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Life is Great ... But Only If You Are Already Mega-Wealthy

George Washington's picture




 

As I pointed out in November:

A report
by University of California, Berkeley economics professor Emmanuel Saez
concludes that income inequality in the United States is at an all-time
high, surpassing even levels seen during the Great Depression.

The report shows that:

  • Income inequality is worse than it has been since at least 1917
  • "The top 1 percent incomes captured half of the overall economic growth over the period 1993-2007"
  • "In the economic expansion of 2002-2007, the top 1 percent captured two thirds of income growth."

As others have pointed out, the average wage of Americans, adjusting for inflation, is lower than it was in the 1970s. The minimum wage, adjusting for inflation, is lower than it was in the 1950s. See this.

On the other hand, billionaires have never had it better (and see this).

Now, state-run Russian news service RIA Novosti notes that the number of billionaires has soared during the economic crisis:

The
current global financial and economic crisis once again confirms the
fact that during economic upheavals the rich get richer and the poor
become even more destitute.

 

On Thursday, Forbes Magazine carried an updated list of the world's wealthiest people.


As
of late 2009, the number of billionaires soared from 793 to 1,011 and
their total fortunes from $2.4 trillion to $3.6 trillion. The number of
Russian billionaires almost doubled, from 32 to 62.

***


Despite
the crisis, the list of billionaires has grown by 200 people and their
aggregate capital has expanded by 50%. This may seem paradoxical but
only at first glance. This result was predictable, if we recall how
governments all over the world have dealt with the economic crisis.


Anti-crisis
measures essentially implied massive infusion of money into the
economy. The United States alone spent over $10 trillion. Against the
backdrop of a global recession, the funding could only be put to good
use on stock and raw materials markets, leading to the creation of new
financial bubbles.

***


The
volume of federal allocations injected by the Russian government into
the economy was much higher than in Europe and the U.S. Forbes
tactfully referred to this as the government's cooperation with big
business, primarily raw materials companies.


However,
even high-ranking Russian officials have repeatedly complained that
anti-crisis allocations were either used for stock market operations or
deposited in foreign bank accounts.

Life is good ... but only if you are already mega-wealthy.

Even Alan Greenspan recently called
the recovery "extremely unbalanced," driven largely by high earners
benefiting from recovering stock markets and large corporations.

As economics professor and former Secretary of Labor Robert Reich writes today in an outstanding piece:

Are
we finally in a recovery? Who's "we," kemosabe? Big global companies,
Wall Street, and high-income Americans who hold their savings in
financial instruments are clearly doing better. As to the rest of us --
small businesses along Main Streets, and middle and lower-income
Americans -- forget it.

 

Business cheerleaders naturally want to
emphasize the positive. They assume the economy runs on optimism and
that if average consumers think the economy is getting better, they'll
empty their wallets more readily and -- presto! -- the economy will get
better. The cheerleaders fail to understand that regardless of how
people feel, they won't spend if they don't have the money.

 

The
US economy grew at a 5.9 percent annual rate in the fourth quarter of
2009. That sounds good until you realize GDP figures are badly
distorted by structural changes in the economy. For example, part of
the increase is due to rising health care costs. When WellPoint
ratchets up premiums, that enlarges the GDP. But you'd have to be out
of your mind to consider this evidence of a recovery.

 

Part of
the perceived growth in GDP is due to rising government expenditures.
But this is smoke and mirrors. The stimulus is reaching its peak and
will be smaller in months to come. And a bigger federal debt eventually
has to be repaid.

 

So when you hear some economists say the
current recovery is following the traditional path, don't believe a
word. The path itself is being used to construct the GDP data.

 

Look
more closely and the only ones doing better are the people and
private-sector institutions at the top ... Companies in the
Standard&Poor 500 stock index had sales of $2.18 trillion in the
fourth quarter, up from $2.02 trillion last year, and their earnings
tripled. Why? Mainly because they're global, and selling into
fast-growing markets in places like India, China, and Brazil.

 

America's
biggest companies are also showing fat profits and productivity gains
because they continue to slash payrolls and cut expenditures...

 

Firms
in S&P 500 ... can borrow money cheaply. Corporate bond sales are
brisk. So far in 2010, big U.S. corporations have issued $195.2 billion
of debt, excluding government-guaranteed bonds. Does this spell a
recovery? It all depends on what the big companies are doing with all
this cash. In fact, they're doing two things that don't help at all.

 

First, they're buying other companies... This buying doesn't create new
jobs. One of the first things companies do when they buy other
companies is fire lots of people who are considered "redundant." That's
where the so-called merger efficiencies and synergies come from, after
all. [My note: As I pointed out a year ago: "The Treasury Department encouraged banks to use the bailout money to buy their competitors, and pushed through an amendment to the tax laws
which rewards mergers in the banking industry (this has caused a lot of
companies to bite off more than they can chew, destabilizing the
acquiring companies)"]

 

The
second thing big companies are doing with all their cash is buying back
their own stock, in order to boost their share prices. There were 62
such share buy-backs in February, valued at $40.1 billion. We're
witnessing the biggest share buyback spree since Sept 2008. The major
beneficiaries are current shareholders, including top executives, whose
pay is linked to share prices. The buy-backs do absolutely nothing for
most Americans.

 

***

 

The picture on Main Street is quite
the opposite. Small businesses aren't selling much because they have to
rely on American -- rather than foreign -- consumers, and Americans
still aren't buying much.

 

Small businesses are also finding it
difficult to get credit. In the credit survey conducted in February by
the National Federation of Independent Businesses, only 34 percent of
small businesses reported normal and adequate access to credit. Not
incidentally, the NFIB's "Small Business Optimism Index" fell 1.3
points last month, just about where it's been since April.

 

That's
a problem for most Americans. Small businesses are where the jobs are.
In fact, small businesses are responsible for almost all job growth in
a typical recovery. So if small businesses are hurting, we're not going
to see much job growth any time soon.

 

The Federal Reserve
reported Thursday that American consumers are shedding their debts like
mad. Total US household debt, including mortgages and credit card
balances, fell 1.7 percent last year - the first drop since the
government began recording consumer debt in 1945. Much of the
debt-shedding has been through default -- consumers simply not repaying
and walking away from homes and big-ticket purchases.

 

This is
hardly good news. But here's the Wall Street Journal's take on it: "the
defaults are leaving many people with more cash to spend and save,
jump-starting the financial rehabilitiation" of the economy.

 

Baloney.
As of end of 2009, debt averaged $43, 874 per American, or about 122
percent of annual disposable income. Most economic analysts think a
sustainable debt load is around 100 percent of disposable income --
assuming a normal level of employment and normal access to credit. But
unemployment is still sky-high and it's becoming harder for most people
to get new mortgages and credit cards. And with housing prices still in
the doldrums, they can't refinance their homes or take out new loans on
them...

 

Some cheerleaders say rising stock prices make
consumers feel wealthier and therefore readier to spend. But to the
extent most Americans have any assets at all their net worth is mostly
in their homes, and those homes are still worth less than they were in
2007. The "wealth effect" is relevant mainly to the richest 10 percent
of Americans, most of whose net worth is in stocks and bonds. The top
10 percent accounted for about half of total national income in 2007.
But they were only about 40 percent of total spending, and a
sustainable recovery can't be based on the top ten percent.

 

Add
to all this the joblessness or fear of it that continues to haunt a
large portion of the American population. Add in the trauma of what
most of us have been through over the past year and a half. Consider
also the extra need to save as tens of millions of boomers see
retirement on the horizon. Bottom line: Thrifty consumers are doing the
right and sensible thing by holding back from the malls. They saved a
little over 4 percent of their disposable income in fourth quarter of
2009. In the months or years ahead they may save more.

 

Right
and sensible for each household but a disaster for the economy as a
whole. American consumers accounted for 70 percent of the total demand
for goods and services in the American economy before the Great
Recession, and a sizable chunk of world demand.

 

So what happens
when the stimulus is over and the Fed begins to tighten again? Where
will demand come from to get Main Street back, create jobs, raise
middle class wages? Not from big businesses. Certainly not from Wall
Street. Not from exports. Not from government.

 

So, where? That
question is the big unknown hanging over the U.S. economy. Until
there's an answer, an economic "recovery" for anyone other than big
corporations, Wall Street, and the wealthy is a mirage.




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Sun, 03/14/2010 - 16:00 | Link to Comment 3ringmike
3ringmike's picture

YAWN

Sun, 03/14/2010 - 10:04 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Sun, 03/14/2010 - 22:04 | Link to Comment Bear
Bear's picture

Amen ... poverty ahead ... but with new definitions of poverty created by Obama last Tuesday:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/03/02/AR2010030202316.html

we will at least know the exact percentage. I think we are headed for a long time down ... we are not headed for a W, V, or U recovery but a:

\_________________________________________/ recovery

Sun, 03/14/2010 - 10:02 | Link to Comment Oquities
Oquities's picture

DOUBLE, REPLACE THE WORD "MAKING" WITH "WORTH" IN MY POST AS AN OVER SIGHT.  IT STILL DOES NOT CHANGE YOUR CONTENTION THAT THE STRATIFICATION POSTED ABOUT IS THE 99% VS THE 1%. YOU, HOWEVER, ARE TRYING TO CREATE EXTRA TENSION BETWEEN THE 99%!  YOU'RE ALSO A RUDE LITTLE PRICK.

Sun, 03/14/2010 - 09:49 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Sun, 03/14/2010 - 16:22 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Sun, 03/14/2010 - 08:13 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Sun, 03/14/2010 - 06:59 | Link to Comment godfader
godfader's picture

Dumbass middle class were spending more than their paychecks every week for years, now they are broke and cry foul? There is one iron rule: NEVER spend more than you make, then you can't go broke. Was that so hard to understand? I guess. Now the poor and broke are waking up from their debt infused spending frenzy and realize their sold their life away. They realize it's game over. And they're very very pissed.

Sun, 03/14/2010 - 21:20 | Link to Comment Bear
Bear's picture

and desperately trying to find someone or something to blame ... other than their spending.

I lived in Cali and boy did I see it ... everyone (that could) maxed out credit cards, car loans, got home equity loans, borrowed on their 401Ks and then went out and spent it on who knows what ... now they look back and say wtf where did it all go?? And ... say they were cheated by the mortgage company that gave them the loan, the car was too much - the dealer screwed me, the credit card company is charging me too much ... do I really have to repay the 401K loan?

Oh well, I think I'll just declare bankruptcy, after all it's really not my fault.

Sat, 03/13/2010 - 22:00 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Sat, 03/13/2010 - 21:00 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Sat, 03/13/2010 - 19:28 | Link to Comment Bear
Bear's picture

The wealthy have always had a great life ... so what's new?

This only brings to mind that America is the best place on earth. We have the most wealthy people on the planet and ... anyone in America has the potential to rise from nothing to mega wealthy ... where else can this happen (maybe Australia, New Zealand)

I prefer Liberty and Freedom ... even Liberty and Freedom for Wall Street Banksters, the S and P 500, and the Mega Wealthy

What I would really like to see is a Free Press that would tell the truth about Wall Street and Washington

Sat, 03/13/2010 - 21:33 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Sat, 03/13/2010 - 22:12 | Link to Comment Bear
Bear's picture

From one fucktard to another ... You obviously do not live in the USA ... and if you do live here, pray tell what is the greatest nation of earth? 

Sun, 03/14/2010 - 00:20 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Sun, 03/14/2010 - 21:10 | Link to Comment Bear
Bear's picture

Ok ... but what is the best place to live on this planet?

Sat, 03/13/2010 - 19:12 | Link to Comment Bear
Bear's picture

Robert Reich writes:

 

Are we finally in a recovery? Who's "we," kemosabe? Big global companies, Wall Street, and high-income Americans who hold their savings in financial instruments are clearly doing better. As to the rest of us -- small businesses along Main Streets, and middle and lower-income Americans -- forget it.

 

Robert Reich is among the super wealthy, a Wall Street insider and mentor of many moneyed kingpins and thusly an absolutely lier as are most of his proteges such as Larry Summers and Tim Geithner. They believe that they know what is best for the "rest of us" and yet have laid the foundation of our most recent problems ... this is Hypocrisy on steriods.

 

He mixes some truth with his lies so it is very difficult to ferret out ... but his over arching philosophy is bash the Rich, bash the Corporation, and bash Wall Street ... He has been the most potent individual in forging the unholy alliance of Wall Street with Washington, financial Corporations with Washington and the Rich with Washington. He would have the wealthy give all their wealth to Washington.

 

Reich Lies and Peoples Cries 

 

Sat, 03/13/2010 - 20:05 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Sat, 03/13/2010 - 20:29 | Link to Comment Bear
Bear's picture

Yep ... Double Dittos

Sat, 03/13/2010 - 18:43 | Link to Comment dumpster
dumpster's picture

cash is that the same as money .. yoga berra

Sat, 03/13/2010 - 18:15 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Sat, 03/13/2010 - 17:47 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Sat, 03/13/2010 - 20:00 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Sat, 03/13/2010 - 17:18 | Link to Comment RSDallas
RSDallas's picture

What will cause middle America to grow again?  When at least 30% more of the consumer debt is gone and when the banks mark their non performing assets to the current price.  This will take a long time because the Fed and Washington will NEVER support an acceleration of debt clearing.  To me the Wall Street article was spot on. 

The majority of these dopes who ran their credit to the moon, used their homes as ATM's and fraudulently purchased homes with the thought of making tons of money on it didn't have a nickle to begin with anyway, but they love to spend.

They become burdened with the debt service when the ATM was unplugged and they could no longer sell their home.  Now, each day thousands of dead beats breath a sigh of relief when they find themselves no longer having to make that $3,000 house payment and $1,000 credit card payment.  Now this same dead beat can rent something for $1,500.00 and has no credit card payments.  Man he may have the ability to squander away another $2,000 a month that he didn't have before.

It's the dead beats that lead us into this mess and it will be the dead beats who lead us out.  It will just take a while for enough dead beats to get whole again.

 

Sat, 03/13/2010 - 17:55 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Sat, 03/13/2010 - 18:44 | Link to Comment RSDallas
RSDallas's picture

Your are absolutely right.  Maybe I should have said dumb ass dead beats.  The financial crooks and Washington made it easy for the have nots to have all they wanted. 

Shame on you!  A city or state make it a non punishable offence to carry a small portion of marijuana.  Does that make it ok for someone to start using it?  A credit card company extends $30,000.00 in credit to someone.  Does that mean they should use the entire amount?  They build a casino close to where you live.  Does this mean you should drive up every Saturday and gamble your paycheck away?

So your right and I'm right.  The people that caused this are the people that made the bad decisions to borrow more than they could repay and the people who agreed to lend to people who did not have the means to repay the debt.  Every coin has 2 sides.  You can't blame this on somebody else and say that the consumer was a victim. 

Sat, 03/13/2010 - 18:33 | Link to Comment Bear
Bear's picture

They ... They did it to us?

Sat, 03/13/2010 - 16:46 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Sat, 03/13/2010 - 15:58 | Link to Comment Tic tock
Tic tock's picture

I thin the article sort of fudges the conclusion.. I mean Russians and Koreans and Indian, or whoever, people get to break into the Billionaires club -at a time when trade is increasing as consequence of currency fluctuations- only because they're the only ones left standing from amongst their competitors... and the banks have find someone to hold the account. 'Cos no one actually keeps a billion in wealth on tap, it's all held by the banks. 

Anyway, how worried would you be that you could lose a few hundred million dollars on the next swan? Sure, it'snice for a while, but they've got few friends in that club at the moment. My point is -the banks use all of us. They'll continue to use us until they're forced otherwise. But who's gonna force the banks to do anything? 

Me - I'd ask Citi to incorporate in Texas, ask Texas to secede with a visa agreement with Washington to allow free labour mobility. Have everyone who could be bothered claim for Texan citizenship -for a year, say- - whether you'd want to run new-age soup kitchens is something else- but it's the only way I can think of to pull the rug from under the current web of, I don't want to call it 'corruption', but the NYFED is funding something which may or may not yet be beneficial to the US citizenry-and it isn't like the Fed actually needs the citizenry to be around while they do this?       

Sat, 03/13/2010 - 15:30 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Sat, 03/13/2010 - 15:10 | Link to Comment Oquities
Oquities's picture

your original inane point, double, was that somehow the white woman making $43k has become "class stratified" from the black woman with $5 net worth, a seeming non sequitir, especially using median amounts. the posters immediately following you saw your lack of logic was flawed, but you attacked with "trailer trash" blather, showing your true feelings on class stratification.  GW's post contrasts the "mega-wealthy" with the other 99%, not the middle class vs. lower class.   

Sat, 03/13/2010 - 19:35 | Link to Comment doublethink
doublethink's picture

 

My last comment: the survey mentioned by Yves Smith does not say, as you seem to have read, "that somehow the white woman making $43k..." It says "a median wealth of $42,600..." In plain English, we are comparing relative net worths and not mixing income with wealth.

 

Oquities, are you dyslexic?

 

Sat, 03/13/2010 - 13:53 | Link to Comment Oquities
Oquities's picture

yeah, doublethink, i still don't see how comparing income to net worth can "illustrate the magnitude of class differences in American society."  i know lots of people with high incomes and $5 or less net worth, and low income people who are wealthy.  that's due to spending differences, brains, or maybe an inheritance, but not necessarily "class stratification," which is based on wealth accumulation and concentration, and not income disparity as you state.  "google it."

Sat, 03/13/2010 - 14:20 | Link to Comment doublethink
doublethink's picture

 

I did.

 

What are Weber's three dimensions of stratification?

Class or a set of people with similar amounts of income and wealth. Party or a set of people with similar amounts of power. Status group or a set of people with similar social prestige or positive regard from members of a society.

 

http://www.sociologyguide.com/questions/social-stratification.php

Sat, 03/13/2010 - 12:37 | Link to Comment JR
JR's picture

Where are velobabe’s comments regarding Abramovich?

Sat, 03/13/2010 - 10:56 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Sat, 03/13/2010 - 10:55 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Sat, 03/13/2010 - 18:41 | Link to Comment Bear
Bear's picture

parasitic economics (trading, services, gambling, etc.)

Do you have some basis for your belief and statement?

Sat, 03/13/2010 - 10:49 | Link to Comment Oquities
Oquities's picture

mr. doublethink at 22:33 - you're living up to your name by comparing income to net worth and/or assuming that money earned is money saved.

if you were comparing equally skilled and educated people it might be relevant, not -  just a random data toss.

Sat, 03/13/2010 - 12:10 | Link to Comment doublethink
doublethink's picture

 

George Washington's post is about income disparity in America; this is also known as class stratification. My comment about a $5 net worth is not to compare income to net worth but rather to illustrate the magnitude of class differences in American society. Comparing equally skilled and educated people would not be the point.

 

"doublethink," by the way, is from George Orwell's 1984. Google it next time.

 

Sat, 03/13/2010 - 19:52 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Sat, 03/13/2010 - 10:38 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Sat, 03/13/2010 - 10:16 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Sat, 03/13/2010 - 12:09 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Sat, 03/13/2010 - 19:48 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Sat, 03/13/2010 - 10:13 | Link to Comment Alexandra Hamilton
Alexandra Hamilton's picture

Very good post.

This document some Citigroup analysts wrote in 2005 is worth reading. It becomes harder and harder to believe that this is all is happening by chance.

 

http://wp.me/px1MN-es

 

Sat, 03/13/2010 - 10:13 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Sat, 03/13/2010 - 10:02 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Sat, 03/13/2010 - 09:51 | Link to Comment Instant Karma
Instant Karma's picture

1. Technology has wiped out a lot of non-skilled or semi-skilled labor. People who used to have good-paying factory jobs after high school, don't.

2. Taxes seem primarily directed at income, so if you already have it, you escape.

3. The forces of "natural selection" are being thwarted. But the "freakonomics" result is that people without money or education tend to reproduce more and yet have ample access to all the essentials and even luxuries of life. Those "producers" who have desirable skills often reproduce less and are burdened more with paying for the non-producers.

4. As Lady Thatcher said: "Socialism is wonderful until you run out of other people's money."

5. I make my living providing medical care to people who don't work, have lots of kids, and collect social security disability, state assistance, medicare or medicaid, etc. These folks tell me what they do all day: watch tv, or, whatever they want. They all feel entitled to be taken care of, and often complain that they are not given enough.

Sat, 03/13/2010 - 10:22 | Link to Comment Alexandra Hamilton
Alexandra Hamilton's picture

and your solution is?

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!