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Insider Selling To Buying Update: 2,019 To 1

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Just when everyone thought we may see some moderation in the wholesale dumping of equities by those who actually know what their companies are worth better than moronic stock pumpers on stations that are rapidly losing their viewership, here come the same insiders and pull the rug right from underneath the latest batch of hot potato recipients (that would be various collocated computers mostly, and involuntary taxpayers course). Two weeks ago, insiders sold "only" 1,169 times more than they bought. Alas, last week selling apparently is the new black again, with selling outpacing buying on the S&P by a factor of 2,018. Insiders in Oracle, GameStop, Google, CSX and General Mills appear to be particularly partial to the new black. Something tells us CNBC will not pick up this particular piece of news.


Source: Bloomberg

 

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Mon, 10/18/2010 - 11:40 | 658348 HarryWanger
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How unusual is this for this time of year going into EOY? Curious to compare with previous years if anyone knows.

Mon, 10/18/2010 - 11:42 | 658353 Matto
Matto's picture

somebody chart that sucka!

Mon, 10/18/2010 - 12:06 | 658428 bigdumbnugly
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Insider Selling To Buying Update: 2,019 To 1     i guess that one would have to be the absolute ultimate contrarian.
Mon, 10/18/2010 - 12:58 | 658562 Let them all fail
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Anyone have the link to find this chart on bloomberg?

Mon, 10/18/2010 - 11:52 | 658394 whatsinaname
whatsinaname's picture

Insiders also have to pay for their underwater McMansions after all !! How else to pay for those "real" losses versus the "virtual" profits generated by the corporations ??

Mon, 10/18/2010 - 12:15 | 658449 WSP
WSP's picture

"Insiders" do not have underwater "McMansions", that is why they are "insiders".  No, this selling is nothing more than the same thing our government does----they are "printing" money.  Why? Because they can.  Why?  Well, in the past is was mostly due to moronic investors unable to read balance sheets and income statements----now that investors have largely left the water, it is computers driven by money from the Federal Reserve.  Either way, "insiders" will always "print" money by selling shares to the public ---- as long as the public---oops, I mean computers/Federal Reserve let them.

Mon, 10/18/2010 - 12:21 | 658464 tmosley
tmosley's picture

You are confusing "insiders", which means people who have stock options or receive some of their compensation in stock, with "oligarchs", who tend to place themselves where they can benefit the most from Fed actions.

Mon, 10/18/2010 - 13:04 | 658578 ATG
ATG's picture

Insiders sit on GS Board, ladder stock options, spin IPOs and run for Governor

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Meg_Whitman

Mon, 10/18/2010 - 11:41 | 658350 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

I thought CNBC was the leader on market analysis. Am I missing something?

Mon, 10/18/2010 - 11:47 | 658377 Cdad
Cdad's picture

The death of a network...I suspect that is what you are missing.  Clearly, the prognosis for CNBC is fatal.

 

Mon, 10/18/2010 - 12:39 | 658513 lynnybee
lynnybee's picture

 "The death of a network...I suspect that is what you are missing.  Clearly, the prognosis for CNBC is fatal."   

for sure !  I've been watching CNBC since the mid-1980's when it was a CONSUMER AFFAIRS CHANNEL with programs about how to find deals on consumer goods & how not to get ripped off by companies !

Mon, 10/18/2010 - 12:14 | 658445 RockyRacoon
RockyRacoon's picture

Saw our own Reggie Middleton on the CNBC faux box this morning with Herb Greenberg.  Some nice things said about Reggie, and he did a nice job explaining to the uninitiated.

Mon, 10/18/2010 - 12:42 | 658527 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

Reggie Middleton on the CNBC faux box this morning.

Here it is.

http://www.cnbc.com/id/15840232?video=1618325359&play=1

Mon, 10/18/2010 - 13:10 | 658591 ATG
ATG's picture

With respect for RM,

anyone who invests off TV takes their life into the toilet

Mon, 10/18/2010 - 14:22 | 658816 Cognitive Dissonance
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LOL

However, taking advice off of the Inter-webs is perfectly reasonable. :>)

Wed, 10/20/2010 - 19:08 | 665532 RockyRacoon
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anyone who invests off TV takes their life into the toilet

I  could not agree more!  My money is not in any stock, bond, nor any other utterance of the Wall Street gangsters.  I'm 100% in PMs and other collectibles that I am expert in.

I find the financial networks to be the canaries in the coal mine.

Mon, 10/18/2010 - 12:46 | 658536 Lucky Guesst
Lucky Guesst's picture

Thanks, I actually would have liked to see that even though I can't usually stomach that channel. Thanks for taking one for the team!

Mon, 10/18/2010 - 11:42 | 658356 His Dudeness
His Dudeness's picture

Insiders bought 229 shares of FedEx... spendthrifts!

When you absolutely, positively need it overnight...go FedEx!

Unless you are a Tom Hanks character and can't quite commit to your long-term girlfriend...

Mon, 10/18/2010 - 11:50 | 658389 doolittlegeorge
doolittlegeorge's picture

and your best buddy's a coconut.

Mon, 10/18/2010 - 11:55 | 658409 His Dudeness
His Dudeness's picture

Soccer ball actually, but at least they are both round. You must have fallen asleep before the floating off on a raft scene.

Mon, 10/18/2010 - 11:42 | 658358 Bartanist
Bartanist's picture

And yet, I sometimes wonder why we believe that the dollar is worth more than the asset it can buy.

Of course common stock certificates are really only casino chips ... so: do they qualify as assets?

Mon, 10/18/2010 - 11:46 | 658371 Rahm
Rahm's picture

That depends. 

 

Who are you askin?  and who wants to know?

Basically the answer is:
Is the FED buying it?  If yes, then it's an 'asset'

Mon, 10/18/2010 - 11:43 | 658362 papaswamp
papaswamp's picture

Hey govt POMOs just aren't for the banksters...but CEOs and upper management as well. Everyone is getting out while the getting is good. Make cash, covert to gold and silver and watch the market collapse leaving the worker bee holding the mess.

Mon, 10/18/2010 - 13:13 | 658594 ATG
ATG's picture

Doing the math:

There are far more derivative, debt and dollar calls than gold.

You get in but can't check out

Mon, 10/18/2010 - 11:44 | 658367 morph
morph's picture

Oracle continues to sell off by insiders.

Might be worth looking at who is selling.

Mon, 10/18/2010 - 11:49 | 658383 Rahm
Mon, 10/18/2010 - 12:49 | 658545 threefingerscam
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Looks like Larry Ellison has a standing sell order of 1M shares per day.

Mon, 10/18/2010 - 11:48 | 658380 IrishSamurai
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Just wait for when this ratio is 10x this in November after the elections ...

If Congress does not extend the Bush tax cuts and fully extend capital gains tax increases, the insider selloff in November/December is going to be epic ...

Brian Sack will need to work a Beatle's work week ...

 

Mon, 10/18/2010 - 11:52 | 658396 doolittlegeorge
doolittlegeorge's picture

i like this one.

Mon, 10/18/2010 - 11:49 | 658384 kaiserhoff
kaiserhoff's picture

You can see a lot by just looking.

                         Yogi Berra

Mon, 10/18/2010 - 11:51 | 658391 buzzsaw99
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GOOG is the vehicle by which the usa will mint new billionaires this year. That is all that matters.

Mon, 10/18/2010 - 11:53 | 658400 doolittlegeorge
doolittlegeorge's picture

buy Motorola on the Apple news.

Mon, 10/18/2010 - 11:54 | 658401 Roscoe
Roscoe's picture

There's no mortgage securitization problem! Move along, it's all good...

Unbelievable video from CNBC this morning: http://www.cnbc.com/id/15840232?video=1618302372&play=1 

If there was ever a face more deserving of a world record slap than this smug guy, I'd like to see it. He's probabbly from central casting, hired for a day to read his part...

Mon, 10/18/2010 - 12:19 | 658458 RockyRacoon
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Saw that, mouth agape.  I think this was the guy writing Bernanke's scripts during the subprime mess.  You know, the one that was going to be "contained".

Mon, 10/18/2010 - 12:22 | 658466 sweet ebony diamond
sweet ebony diamond's picture

I really don't like these people.

The guy does not understand that there are local laws that must be followed.

The "Uniform Commercial Code" is a Nazi invention.

Mon, 10/18/2010 - 12:23 | 658470 Cheyenne
Cheyenne's picture

Wow, that's truly nauseous.

The Freudian slip at about 3:06 is hilarious, though.

Mon, 10/18/2010 - 12:30 | 658486 Conrad Murray
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(Cheyenne covered it)

Mon, 10/18/2010 - 12:34 | 658502 michigan independant
michigan independant's picture

The guy is demented. I loved the line "check written to cash" about the question at hand. Thirty pieces of silver is his work.

Mon, 10/18/2010 - 13:04 | 658579 Lucky Guesst
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LOL, Towards the end it was like he could feel the responses through the tv! He kept shutting his eyes and wincing like he expected to be slapped for spewing such nonsense.

Mon, 10/18/2010 - 11:56 | 658404 Caviar Emptor
Caviar Emptor's picture

We're not living in usual times. Massive insider selling is simply reflecting the perception that there are major imbalances in valuation. Insiders are selling into strength while the gettin' is god. 

Why sell now? Why not wait for even more outrageous prices? 

Two reasons:

-Insiders don't gamble on waiting for the next shoe to drop when shares could drop 50% before the market opens (many stocks in 1987) or when a flash crash can wipe out half in a , well, flash. 

-The calculus says that the extra value in dollars is undercut by the ongoing dollar devaluation such that cashing into gold and PMs ensures that the profits don't get lost when all prices start going through the roof. 

Mon, 10/18/2010 - 11:58 | 658417 Hulk
Hulk's picture

How about tax reasons? Aren't capital gains going up next year?

Mon, 10/18/2010 - 12:10 | 658436 kaiserhoff
kaiserhoff's picture

Good point, Hulk, and more than a few folks have tax losses this year.  Might as well off set now.  God knows what's coming.  Still, this is weird.

Just a poor memory and a guesstimate, but I think insider selling in the range of 50-60 to one is actually "Normal".  People with stock options or locked in shares diversifying, makes good sense, but I don't remember ever seeing numbers like this, and look at the delta.  I see Tyler's point.  These folks are not drinking the Kool-aid.

Mon, 10/18/2010 - 12:08 | 658437 Caviar Emptor
Caviar Emptor's picture

Obama has reassured that cap gains won't get touched

Mon, 10/18/2010 - 12:18 | 658452 IrishSamurai
IrishSamurai's picture

Gitmo. Check.

Iraq/Afghanistan withdrawal. Check. Check.

HCR will lower premiums.  Check.

Glowing track record ... I've also heard he won't come in your mouth ... at least that's what Rahm told me.

Mon, 10/18/2010 - 12:23 | 658467 Hulk
Hulk's picture

Just unearned income then ? 

Mon, 10/18/2010 - 12:06 | 658430 the rookie cynic
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Getting out before the possible (probable?) expiration of the Bush tax cuts could be a third reason.

Mon, 10/18/2010 - 12:16 | 658453 Caviar Emptor
Caviar Emptor's picture

Nope. Cap Gains is not in play, only income tax. 

The insider selling numbers were never this high even at the peak of the dot.com mania. Back then people believed we were in a "new paradigm". Not now

Mon, 10/18/2010 - 11:57 | 658413 Pladizow
Pladizow's picture

What were the ratios prior to bubbles past?

Mon, 10/18/2010 - 12:05 | 658426 Sherman McCoy
Sherman McCoy's picture

Is this the best wisdom you've got? Insider selling is massively more than buying, so "sell stocks?" They must have taught you that in training camp at Dean Witter, right?. Insiders are supposed to sell. Its only news when they buy. Ever heard of "getting out even?" I didn't think so.

Mon, 10/18/2010 - 12:13 | 658443 Horatio Beanblower
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2,019 To 1?  Come off it.

Mon, 10/18/2010 - 12:05 | 658427 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

How about that C! minus cannibalizing their loan loss reserves they made a cool $0.18B for the quarter. woohoo!

Mon, 10/18/2010 - 12:07 | 658434 Horatio Beanblower
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Welcome to Fantasyland...

 

(UK) House sellers' move to raise asking prices is 'illogical', says Rightmove - http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/economics/houseprices/8070267/House-sellers-move-to-raise-asking-prices-is-illogical-says-Rightmove.html

 

"A child of five would understand this. Send someone to fetch a child of five." - Groucho Marx 

 

Mon, 10/18/2010 - 12:42 | 658525 Boxed Merlot
Boxed Merlot's picture

Sellers are appearing to price in the inevitable inflationary storm that will devalue the future payback of the currency being borrowed to purchase the home today as evidenced by the historically low cost of long term mortgage money.

 

Now can I have my cookies and milk, it's almost naptime.

 

 

Mon, 10/18/2010 - 12:14 | 658447 mule65
mule65's picture

This is meaningless.  Why would insiders buy when they get free shares?

Mon, 10/18/2010 - 12:17 | 658455 buzzsaw99
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+1

Mon, 10/18/2010 - 12:19 | 658460 Ragnarok
Ragnarok's picture

Kind of, but if we had a baseline over decades of say 100:1 selling (guessing), then today's numbers would indicate additional factors are being considered by insiders.

Mon, 10/18/2010 - 12:14 | 658448 Thunder Dome
Thunder Dome's picture

No insiders are buying in a material way.  This is a much bigger problem than the ratio of insider sellers to insider buyers.

Mon, 10/18/2010 - 12:27 | 658481 threefingerscam
threefingerscam's picture

Not on the list, but according to www.insider-monitor.com Martha Stewart Family Limited Partnership sold $400K+ at 4.85 last week, well off the April 2010 high of 7.45.  Apparent converting to cash >now< "is a good thing".

Mon, 10/18/2010 - 12:27 | 658482 Caviar Emptor
Caviar Emptor's picture

Anyone catch this? 

Banks and hedge funds are acting as enforcers on tax collections, tacking on huge fees if you fall even a little behind in water, sewage or property taxes. They're also seizing properties through tax liens. 

TBTF banks that got bailed out and rescued by taxpayers are now vulching those taxpayers. Cute. 

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2010/10/18/the-new-tax-man-big-banks_n_766169.html?ref=twitter

Mon, 10/18/2010 - 12:51 | 658548 Cheyenne
Cheyenne's picture

Just classic, a first-ballot American Fascism Hall of Fame story.

Mon, 10/18/2010 - 12:40 | 658520 Herknoid Weaver
Herknoid Weaver's picture

not seeing too many natural resource companies on the sell list

Mon, 10/18/2010 - 13:03 | 658575 Jones79
Jones79's picture

where is the article about cnbc's new heat map and that neither cramer or pisani knows his left from his right?

Mon, 10/18/2010 - 13:57 | 658719 BS Footprint
BS Footprint's picture

Gives new meaning to the term "bailout"...

Mon, 10/18/2010 - 14:03 | 658735 Dapper Dan
Dapper Dan's picture

Hot of the CNN business page.

Oct 18 12:15pm:

Stocks were pumped up in midday trading on Monday, extending last week's strong run on upbeat earnings from Citigroup and improvement in the housing sector.

They came right out and said it "Pumped".   On another note,   I am having a hard time finding confirmation on the improvement in the housing sector.

oh I'm sorry I found it,  the NAHB released it's monthly index of builders sentiment,  GO BUY A HOME, Please!!

They released something all right, a big fat fart of foul smelling fabricated facts,  scent a mint, what is sentiment ?  

 

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Sat, 11/13/2010 - 08:56 | 724570 mark456
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