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Jim Rogers Rotates From Gold To Rice, Sets Foundation For Next Bubble

Tyler Durden's picture




 

During a presentation in Chicago yesterday, Jim Rogers may have well laid the foundation for the next bubble predicted by Zero Hedge in October, namely rice. His comments may have also spooked some of the weaker hands in gold, which has tumbled by $20 today, primarily on concerns what Chinese tightening may do to demand for the precious metal. Of course, how tightening is bad for commodities and good for stocks is one of those questions that can only be explained by the Fed's third mandate. From Bloomberg: "While gold “may go down for awhile,” the metal is “going to go over $2,000 in this decade,” Rogers, who owns gold, silver and rice, said today during a presentation to business executives in Chicago. Gold touched a record $1,432.50 an ounce in New York on Dec. 7. The price closed today at $1,387. “I’d rather own rice,” Rogers said. “I’d rather own something that’s more depressed than gold.”"

Rogers has long been bullish the MOO complex, and the recent surge in food prices merely validates his most recent predictions:

Agricultural commodities are “going to boom” as demand increases in developing markets, primarily in Asia, he said. All commodities will be supported by the weakening dollar, which is losing value because Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke is “printing money” by buying Treasuries in an effort to shore up the U.S. economy, Rogers said.

“Paper money is made of cotton, and I’m long cotton, by the way,” Rogers said. “One reason I’m long cotton is because Dr. Bernanke is out there running the printing presses as fast as he can.”

Rogers said he doesn’t own shares in U.S. companies and is short U.S. long-term treasury bonds. The Chinese renminbi may provide “almost sure profits over the next five to 10 years,” he said.

“In the future, it’s the stock broker who’s going to be driving the cabs,” Rogers said. “The smart stock brokers will learn to drive tractors, and drive them for the farmers, because the farmers will have the money.”

In the meantime, with the fundamental thesis that printing money will do little to strengthen the dollar unchanged, non-dilutable currencies of the precious metal variety are merely enjoying this latest shake out, which is certainly being welcome by banks like the PBoC which has the buying a few billions worth of gold to even remotely approach the actual (supposed) holdings of "sovereigns" like the GLD.

As for those who wish to catch the next bubble during the parabolic phase, we may recommend an early positioning in rice and its derivatives. And yes, rubber will be next.

 

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Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:14 | 876077 ZeroPower
ZeroPower's picture

BTFD equities = go figure

Gold kinda nervous lows of the day here...

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:29 | 876145 unwashedmass
unwashedmass's picture

 

excuse me, but could we call a spade a spade at least at zerohedge?

gold is not going down due to Rodgers.

its going down because yesterday the CTFC gave JPM a free pass, and they are cratering the market praying that some physical shows up at the front door of the Comex.

Christ, can't we be honest at zero hedge?

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:35 | 876168 OldTrooper
OldTrooper's picture

Gold down is fine with me.  Just means I get a better price on my regular purchase.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:41 | 876195 66Sexy
66Sexy's picture

Silver down over a buck..

'The bears' said 2 months..

In 'the bears' we trust.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 13:59 | 876607 Turd Ferguson
Turd Ferguson's picture

Starting to think you may be right.

I've updated this post with some very important info...I think. Please read before the close today:

http://tfmetalsreport.blogspot.com/2011/01/that-was-then-this-is-now.html

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:59 | 876310 caconhma
caconhma's picture

Jim Rogers likes publicity. He is an entertainer. He is also a trader. Consequently, he is a person, like his old pal Soros, whose statements are more misleading rather than being honest and helpful.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 15:07 | 876909 jackplata
jackplata's picture

I agree.  He is a publicity whore

 

My silver holding got whacked today

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:35 | 876169 txapela
txapela's picture

have to agree here. the major raid yesterday on the PMs was incredible - more so because it was during the CFTC meeting. They'll keep raiding it as much as possible throughout january, and then it'll come back up Feb and March like crazy.

 

Besides, any real role in rice is impossible unless you trade contracts. the 3 ETFs with some rice are a bunch of grains and agricultures. So even if rice goes up, a bunch of the other components mgiht go down. So you get what for your trouble? Shit? Yes. Shit.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:45 | 876206 flacon
flacon's picture

yesterday the CTFC gave JPM a free pass

 

I don't know who to believe any more...

 

CFTC proposes stringent commodity limits
Jan. 13, 2011, 10:17 a.m. EST
WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) -- Seeking to combat manipulation and speculation, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission on Thursday voted to propose a rule that would restrict the number of commodity futures and option contracts that any investor can hold in energy, agriculture or metals derivatives. "Position limits help to protect the markets both in times of clear skies and when there is a storm on the horizon," said CFTC Chairman Gary Gensler. The proposal was introduced by a vote of 4-to-1.
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/cftc-proposes-stringent-commodity-limit...
Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:52 | 876256 lsbumblebee
lsbumblebee's picture

Horses out. Barn door closed.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:55 | 876277 unwashedmass
unwashedmass's picture

 

its total BS, they have a sixty comment period. Note they voted to PROPOSE a rule.

we have been here before....we've had several "comment periods" they have received literally truckloads of emails, letters, Fedexes....

it all means nothing. they work for JPM...

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:17 | 876086 the grateful un...
the grateful unemployed's picture

I don't want to buy anything that feeds the Chinese Army. The Peace bubble is about to burst too

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:36 | 876174 A Nanny Moose
A Nanny Moose's picture

If it's in your hands, then it's not in their mouths. How does that feed them?

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 15:40 | 877033 the grateful un...
the grateful unemployed's picture

glad to see war profiteering still has its proponents. by investing in rice futures you drive the price higher, cause the inflation that destroys the Chinese government from within, and sends troops out across the borders. those who repeat history are obligated to read it.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 16:51 | 877313 Confuchius
Confuchius's picture

@876086

 

Don't worry about the Chinese Army.

Worry instead about the amerrikan army, who runs around the world like lunatiks killing millions of civilians for no reason other than to be cruel.

 

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 19:45 | 877854 the grateful un...
the grateful unemployed's picture

and who do you back in that contest?

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:20 | 876098 FunkyMonkeyBoy
FunkyMonkeyBoy's picture

All the powers that be are trying to do is force everyone into equities, to take the huge amount of overpriced crap off their hands before this whole corrupt to the core system implodes.

I'll buy the dips on precious metals thank you. Don't trust these criminals one bit. Not when the market has already proven it can fall 10% in 10 minutes.

It's all just one giant ponzi scam, no way this can be unravelled nicely, they aren't even trying to, they are simply trying to pump the ponzi further.

Precious metals are truth.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:48 | 876237 flacon
flacon's picture


Sneak Preview: Market Crash (May 6th, 2010)

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WmpNTtQu8E4

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:20 | 876105 TrafficNotHere
TrafficNotHere's picture

Make sure you take delivery!!

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:38 | 876182 A Nanny Moose
A Nanny Moose's picture

You can't eat ri...nevermind.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 13:05 | 876345 the rookie cynic
the rookie cynic's picture

Nice one.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:21 | 876108 Lord Peter Pipsqueak
Lord Peter Pipsqueak's picture

A rice ETF anyone?:)

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:31 | 876153 Irwin Fletcher
Irwin Fletcher's picture

Don't think so. RJA may be the closest you can get.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 14:56 | 876855 spekulatn
spekulatn's picture

 ......and a stockbroker-aid.

Better book Willie before he croaks.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:21 | 876110 Bastiat
Bastiat's picture

As real food shortages may be imminent, food hoarding/speculating has its political risks.  Like maybe you end up hanging from a lightpole.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:47 | 876230 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Maybe Bernank and Geithner end up hanging from light poles instead.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 13:05 | 876344 WakeUpPeeeeeople
WakeUpPeeeeeople's picture

Swing'em all

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 22:04 | 878119 StychoKiller
StychoKiller's picture

You're being too merciful!  Pain Amplifiers are where it's at.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:53 | 876266 Saxxon
Saxxon's picture

Yes; the 'folksy' Jim Rogers is a very astute trader; very.  But he is also an elitest reptile who just called the black swarm of cyber-money down onto Asia's staple food.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 15:44 | 877050 Mark Medinnus
Mark Medinnus's picture

After dissin' an icon, your pic's just gotta hit the most muscular pose.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 16:56 | 877336 theprofromdover
theprofromdover's picture

Exactamundo.
Jimbo, maybe try and look yourself in the mirror sometime.
Rice? Getta life bottom-feeder.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:23 | 876116 Zina
Zina's picture

Who needs rice? I just need beans.

 

 

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:43 | 876197 DosZap
DosZap's picture

Brother Zina,

You can LIVE almost indefintely on Rice and Beans, and Water.

Snag a couple of 50# bags.(of both)

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:44 | 876214 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

I hate rice, I'll buy black beans and oats all day though. Loadin up more today this will get ugly. Dont forget salt either, at one time was the worlds main currency.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:55 | 876279 yabyum
yabyum's picture

Sodium Bitches! ( Sorry, had to do it)

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 13:14 | 876396 gmrpeabody
gmrpeabody's picture

No need to apologize, you just beat everybody else to it!

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 18:36 | 877659 philgramm
philgramm's picture

minor correction: it's sodium chloride bitchezzzzzzzz!!!!!!

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:47 | 876234 Mark Medinnus
Mark Medinnus's picture

which passes the smell test?

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 14:38 | 876776 Turd Ferguson
Turd Ferguson's picture

beans...the musical fruit

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 14:52 | 876836 Star Warrior
Star Warrior's picture

+100 LOL

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:22 | 876117 Millennial
Millennial's picture

So are we gonna go mad max style collapse? Rome collapse? Soviet Union collapse? Or like is there's gonna be a "Viva la revolucion? With cigars and patrol caps?"

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:25 | 876124 FunkyMonkeyBoy
FunkyMonkeyBoy's picture

As long as the bernank ends up hanging from a lamp post i do not care what type of revolution we have, we can have a 'wear a tu-tu revolution' for all i care.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:42 | 876202 DosZap
DosZap's picture

Screw that, I want a lot of fkin heads from poles.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 14:58 | 876869 DoChenRollingBearing
DoChenRollingBearing's picture

Dos, you got that right.

NOT ONE on these guys has gone to jail, in the biggest financial crimes in world history.  This will not end well.  

I am almost done with my gold buying.  I am near 10% in physical PMs (most in gold), which is good enough for me.  There's a lot going on in my life that keeps me from upping that much more.  10% is plenty though.

Next is food (I have only a "starter" collection) and water cleaning devices.  And of course I need to buy and fire more 9mm and 7.62 x 39...

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:54 | 876272 Saxxon
Saxxon's picture

+1 and he will have neighbors!

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 15:01 | 876878 aerojet
aerojet's picture

More like Collapse, American Style.  Think big-screen led tvs and iPads.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:24 | 876123 bonddude
bonddude's picture

Jimmy nailed the whole enchilada.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:25 | 876127 Millennial
Millennial's picture

I like enchiladas.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:25 | 876125 Spalding_Smailes
Spalding_Smailes's picture

China tightening this year .... Nooooooooooo

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:24 | 876126 the rookie cynic
the rookie cynic's picture

If the economy gets better, the new growth will need fuel = higher commodities.

If the economy doesn't get better, central banks are gonna print = higher commodities.

The only way commodity prices drop is if the economy gets worse and the PTB decide it time for a good 'ole debt and asset price deflation spiral from hell that wipes out the Fed, the TBTFs, and all their politicos and MIC cronies.

Which scenario are you betting on?

http://therookiecynic.wordpress.com/

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:25 | 876128 flaunt
flaunt's picture

Jim Rogers also lumped silver into the same bucket as rice.  He's not selling and will buy more if it goes down (which it obviously has). 

“Silver is still 40 percent below its all-time high. So silver has not been any sort of great bubble compared to perhaps some other assets we know.”

 

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 14:52 | 876837 Strider52
Strider52's picture

This occurred to me yesterday: Since we all know that EVERY number that is generated by TPTB is, at the very least, suspect, if not outright fraud, then:

Why couldn't they lie about the price of gold and silver?

 It seems to me much easier to publish a fraudulent price than to actually go naked short 100's or 1,000's of contracts.

 All of the banks and governments are in collusion, wouldn't it be easy to make a conference phone call and just say "drop them both 2%"?

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:25 | 876130 lynnybee
lynnybee's picture

i'm going to COSTCO tomorrow & load up the shopping cart with RICE now ........ my family thinks i'm nuts.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:40 | 876192 Agent P
Agent P's picture

In the category of "it's better to have it and not need it, than to need it and not have it", rice is about the cheapest insurance out there. 

I'll be perfectly honest with you, I don't think we're ever going to need it...but I damn sure have a lot of it.  And just like you, I'm doing this for my family, who also thinks I'm nuts. 

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 13:17 | 876407 gmrpeabody
gmrpeabody's picture

+100

And I'd keep it quiet as possible, if you know what I mean.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 14:04 | 876639 Agent P
Agent P's picture

I have no idea what you're talking about. ;)

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 13:18 | 876410 the rookie cynic
the rookie cynic's picture

Most of the Americans who lived through the Great Depression are dead. Americans nowadays don't have a clue: ill-informed, dependant, vulnerable. My grandma, who is 90+ years old, still washes off the tin-foil and reuses it a few times before throwing it out.  We all think that's a little nuts, but she remembers. Ask Russian fathers and mothers about shaky economic times and you will get an education. Google Dimitri Orlov if you want to know how to prepare for hyperinflation. I honestly hope it never happens, but I've become a "prepper" all the same. It makes sense to hope for the best, but be prepared for the worst.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 13:22 | 876428 Dr. Porkchop
Dr. Porkchop's picture

LOL.. My sole remaining grandparent, is over 90 and lived it. I took her to lunch the other day and she didn't finish her sandwhich, so she pulled a bit of plastic wrap and a ziploc out of her purse and packed it away for later! I had to chuckle to myself.

I'm making a point of trying to be more like her.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 15:03 | 876894 aerojet
aerojet's picture

Orlov is a complete crank.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 18:47 | 877707 the rookie cynic
the rookie cynic's picture

How so?

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:58 | 876306 yabyum
yabyum's picture

Look at what happened in OZ! You should have a full pantry at al times. Enough food for your family is as important as gold or silver. PS get something you can eat, all beans has it's own issues.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 13:03 | 876335 What_Me_Worry
What_Me_Worry's picture

Was there last night.  50lb bags are about $17 and change.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 13:30 | 876456 RobD
RobD's picture

I'm a with you lynnybee and your are not nuts. I put 300lbs each of rice and beans away last weekend. I'm long rice 600lbs, beans 600lbs, corn 300lbs, and wheat 900lbs along with other long term storage food. Need more fat and protein though.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 14:52 | 876839 centerline
centerline's picture

Wow.  Kick ass supply quantities.  For fat and proteins with reasonable shelf life, think peanut butter, canned corned beef, and canned chicken/tuna.  They will all last a few years unopened.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 16:23 | 877188 RobD
RobD's picture

I have some of that plus some coconut oil(good for two years unopened) and some nasty veg oil. What I would really like to do is get a hog and can the meat and the lard. Because of the fat nazis you can't find fresh lard anywhere (at least I have not found a local source).

Sun, 01/16/2011 - 10:01 | 879808 WakeUpPeeeeeople
WakeUpPeeeeeople's picture

Don't forget the backyard squirrels. You may have to boil the hell out of them though-some of the little buggers can be tough.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 15:02 | 876888 aerojet
aerojet's picture

But you can't eat it, it's an investment now!  I have a sandwich-heavy portfolio myself.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 15:39 | 877030 Diogenes
Diogenes's picture

You don't need to go crazy. One 10KG or 20Lb sack of rice will feed one person two nice meals per day for a year.

While you are at the grocery store stop by the bakery dept and get some of those white plastic 2 1/2 gallon pails, one pail per sack of rice. They used to give them away now they charge a dollar. The pails pie filling comes in.

Put the rice in the pail, the lid seals tight and keeps the contents fresh and vermin free. Keep a juice pitcher or glass or metal container full in the cupboard for immediate use. Put the pail away in a clean dry dark place.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:26 | 876131 iota
iota's picture

I think it would have fallen a little harder and faster if it wasn't for the CPI data.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:26 | 876134 BeerGoggles
BeerGoggles's picture

everything will come down in a few weeks, why not wait to buy?

Better to short MOO (agribusiness) and buy agriculture as a pairs trade?

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:27 | 876137 RobotTrader
RobotTrader's picture

Forget commodities.

Credit card stocks are going to be the next big bubble.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:36 | 876157 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

One these morning your BS equities will just be worth -0-, markets probably wont even open due to the 'unforeseen tragedy', whether its Bernankes 'remove liquidity in 15 minutes' plan or otherwise, so Robo youll be left holding your dick without any food or any other commodities. You can think this is all a joke all you like, you'll be hit hard. Pride cometh before the fall and youre the most arrogant sumbitch I see around here.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 13:20 | 876415 goldmiddelfinger
goldmiddelfinger's picture

Obviously the idiot hasn't looked at Visa, V, or MasterCard, MA, lately!!  He/she is FOS

 

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 13:52 | 876578 Blano
Blano's picture

I think you guys are too harsh sometimes re: Robo.  RT's not saying "buy COF buy COF!!"  If anything just possibly pointing out something that may indeed be overpriced, something it seems ZH'ers might agree with.

As often as not it's a chart with a comment and not necessarily an opinion either way on direction.  Some things just keep going higher despite evidence that the contrary should be happening.  Not saying I like it, just the way it is these days.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 15:04 | 876896 DoChenRollingBearing
DoChenRollingBearing's picture

That's a good observation Blano.  Robo often does NOT put an editorial with his chart, I sort of realized that the other day.

RobotTrader stock up?

+100

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 13:54 | 876583 Blano
Blano's picture

Oops double post.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:59 | 876291 Saxxon
Saxxon's picture

Another Robo non-sequitor.  I cut you a lot of slack because I like your avatar.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 15:11 | 876930 Infinite QE
Infinite QE's picture

Yo Robo, 

Will your mom let you store rice in your bedroom? How about the garage?

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:28 | 876144 johnnymustardseed
johnnymustardseed's picture

Time to screw the Asians, the JP Morgue is at it again, they will not rest until they rule the worlds

NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- ETF Securities is adding one more gold ETF into the mix, but this time the gold is stored in Singapore.

ETFS Physical Asian Gold Shares is slated to debut on the New York Stock Exchange this Friday under the ticker symbol "AGOL" and ETF Securities is hoping that the lure of gold stored in Asia will help jumpstart investor demand.

The gold will be held by JPMorgan Chase in a recently purchased vault in Singapore under the London Bullion Market Association's rules for Good Delivery.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:36 | 876170 youngman
youngman's picture

Thats wierd..why would JPM want to store it in Singapore??????  Why not the USA?????  Hmmmm..less regulations over there....but don´t spit on the street...

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:37 | 876177 gwar5
gwar5's picture

Saw that. They're offshoring the fraud

End the Fed, end the fraud

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:48 | 876229 DosZap
DosZap's picture

WHO in their right mind would store,(paper ETF GOld), in a Red Chinese Bank?,when we cannot even trust OURS?.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:32 | 876147 Caviar Emptor
Caviar Emptor's picture

Source FT 1/6/2011:

% Change in certain commodities since 1/1/2010:

Coal +42%. Corn +34%. Rubber +78%. Soybeans +32%. Coffee +62%. Iron ore +43%. 

Key questions: did the US economy improve sufficiently to cause this giant move? If not, can the costs be realistically passed on to consumers? If not, can businesses withstand eroding margins? If not, can more layoffs, offshoring and cost cutting to maintain stellar earnings reports be far off? And if there's more unemployment and lower wages will housing prices rise? If not and if there's deflation in personal income and assets, while the cost of living rises what will the Fed response be? Can you guess? The wrong guess would be 'change the plan'. 

 

 

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:50 | 876245 DosZap
DosZap's picture

Screw it, not one thing on there I use.

Its the poor 3rd world bstds I feel for.

BTW, got new tires?, best get em.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:33 | 876158 lsbumblebee
lsbumblebee's picture

These takedowns at the Comex are doing nothing to lower open interest or notices standing for delivery. This is the cartel in a state of panic. Investors are catching on and da boyz better learn alchemy in hurry.

http://harveyorgan.blogspot.com/

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:38 | 876181 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

JP Morgue- 'Hey everyone guess what? We invented more paper gold this time in a vault in Singapore! Come buy a lot!'

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:40 | 876186 Caviar Emptor
Caviar Emptor's picture

You got that right. Notice corn selling off after panic reports of lowest stocks since 1995 with increasing demand for ethanol. :-) Benny Boy!

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 13:15 | 876393 DosZap
DosZap's picture

Well, when your a damned fool to use food for fuel, you deserve what you get.

Using Ethanol to destroy engines is insane at 10%+ levels.Going to 15%, is slap assed crazy.(and gonna cost you/us a fortune in engine repairs).

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 15:07 | 876908 DoChenRollingBearing
DoChenRollingBearing's picture

DosZap, two home runs in one thread!

Food ETFs DBA and CORN may be good speculations, although they have had a big run.

Disclosure: I own DBA.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:40 | 876194 Internet Tough Guy
Internet Tough Guy's picture

The lower the price the higher the physical demand.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:49 | 876240 Caviar Emptor
Caviar Emptor's picture

They only play kick the can

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:33 | 876161 gwar5
gwar5's picture

Good call on rice, there's food riots breaking out, but Rogers always says gold over $2000 'this decade'

But Jim still lives in Singapore because the USA is so screwed. I'm bearish on gold when Jim Rogers moves back. 

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:40 | 876191 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Rice probably is a good investment, I hate rice myself though so I'll stick with loading up on beans and oats and cans of long term food. Dont forget the real PM's either, ammo and firearms.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 15:15 | 876946 jackplata
jackplata's picture

That is what I love about ZH.  I come over here and get all kinds of excellent investment iideas.  I am long Hershey bars and Bayer aspirin.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 14:33 | 876751 bugs_
bugs_'s picture

Better believe he's going to move back.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:35 | 876167 Hephasteus
Hephasteus's picture

I'm sorry but gold is holding very strong since 1380 support was broken. If everyone switches over to food and bubbles that gold and silver will seek veangence.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:37 | 876179 FaithEqualsZero
FaithEqualsZero's picture

Rice Bitchezzz!

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:43 | 876204 Dr. Porkchop
Dr. Porkchop's picture

When it comes to rice, I buy the physical.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:43 | 876205 A Nanny Moose
A Nanny Moose's picture

Franks and Beans. Bitchez

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:46 | 876224 Dr. Porkchop
Dr. Porkchop's picture

Just don't ever get caught with the beans above the frank.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:54 | 876273 Agent P
Agent P's picture

How'd you get the beans above the frank?

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:44 | 876209 Spigot
Spigot's picture

Bluster and Swagger alert

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:54 | 876275 Spigot
Spigot's picture

Rogers' level of investment would not be able to buy sizable physical in gold or silver (like Buffett tried to do a while back), so IMO he's rotating out of paper contracts, not the physical.

He's trading for a living. That means moving investments around, but it also means doing so only in most liquid paper contracts, not physical.

BTW, the lowest strata of earners on this planet are being starved again as "traders" pile into food commodities and launch prices for food stuffs. That is why riots are occuring, and why they are occuring in poor nations. Replay of 2007 when starvation gripped the lowliest on this planet due to speculative run ups in commodities.

 

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 13:10 | 876381 Saxxon
Saxxon's picture

"BTW, the lowest strata of earners on this planet are being starved again as "traders" pile into food commodities and launch prices for food stuffs. That is why riots are occuring, and why they are occuring in poor nations. Replay of 2007 when starvation gripped the lowliest on this planet due to speculative run ups in commodities."

Correct and Rogers knows that better than most.  His ilk is reptillian and soul-less.  I am in accord with David Ickes on this point.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 17:40 | 877491 JW n FL
JW n FL's picture
by Saxxon
on Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:10
#876381

 

"BTW, the lowest strata of earners on this planet are being starved again as "traders" pile into food commodities and launch prices for food stuffs. That is why riots are occuring, and why they are occuring in poor nations. Replay of 2007 when starvation gripped the lowliest on this planet due to speculative run ups in commodities."

Correct and Rogers knows that better than most.  His ilk is reptillian and soul-less.  I am in accord with David Ickes on this point.

***********************************************************************************

 

Business is Business... but considering the group, does anyone here suffer so much that they might need to cause duress for many elsewhere?

 

I think Not!

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:45 | 876216 redvetttes
redvetttes's picture

Is my data wrong?
I have 176 new lows on the nyse
That like 125 more then monday

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 13:05 | 876220 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

WFMI had that day again, yesterday.  Jimmy owns the high end grocer, I am sure.  Too bad Rpdgers does not have enough cash to add to his gold position on this dip.  Maybe he is just jealous that he missed the move to $1800.

Platinum, bitchez!

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 15:11 | 876929 DoChenRollingBearing
DoChenRollingBearing's picture

Mr Lennon already knows platinum is my sentimental favorite too.

If those of us (inc. me) are WRONG about big problems to the world economy coming soonish, then Pt will be a GREAT play on China and the world economy.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:47 | 876222 Caviar Emptor
Caviar Emptor's picture

One thing that panicked them into a 'national security' response to commodities: 

In addition to the Prius, rare-earth minerals such as neodymium and dysprosium are used in motor magnets in Nissan Motor Co.’s all-electric Leaf car, General Motors Co.’s plug-in Volt and Honda Motor Co.’s Insight hybrid, as well as in mobile phones and rechargeable batteries. Toyota confirmed last year it has a task force to find rare-earth supplies outside China. -Bloomberg    That alone could sink GM. Again. 

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 13:06 | 876353 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

+1

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 15:12 | 876938 DoChenRollingBearing
DoChenRollingBearing's picture

+ 2 (Tb and Dy)

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:47 | 876226 youngman
youngman's picture

actually the body needs fat also..get some crisco....canned bacon......etc

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:47 | 876228 ThePermabear
ThePermabear's picture

I hopped over to MSN.com to check my local weather report and noticed they have a headline:  Global Food Chain Stretched to Limit . . . Rising demand and bad weather send prices soaring.  Not one friggin mention of speculation in the commodities markets or the Ben Bernanke.

 

Jeesh, makes me question the legitimacy of the weather reports from their site.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 13:28 | 876444 gmrpeabody
gmrpeabody's picture

Bad weather bitcheez!

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:53 | 876239 Threeggg
Threeggg's picture

This Gold/Silver dip is a physical scrammble.

While everyone is in a skittles induced Riverdance over at the Dow.

Muni's have started a "STAMPEDE" !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=CXE

Many penetrated down through their 52 week lows.

http://finance.yahoo.com/lookup?s=muni

Grab your kanckles !

Funny - When they have collateralized all the food in the world with debt it will turn to paper and you can't eat that.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:55 | 876283 youngman
youngman's picture

whats a kankle????

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 13:02 | 876330 ThePermabear
ThePermabear's picture

From the Urban Dictionary:

Calves that become feet without taking an ankle break.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 13:39 | 876510 RobD
RobD's picture

For a visual checkout out Hillary Clinton.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:49 | 876242 props2009
props2009's picture

Jim rogers gave an interview where he listed Silver and Rice as his picks for 2011. The problem with Rice is that India has a record rice harvest and so has Sri Lanka. 

http://dawnwires.com/business/rice-prices-will-rise-jim-rogers/

 

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:52 | 876255 goldmiddelfinger
goldmiddelfinger's picture

Jim says; "Gold? Gold will be CRUSHED".

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 13:11 | 876370 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

Platinum staying above $1800.  Who cares if gold dips, short it, see if we care.  There are two sides on every trade.  One side has to win eventually.  As for now, Blythe will churn gold lower and Carlos Slim will buy the f'n dip, Rodgers will shop at Whole Foods and GE will sell NBC to buy netflix.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 13:18 | 876409 goldmiddelfinger
goldmiddelfinger's picture

Oops. I see gold is down $30

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 13:34 | 876475 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

People who do not understand finance make me laugh.  Gold is monie.  It is the first loan of recourse for the banks.  It is the prop trade.  Shorting gold is treason to the economy.  It should be illigal for anyone to short gold, because gold has no paper contract.

Yet paper binds itself to gold like a dog dry humping gold's leg.  People think of gold as just another trade when it is monie.  But here people do not understand it lasts forever, can be made into pieces, and is recognized worldwide as those two things.  What is monie?  Read the definition.  It applies to gold, and only gold.

Gold is at the bottom of its support, so what.  It has been there this whole year.  And since all of the world's monie revolves around gold, because gold is monie, equities would crash if gold goes down past $1350.  I would love to see equities crash.  Dow Jones 10k with gold at $1300 would be awesome.

But like I said I could care less.  I have been watching platinum move from $1730 to $1820 and loving every minute of it.  Keep gold at $1350.  More time for all the bugs to buy!

 

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 13:36 | 876492 Hephasteus
Hephasteus's picture

Check my post in the intel earnings story. I see sheep. Fattened for a slaughter.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 13:34 | 876482 Hephasteus
Hephasteus's picture

Gee I sure hope it doesn't get fed into a futures roll that ends with DELIVERY!!!

You can't lose until you take the vital first step. Win.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:53 | 876267 Quinvarius
Quinvarius's picture

Rogers merely gets advance notice of raids on gold and currencies.  Once the banks spend enough of of our money running down paper gold, they will mysteriously show up with all their bank vaults full of the real thing.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 13:30 | 876463 gmrpeabody
gmrpeabody's picture

+1000

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 12:55 | 876285 waldocktrades
waldocktrades's picture

We've been writing on this for some time. China is doing everything they can to put the brakes on their economy. This may slow gold and silver but, it can't stop hungry people. The next bubble is food prices and it could get ugly. The numbers are just scary.

http://blog.commodityandderivativeadv.com/2011/01/14/food-inflation-is-h...

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 13:03 | 876334 Saxxon
Saxxon's picture

Tell you guys something; JPM and Jim Rogers and the rest of the round-eye Westerners keep fucking with commodities and we are going to see some serious fireworks.  Asia is a very large place and they eat a lot of rice.

The Renmin Ribao will be on this like . . . white on rice.  They will trumpet headlines blaming the food inflation in the PRC on Lao Wai speculators.  Watch and see.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 13:07 | 876355 iota
iota's picture

Asia is a very large place and they eat a lot of rice.

 

And own an awful lot of USTs.

May you live in interesting times.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 13:07 | 876358 Glasgow Gary
Glasgow Gary's picture

There's really no such thing as rotating from gold and silver into the soft commodities, in a macro sense, because all the emerging market central banks will simply buy more gold and silver as a hedge against rising food costs. In other words, gold and silver are the money one needs to buy softs and energy.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 13:17 | 876405 goldmiddelfinger
goldmiddelfinger's picture

True. It's not called rotation unless you run OTM. In the real world it's called CUTTING YOUR LOSSES !!!!

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 13:16 | 876402 cheesewizz
cheesewizz's picture

 Hell, lets just run up water and air too...

 

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 13:19 | 876413 jpritikin
jpritikin's picture

Rubber? Can somebody explain why rubber is going up?

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 13:22 | 876426 goldmiddelfinger
goldmiddelfinger's picture

Gold bugs are padding their rooms.

 

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 13:30 | 876458 Spalding_Smailes
Spalding_Smailes's picture

Lol'

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 13:43 | 876537 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

Padding their positions more like it.  You want a laugh?

From cnbc:

Gold falls below $1360 as dollar recovers.

Dollar recovered from what?  A binger?  Did it wake up on the beach naked and alone?

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 13:34 | 876476 Segestan
Segestan's picture

“I’d rather own rice,” Rogers said. “I’d rather own something that’s more depressed than gold.”"

 What an idiot and liar.... with Gold one can purchase Rice no matter the social climate.

There are so many mouth-pieces trying to talk down gold and silver it shows how weak they are becoming.

 

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 13:58 | 876601 Spalding_Smailes
Spalding_Smailes's picture


by Spalding_Smailes 
on Mon, 12/20/2010 - 16:51
#819500

Jim Rogers would not buy gold at this price - REUTERS 2011 INVESTMENT SUMMIT

 

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yZDVJ4L0Lbg&feature=related

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 14:13 | 876664 Threeggg
Threeggg's picture

The MMV down over 5.5 %

Eaton Vance Massachusetts Municipal Income Trust

http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=MMV

Volume picking up in the stampede out of public debt

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 14:37 | 876768 Saxxon
Saxxon's picture

I'm goint to change the subject abruptly but not with a 6-month AAPL chart.

I think munis are in a panic selloff.  I am thinking about picking up a CA tax-free fund.  What do you make of this, Curly?

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 14:17 | 876699 streetman
streetman's picture

He doesn't hate gold and he wasn't talking it down (I was there Wednesday), he just thinks you'll make more, quicker, in other things, most notably foodstuffs and rubber.  He said he liked rice because that's the staple for the 2+ billion people in Asia and it hasn't moved that much (down from recent highs).  I like it 'cause it's crazy labor intensive to grow (read "Outliers"), and there are occasional shortages or runs on packaged rice.  He also said he wished rice was a bigger index component but it can't be yet because it's so thinly traded, so if he's pushing a postion here, it's to grow open interest if anything. 

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 14:33 | 876749 reader2010
reader2010's picture

Rogers used to say the best commodity to won is SUGAR. What happens to his sugar?

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 14:42 | 876793 streetman
streetman's picture

He talked about that, too, made the point that despite its recent (2 yr) run it's still well below its IA all time high.  That said, the 30 yr sugar chart looks a little like gold to me...

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 14:38 | 876777 PaperWillBurn
PaperWillBurn's picture

well I hope Rogers owns a Rice farm and he isn't playing with the paper stuff. My Fiance's parents do so it looks like I can concentrate on the yellow stuff!

maybe rogers should move to Thailand like Marc Faber(and me) where Rice and Gold is grown and easily accumulated

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 14:40 | 876787 Stuck on Zero
Stuck on Zero's picture

I'm going to immediately sell my little stash of gold in my old sock and buy 47,000 lbs of rice and store it in my ...? 

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 15:23 | 876972 Hephasteus
Hephasteus's picture

Grain silo. This is a clear example of just how fucked they've become. They are attempting to herd people away from gold into illogical nonsense.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 14:50 | 876826 jeffgroove102
jeffgroove102's picture

If they really want to plunge the price of gold, then some key prosecutions need to take place to re establish trust. Gold spikes in value due to counter party risk and of course massive money printing.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 15:26 | 876980 Hephasteus
Hephasteus's picture

We can't afford trust. SEC needz more monies. They only have 1 billion budget and can't do much. We'll just have to do it the old fashioned way. Lie, keep lying keep up the lie. Wait for it to stick.

Fri, 01/14/2011 - 15:37 | 877023 Federalist45
Federalist45's picture

Buy gold at $1250 near the bottom of this pullback; buy silver at $23 near the bottom of this pullback.

Now, looking for help here--if we face TEOTWAWKI (catastrophic social/economic/political failure), when does it happen, what is/are the catalyst(s), and is it a slow-to-boil or flash fire?  If we don't face TEOTWAWKI, how bad will the meltdown, if any, be, how long will it last, and when do we know we are at bottom?

I figure that you cannot know whether and when to buy physical PMs or paper/electronic PMs unless you know the answers to these questions.  If TEOTWAWKI, better buy physical only PMs and everything else--fuel, weapons, ammo, food, water.  If not TEOTWAWKI, then paper/electronic PMs and such will be fine.  

Why do ZH readers and posters all seem to think "the end is near"?  Are you clued into something that 1000 times your number just cannot see?  Is it their normalcy bias?  Is it that they are lambs being led to slaughter by the political/corporate/financial interests of global hegemons?  

If 99/100 ZH readers believe we face TEOTWAWKI in by the end of, say, 2014, does that not cry out for a contrarian view and action based on it?

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