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Intraday Market Commentary From Stifel Nicolaus - August 19

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Market Comment from Elliot Spar

Who’s putting out those estimates for the Philly Fed Survey? Obviously not an exact science but I demand a Congressional Investigation. While they are at it, how about a look into the crush in the Spoos and NDX futures after 4 pm yesterday (on no news) for 6 and 14 points respectively. That’s all I have to say about that. The market unraveled on the worse than expected Philly Fed Survey with a couple of support levels being taken out. Around noon, the S&P found support at 1070 but with the NYSE a/d off worse than 5 to 1 negative, I don’t expect a bounce to carry that far. If the market continues its slide tomorrow, I expect the S&P 500 to make a stand in the 1055-1060 area.

CBOE Volatility Index

VIX 26.41 (+ 1.82)
In yesterday’s trade, the down side gap from 8/17 was filled and the VIX held its 200 day moving average. If the market continues in the ugly mode this afternoon, 28.10, the August 16th peak may be challenged.

PUT/CALL ALERT

Late morning reading on the ISE Sentiment Index put/call equivalent at 1.61. One would expect an extreme reading like this with the S&P off more than 20 points. If we get another bullish reading in the a.m. tomorrow, we may be close to a short-term bottom. However, we never hang our hat on just one indicator.

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Thu, 08/19/2010 - 14:13 | 530920 bob_dabolina
bob_dabolina's picture

An investigation?!?! Are you fucking nuts? Roger Clemens is WAYYYY more important.

Thu, 08/19/2010 - 14:23 | 530933 etrader
etrader's picture

Nothing to investigate .....

It was the "usual"  spread close.

The convergence   boxes are getting slacker & slacker ;>)

http://www.zerohedge.com/article/its-3-pm-daily-free-money-arb-here

Thu, 08/19/2010 - 14:13 | 530923 oklaboy
oklaboy's picture

looks alot farther than 6 feet down

Thu, 08/19/2010 - 14:29 | 530966 partimer1
partimer1's picture

Someone sold a lot SPX calls AND PUTs at 1100, and obviously got a big one in the behind. YES, Investigation!

Thu, 08/19/2010 - 14:30 | 530971 Mitchman
Mitchman's picture

And he said it all without using the word "unemployment!"

Thu, 08/19/2010 - 14:33 | 530975 firstdivision
firstdivision's picture

Making that late afternoon push for green. 

Thu, 08/19/2010 - 14:37 | 530983 JuicyTheAnimal
JuicyTheAnimal's picture

ramping up now in anticipation of a no-macro-news release day tomorrow

Thu, 08/19/2010 - 15:02 | 531042 functionform
functionform's picture

too much excitement this week.. boring op ex tomorrow i expect.

Thu, 08/19/2010 - 15:21 | 531078 Yikes
Yikes's picture

It's 3:00pm. Do you know where your PPT is?

Sat, 10/02/2010 - 06:25 | 620566 Herry12
Herry12's picture

There are certainly a lot of details like that to take into consideration.I read and understand the entire article and I really enjoyed it to be honest.
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