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Investor Sentiment: Marking Time

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Mon, 09/07/2009 - 12:00 | 61547 MinnesotaNice
MinnesotaNice's picture

Nice and concise... I like your style... get to the point without a lot of fanfare... refreshing...

Mon, 09/07/2009 - 19:36 | 61785 thetechnicaltake
thetechnicaltake's picture

tanks!!

Tue, 09/08/2009 - 08:24 | 62118 Hephasteus
Hephasteus's picture

I would just like to say that it appears the market doesn't want outsized takes. What if it can't get what it wants?

Mon, 09/07/2009 - 02:50 | 61424 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

I would consider myself your typical "dumb" retail investor but i've done very well since march. I'm up 40% mostly on commodity ETF's and bank stocks. I was all in cash before the market crashed last september ... So all in all i outperformed most hedge funds. Good analysis although I think commodity's are going to remain in a range. Financial stocks have a lot more room to run ... they're gonna report great earnings again.

Mon, 09/07/2009 - 01:26 | 61402 NHL
NHL's picture

Looking at the historical data and charts that you've posted, it seems that the dumb money is making $$$ hand over fist. Spoke to  a lot of retail investors and they are making $$$$ from the run since March. Spoke to the pro and the picture is mix.

Mon, 09/07/2009 - 19:35 | 61784 thetechnicaltake
thetechnicaltake's picture

There have been times in the past --1995, 2003, and now 2009- where the "dumb money" just got bullish and the market just kept going higher; it happens. During these times the "smart money" is likely to underperform.  But when you look at the price cycle or cycle from fear to greed and back to fear, the markets will clearly perform better -that is gains can be made a lot easier when the "dumb money" is bearish (i.e., bull signal).

Mon, 09/07/2009 - 01:08 | 61391 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

government will not hesitate to use swine flu to "stimulate" economy!!

Sun, 09/06/2009 - 22:47 | 61285 Bubby BankenStein
Bubby BankenStein's picture

Thank you.

Sun, 09/06/2009 - 22:06 | 61269 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

Commodity sectors out preforming? Huh? You might want to open a chart or 3.

Sun, 09/06/2009 - 19:48 | 61203 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

A number of times I've seen the insider selling statistic, but nothing that shows whether or not it has any predictive value.

Sun, 09/06/2009 - 19:01 | 61177 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

charts without volume ...what a novel idea...

Sun, 09/06/2009 - 18:00 | 61154 3greenlights
3greenlights's picture

Nice presentation, triple T.

"Outsize bets in either direction are not warranted."

Good words of caution.

 

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