to Comment djchill2
djchill2's picture

There back is against the wall....sell to continue loans to 3rd world countries my ass!  IMF...obviously just another branch of the US....period.

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 17:59 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Fri, 09/18/2009 - 21:13 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Fri, 09/18/2009 - 18:00 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Fri, 09/18/2009 - 18:00 | Link to Comment Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

China will buy the entire 400 tons without batting an eyelash. After all, 400 tons or 13 million ounces is only $13 Billion at $1000 per ounce.

Personally, I believe this Gold sale was negoiated with China in exchange for China purchasing some more greenbacks to keep the Ponzi scheme going a while longer.

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 21:52 | Link to Comment Mr. Mandelbrot
Mr. Mandelbrot's picture

Most definitely!!!!!!!!!!!! (except more Treasury's instead of "greenbacks")

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 22:53 | Link to Comment agrotera
agrotera's picture

That's got to be it--

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 22:56 | Link to Comment dnarby
dnarby's picture

That makes a lot more sense than the IMF story.

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 18:00 | Link to Comment SWRichmond
SWRichmond's picture

~YAWN~

How many times are they going to sell that 400 tonnes?  OMFG.  They've been chatting this up (when necessary) since at least January 2007.

http://www.abcmoney.co.uk/news/31200715460.htm

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 18:03 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Fri, 09/18/2009 - 18:25 | Link to Comment SWRichmond
SWRichmond's picture

Next up: rioting in Goldbugland.

This is ho-humsville in goldbug land.  Bring it!  Anyone connected with the PM markets knows about this, and has known about it for years, and is tired of hearing about it every time gold prices make fiat look bad.  It will never "hit" the market, some smart central bank will buy it (China!), and is a paltry 12,800,000 ounces, not even enough to cover shorts on COMEX. 

http://goldnews.bullionvault.com/got_gold_090820093

As of Tuesday, September 1, with gold then at $955.90, the three US banks with reportable futures positions held a total of 509 contracts long gold and a total of 75,550 contracts short gold for a total net short position of 75,041 Comex Gold Futures 100-ounce contracts...As shown below in the Gold Commitment of Traders (COT) section, all commercial traders as a group (all 48 of them) reported a net short position of 216,708 contracts the same day.

Gosh, that's a net short position of 21,670,000 ounces.  They're pissing on a forest fire.  Next question: Does the IMF have any silver, because I hear that's in short supply, too.

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 20:07 | Link to Comment Gordon_Gekko
Gordon_Gekko's picture

Jesus man! Are these guys idiots? Everytime Gold prices rise they come up with the same bullshit nonsense - "IMF is going to sell Gold". They have talked about it this year - for what - the 10th time now? - AND IT IS THE SAME GODDAMN SALE!!! C'mon, just sell it already and be done with it. Could they be saying this any louder - "This is it. We are done. We don't have any more bullets left in our Gold price suppression scheme."? Whoever is falling for it again does not deserve to be in the Gold market, IMHO. Just use it as another opportunity to buy some more at firesale prices, IMO.

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 21:19 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Fri, 09/18/2009 - 21:15 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Fri, 09/18/2009 - 21:57 | Link to Comment Mr. Mandelbrot
Mr. Mandelbrot's picture

Well done IMF?  Double the units of currency at half the purchasing power looks like break even to me.

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 18:06 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Fri, 09/18/2009 - 18:00 | Link to Comment djchill2
djchill2's picture

You know...with the way the market is going today (with fundamentals out the window and economic fundamental no longer relevant)....fuck it this additional supply is just verification that Gold is going to sky rocket regardless of the additional supply!

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 18:01 | Link to Comment djchill2
djchill2's picture

double post

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 18:02 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Fri, 09/18/2009 - 18:02 | Link to Comment purple
purple's picture

This is pretty significant and marks the beginning of the end for the IMF.

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 18:02 | Link to Comment The Deacon
The Deacon's picture

What China wants, China gets.  They must have threatened to request delivery at the COMEX.  Everyday they deplete their USD holdings even more and free themselves from the shckles of the USD.  What will happen when they are free of the US shackles?  Will gold finally explode at that point?

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 18:02 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Fri, 09/18/2009 - 19:32 | Link to Comment MsCreant
MsCreant's picture

That was what I was thinking, buy on the dip if it shows up.

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 18:03 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Fri, 09/18/2009 - 18:03 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Fri, 09/18/2009 - 18:03 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Fri, 09/18/2009 - 20:47 | Link to Comment Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

Actual sale of gold, not a lease.

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 18:04 | Link to Comment Rollerball
Fri, 09/18/2009 - 18:05 | Link to Comment john_connor
john_connor's picture

you might as well sell something at an inflated price to people who believe gold will be used as a medium of exchange in the next few years.  lmao.  this news might provide the reverse effect of the "china is buying gold" spector that aided in the latest frenzy.

silver, in all its infinite parabolic glory, might shed 20% in a week if gold falls only 3-5%

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 22:37 | Link to Comment Mr. Mandelbrot
Mr. Mandelbrot's picture

Who cares?!  Who's selling?  My local coin dealers haven't had silver in any quantity all year.

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 22:58 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Sat, 09/19/2009 - 18:45 | Link to Comment chumbawamba
chumbawamba's picture

First, bravo.

Second, with the exception of gorgeous lingerie, I submit that the other items take on a meaning of their own without content.

This useless message brought to you by I am Chumbawamba.

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 23:26 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Sat, 09/19/2009 - 09:14 | Link to Comment john_connor
john_connor's picture

go phuck yourself you lewd bastard.  all i am saying is that gold/silver could pull back a bit before it heads to infinity/oz in like 10 years.  Let me ask you something, if gold was ready to shoot to $5000 USD/oz. RIGHT NOW, do you think YOU would be allowed to own it?  I phucking doubt it.  And if a collapse of all fiat currencies really happens, do you think you will be allowed to offer someone gold for anything without getting your head blown off?

BTW, I have enough physical PM's in my possession to serve as a hedge in case of complete dollar debasement or collapse of the monetary system, and I dont need some dickweed gold bug to lecture me about fiat dollars backed by garbage.  I mean, no shit.

Sat, 09/19/2009 - 18:48 | Link to Comment chumbawamba
chumbawamba's picture

First, bravo.

Second, what's this, "do you think YOU would be allowed to own it?" bullcrap?

No one, but I mean NO ONE, gives me permission to own anything, mother fucker.  If I want it and I can pay for it, I'm buying it.  Fuck this "permission" shit.

I am Chumbawamba.

Sat, 09/19/2009 - 19:32 | Link to Comment john_connor
john_connor's picture

Really what I meant is that if common, non Goldmanites, have physical gold that is worth $5000 USD per ounce, then a loaf of bread, not to overuse the analogy, would be $500 per loaf, or some ridiculous nominal value in fiat currency.  In other words, gold's relative value will be only be great if you are a chosen one.  If everyone has it, then the powers that be would never let it rise to a lofty value relative to the precious fiat currency that can be counterfieted to a point where you pay interest to those same masters.  I wish I could wake up one day and have my gold be worth $5000-10,000 per ounce while the relative price of things stayed the same.  Of course, if hyper inflation really sets in, people will kill for gold if it is used as a medium of exchange.  Frankly, in that situation, I would skip to the point and accumulate food and energy by force rather than chase down gold.

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 18:06 | Link to Comment ulvy
ulvy's picture

I think China soveriegn fund has the money to call out a gold manipulation bet.   I think they are getting tired of playing by Wall Streets rules. 

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 18:38 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Fri, 09/18/2009 - 18:08 | Link to Comment monmick
monmick's picture

I think they need US Congress approval before they sell even one ounce. That should be interesting... 

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 18:10 | Link to Comment monmick
monmick's picture

Oops. Congressional approval passed in June. Must have been fishing...

IMF Board Approves Sale of 403.3 Metric Tons of Gold (Update1)

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By Sandrine Rastello

Sept. 18 (Bloomberg) -- The International Monetary Fund’s executive board approved gold sales of 403.3 metric tons valued at about $13 billion and pledged to avoid disrupting the market with the transactions.

The IMF said it would “stand ready to sell gold directly to central banks.” The sales could also be conducted in the open market in a “phased manner” over time, the Washington- based lender said in an e-mailed statement today.

“These sales will be conducted in a responsible and transparent manner that avoids disruption of the gold market,” IMF Managing Director Dominique Strauss-Kahn said in the statement.

The IMF board last year endorsed the quantity to be sold, which accounts for one-eighth of the IMF’s total gold stockpile, as part of a plan to shore up its finances. The sale will also increase the agency’s ability to lend at reduced rates to low- income countries. The IMF is the world’s third-largest holder of gold reserves.

Gold futures for December delivery fell $3.20, or 0.3 percent, to $1,010.30 an ounce today on the New York Mercantile Exchange’s Comex division.

The U.S. Congress in June approved legislation that permits the American representatives at the IMF to agree to the sale.

To contact the reporter on this story: Sandrine Rastello in Washington at srastello@bloomberg.net

Last Updated: September 18, 2009 17:29 EDT

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 19:28 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Fri, 09/18/2009 - 18:10 | Link to Comment The Deacon
The Deacon's picture

He who has the gold makes the rules.  Which way is the pendulum swinging?

 

Maybe its not China like we all think though.  MAybe its going to JPM, to bail them out, ala the Bundesbank bailing out Deutsche Bank several months back.  Likely the former though.

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 18:14 | Link to Comment monmick
monmick's picture

Is it irony, or coincidence, that the amount is almost exactly the same as Barrick's hedge book?

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 18:27 | Link to Comment Hephasteus
Hephasteus's picture

LOL You mean isn't it strange that it's the exact same amount that was settled up 2 years ago by Barrick's hedge book.

http://www.321gold.com/editorials/willie/willie091809.html

Me thinks barrick has the same gold hedged at oh maybe multiple price points.

 

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 19:00 | Link to Comment Joe Sixpack
Joe Sixpack's picture

"The next big question is where will Barrick purchase the gold to fulfill the contracts and retire them with metal delivery. It looks like the open market. Maybe the source will be IMF gold bullion."

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 21:29 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Fri, 09/18/2009 - 18:31 | Link to Comment SWRichmond
SWRichmond's picture

ECB may have bailed out DB in a smiliar manner earlier this year.

http://forums.opendemocracy.net/node/48774

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 19:49 | Link to Comment Hephasteus
Hephasteus's picture

So that means nearly half the gold mining industry and Pass the Deutshe on the left hand side bank is infested with circa 1650 20 receipts for every ounce of gold scams.

Sat, 09/19/2009 - 00:25 | Link to Comment SWRichmond
SWRichmond's picture

take delivery = short squeeze; we'll know they've defaulted when they change the delivery rules.

Sat, 09/19/2009 - 08:52 | Link to Comment Mediocritas
Mediocritas's picture

Good point monmick. When ABX eliminated part of its hedge, it cashed out rather than deliver metal. If whoever was on the other side of that trade on-sold and their counterparty wouldn't take cash then they'd be on the hook for physical delivery. Not coming from ABX, someone had to step in for the save.

So not out of the realms of possibility that this is a stick-save for Barrick's counterparty (probably JPM).

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 18:27 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Sat, 09/19/2009 - 07:41 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Sat, 09/19/2009 - 09:04 | Link to Comment Mediocritas
Mediocritas's picture

A lot of people believe that there is no gold in Fort Knox and I tend to suspect that they are correct. Foreign interests (particularly France) most likely cleaned it out as the gold standard broke.

No audit has ever been conducted and all attempts to conduct an audit have been blocked.

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 18:38 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Fri, 09/18/2009 - 19:55 | Link to Comment Hephasteus
Hephasteus's picture

They disappeared. With PDF's of thier passports running around the web. Really? Known bond forgers can just disappear?

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 21:19 | Link to Comment Printfaster
Printfaster's picture

Umh, no.  They are authenticating them for  a Swiss bank

 

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 21:25 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Sat, 09/19/2009 - 02:58 | Link to Comment Hephasteus
Hephasteus's picture

If the FED handed me a $10,000 bearer bond. I'd wipe my ass with it and stick it to their forhead with a  8inch randal fighting knife. That's how legitimate this whole economic system is. Bonds and treasuries are only promises and the only promises the FED has kept historically are it's promises to lie forever and ever or as long as it works.

Sat, 09/19/2009 - 18:56 | Link to Comment chumbawamba
chumbawamba's picture

Really?  I'd cash it and buy gold and silver with it.  Fuck.

I am Chumbawamba.

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 18:40 | Link to Comment johngaltfla
johngaltfla's picture

It's only roughly 12% of one year's production and clearly designed to build up their new SDR reserves. I can see why they are doing this; they need the cash to bail out and set up an austerity program for one of the IMF's member nations:

 

The U.S.A.

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 18:45 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Fri, 09/18/2009 - 19:56 | Link to Comment Hephasteus
Hephasteus's picture

If the dollar raises a couple basis points. LOL

Sat, 09/19/2009 - 19:04 | Link to Comment chumbawamba
chumbawamba's picture

I wish.

I am Chumbawamba.

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 18:48 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Fri, 09/18/2009 - 23:44 | Link to Comment Mr. Mandelbrot
Mr. Mandelbrot's picture

Yes, because a trillion, to put it into perspective is approx. 32,240 YEARS worth of SECONDS.  Fiat currency creation has gone crazy.  In addition, when you consider how the smoke and mirror government statistics obscure exactly how much of this funny money is being created and who exactly it's going to, a country, company, etc. doesn't really know how big a slice of the "pie" they really own.  The simplicity of gold is making more and more and more sense to more investors as the alternatives unravel in their complexity.  

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 19:00 | Link to Comment Joe Sixpack
Joe Sixpack's picture

Interesting that JPM and GS have layerd on record shorts in gold/silver. Inside info.?

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 19:40 | Link to Comment IE
IE's picture

Is it "insider information" if you know what you yourself are about to do? 

I'll guess this is prepping for when they help facilitate the strong-dollar-hammering of the indices and commodities in the next few months to keep the audit bogeymen at bay, and to help justify more gubment cheese for the banksters.

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 20:35 | Link to Comment mkkby
mkkby's picture

Why would anyone bet aganst GS and JPM?  What is your edge?

Sat, 09/19/2009 - 06:27 | Link to Comment h4rdware
h4rdware's picture

Generally, no. Those guys have always won in the short term, and this data provides the cues:

http://www.cftc.gov/dea/bank/deasep09f.htm

 

...however, the extremity, singularitly and gradient of their position indicates they are attepting a King Canute maneuver. Which is why the gold price is now $1000, instead of $250, where they would prefer it to be.

 

 

Sat, 09/19/2009 - 07:52 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Sat, 09/19/2009 - 10:31 | Link to Comment Mediocritas
Mediocritas's picture

It's a simple carry-trade. Bullion banks lease gold from central banks at a low interest rate and enter a short position by either leasing forward or on-selling (paper) and supposedly cover their liability / risk by buying long dated futures at a profitable strike. It must be attractive to add to that short position when the money is so easy to make, but pushed too far it can end very badly should a downstream player stand for physical delivery.

Say, hypothetically, that a BB leases 400 tonnes of gold from a CB and enter into a long dated futures contract with a reliable gold miner. The BB then enters into a short position by selling paper written on that gold, secure in the knowledge that the position is covered by the miner's promise to extract metal in the future. Easy money!

Now suppose that somebody downstream demands allocation / physical delivery, triggering an allocation cascade through the paper trail. The BB is then on the hook to deliver physical metal and must stand for delivery against the miner. Now suppose the miner sees this coming in advance, knows it hasn't mined enough to make delivery good, panics, and cashes out of its positions. This nets the BB a healthy paper profit, but still leaves the BB on the hook for physical delivery. If it runs to the market to find real metal, the gold price will rise to the point where the BBs paper profit can't cover the delivery demand, resulting in a net loss.

Even worse, if risk models did not factor in a large delivery request and there is an excess of paper in the market, then there isn't enough physical metal in existence on the open market, resulting in a potentially infinite short-squeeze that ends only with the BB defaulting. A soaring gold price is bad news indeed for those who benefit from our faith in fiat currencies.

Now suppose that the affected counterparty is a very large trader across many sectors and threatens default counterstrikes should delivery not be made. To prevent a nuclear chain reaction, a CB must come to the rescue and deliver physical metal from its stash to pacify the counterparty. The BB is now on the hook to make physical delivery to the CB to plug the hole, but with a much longer time frame to do it, relieving pressure on the gold market.

Once things have calmed down and the price declines, the BB can acquire physical gold over time to make good the CB (aiming to do so at a profit), then the whole scheme can start over (assuming the downstream player eventually eases up).

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 19:08 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Fri, 09/18/2009 - 19:09 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Sat, 09/19/2009 - 18:45 | Link to Comment maff
maff's picture

Kind of like the ultimate hedge, really?

Oh yes - thats sweet.

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 19:31 | Link to Comment peterh101
peterh101's picture

How can the statement “pledged to ensure against “disruptions” in the gold market” ever be believed. With Comex gold contracts due this coming week, and the big shorts with their backs to the wall……the timing of this announcement is blatant “disruption” of the gold market. Gold down $10 in an instant.

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 19:32 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Fri, 09/18/2009 - 19:41 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Fri, 09/18/2009 - 19:48 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Fri, 09/18/2009 - 20:15 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Sat, 09/19/2009 - 13:47 | Link to Comment keehotee
keehotee's picture

The universe definately has a sense of humor.  It feels to me like these bonds are not fakes.

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 20:21 | Link to Comment ricky663
ricky663's picture

It has been estimated that, worldwide, the total amount of gold ever
mined is 152,000 metric tons, only enough to fill 60 tractor trailers.
In comparison, each year 907 million metric tons of iron are produced
worldwide. This is equivalent to 6,000 times the total gold produced
throughout history.

Source: http://www.amnh.org/exhibitions/gold/eureka/funfacts.php

This sale of 403/152000 metric tons = .26% of the world's gold

(yes, I know allot of this gold is "gone/consumed" with industrial and
jewelry production)

So, .26% of the world's gold will be sold... and that will crash the price how?

I guess selling it will make it disappear forever???

Or... this "new" amount of gold will "dilute" the value of the rest of this precious metal on the market?

Not in my opinion.

Interesting side note:

US Treasury-Owned Gold - What Would It Buy?
By Bill Zielinski on May 26th, 2009

Some Thoughts On The Value Of  US Owned Gold

The United States Treasury Department recently issued a report on the total
amount of US Treasury-Owned Gold. As of April 30, 2009 the US Treasury
held a total of 261.5 million fine troy ounces of gold. The Treasury report
uses a book value of $42.22 per troy ounce to calculate the total value of
gold held at approximately $11 billion.   Based on the current market
price, total gold holdings of the US Treasury amount to approximately
$238.5 billion.

Source:

http://mortgagedfuture.com/us-treasury-owned-gold-what-would-it-buy/

Amount of $US

There is about $829 billion dollars of U.S. currency in circulation;
the majority is held outside the United States.

http://www.newyorkfed.org/aboutthefed/fedpoint/fed01.html

Since Aug 1971 (when Nixon took us off the gold standard), it appears as though
$590.5 Billion in paper notes have been printed, or ~$15.5 $US Billion per year.
No wonder we are so rich!! We make $15 billion per year! ;P

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 20:32 | Link to Comment tjeffersonsghost
tjeffersonsghost's picture

Interesting news.....

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 20:36 | Link to Comment What_Me_Worry
What_Me_Worry's picture

Wow, and I shorted silver today merely because of the technicals.

For once, the TPTB are trading with me.  I feel dirty.

Fri, 09/18/2009 - 21:17 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Fri, 09/18/2009 - 22:29 | Link to Comment Argos
Argos's picture

I watched that too.  I thought he was going to rupture his spleen venting so hard. 

Sat, 09/19/2009 - 15:24 | Link to Comment DaddyWarbucks
DaddyWarbucks's picture

I like KD, I call him Mr. Hypertension.

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