am we have had four short power outages. Every time it happens I think,
“Is this the big one?”
It’s not just hot on land. It’s hot in the ocean. In particular, the Gulf of Mexico is getting very hot.
For years I monitored ocean water temperature at buoy #42001. Not any longer. When I checked today I found this. R.I.P. 42001.
I did get some partial data from a nearby buoy #4204. A comparison of water temperatures over the past eight years:
The conditions today have not been seen since 2004. A question to ask it what kind of hurricane season was 04? Bad, is the answer:
The
2004 season had 16 tropical depressions, 15 named storms, nine
hurricanes, and six major hurricanes (Category 3 or higher on the
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale). The Accumulated Cyclone Energy figure of 225 ranks this as the fourth most active season since 1950.
August 2004 was incredibly active, with eight named storms forming during the month despite a weak El Niño emerging during the summer. In an average year, only three or four storms would be named in August. The formation of eight named storms in August breaks the old record of seven for the month, set in the 1933 and 1995 seasons.
Note that a condition that existed in 2004 was a weak El Nino. What do we have today? A weak La Nina. It is predicted that the cycle will complete sometime in July. We will revert to a weak El Nino (we may have already achieved that)
The odds point to big storms in the Gulf over the next 60 days. Here’s hoping we beat the odds, and the heat.
This will give cover for any "missed" numbers next quarter. If it is not the snow in winter, then hit has to be the heat in summer causing the problems.
the Pacific off SoCa is over 70 in many places, which is remarkable. Oddly the weather has been cooler than normal, and with a strong persisent onshore flow, which has been there all winter mostly. When we have nice weather, the rest of the country suffers, and the other way around.
Weather has been incredible in Juneau. Loving every bit of the ~60 degree summer days with sun much more often than not!
Regards,
Cooter
Here in Northern California (Sierra foothills, Gold Country, all that), the temperatures in July have been incredibly cool for this time of year. Nights in the (low) 50s (even 49º), and days in the 70s. Just beautiful. Was almost 90º yesterday, but around here, because it is so dry, 90º is really pleasant. Considering that it's usually 95-110º around now (I've seen crayons turn to liquid), this is just amazing.
This last spring, though, I gotta say ... it was like someone threw open The Gates To The Pits Of Hell. And even though that's always the case around here, this last spring it was even worse than usual.
Ditto for the bay area.
It broke 80 on Wed & Thur, today it's 10* cooler.
Fog and drizzle on the windshield for the past month.
There are sumac trees all along downtown Los Altos, they have started to turn fall colors in ernest this week.
The TPTB are engineering the weather so California continutes to accumulate more people.
I just know they're gonna get it in the end though, cause they are everything I'm not.
Quit your whining.
It's the apocalypse, it's supposed to be hot.
:-)
Good, my late crops in the southeast need some more water.
I think your NOAA buoy links are mapped to some dead Twitter page (could have been worse!) there captain.
Try:
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42001
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42004
Tks for this.
I didn't "do" those numbers as a link. It just happened when I brought this over to ZH. I have no clue on this stuff. I get tripped 2 to 3 times a week.
PS at 2:30 power in N Westchester went off for a few minutes. Gulp.
Sheen of oil will keep down the wind & waves.
All is good.
BP is Geo Engineering for a better planet.
#point to big storms in the Gulf over the next 60 days
well ,buy gas/oil/etc ... i guess
or its in the price already ..
alx
Fear not the storms of summer.
FEMA is standing by to rescue U.
And take you to "the Kamps".
OK, I think we can now safely say that you have self identified as a qualified geek of the more extreme kind. Welcome to my world Bruce, where the buoys don't always work, but the girls are always smiling..........at someone else.
You're only a geek if everyone thinks you are.
This time of year I spend my days jumping bwn Weather Underground and Zero. I would not date a guy who could not really "talk about the weather". There are plenty of Sheeks looking for Geeks.
Call me crazy; so be it.
I really think a lot of this weather is being caused by the massive "Gulf Oil Spill" and the subsequent disruption of our natural air conditioner called the Gulf of Mexico. When you coat the floor of a large body of water as per the Gulf with oil, and then claim the disaster is over, with absolutely no news coverage anymore…..There’s Trouble. Since the oil spill is long gone “out of our heads” they will surely claim “Climate Change” and take more control of us. Until next time fellow slaverades.
Mass decep, you think that the oil is preventing evaporation which cools the water some?
By the way, looking at your avatar without really looking at it, out of the corner or the top of the eye, it looks like Olive Oyl, Popeye's wife.
Thats like saying your intelligent, but really are.
Doesn't make sense, does it?
Bruce, thanks for collecting all of that buoy data for us, and for your thoughtful hurricane weather forecast.
Don't pick your nose, Bruce.
My kids call me "Mister Geek"
Can't help myself.......
try this one I just found - its only for the eastern GoM but decent big picture
http://www.wunderground.com/MAR/flm.html
Welcome to the world of us tech geeks. I've never been sad to know how things work.
Great topic today. My family has been through all the worst storms to hit both New Orleans and Houston. This record heat and dry spell has my attention. In 2008, Ike made my neighborhood look like a war zone, and that was the beginning of the banking crash too. We don't intend to relive that scenario. We'll be out of town at the first sign of trouble, before the highways get clogged. And I click on http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ regularly to watch if there are any storms.
This year, we have a place in the country, set up with an old generator, and a wi-fi broadcast. I don't even have to stop working. People can debate being a "prepper," etc. But we've lived it a few times now. Keeping basic hurricane supplies is not expensive, and you will ultimately use your extra propane and bottled waters.
Bruce doesn't qualify as the true "weather geek" until he has talked to the El Nino Master Gary England of KWTV 9.
Ted,
I agree w. you...one hasn't lived until you've seen Gary E. in action
yep, agreed
Delightful, CD. Especially in a world that has no longer the sense of beauty, only utility.
Answers my earlier question.
Bruce does not sleep.