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Janet Yellen Wants You To Believe The Worst Is Over

Tyler Durden's picture




Gee, more optimism out of the Fed. Who'd a thunk it. No commentary needed: we have shared our observations on Janet before.

 
Janet Yell en 1110




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Tue, 11/10/2009 - 12:19 | Link to Comment CB
CB's picture

hilarity galore.

Tue, 11/10/2009 - 12:28 | Link to Comment Divided States ...
Divided States of America's picture

Looks to me that the only thing heating up are the motors on the printing presses running 24/7 spewing out the dollars. This is like legalized counterfeiting at its finest.

Tue, 11/10/2009 - 12:41 | Link to Comment CB
CB's picture

24/7 won't print enough $$. soon they'll intro a million dollar bill.  that way the presses only have to work 23/7

Tue, 11/10/2009 - 13:14 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Tue, 11/10/2009 - 14:46 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Tue, 11/10/2009 - 15:55 | Link to Comment CB
CB's picture

ha. I just googled 'no pun intended':

http://www.thebestpageintheuniverse.net/c.cgi?u=puns

Tue, 11/10/2009 - 12:21 | Link to Comment SDRII
SDRII's picture

Pure desperation

Tue, 11/10/2009 - 12:23 | Link to Comment Ruth
Ruth's picture

I want what drug she's on.

Tue, 11/10/2009 - 13:14 | Link to Comment Big Al
Big Al's picture

More like the drug she forget to take - Aricept

Tue, 11/10/2009 - 12:24 | Link to Comment bugs_
bugs_'s picture

Its OK Yellen is gellin' - are you gellin'?

Tue, 11/10/2009 - 12:32 | Link to Comment Gilgamesh
Gilgamesh's picture

Son, call Old Yellen.  Once she's gone rabid... you know what has to be done.

Tue, 11/10/2009 - 12:40 | Link to Comment deadhead
deadhead's picture

that's some VERY funny shit!  I roared out loud.  thanks, needed it.

Tue, 11/10/2009 - 12:35 | Link to Comment BobPaulson
BobPaulson's picture

ROTFL! This is a market?! War is Peace, Ignorance is Bliss and market recovery is a single carry conveyor belt from the Fed to equities by the banksters.

The most hilarious thing is, it isn't going to work unless they can get some other suckers to hold the steaming bag of fecal matter. The Pied Piper hasn't managed to lure any rats into the market yet if volumes are an indication.

Tue, 11/10/2009 - 12:36 | Link to Comment reading
reading's picture

Well Janet, if things are so damn good don't you think you should stop printing and start raising rates?

Tue, 11/10/2009 - 12:36 | Link to Comment Green Sharts
Green Sharts's picture

If anybody bothers to actually read the speech (it doesn't take long), it is quite bearish. Yellen says she thinks the economy has entered a period of sustained expansion and then basically contradicts that for the rest of the speech.

Tue, 11/10/2009 - 13:07 | Link to Comment RozzertheDropsky
RozzertheDropsky's picture

That's how I read it. She put the best possible face on a lot of very unfavorable economic facts, such as the commercial RE market. I think she was just trying to avert a Jonestown scenario in Phoenix. They can't take much more.

Tue, 11/10/2009 - 13:09 | Link to Comment Takingbets
Takingbets's picture

After reading the first page and part of the second, I could not bring myself to read any further. Maybe I'll try to later after my lunch has digested, I don't want to clean up a mess today.

Tue, 11/10/2009 - 13:48 | Link to Comment Cursive
Cursive's picture

I suppose she's having her cake and eating, too.  That's what got us in this mess in the first place.

Tue, 11/10/2009 - 12:39 | Link to Comment deadhead
deadhead's picture

I read the first two paragraphs and stopped.

She must still have a stash of that good Owsley LSD from the summer of love, cuz she sure as hell sounds like she is tripping to me.

 

Tue, 11/10/2009 - 12:44 | Link to Comment Hephasteus
Hephasteus's picture

I want to thank you for reading the first two paragraphs. It's an excellent service and not one that most people would undertake. As the mutual ass kissing one the first two lines is enough to stop most people. You're a credit to your race and gender and even to your musical affiliations Mr. Deadhead.

<Cue Golfclapping>

[You know I'm making fun of them not you right deadhead?]

Tue, 11/10/2009 - 12:46 | Link to Comment Ned Zeppelin
Ned Zeppelin's picture

Cunning. Headline reads "Fed's Yellen Bullish" and the rest of the speech is backpedaling for future reference when things go terribly awry.  Still, the important thing is that this is the message The Oligarchs intend to be published in their controlled MSM without qualification, and then to be followed without question, and  - guess what - the market, such as it is, will follow it.

Other predictions you can take to the bank (make sure it's a TBTF):

1.  Fed will not be audited. Puh-leze.

2.  Backdoor QE will continue until further notice - nevermind that nonesense about stopping GSE entity purchases next March. The presses will run until further notice.

3.  Healthcare will pass.

4.  Next up, cap and trade.  GS will make zillions trading in credits.

5.  CDS/derivatives will double in overall volume before the end of 2010. 

There is no down, only up.

Tue, 11/10/2009 - 13:02 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Tue, 11/10/2009 - 13:20 | Link to Comment MarkD
MarkD's picture

Like Moody's statement yesterday

"AIG Should Be Able To Repay US Loan, Preferred Stock"

Nice headline....but.....

One must read on to find

"assuming the giant insurer's operations and the global financial markets stabilize further"

 

I guess I could say " I should be able to pay you for that Audi A8 as soon as I win the lottery"

Tue, 11/10/2009 - 13:23 | Link to Comment Green Sharts
Green Sharts's picture

The headline at Yahoo Finance on Yellen's speech and one by a member of the Atlanta Fed is "Fed Officials Warn Weak Recovery Won't Spur Jobs"

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Fed-officials-warn-weak-apf-3879922712.htm...

They may change that headline though.  Yesterday they had one saying the G8 had committed to an extended period of "easy money" and then a while later it was changed to something more innocuous.

Tue, 11/10/2009 - 13:54 | Link to Comment Cursive
Cursive's picture

They wanted the more equity bearish headline to coincide with the $25B 10-yr. auction today.

Tue, 11/10/2009 - 12:49 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Tue, 11/10/2009 - 12:55 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Tue, 11/10/2009 - 13:05 | Link to Comment docj
docj's picture

Man, that must be some quality Hopeium she's got there.

Tue, 11/10/2009 - 13:05 | Link to Comment waterdog
waterdog's picture

Her text makes sense if you only read the first sentence of each paragraph. It is the garbage she uses for color that makes her sound like a goof.

Tue, 11/10/2009 - 13:08 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Tue, 11/10/2009 - 13:10 | Link to Comment asdf
asdf's picture

she doesn't sound optimistic

 

http://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2009/11/feds-yellen-on-economic-outloo...

 

When the weakness of the commercial property market is combined with the muted outlook for housing and consumer spending, you can see why I believe that the overall economic recovery is likely to be gradual and remain vulnerable to shocks. It’s popular to pick a letter of the alphabet to describe the likely course of the economy. The letter I would choose doesn’t exist in our alphabet, but if I were to describe it, it would look something like an “L” with a gradual upward tilt of the base. With such a slow rebound, unemployment could well stay high for several years to come. In other words, our recovery is likely to feel like something well short of good times.

Tue, 11/10/2009 - 13:48 | Link to Comment WaterWings
WaterWings's picture

What letter looks like a mushroom cloud?

 

Using Mandarin I can create a recovery that looks like Chinese tanks enforcing real estate liens in Kalifornia.

Wed, 11/11/2009 - 05:56 | Link to Comment Hephasteus
Hephasteus's picture

LOL

Tue, 11/10/2009 - 13:10 | Link to Comment Ned Zeppelin
Ned Zeppelin's picture

Actually, having read through the whole speech, it is rather benign in terms of unrealistic expectations.  She calls for a "L-shaped recovery, with an upward tilt" - the long slow slog back. Sounds about right. For the real economy, that is. Please understand that these remarks have nothing to do with the equities markets and the casino action which is beyond such trivial concerns as "final consumer demand" and "high unemployment."  I did find her "so go ahead, pat us Fed Folks on the back" bullshit at the end to be ridiculous, but hey, the data and the hard evidence suggests she's right.

Tue, 11/10/2009 - 13:11 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Tue, 11/10/2009 - 13:12 | Link to Comment msscheiner77777
msscheiner77777's picture

Yellen and Miskin must have had a powwow.

In Iceland.

Studies show that people who have fixed beliefs only listen to information that supports what they believe.  The brain actually blocks it out.  That is why they continue to put out drivel.  That and they get paid to do it.

 

Tue, 11/10/2009 - 13:17 | Link to Comment Racer
Racer's picture

ROFL

 

Is this the new terminology to take over from the variations on "contained"

Tue, 11/10/2009 - 13:31 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Tue, 11/10/2009 - 13:36 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Tue, 11/10/2009 - 13:38 | Link to Comment Racer
Racer's picture

"Broke the economy's downward spiral" more like the stock market is all she was talking about....

as for her ridiculous figures for unemployment..... they are still on a big downward spiral

 

But the banksters bonuses are on an upward spiral again so that's alright then

Tue, 11/10/2009 - 13:38 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Tue, 11/10/2009 - 13:45 | Link to Comment Overpowered By Funk
Overpowered By Funk's picture

I'm gonna find out what JL is smoking and get some ASAP!

Tue, 11/10/2009 - 14:02 | Link to Comment hidingfromhelis
hidingfromhelis's picture

"But experience teaches us that budget deficits do not cause inflation in advanced economies with independent central banks that pursue appropriate monetary policies."

Why yes, I did see that unicorn perched on the back of the flying pig landing next to the leprechaun with the pot of gold at the end of the rainbow.

Good thing we're an advanced economy, eh?

Tue, 11/10/2009 - 14:12 | Link to Comment Sec.NotSure
Sec.NotSure's picture

Well, at least the leprechan is set in advance. Good for him.

Tue, 11/10/2009 - 15:49 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Tue, 11/10/2009 - 14:30 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Tue, 11/10/2009 - 15:17 | Link to Comment JR
JR's picture

I have never heard from a Federal official a greater and more dangerous lie than this.  Look up liar in the dictionary, and there is Yellen’s picture.  I don’t think a man could have gotten by with this: we must just assume she doesn’t know any better.

The news is everywhere but seems to have bypassed Janet: the economy isn’t running except on government stimulus.  As Bernanke and Congress drive deeper and deeper into financial mire, the economy is faltering more and more into stagnation.   This is not an economy fueling itself on free enterprise competitive production, balanced by supply and demand—it is banks using the monopoly of government for their own private business.

A resurgent stock market? “Bernanke has underwritten every sector of the financial system with government guarantees. The market can no longer operate without the Fed.  The Fed IS the market, which is why it is foolish to talk about ‘recovery.’ …Everyone who watches the market has noticed the inverse correlation of stocks to the dollar.  When the dollar fades, stocks soar.  And when the dollar strengthens, stocks plunge.  Eventually, the dollar will reverse-course and stage a comeback, probably when Bernanke stops his printing operations.  That will trigger the next severe correction which will burst bubbles across all asset classes. ”  Mike Whitney

Consumer spending?  “Except for the super rich, there has been no growth in consumer incomes in the 21st century.  Statistician John Williams of shadowstats.com reports that real household income has never recovered its pre-2001 peak… there is no basis for a growing consumer economy… In today’s America, the only incomes that rise are in the financial sector that risks the country’s future on excessive leverage and in the corporate world that substitutes foreign for American labor. If measured according to the methodology used when I was Assistant Secretary of the Treasury, the unemployment rate today in the US is above 20%.  Moreover, there is no obvious way of reducing it.  There are no factories, with work forces temporarily laid off by high interest rates, waiting for a lower interest rate policy to call their workforces back into production… The work has been moved abroad…  Despite 20% unemployment and cum laude engineering graduates who cannot find jobs or even job interviews, Congress continues to support 65,000 annual H-1B work visas for foreigners.”  Paul Craig Roberts

Jobs? “The analysts completely ignored the continued trend of replacing goods-producing jobs with those jobs that require production from other sources.  For example, we lost 61,000 manufacturing jobs last month, but added 45,000 jobs in education and health services…the addition of health care workers is nothing to celebrate…just as a family’s economic position is not improved by higher medical bills…” Peter Schiff

The dollar?  “The offshoring of jobs, the bailout of rich banksters and war deficits are destroying the value of the U.S. dollar.  Since last spring, the U.S. dollar has been rapidly losing value.  The currency of the hegemonic superpower has declined 14 percent against the Botswana pula, 22 percent against Brazil’s real and 11 percent against the Russian ruble.  Once the dollar loses its reserve currency status, the U.S. will be unable to pay for its imports or finance its government budget deficits…  Offshoring has made Americans heavily dependent on imports, and the dollar’s loss of purchasing power will further erode American incomes.  As the Federal Reserve is forced to monetize Treasury debt issues, domestic inflation will break out.  Except for the banksters and the offshoring CEOs, there is no source of consumer demand to drive the U.S. economy.”  Paul Craig Roberts (October 15)

Housing?  Industrial production?  “Despite the lowest level of housing starts in 64 years, the US housing market is flooded with unsold homes, and financial institutions have a huge and rising inventory of foreclosed homes not yet on the market…. Industrial production has collapsed to the level of 1999, wiping out a decade of growth in industrial output.”  Paul Craig Roberts (October 20)

The middle class?  “Income inequality in the US is now the most extreme of all countries.  The 2008 OECD report, “Income Distribution and Poverty in OECD Countries,” concludes that the US is the country with the highest inequality and poverty rate across the OECD and that since 2000 nowhere has there been such a stark rise in income inequality as in the US… The stark increase in US income inequality in the 21st century coincides with the offshoring of US jobs, which enriched executives with “performance bonuses” while impoverishing the middle class, and with the rapid rise of unregulated OTC derivatives, which enriched Wall Street and the financial sector at the expense of everyone else.”  Paul Craig Roberts (October 25)

A better financial system?  “When Goldman Sachs recently announced that it was paying massive six- and seven-figures bonuses to every employee, public outrage erupted.  In defense of banksters, saved with the public’s money, paying themselves bonuses in excess of most people’s life-time earnings, Lord Griffiths, Vice Chairman of Goldman Sachs International, said that the public must learn to “tolerate the inequality as a way to achieve greater prosperity for all.”  Paul Craig Roberts 

No, Janet.  There is no Santa Claus, that’s the American people you’ve ripped off. The crooks have the government.

Tue, 11/10/2009 - 15:38 | Link to Comment Mark Beck
Mark Beck's picture

The speech message; the worst is not over, with some FED frosting on top. Officially, she could not declare the recession over, and stated in clear terms that much of the recovery was due to stimulus, which is coming to an end, and not natural economic forces. Also, she talked about a jobless recovery being probable, and the use of QE to control private interest rates.

But, towards the end, in FED speak, given the other facts presented, it got stupid and goofy. 

The FEDs goal of price stability = clearly price manipulation and asset bubble creation in buying GSE MBS, and ultra low rates.

The FEDs goal of full employment = A disaster at 10.2%, and a track record of no jobs recovery after past recessions.

Given the fact the FED is not longer effective in achieving its goals, I find Yellen's expertise and personal integrity in question. Janet, I ask myself, exactly who do you speak for?

Tue, 11/10/2009 - 18:39 | Link to Comment dleddy14
dleddy14's picture

Thanks goodness this is only text.  My four year-old caught a glipse of a video of her I was watching last month and started screaming and crying hysterically.

Tue, 11/10/2009 - 18:49 | Link to Comment Anonymous
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