Initial Claims In Line With Consensus, Durable Goods Plunge
Not much surprise in initial claims, which came at 382K on expectations of 383K, following the traditional upward revision in the previous number from 385K to 387K. Continuing claims came at 3,721K, higher than expectations of 3,700K, and another previous revision from 3,706K to 3,723K. But the biggest shocker was in Durable Goods, which plunged from a revised 3.6% in January to -0.9% in February, on expectations of 1.2%, as a result of a plunge in machinery shipments and new orders. Durables ex transportation dropped -0.6% on a 2.0% increase expectation. Lastly Nondefense Capital Goods orders ex aircraft was down -1.3% on expectations of 4.3% increase. The stagflation is ramping up.
From the release: "New orders for manufactured durable goods in February decreased $1.9 billion or 0.9 percent to $200.0 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau announced today. This decrease, down four of the last five months, followed a 3.6 percent January increase. Excluding transportation, new orders decreased 0.6 percent. Excluding defense, new orders increased 0.4 percent. Machinery, down two consecutive months, had the largest decrease, $1.2 billion or 4.2 percent to $26.6 billion." And the traditional economic activity filler, inventories, was up for the 15th consecutive month: "Inventories of manufactured durable goods in February, up fourteen consecutive months, increased $2.9 billion or 0.9 percent to $328.3 billion. This followed a 0.9 percent January increase."
Crude not liking the slow down in the economy: