Mapping State (Un)Employment Trends

Tyler Durden's picture

On Friday, the BLS released its monthly state employment and unemployment summary. The Bberg chart below summarizes the results. Bottom line: lots of red, a little green and quite a bit unchanged.

BLS commentary:

In May, nonfarm payroll employment increased in 22 states, decreased in 27 states and the District of Columbia, and was unchanged in 1 state. The largest over-the-month increase in employment occurred in Florida (+28,000), followed by Ohio (+12,000), Arizona and Louisiana (+10,100 each), and Texas (+8,800). Wyoming experienced the largest over-the-month percentage increase in employment (+0.8 percent), followed by Louisiana (+0.5 percent) and Arizona and Florida (+0.4 percent each). The largest over-the-month decrease in employment occurred in California (-29,200), followed by New York (-24,700), Pennsylvania (-14,200), Michigan (-13,400), and Maryland (-13,300). Alaska experienced the largest over-the-month percentage decline in employment (-1.5 percent), followed by Vermont (-1.2 percent), Delaware  (-0.9 percent), and West Virginia (-0.7 percent). Over the year, nonfarm employment increased in 39 states and decreased in 11 states and the District of Columbia. The largest over-the-year percentage increase occurred in North Dakota (+4.3 percent), followed by Texas (+2.0 percent), Nebraska (+1.9 percent), and Wyoming (+1.7 percent). The largest over-the-year percent decrease in employment occurred in Maryland (-0.8 percent), followed by New Mexico (-0.7 percent) and Georgia and Nevada (-0.6 percent each).

In light of the above, we keep looking forward to the sequel to Tim Geithner's Recovery Op-ed.

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So Close's picture

LOL... Red states for un-employmnet = blue states in voting?  :-)

LawsofPhysics's picture

Not quite, those southern red states are red all around.  Thank you sir, may I have another?

jaffi's picture

Yes, I also noticed that there is no major correlation.  

sangell's picture

I think the only states that are green all have Republican governors. Scott in Florida. Jindal, Louisiana, Kasich in Ohio and a woman whose name escapes me right now in Arizona. That's a 100% correlation isn't it?

jaffi's picture

Only if you assume that the BLS figures are correct.  In my mind, BLS is a more proper shortening of the term "bullshit" than BS.

sangell's picture

But wouldn't the BLS, if they are doctoring the data, do it in way that would not show a 100% correlation between improving employment and Republican governors? I think you are the one who can't look at data impartially!

jaffi's picture

I didn't say that they would skew the data based upon partisan politics, I just assume that the data is BS due to their methodology; in other words causation.  Also, you must remember that this data-map above is not based upon population, it is absolute data.  However, I did find that the partisan differential is pretty well even, with 11 Republican states showing red, and 2 Republican states showing orange out of a total of 26 red/orange states, with the rest being Democratic and 1 independent (as far as governors are concerned).  I don't know about the other green states, but I do know that Ohio has had dramatic increases in employment due to construction on the 4 casinos, Med Mart, and a lot of government construction (state and federal).   

As I said, there is no correlation in absolute figures.  While one could attempt to figure out the percentage of change based upon population and raw BLS data, I just do not see any reason for me to do that since I already assume ALL of the data is skewed due to methodology, plus I still don't think that you'll find a partisan correlation (esp. if computed over a longer term than one month).  

Sorry, I don't play that left/right game because I don't fall on the left or the right in the current spectrum of American politics.  

Quixotic_Not's picture

As much as I distrust and loathe the BLS, this data state-to-state seems to reflect what I'm seeing from my vantage point.

Concentrated corruption is driving business to states offering sanctuary against out-of-control politeers, voting parasites and .GOV union thuggery.

Also cost of living is a determinant of employee well-being, leading to productivity gains, in case you missed Business 101...

Although no one will be able to escape unscathed the treason expelled from the District of Criminals, there are options to lessen toxic .GOV exposure.

The looting will continue until morale improves! ~ U.S. Treasury motto 2008-2012

citta vritti's picture

+ 1 helping of rum, sodomy and the lash 

Buzz Fuzzel's picture

California & New York, the only two hot pink, nuff said.

Zardinuk's picture

New York and California are all the correlation needed, no need to bust out the calculator. Strangly though, Illinois isn't red. I bet the reason for this is more interesting than I could imagine... I heard Cat corp. is about to bail on IL. That state is wrapped up with pipe cleaners and bailing wire, I'm guessing.

LawsofPhysics's picture

No, again all those southern red states have republican governors. (California had republican governor until recently).  Stop the two party lie already troll.

jaffi's picture

Oops, I forgot to count Hawaii.  Either way, there is no correlation based upon this map.

goldfish1's picture

Kasich in Ohio trying to privatize roads and prisons...It's a sell off of what's left. The employment figure is pantload. Could it be the masses falling off the 99 week list?

Misstrial's picture

AZ Governor Jan Brewer.


SWRichmond's picture

Islands in the storm.

ShankyS's picture

And why do we care when we know the data is complete bullshit?

Pure Evil's picture

That way, you know how big the lie is.

Cognitive Dissonance's picture

Looks like the place to be is the upper mid west. Funny how that area also didn't fully participate in the excessive irrational exuberance. Overindulgence appears to be bad for you. Who would have thunk?

Sancho Ponzi's picture

Welcome to the United States of Agriculture. 

LawsofPhysics's picture

You are surprised?  It is the only thing that America has left to sell.

Saxxon's picture

Better people there.  Many fewer undocumented guests and welfare hustlers.  It's cold in the winter so they know they have to work to eat.

Max Hunter's picture

Looks like the place to be is the upper mid west

This may be because they have been hit so hard they may have reached bottom.. or something like that.

pepperspray's picture

No wonder OH was so well represented on the Andrews golf course this weekend.

uno's picture

Petroleum is the only hiring growth industry I can see.  Anyone know of another?

So Close's picture

Food stamps application processors?

Silver Dreamer's picture

MIC government and contracting is "helping" a lot in certain states.

Richardk888's picture

Telecomm is doing good right long as all carriers are still getting the money to fund all of the 4G upgrades.

snowball777's picture

Bulletcatcher and riot policeman.

uno's picture

Not sure they are on hiring growth, the business for the large ones seems to be steady.  Since there was so much hiring in the early 2000's its hard to grow more.  I guess Silicon Valley is still booming with the IPO frenzy.

dugorama's picture

Agriculture production.  What else do we export?

I mean for which we get paid, intellectual property therefore doesn't count.

LMAO's picture

Wyoming experienced the largest over-the-month percentage increase in employment


Holy Batmobiles caped crusader, That's a green chute right there for anyone who is willing to jump.

I can't help but wonder why they didn't provide the name of the person who landed the job . . . I didn't know the BLS was hiring to begin with.


kaiserhoff's picture

The Lonesome Cowboy Bar just hired a second stripper;)

LMAO's picture

Errrm, if that's the case I suspect somebody is going to get the sack at the fine age of 62 any day now.

There's no doubt what the revised number is going to tell us.

Nothing more than another skewed zero-sum' game after all.



NotApplicable's picture

I know a guy working a new job in Wyoming (along with several other people).

Of course, they are doing site surveys for gas companies who are going to frack the fuck out of the place. But since it's BLM land, it's no biggie.

Version 7's picture

Government data. At least the map still appears to be truthful.

Dr. Engali's picture

Obummer hasn't added the extra 7 states yet.

Version 7's picture

Thanks! I knew something was wrong with the map!


Version 7's picture

I've messed up. What a disgrace (I mean, Obama).

I can remember him saying he'd been in fifty 'something' states. "Two more to go" he added.

Josh Randall's picture

Hmmm - AZ passes stringent illegal alien bills and all of a sudden they gain payroll jobs...verrrry interesting

Cognitive Dissonance's picture

Or it's just a dead cat bounce as the Ponzi 'liquidity' adrenaline gives the dying a few more hours to live.

Josh Randall's picture

I do live in AZ and I don't see any growth except in mining, the way the BLS manipulates numbers it probably is the attrition of illegals and rehiring of legals.

NotApplicable's picture

Luckily for us all, he's going to need a drool wiper, and maybe even an ass wiper, too.

Green shoots are everywhere!