This page has been archived and commenting is disabled.

Water, Meet Blood - JP Morgan Admits To, Reduces Massive Silver Short Position, Proves Millions Of Conspiracy Theorists Correct

Tyler Durden's picture




 

In the latest example that virtually every conspiracy theory is almost always inevitably proven to be fact, the Financial Times reports that JP Morgan, the firm targeted by thousands of "tin foil hat" wearing, conspiratorially-oriented "gold bugs", has cut back on its US silver futures. "JPMorgan has quietly reduced a large position in the US silver futures market which had been at the centre of a controversy about its impact on global prices for the precious metal." And in what can only be considered an unprecedented victory for all those who have over the past year agitated to putting JP Morgan out of business, most recently spearheded by the likes of Mike Krieger and Max Keiser, by forcing a massive short squeeze on its commodities trading desk, we learn that "the decision by JPMorgan was an attempt to deflect public criticism of the bank’s dealings in silver, a person familiar with the matter said. The person added that the bank’s position in silver would from now on be “materially smaller” than in the past." Of course, the latter is pure and total bullshit: as Bart Chilton indicated over the weekend, it is JP Morgan who at one point or another (and possibly very recently) controlled as much as 40% of the silver market, via a massive short. Attempting to make others believe that this short could be covered without pushing the price of the silver metal to over $100/ounce is an indication of either how stupid JPM believes the general population to be, or just how desperate the firm is to end the ongoing short squeeze onslaught. Either way, we are confident that this first unprecedented confirmation that a) JPM is indeed massively short silver and b) that it is hurting bad, will merely redouble efforts to put the world's biggest financial company out of business. Lastly, this means that silver is about to really blast off as the push to really hurt JPM takes off in earnest.

From FT:

The US regulator, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, announced in September 2008 that it was investigating complaints of misconduct in the silver market, although it did not name specific entities.

However, JPMorgan said in a statement: “It is absolutely incorrect to say or imply that the Nymex, CFTC or any other exchange or regulator has instructed or asked us to reduce our position.” The bank declined to comment on whether it had reduced its position in the silver market.

The price of silver has risen more than 70 per cent since mid-August to hit a 30-year high of $30.68 a troy ounce last week on the back of a surge in investor buying and a rebound in industrial silver consumption.

In two previous reviews of the silver market, the CFTC has dismissed claims of manipulation. Most analysts say there is little reason to believe the price of silver is being systematically manipulated.

But Bart Chilton, a CFTC commissioner, said in October that he believed there had been “fraudulent efforts” to “deviously control” the silver price. He did not name any party.

Publicly available data on individual traders’ positions are sketchy. In a speech last Wednesday, Mr Chilton said that “earlier this year, one trader held more than 40 per cent of the silver market”. He declined to identify the trader.

The CFTC’s Bank Participation Report shows that one or more US banks held a gross short silver futures position equal to 19.1 per cent of the total number of outstanding contracts in early December. In January the share was 30.2 per cent.

The CFTC only reports data for the US silver futures market, a small corner of the global derivatives market for the precious metal, which is centred in London and largely traded via private over-the-counter deals. The data also do not cover transactions in the physical market.

Analysts and traders said that JPMorgan’s large short positions on New York’s Comex exchange, a division of Nymex, were hedges for the bank’s long positions in physical silver and London’s over-the-counter market.

JPMorgan has invested nearly $3bn over the past two years in its commodities business led by Blythe Masters.

And while we revel in the knowledge that the short squeeze is causing massive pain for JPM, we are far more overjoyed that the days of Blythe Masters as head of JPM's commodities desk is coming to an end: any comparable massive admission of weakness by a trader is always and inevitably followed by some very high profile terminations.

 

- advertisements -

Comment viewing options

Select your preferred way to display the comments and click "Save settings" to activate your changes.
Mon, 12/13/2010 - 21:24 | 803299 Biggus Dickus Jr.
Biggus Dickus Jr.'s picture

thanks I might just try that.  And to answer your question I have bought dips, panic sold, panic bought.  You name it I have done it.  However I have always been fortunate that when I trade I obsessively watch the quotes all day long on my android.  Sell early, sell often.  During my early education I made all the beginner mistakes.  Now I only make mid-career trader mistakes.

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 21:44 | 803359 cosmictrainwreck
cosmictrainwreck's picture

all right.....you go then, Junior! and I'll wish you "luck" just 'cause I'm a nice guy; wish the best for any ZH'er, notwithstanding the BS posts (well, in truth, there's just a couple or few I might not so wish) 

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 21:50 | 803390 A_MacLaren
A_MacLaren's picture

Now I only make mid-career trader mistakes.

Like flip-flopping on bullishness/bearishness?

http://www.zerohedge.com/article/november-budget-deficit-1504-billion-wo...

 

by Biggus Dickus Jr.
on Fri, 12/10/2010 - 14:52
#796629


the difficulty is picking out the best ideas.  But complaining about the unfairness of it all does no good.  That's all I'm trying to say.  Complaining and anger just robs you of the dispassion you need to invest.  I've been a silver bull for a decade now.  Still am.

and then:

http://www.zerohedge.com/article/cftc-commissioner-bart-chilton-reveals-...

 

by Biggus Dickus Jr.
on Sat, 12/11/2010 - 14:53
#798960


Ok all together now pray with me. Silver is going Down. silver is going down please god make silver hit 24 I promise to start going to.church and give alms to the poor.

So now you're bullish, again?

by Biggus Dickus Jr.
on Mon, 12/13/2010 - 19:16
#803062


Ok I'm going to do my part. I can't afford a comex contract but I can buy into slv or another fund. Give me an opinion and explain why.

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 23:06 | 803551 chopper read
chopper read's picture

+35

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 20:26 | 803106 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

SLV trades lower than the metal itself, and if their is ever a run on the metal, only the five largest custodians will get a peice of the deRotheschilde's ishares.

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 20:41 | 803159 Selah
Selah's picture

 

If you can't hold it in your hands, then you don't own it.

If you own a contract or a fund, then you own exactly that. A piece of paper or a promise. I prefer the real thing.

 

Tue, 12/14/2010 - 00:07 | 803706 SRV - ES339
SRV - ES339's picture

Absolutely right, most of the time...

Sprott's new Silver "Trust" (not a fund) is backed 100% with bullion, trades as a stock, and delivery (once a month) is guaranteed aqt NAV (less premium which is running at about 10%).

 

Tue, 12/14/2010 - 01:30 | 803842 StychoKiller
StychoKiller's picture

So, phone sex doesn't do it for you either, then? :>D

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 20:57 | 803218 PulpCutter
PulpCutter's picture

Bags of old 90% US coins. 

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 21:12 | 803258 Temporalist
Temporalist's picture

If you can find them...APMEX has only a couple of bags of $100 Roosevelt Dimes remaining right now.

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 21:33 | 803326 Selah
Selah's picture

 

Roosevelt Dimes?

Get the Mercury's if you still can. No one wants to look at dates to see if it's real money.

 

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 21:49 | 803357 akak
akak's picture

A cursory glance at the edge of the coin will also indicate which are silver and which are copper-nickel clad.  I used to pull the silver dimes and quarters from dozens of rolls from the bank in a matter of seconds back in the 1970s this way.  Also, the tone of the coin when dropped is very different for 90% silver coins vs. the clad versions as well ---- after heard repeatedly, it becomes instantly obvious.

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 22:13 | 803441 Eric The Red
Eric The Red's picture

That's why I like Franklin halves.

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 23:56 | 803686 Temporalist
Temporalist's picture

I only mentioned the Roosevelts because there are only 2 bags left.

 

Tue, 12/14/2010 - 01:31 | 803843 StychoKiller
StychoKiller's picture

No mercury's were to be had, so I had to settle...

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 20:58 | 803223 Lord Koos
Lord Koos's picture

Buy metal not paper...

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 22:21 | 803461 Ben Fleeced
Ben Fleeced's picture

Take physical. 

 

 

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 20:16 | 803064 I think I need ...
I think I need to buy a gun's picture

Darkness in 2011. All I see is darkness coming

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 20:20 | 803086 no cnbc cretin
no cnbc cretin's picture

The door is closing...

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 20:27 | 803112 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

You see a whiteness, a whiteness of swans.

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 20:17 | 803066 Bastiat
Bastiat's picture

Bang Dae Ho !!!

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 21:03 | 803238 Terminus C
Terminus C's picture

Yu Arafuka...

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 20:34 | 803073 akak
akak's picture

This presumed reduction in JPM's short position makes as much sense as anything does in explaining silver's sudden and almost unprecedented rise since late August.  Clearly, SOMETHING has suddenly and radically changed in the silver market, and if it is not JPMorgan backing out of a significant fraction of their massive shorts, I wouid welcome any alternate speculation on just what might have been the cause of silver's meltup in the last three months.

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 20:38 | 803147 BrianOFlanagan
BrianOFlanagan's picture

the CFTC data confirms that there has been short covering over the past 2 months.  That doesn't explain all of the gains in the price of silver (investment demand has skyrocketed), but it has been a factor.  Silver may fall sharply when the short covering is done, unless the momentum in investment demand continues to grow.  

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 21:20 | 803287 JonNadler
JonNadler's picture

Silver may fall sharply when the short covering is done,

 

Why didn't I think of that one?Silver will most likely go back to 2.50. We at Kitco will gladly buy it from you at 15 which is 12.50 over the future price. Are you stupid enough to pass this by?

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 21:29 | 803317 Biggus Dickus Jr.
Biggus Dickus Jr.'s picture

a junk war.  I love it..  Can I play?

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 23:24 | 803611 DoChenRollingBearing
DoChenRollingBearing's picture

Hey JonNadler,

Will you buy silver from me at $0.03 when it goes down to $0.01?  Appreciate it!

I am DEVASTATED et DESOLE that you are now back at kitco.  You had such a great future there at JPM.

Tue, 12/14/2010 - 07:37 | 804165 JonNadler
JonNadler's picture

Hey DoChen

The Kitco thing is just my cover of course, my pay checks have Jamie's  signature on it.  

 

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 23:19 | 803592 MeTarzanUjane
MeTarzanUjane's picture

"Silver may fall sharply when the short covering is done, unless the momentum in investment demand continues to grow."

So we should see 12 - 15 ZH posts a day about why silver is so excellent?

This is going to suck.

Tue, 12/14/2010 - 01:06 | 803794 GoinFawr
GoinFawr's picture

Indeud, you should definitely consider logging off permanently; be sure to give my regards to the earth's core.

Tue, 12/14/2010 - 07:34 | 804162 JonNadler
JonNadler's picture

and tell us if you see any silver down there will you

Tue, 12/14/2010 - 01:34 | 803846 StychoKiller
StychoKiller's picture

Unlike gold, you CAN eat (colloidal) Silver!  If'n you can stand to turn greyish blue, that is! :>D

Tue, 12/14/2010 - 06:24 | 804078 fiftybagger
Tue, 12/14/2010 - 01:52 | 803870 Bow Tie
Bow Tie's picture

there's a heck of an amount of short covering still to do! problematic even if the price remains the same. and actual physical demand is exposing the paper price to still be far too low.

Tue, 12/14/2010 - 03:19 | 803960 cranky-old-geezer
cranky-old-geezer's picture

Once (or if) the short covering is all done, there won't be any naked shorts holding the price down (and holding the dollar up).

Like someone said earlier, naked shorting of PMs has been helping keep the dollar up for years ...decades even.  It's why they do it.

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 20:47 | 803182 vamoose1
vamoose1's picture

Entirely correct,  look at that smooth straight line  lift in the the move across and into the 20s. Certainly thats them,  as the steam in the kettle grew hotter.

    The next questions are what happens with the position limits Thursday, and what do they have left to cover? 

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 23:19 | 803596 Mike2756
Mike2756's picture

Isn't that too soon? The big vol didn't hit until the end of November. Or, did the cftc give them a heads up?

"But Bart Chilton, a CFTC commissioner, said in October that he believed there had been "fraudulent efforts" to "deviously control" the silver price. He did not name any party."

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 20:55 | 803196 Temporalist
Temporalist's picture

Asian EMs are forcing the price up as well:

 

Indians eye silver in the face of pricey gold

http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/markets/commodities/Indian-consumers...

 

India silver imports in 2010 may rise to 1,200 tonnes

"Silver imports by India, the world's largest consumer of the white metal, are likely to rise by 20% on year to 1,200 tonnes in 2010, as festival demand spurred purchases, head of a trade body told Reuters on Tuesday."

http://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/india-silver-imports2010-may-r...

.

Silver rises on industrial demand

http://www.commodityonline.com/futures-trading/technical/Silver-rises-on...

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 21:45 | 803372 Clycntct
Clycntct's picture

Do you have the accepted cost to produce a oz of silver?

Thanks.

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 21:30 | 803319 apberusdisvet
apberusdisvet's picture

Diminishing supply, greater demand; Econ 101

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 21:43 | 803360 Max Hunter
Max Hunter's picture

I wouid welcome any alternate speculation on just what might have been the cause of silver's meltup in the last three months.

Could an alternative reason also explain the rise in Gold, Copper, Cotton, and Corn?? I'm not aware of a JPM massive short on those as well.. Just sayin.

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 20:19 | 803075 velobabe
velobabe's picture

can I cum again, ?

Tue, 12/14/2010 - 03:25 | 803968 traderjoe
traderjoe's picture

please do

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 20:19 | 803076 no cnbc cretin
no cnbc cretin's picture
Conspiracys do exist!
Mon, 12/13/2010 - 20:20 | 803082 Silver-Is-Better
Silver-Is-Better's picture

The coming months will be an incredible ride. Be sure and buy a few more ounces of silver while you still can, and be sure to take possission.

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 23:24 | 803609 MeTarzanUjane
MeTarzanUjane's picture

Ok thanks. Ya like ok.

Buy more.

Maybe I should stop into SamsClub and get a couple cases of 1 oz. Walmart Eagles? Errr, whadya think?

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 20:21 | 803087 Bastiat
Bastiat's picture

Gotta say, I lean to the view that they've a) got it hedged with some widows and orphans and b) will get some other cabal-related entity to step into their short.  Still I do love it!!

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 21:19 | 803282 erik
erik's picture

JPM has to be holding some heavily-levered swaps in order to cover the "unforeseen" event of silver prices rising rapidly.  In that event, we would see the squeeze crushing JPM who would then turn to swap writer eventually and say "pay up".

That's when we taxpayers get to step in and "pay up".  

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 23:05 | 803549 Bastiat
Bastiat's picture

Yep that's what I'd expect.  AIG for starters.  Not so clear they will be able to pull it off again but the plan will be something like that. Maybe genius Summers has the Harvard Endowment on the other side of JPM silver OTCs too.  LOL!

 

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 20:20 | 803088 Calculated_Risk
Calculated_Risk's picture

oh snap!

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 20:22 | 803092 eigenvalue
eigenvalue's picture

JP Morgue's short positions on Comex are hedged by the longs in physical silver and London OTC? Is it possible? I don't think there is enough physical silver out there that can be used to hedge the shorts. Besides, according to the whistle-bloweAndrew Maguire, JP Morgue is  actually a large short-seller in London.

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 20:21 | 803093 Jerry Maguire
Jerry Maguire's picture

If this is indeed victory, why isn't the silver price already on a dramatic rise?  Or am I expecting too much?

I'm a silver bug.  I'm just looking for some input.

 

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 20:47 | 803183 Selah
Selah's picture

 

There has been a dramatic rise. Look at the chart since Aug 24th!

Unwinding massive positions in a relatively thin market isn't easy. It's not like JPM is going to place a buy-to-cover GTC market order and hit "enter".

 

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 20:22 | 803096 beastie
beastie's picture

Bull trap?

Nah. They are fucked.

Harvey Organ has the gory details on just how deep in the doo doo they are.

 

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 20:24 | 803102 lolmaster
lolmaster's picture

this is pure BS, they prob just offloaded the silver shorts to unlimited replicating off-balance sheet shadow SIVs. CDO^n of repacked silver shorts

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 20:26 | 803107 TraderTimm
TraderTimm's picture

I'm curious what people here think of this blog post:

http://fridayinvegas.blogspot.com/2010/12/jp-morgan-and-massive-silver-s...

He also has a few rants about ETF's and how people have it wrong. I'm not affiliated, just a casual reader of his blog.

Some quotes:

This is basically the crux of the issue - Keiser asserts that it has "become clear" that JP Morgan is sitting on a 3.3 Billion ounce silver short.  There's just one problem - this "fact" that Keiser has made up, which is the foundation for all of the hype, is false.  I eagerly clicked on Keiser's link on the words "become clear," assuming that he would lead me to some sort of evidence to support his claim, but that link only cites the data point that as of the first quarter of 2009, JP Morgan and HSBC combined held $7.9B in precious metals derivatives.

 

And this one:

There's another separate issue at play here - the size of the open interest in silver futures relative to the availability of physical silver needed to actually settled these contracts.  Let's have a quick lesson:  for every person short a silver futures contract, someone has an offsetting long position.  If the longs don't close out their positions (by either selling them, or "rolling" them - selling them and buying the next month's contract), then they take physical delivery of silver at expiration - the person short the contract has to actually give silver to the person who is long the contract.  In other words, it's the longs that determine physical delivery - not the shorts.  If the long contract holders think there is a massive shortage of physical silver, why don't they just force the sellers to deliver the physical and create their own squeeze?

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 20:39 | 803156 dark pools of soros
dark pools of soros's picture

did the whole concept of Blythe's naked shorts pass you by? 

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 20:49 | 803190 ClaymoreStoor
ClaymoreStoor's picture

He "proves" that JPM isn't a massive short but then backtracks on that severe statement by saying that it's impossible to know for sure.  Basically, he proves his own statement is wrong.  The bottom line is that nobody knows for sure how large JPM's silver short position is, but we know it's huge and we know they are a huge silver player.  The rest is just noisy attempts to obfuscate reality.

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 21:08 | 803253 KidDynamite
KidDynamite's picture

fyi, I "backtracked" because I have integrity, and someone pointed out to me that I was missing the LBMA numbers, so I edited my post, because I'm not a stubborn monkey.   Thus, looking at the BIS data (Which includes some of the LBMA action, but not all of it), where you can see $127B in gross notional precious metals derivs outstanding, it can no longer be conclusively proven that JPM is not short 3.3B ounces of silver.  You'll have to use your basic understanding of derivatives markets, hedging, bank balance sheets, and risk management to draw conclusions - it can't be proven.

I can't wait for Tyler to point out where in JPM's 10q these massive losses from the huge naked short position are.  They'll certainly be there, right?  (hint:  no - they won't - because they don't exist...)

I think the price of silver might go higher - but it's not because JPM is covering a naked short position of 3B ounces. 

But just for fun, since you guys love to bull it up:  last month (Nov 2 - Dec 7)  shorts held by the big banks declined by roughly 22mm ounces.  During that same time, the price of silver increased by roughly 25%.

Thus, it's clear that at this rate, by the time JP Morgan is done covering 3B ounces, at this rate, the price of silver will be (1+.25) ^ 136th x $29, or $475 TRILLION dollars an ounce.

 

hey - I think I'll write a blog post about that. this sensationalism is F-U-N!

 

congrats - victory indeed. it has been foretold.

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 21:29 | 803315 Croesus
Croesus's picture

I would enjoy hearing your thoughts on this, KD: 

http://harveyorgan.blogspot.com/2010/12/addendum-to-saturdays-blogkirbys...

 

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 21:40 | 803350 Beam Me Up Scotty
Beam Me Up Scotty's picture

My very first Junk.  Because I can't count to $475 Trillion an ounce.  Or, I'll end up owing the government trillions in taxes.  Nice gain on the ten eagles I bought today.

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 22:59 | 803532 blunderdog
blunderdog's picture

price of silver will be (1+.25) ^ 136th x $29, or $475 TRILLION dollars an ounce.

Well holy shit.  I'm going all out and buying BOTTLED beer tonight.  Fuckin-a.

Tue, 12/14/2010 - 02:19 | 803902 trav7777
trav7777's picture

post hoc fallacy...back to the minor leagues with you

Tue, 12/14/2010 - 02:52 | 803946 Eternal Student
Eternal Student's picture

FWIW, KD, I appreciate your comments, and think the junkings are undeserved.

Not that I agree with you, but having a counterargument is always welcome, so that people can judge it for itself. When there are no counterarguments is the time I start questioning the prevaling view.

Tue, 12/14/2010 - 05:34 | 804036 jahbless
jahbless's picture

I agree we need counterarguments.  But we have one surely already?

 

Isn't the counterargument here the MSM, daily, since, um, forever?

 

I think most people are on ZH b/c they share one simple truth - those in control are pathological liars with criminal intent. 

 

So it makes sense to see the majority bullish on Silver, IMHO. 

 

Wed, 12/15/2010 - 18:35 | 809734 Eternal Student
Eternal Student's picture

No. The MSM seldom, if ever, gives a detailed intelligent look. Mostly high level propaganda.

Tue, 12/14/2010 - 06:33 | 804082 fiftybagger
Mon, 12/13/2010 - 21:17 | 803276 Fred Hayek
Fred Hayek's picture

TT.  That's exactly what's happening.  Longs are demanding to be given the actual silver.  If Ted Butler is right, for 25 years now, Bear Sterns and JP Morgan were screwing around with massive naked short positions and getting away with it, driving down the price of silver so that it diverged from its historical ratio to the price of gold of something on the order of 1:14 down to 1:45.  Now, there are buyers of significant size in the Comex demanding that they be given the silver and JPM simply doesn't have it.

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 23:07 | 803555 Bastiat
Bastiat's picture

A run on the hyper-leveraged paper. Classic, elegant (in the scientific sense). Physical demand = trump.

 

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 20:29 | 803117 milo
milo's picture

Dimon

"No problem, we have set up a SPV, to hold the shorts. And we've got enough metal (see SLV) to supply all the keiser silver demand  worldwide.   Muhhahahahahahaaaaaa. What?  Chilton is closing the SLV, demanding 'cash settlement'........let's crush em, fellas"

Milo

"Not too late to exchange SLV for metal"

 

glta

 

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 20:37 | 803143 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

SLV is a shell.  deRotheschildes have it in their underground lair.

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 20:30 | 803120 oddjob
Mon, 12/13/2010 - 20:50 | 803192 A_MacLaren
A_MacLaren's picture

Cool - I bought bars direct from them. 

http://www.store.firstmajestic.com/products.aspx?cat=4

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 20:31 | 803123 putbuyer
putbuyer's picture

I would like to buy silver coins for Christmas gifts. looking for 2oz coins for nephews. What site do you guys recommend?

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 20:36 | 803136 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

Local coin shop.

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 20:46 | 803177 putbuyer
putbuyer's picture

Thanks, but no 2oz there. Like a big coin to give.

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 20:51 | 803197 Bill Lumbergh
Bill Lumbergh's picture

Not certain if you are particular about the type of coin but cannot go wrong with these guys:

http://www.gainesvillecoins.com/SearchResults.aspx?new=false&mint=&year=...

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 21:13 | 803250 putbuyer
putbuyer's picture

Thanks Bill. Really nice. I think this is the one. premiums OK too.

thought of Silverkeisers, but brother-in-law works at JPM and it would be a bad seen. MM 3 million annual bonus. He runs soverenty funding desk. Met Arnold in January 2010.

Anyway, Coining only 1oz anyway.

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 21:37 | 803342 Croesus
Croesus's picture

These aren't quite 2 ounces, but they are larger silver coins, official government strikes to boot:

http://cgi.ebay.com/1976-Montreal-Olympic-10-Olympic-Stadium-/2706773023...

There's a whole set of them in $5 and $10 denominations.

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 20:56 | 803203 BrianOFlanagan
BrianOFlanagan's picture

the only 2 ouncers I've seen are Kookaburras.  Beautiful coins, but hard to find and expensive.

http://www.apmex.com/Product/12106/2004_Australian_Kookaburras_2_oz_Silver_Coins.aspx

(I stand corrected, those Perth Mint coins look great too, and cheaper!)

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 21:05 | 803242 Lord Koos
Lord Koos's picture

You can buy large 1/2 lb and 1 lb silver coins on ebay.

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 21:20 | 803291 BrianOFlanagan
BrianOFlanagan's picture

i've been hearing reports of fake 1 lb silver coins selling on ebay.  Best to stick to gov't minted coins.

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 20:52 | 803201 ClaymoreStoor
ClaymoreStoor's picture

Perth Mint makes a nice 2 oz silver coin.  Try Gainesville Coins:

http://www.gainesvillecoins.com/products/156114/2011PerthMintYearoftheRa...

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 21:16 | 803271 JonNadler
JonNadler's picture

not Kitco, unless you're thinking of Christmas 2032....make that 33 actually.

 

 

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 21:18 | 803278 Fernley Girl
Fernley Girl's picture

If your nephews are young enough these may work:

http://www.coin-rare.com/christmas-round.aspx

 

 

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 20:34 | 803131 Gubbmint Cheese
Gubbmint Cheese's picture

JPM: alright let's do this.. Leeerooyyyy Jenkinzzzzz...

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 21:07 | 803252 Terminus C
Terminus C's picture

hmmm, old skool warcrack addict?

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 20:35 | 803135 Hephasteus
Hephasteus's picture

Hey where's rusty shorts. Can't wait to here what he has to say about this.

Names shakleford. Rusty Shakelford and I'd like to sell paper silver and I have no affilition with JP Morgan Chase whatsoever. Don't even know the guys.

So who are they dumping this on? We already blew up bear sterns. They won't let JP Morgan implode so they will make someone else eat the grenade. Then we can just turn JP Morgran into a serial killer.

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 20:37 | 803138 Bastiat
Bastiat's picture

Whatever contorted games the assholes are playing, physical delivery demand can crush them.  When, I don't know.  There's just not that much silver around.  It will be a wild, wild ride.

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 20:37 | 803139 belogical
belogical's picture

None of that seems right. The price would rise a lot more then 30% if JPM was admitting defeat

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 20:37 | 803141 thedirtybubble
thedirtybubble's picture

Let the good times roll

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 20:38 | 803144 Misean
Misean's picture

"It's a small thermal exhaust port, right below the main port. The shaft leads directly to the reactor system."

Red Five going in!

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 20:59 | 803228 Madcow
Madcow's picture

Ha!  

Use the force, Luke - 

 

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 20:38 | 803148 qussl3
qussl3's picture

There is no way in hell anyone is going to be calling out their plays before running them.

JPM is already done positioning itself, be it lightening up or hedging.

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 20:39 | 803150 TWORIVER
TWORIVER's picture

The lack of a reaction in SI/1 is very interesting. I am neutral at this time, watching 28.5 - 30. Good night all.

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 20:40 | 803157 Fearless Rick
Fearless Rick's picture

Not buying it. Too easy for them. Just like BofA saying they don't want any more negative publicity from foreclosures. We used to call girls like that BTNS in high school. For the banks, it's the same: Big Talk, No Show.

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 20:46 | 803170 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

You have a defeatist attitude.

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 21:21 | 803292 Fred Hayek
Fred Hayek's picture

Just the fact that they feel compelled to say this shows that the landscape has changed dramatically.

Tue, 12/14/2010 - 00:15 | 803719 Fearless Rick
Fearless Rick's picture

I think you may have taken my comment the wrong way, and whoever junked me too. What I mean is that I don't believe JPM on anything they say. They are probably going to be net buyers over the next 3-6 months with big money, cause that's what they do.

They are crooks and criminals, so I don't believe anything they say. If what they are saying is true, then silver should rocket higher. As a hedge against my fear, I just bought more. At spot +2%, including delivery. Ebay works sometimes!

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 20:41 | 803163 Quinvarius
Quinvarius's picture

I would like to see the dollar loss figure they will be booking.

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 20:44 | 803167 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

Tens of billions.  How much did they get for TARP?

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 20:46 | 803173 zero intelligence
zero intelligence's picture

The thing that will kill the paper-silver shorts is not fresh buying at today's prices, but people who bought paper proxies at much lower prices who then take delivery. For example, if you bought SLV at $13, then sell the SLV and buy some real silver. You still have an effective $13 cost basis. Tulving.com or Apmex.com is a good place to buy real silver. Large accounts should talk to a dealer for 1000oz. bars. If you have Comex contracts -- take delivery. If you have LBMA "deposits," take delivery. Simple as that. Just get the damn silver.

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 20:46 | 803176 awgee
awgee's picture

Die JPM! Die!

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 20:55 | 803214 akak
akak's picture

Make it a silver chalice instead of a gold one, and this is what I like to imagine in my daydreams happening to Jamie Dimon:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-DGFuHC75aY

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 21:30 | 803321 Temporalist
Temporalist's picture

"He chose...poorly."

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 20:48 | 803185 zero-g
zero-g's picture

Wow, never thought we would get anything quite this official. They either are really hurting bad, or are trying to explain ahead of time the massive price spike if the CFTC actually enforces a limit on them, or both.

 

Fuck em, blood in the water, gonna try and pick up another monster box!

Tue, 12/14/2010 - 00:48 | 803405 Goldilocks
Goldilocks's picture

Go silver, it’s your birthday.

Go silver, it’s your birthday.

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 20:48 | 803186 waterdog
waterdog's picture

Score 1,for forensic blogging.

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 20:49 | 803189 tony bonn
tony bonn's picture

tin and proud....one conspiracy down and hundreds more to go....

and thank you zh for calling crap on crap regarding jpm's fox guarding the hen house promise to maintain smaller positions going forward....i practically hacked out a lung reading that total horseshit...

jpm and bp are two reasons why i support corporate capital punishment....fuck jpm

go max go!!!!!

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 20:51 | 803194 atomicwasted
atomicwasted's picture

"Most analysts say there is little reason to believe the price of silver is being systematically manipulated."

Translation: "Some guy said that silver isn't being manipulated."

I love the "some-guy-said" school of professional stenography, where "experts say" and "officials say" but no purported experts, officials, or even some guys are ever identified.

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 21:25 | 803301 Fred Hayek
Fred Hayek's picture

Amen.

There's no reason at all that an actual analyst or expert should feel afraid to put his name on a statement like that.  "The established pillars of our economy are on the up and up."  Why would anyone working in that industry be afraid to say that?

You can only infer from the journalist's inability to get someone to do it that no one actually thinks that.

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 21:58 | 803408 TheGreatPonzi
TheGreatPonzi's picture

Amen too.

It's a well-known method of propaganda, which has been widely used in USSR.

"Experts and scientists say there is very little evidence supporting the assertion that life in USSR sucks"

"Researchers say that the 'Holodomor' was nothing more than a conspiracy theory"

Now it is:

"ISM shows recovery strengthens, experts say"

"Opposition to the Federal Reserve irrational, scientists show"

Tue, 12/14/2010 - 01:50 | 803868 StychoKiller
StychoKiller's picture

The Nazgul will find the one Ring any minute now, and my second reign will begin!  -- Sauron, somewhere in Mordor.

Tue, 12/14/2010 - 03:53 | 803989 redguard
redguard's picture

The world financial fiat ring about to come down?

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 20:53 | 803202 DavidPierre
DavidPierre's picture

 

Chickens coming home to roost!

It is now only a matter of time until the "canons of CDS" point toward the USSA. Interest rates all over the world have reached their inflection point lows within the last 6 months and are trending higher. Currently the focus is on Europe's weak sisters, Ireland, Portugal, Spain, Italy etc., which has kept the focus off of U.S. fiscal insanity. For how long this focus can keep a blind eye toward the U.S. Treasury is anyone's guess but that the spotlight will get around sooner or later.

If you think the the '87 crash, '98 monetary crisis, the events of 2000-2002 or the 2008-present episode is scary, just wait!

The coming panic will dwarf all others and even include those who orchestrate such things. Yes, even the conductors will panic because ALL control will be lost. At some point in the coming year, the solvency of the U.S. Treasury will come into question. Of course it is a very easy question to answer because mathematically WE ARE BROKER THAN BROKE!

Even with interest rates where they are now, we cannot survive without massive printing. Ratchet rates higher to more realistic levels and it will become clear to everyone that the financial jig is up.

Everything we have come to (been brainwashed into) believe will be turned upside down. Everything that has made no sense whatsoever from a common sense standpoint for so long will finally be crystal clear. All of those dark and negative "chicken littles" who were laughed at and dismissed as crazies will become the new prophets.

Can you imagine the fear on a global basis once the solvency of the U.S. comes into question? Can you imagine the race for exits of U.S. paper EVERYTHING by foreigners? This will result in a collapsing Dollar and much much higher interest rates.

Currently, with the help of Fed purchases, there is absolutely zero risk premium in Treasuries. How big will the move need to be to go from zero risk to massive and iminent default risk?

2011 is the year we will all find out.

The most laughable of all is that there are actually investors out there who will buy CDS "insurance" protecting against a U.S. default. Use some common sense here, WHO will be left standing in the wake of a U.S. fiscal and monetary collapse to make good on these smoking turds?

ONLY those who have substantially exited the current "system" and are positioned in the only currency that has never, cannot and will never default. .....GOLD!

But the problem is this, anyone who has invested in metal would not have been so stupid as to insure others against a US default so those doing the insuring will be in the same submerged boat. The only possible saviors have already bought Gold in the first place to guard against this event so looking to them for help is a joke.

At some Dollar level, $10,000, $100,000, $1,000,000, who knows, Gold will re enter the system to reliquify it but on terms of it's owners, not the government's.

This thought process is absolutely no different than what us "chicken littles" have been saying all along. What is different is that the chicken littles have slowly been proven correct over time.

Now, it is so obvious to anyone and everyone worldwide that all it will take is some big entity to "chicken out" and start selling. The rest of the chickens will follow and in fact try to race ahead for the exit door, coming home to roost...so to speak. This has the anatomy of a panic written all over it!

VIVA LeMet!

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 23:57 | 803685 essence
essence's picture

Calling for the SHTF. Gutsy call.

Yeah, it sounds good.
I mean, hasn't it become apparent to all that the only way to ever
loosen the banksters grip on the government of the US... (talking to YOU
congress whores, current & former prez puppets, regulators (like mary bought-off) and beaureacunts such as ("janet the big sis") .... is a meltdown so extensive that most everything falls apart. And the military that the gov is counting on to enforce the banksters mandates... let's see how long they last once they've stopped getting paid to suppress their own countrymen, supplies get scarce, and they realize their promised retirement is but a former dream (like the rest of us) .....   oh,
and their families desperately need them back home and not on the other coast
shooting rioting hungry people and supporting the status quo that f..... us all.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Tue, 12/14/2010 - 03:38 | 803981 DavidPierre
DavidPierre's picture

"shooting rioting hungry people..."

You sure got that right!

Kent State Massacre, May 1970.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GI7-m919ynU&feature=related

Hit the border July 1970

Never to return!

Tue, 12/14/2010 - 03:04 | 803955 Founders Keeper
Founders Keeper's picture

[WHO will be left standing in the wake of a U.S. fiscal and monetary collapse to make good on these smoking turds?]---DavidPierre

Thanks for your post, David.

Funny how every smart "trader" believes he/she will be among those quick enough to get through the EXIT doors when the shtf.  Those doors will be locked closed long before the shtf. 

Who will be standing safely on the other side of the locked EXIT doors holding the keys and a bag of money?  The bankers.

Assume the bankers have trade/market mechanisms in place to shut you out (or, IN as it were) of the EXIT plan. 

On which side of the EXIT door will you be when the shtf?  Because, where ever you are standing at that moment, is where you will end up.

Don't let greed keep you on the wrong side of the EXIT doors.  Finish your business now and start new plans for you and your family's future.

Tue, 12/14/2010 - 03:23 | 803964 DavidPierre
DavidPierre's picture

GO GATA !

They have nailed this since day one over ten years ago.

 

Tue, 12/14/2010 - 08:58 | 804208 reload
reload's picture

One of the smartest people I know, who has been paid exceedingly well by a large bank over the last years is `out` - he is now living his life as if the banking system (in which he still works) is going to implode today. So thats: no money in banks at all, 3 months cash on hand, Precious metals (stored, insured and guarded in a `special` introduction only european facility) and some remote farmland under productive cultivation. I am not ready, but am getting there. I am more cionvinced daily that it is `when` and not `if`.

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 20:53 | 803208 Dr. Gonzo
Dr. Gonzo's picture

The fair value of silver right here right now is $90 U.S. This is not going to cause the end of the world. It will just make an I-phone cost $501 instead of $500. Steve Jobs gets to stay a billion-air, I get to become a million-air and JP Morgan gets the shit kicked out of it...Simple.

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 21:11 | 803260 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

It ain't that simple.

Tue, 12/14/2010 - 01:55 | 803874 StychoKiller
StychoKiller's picture

Yeah, don'tcha wish?  Hope I won't have to break out the high-speed Pb delivery device(s). :(

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 20:54 | 803211 jbc77
jbc77's picture

We're not done with these guys yet. We're just tgetting started. My monthly purchases will continue indefinitely.

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 20:56 | 803217 Bastiat
Bastiat's picture

Just keep buying physical!  We'll know we've won when Jamie D's eyes roll back in his head, it splits open and the demons fly out.

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 21:28 | 803312 Fred Hayek
Fred Hayek's picture

I thought his face would melt along with those of all his minions but if Max Keiser and Stacy keep their eyes closed and don't look, they'd be fine.  No?

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 23:10 | 803563 Bastiat
Bastiat's picture

I think so . . .

Tue, 12/14/2010 - 02:35 | 803931 TheGoodDoctor
TheGoodDoctor's picture

Where is WilliamBanzai7 for his tak on this? OMG that would be funny.

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 21:00 | 803226 I am a Man I am...
I am a Man I am Forty's picture

What makes anyone think JPM can't make their short problem go away in the quadrillion dollar synthetic squared silver credit default swap long short option derivatives market??

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 21:00 | 803229 frippy
frippy's picture

Someone please forward this to the following dumbasses:

Nadler

Denninger

Mish

Gartman

These 4 a-holes derided the people who sniffed out JPM's shenanigans in Silver years ago.

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 21:08 | 803255 Bill Lumbergh
Bill Lumbergh's picture

Let us not forget the esteemed Mr. Jeffrey Christian:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ulnCAZBDRKY

I really enjoy the he has "to go bathroom" analogy.

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 21:17 | 803272 Bay of Pigs
Bay of Pigs's picture

Frippy,

I have been yipping in their ears the whole way along....LOL. None of them will confront the arguments anymore. They sure aren't looking so smart now, are they? 

Ditto on Jeff Christian. 

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 21:20 | 803279 akak
akak's picture

Nadler is by FAR the worst of that "Gang of Four", and even Mish has some good things to say about gold, or at least does not poormouth it and attack its advocates on a daily basis (much less standing up for every vile crime of the central banks and their financial elite cohorts) like pustulant Nadler does from his paper-plastered pulpit on Kitco.com.

Tue, 12/14/2010 - 01:00 | 803800 indio007
indio007's picture

and thought I was the only one considered Denniger a f#@$!ng tool

Tue, 12/14/2010 - 02:19 | 803903 gloomboomdoom
gloomboomdoom's picture

to be fair, Karl has been much friendlier to Silver these days.

Tue, 12/14/2010 - 02:31 | 803928 trav7777
trav7777's picture

too little, too late.  He chose to ban people like me who warned him.

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 21:03 | 803237 max2205
max2205's picture

Silver appears to be 99% bullish on this thread. Look around anyone dumb money?

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 21:19 | 803284 Bay of Pigs
Bay of Pigs's picture

It's a SILVER thread max. Go out on the street and ask how many people own gold and silver? It's LESS than 3%. Go see for yourself smart guy.

The Mania Phase in PM's is still ahead, not behind.

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 21:23 | 803296 akak
akak's picture

I have to respectfully disagree with you, BofP --- I suspect that there is NOT going to be any "mania phase" in the precious metals, as this is NOT just another ponzified bull(shit) market like all of them in the last 15-20 years.  I believe that the prices of the precious metals are undergoing a revalution to their true market values, and given this, will rise and then plateau out at some point, perhaps with a slight overshoot at best.  Gold and silver are NOT real estate or equities!

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 21:33 | 803328 Bay of Pigs
Bay of Pigs's picture

akak,

I agree with you. They go up and stay up. What I meant to say is that the public at large is still not aware of what's going on, and thus, his "dumb money" comment does not apply. 

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 21:56 | 803398 dnarby
dnarby's picture

You silly person!

You wrote MANIA when you should have written

 

      ...PANIC!

 

Hope that helped.

 

http://www.TheTailDoesNotWagTheDog.blogspot.com/

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 21:44 | 803361 Croesus
Croesus's picture

They are currencies with no debts attached to them.

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 23:46 | 803675 MsCreant
MsCreant's picture

Crystal clear.

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 21:38 | 803341 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

Dumb monie follows, and silver is $30.  Don't wait for $500!  And get a new shtick.

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 22:30 | 803476 frippy
frippy's picture

Nah, Dumb money is the jackasses who whiffed on the PM bull.

 

Truly truly dumbass money.

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 21:05 | 803241 Madcow
Madcow's picture

JPM loads up with toxic death, sweeping up all the high crimes and misdemeanors, and is then taken to the top of the volcano and sacrificed to the gods.  

Good luck trying to collect on some swap from a bankrupt JPM - 

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 21:15 | 803269 razorthin
razorthin's picture

imagine, as if you don't already know, just how much gold is being manipulated since it is being schooled by silver.

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 21:19 | 803283 yogetagrip
yogetagrip's picture

So JPM was covering shorts and PSLV (sprott) was accumulating physical at the same time. This could explain some of the run up in silver.

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!