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Mapping State (Un)Employment Trends

Tyler Durden's picture




 

On Friday, the BLS released its monthly state employment and unemployment summary. The Bberg chart below summarizes the results. Bottom line: lots of red, a little green and quite a bit unchanged.

BLS commentary:

In May, nonfarm payroll employment increased in 22 states, decreased in 27 states and the District of Columbia, and was unchanged in 1 state. The largest over-the-month increase in employment occurred in Florida (+28,000), followed by Ohio (+12,000), Arizona and Louisiana (+10,100 each), and Texas (+8,800). Wyoming experienced the largest over-the-month percentage increase in employment (+0.8 percent), followed by Louisiana (+0.5 percent) and Arizona and Florida (+0.4 percent each). The largest over-the-month decrease in employment occurred in California (-29,200), followed by New York (-24,700), Pennsylvania (-14,200), Michigan (-13,400), and Maryland (-13,300). Alaska experienced the largest over-the-month percentage decline in employment (-1.5 percent), followed by Vermont (-1.2 percent), Delaware  (-0.9 percent), and West Virginia (-0.7 percent). Over the year, nonfarm employment increased in 39 states and decreased in 11 states and the District of Columbia. The largest over-the-year percentage increase occurred in North Dakota (+4.3 percent), followed by Texas (+2.0 percent), Nebraska (+1.9 percent), and Wyoming (+1.7 percent). The largest over-the-year percent decrease in employment occurred in Maryland (-0.8 percent), followed by New Mexico (-0.7 percent) and Georgia and Nevada (-0.6 percent each).

In light of the above, we keep looking forward to the sequel to Tim Geithner's Recovery Op-ed.

 

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Mon, 06/20/2011 - 09:58 | 1384654 So Close
So Close's picture

LOL... Red states for un-employmnet = blue states in voting?  :-)

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 10:03 | 1384677 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Not quite, those southern red states are red all around.  Thank you sir, may I have another?

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 10:30 | 1384755 jaffi
jaffi's picture

Yes, I also noticed that there is no major correlation.  

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 10:39 | 1384775 sangell
sangell's picture

I think the only states that are green all have Republican governors. Scott in Florida. Jindal, Louisiana, Kasich in Ohio and a woman whose name escapes me right now in Arizona. That's a 100% correlation isn't it?

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 10:37 | 1384777 jaffi
jaffi's picture

Only if you assume that the BLS figures are correct.  In my mind, BLS is a more proper shortening of the term "bullshit" than BS.

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 10:45 | 1384791 sangell
sangell's picture

But wouldn't the BLS, if they are doctoring the data, do it in way that would not show a 100% correlation between improving employment and Republican governors? I think you are the one who can't look at data impartially!

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 11:17 | 1384831 jaffi
jaffi's picture

I didn't say that they would skew the data based upon partisan politics, I just assume that the data is BS due to their methodology; in other words causation.  Also, you must remember that this data-map above is not based upon population, it is absolute data.  However, I did find that the partisan differential is pretty well even, with 11 Republican states showing red, and 2 Republican states showing orange out of a total of 26 red/orange states, with the rest being Democratic and 1 independent (as far as governors are concerned).  I don't know about the other green states, but I do know that Ohio has had dramatic increases in employment due to construction on the 4 casinos, Med Mart, and a lot of government construction (state and federal).   

As I said, there is no correlation in absolute figures.  While one could attempt to figure out the percentage of change based upon population and raw BLS data, I just do not see any reason for me to do that since I already assume ALL of the data is skewed due to methodology, plus I still don't think that you'll find a partisan correlation (esp. if computed over a longer term than one month).  

Sorry, I don't play that left/right game because I don't fall on the left or the right in the current spectrum of American politics.  

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 11:25 | 1384883 Quixotic_Not
Quixotic_Not's picture

As much as I distrust and loathe the BLS, this data state-to-state seems to reflect what I'm seeing from my vantage point.

Concentrated corruption is driving business to states offering sanctuary against out-of-control politeers, voting parasites and .GOV union thuggery.

Also cost of living is a determinant of employee well-being, leading to productivity gains, in case you missed Business 101...

Although no one will be able to escape unscathed the treason expelled from the District of Criminals, there are options to lessen toxic .GOV exposure.

The looting will continue until morale improves! ~ U.S. Treasury motto 2008-2012

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 12:07 | 1385032 citta vritti
citta vritti's picture

+ 1 helping of rum, sodomy and the lash 

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 14:12 | 1385535 Buzz Fuzzel
Buzz Fuzzel's picture

California & New York, the only two hot pink, nuff said.

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 14:34 | 1385638 Zardinuk
Zardinuk's picture

New York and California are all the correlation needed, no need to bust out the calculator. Strangly though, Illinois isn't red. I bet the reason for this is more interesting than I could imagine... I heard Cat corp. is about to bail on IL. That state is wrapped up with pipe cleaners and bailing wire, I'm guessing.

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 11:15 | 1384881 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

No, again all those southern red states have republican governors. (California had republican governor until recently).  Stop the two party lie already troll.

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 11:27 | 1384897 jaffi
jaffi's picture

Oops, I forgot to count Hawaii.  Either way, there is no correlation based upon this map.

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 12:57 | 1385156 goldfish1
goldfish1's picture

Kasich in Ohio trying to privatize roads and prisons...It's a sell off of what's left. The employment figure is pantload. Could it be the masses falling off the 99 week list?

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 16:07 | 1386155 Misstrial
Misstrial's picture

AZ Governor Jan Brewer.

~Misstrial

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 09:59 | 1384658 SWRichmond
SWRichmond's picture

Islands in the storm.

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 10:00 | 1384665 ShankyS
ShankyS's picture

And why do we care when we know the data is complete bullshit?

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 09:59 | 1384674 docj
docj's picture

Good question.

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 10:18 | 1384730 Pure Evil
Pure Evil's picture

That way, you know how big the lie is.

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 10:00 | 1384666 DOT
DOT's picture

.

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 10:02 | 1384672 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

Looks like the place to be is the upper mid west. Funny how that area also didn't fully participate in the excessive irrational exuberance. Overindulgence appears to be bad for you. Who would have thunk?

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 10:08 | 1384685 Sancho Ponzi
Sancho Ponzi's picture

Welcome to the United States of Agriculture. 

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 11:54 | 1384981 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

You are surprised?  It is the only thing that America has left to sell.

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 12:45 | 1385126 Saxxon
Saxxon's picture

Better people there.  Many fewer undocumented guests and welfare hustlers.  It's cold in the winter so they know they have to work to eat.

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 16:54 | 1386371 Max Hunter
Max Hunter's picture

Looks like the place to be is the upper mid west

This may be because they have been hit so hard they may have reached bottom.. or something like that.

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 10:03 | 1384675 pepperspray
pepperspray's picture

No wonder OH was so well represented on the Andrews golf course this weekend.

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 10:03 | 1384678 uno
uno's picture

Petroleum is the only hiring growth industry I can see.  Anyone know of another?

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 10:09 | 1384697 So Close
So Close's picture

Food stamps application processors?

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 10:12 | 1384714 Silver Dreamer
Silver Dreamer's picture

MIC government and contracting is "helping" a lot in certain states.

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 10:47 | 1384812 Richardk888
Richardk888's picture

Telecomm is doing good right now...as long as all carriers are still getting the money to fund all of the 4G upgrades.

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 10:58 | 1384830 snowball777
snowball777's picture

Bulletcatcher and riot policeman.

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 11:12 | 1384872 Prometheus418
Prometheus418's picture

Defense contractors.

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 13:40 | 1385358 uno
uno's picture

Not sure they are on hiring growth, the business for the large ones seems to be steady.  Since there was so much hiring in the early 2000's its hard to grow more.  I guess Silicon Valley is still booming with the IPO frenzy.

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 11:26 | 1384907 dugorama
dugorama's picture

Agriculture production.  What else do we export?

I mean for which we get paid, intellectual property therefore doesn't count.

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 10:10 | 1384687 LMAO
LMAO's picture

dup

 

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 10:05 | 1384690 LMAO
LMAO's picture

Wyoming experienced the largest over-the-month percentage increase in employment

 

Holy Batmobiles caped crusader, That's a green chute right there for anyone who is willing to jump.

I can't help but wonder why they didn't provide the name of the person who landed the job . . . I didn't know the BLS was hiring to begin with.

LMAO

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 10:13 | 1384718 kaiserhoff
kaiserhoff's picture

The Lonesome Cowboy Bar just hired a second stripper;)

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 10:42 | 1384794 LMAO
LMAO's picture

Errrm, if that's the case I suspect somebody is going to get the sack at the fine age of 62 any day now.

There's no doubt what the revised number is going to tell us.

Nothing more than another skewed zero-sum' game after all.

LMAO

 

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 12:54 | 1385145 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

I know a guy working a new job in Wyoming (along with several other people).

Of course, they are doing site surveys for gas companies who are going to frack the fuck out of the place. But since it's BLM land, it's no biggie.

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 10:05 | 1384692 Version 7
Version 7's picture

Government data. At least the map still appears to be truthful.

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 10:18 | 1384720 Dick Darlington
Dick Darlington's picture

lol +1

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 10:25 | 1384741 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Obummer hasn't added the extra 7 states yet.

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 10:31 | 1384758 Version 7
Version 7's picture

Thanks! I knew something was wrong with the map!

+1

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 10:38 | 1384772 Version 7
Version 7's picture

I've messed up. What a disgrace (I mean, Obama).

I can remember him saying he'd been in fifty 'something' states. "Two more to go" he added.

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 10:05 | 1384694 Josh Randall
Josh Randall's picture

Hmmm - AZ passes stringent illegal alien bills and all of a sudden they gain payroll jobs...verrrry interesting

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 10:30 | 1384762 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

Or it's just a dead cat bounce as the Ponzi 'liquidity' adrenaline gives the dying a few more hours to live.

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 10:47 | 1384813 Cpl Hicks
Cpl Hicks's picture

Dead cats don't bounce in AZ.

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 12:30 | 1385080 Josh Randall
Josh Randall's picture

I do live in AZ and I don't see any growth except in mining, the way the BLS manipulates numbers it probably is the attrition of illegals and rehiring of legals.

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 10:59 | 1384846 snowball777
snowball777's picture

http://www.azcentral.com/arizonarepublic/news/articles/2011/04/29/201104...

Step right up...who wants to give Senator McCain a nice rubdown...

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 12:57 | 1385152 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

Luckily for us all, he's going to need a drool wiper, and maybe even an ass wiper, too.

Green shoots are everywhere!

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 10:11 | 1384703 gookempucky
gookempucky's picture

Where are the folks that fell off the wagon....ok looks like I will have to pass out the signs I made...WHAT ABOUT ME and PLEASE DROP KICK ME because I like it......exactly.

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 10:25 | 1384739 topcallingtroll
topcallingtroll's picture

They are becoming farmhands in arkansas.

We have fewer illegal aliens in arkansas doing farmwork  due to Obama's fairly aggressive employment enforcement.

Farmwork is low pay, but it is good for a person 

It is also good for the taxpayer who doesn't have to support people in idleness. 

Arkansas is looking better than one might suggest because farm payrolls are increasing.  However most of it is still off the books because farmhands receive non wage benefits that are not reported such as free shitty housing.  Free great fresh farm food, etc. 

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 10:52 | 1384827 Cpl Hicks
Cpl Hicks's picture

There's always work to be had in Hope, AR- maintenance work at Slick Willy's boyhood home to be specific; dusting off the end table doilies and polishing the, uh, 'knobs'.

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 11:05 | 1384860 topcallingtroll
topcallingtroll's picture

I used to work in Hope Arkansas a long time ago!  I paid of my school loans by working in an underserved area.

It is the shittiest nightmare you could find outside of the Delta.

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 11:52 | 1384990 MachoMan
MachoMan's picture

Northeast Arkansas is blowing and going pretty well...  I suspect we'll have our comeuppance ($4 oil would murder us again), but thus far, not bad...  it was my understanding we had the lowest unemployment in the country through 09...  our low end real estate is mercilessly bid by government loans and grannies looking to become landlords by cashing in the CD earning 1% at local bank X...  so i see a little bubble there...  higher end real estate >$200k is moving like a sloth...  our luck, thus far, has been through our diversified economy (mainly ag, but also manufacturing, quite a few services sector, and large healthcare industry).  I suspect that hacks and slashes to medicare/medicaid will have a pretty nasty impact on the bottom line...

but, all in all, we're weathering the storm as good as any... 

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 11:28 | 1384913 dugorama
dugorama's picture

by the way, this is Non-Farm payroll.  So, farm work really isn't the issue.  agricultural stuff like turning taters into frozen french fries does.  but that work is all done in california

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 10:11 | 1384706 lynnybee
lynnybee's picture

i sit here in amazement, the U.S. is bankrupt, many of it's citizens are bankrupt (cheap money will do that) , the european & u.s. banking systems are insolvent, & where is our beloved leader ?    on the damn golf course !!! 

   http://www.wtop.com/?nid=351&sid=2418032

if this doesn't prove that he's just "one of the guys" , or may i say "one of the banksters" , then nothing does .   it's all just a disgrace .  

  

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 10:09 | 1384707 the not so migh...
the not so mighty maximiza's picture

CA and NY, hahaha, losers competing for first retard prize.

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 10:10 | 1384711 augie
augie's picture

Amazing how the most restrictive states to personal/commercial liberty have the highest unemployment. Wonder why that is. 

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 11:29 | 1384916 dugorama
dugorama's picture

South Carolina is the most restrictive state?  Or did you mean Oklahoma?

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 10:14 | 1384722 Silver Dreamer
Silver Dreamer's picture

Central Planning FTW!

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 10:10 | 1384710 Robert Neville
Robert Neville's picture

The WSJ headline read "Half of States Below National Unemployment Average". More rosy upbeat propaganda for those who are math idiots.

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 10:43 | 1384800 mick_richfield
mick_richfield's picture

This can't be right.  I read on the internet that half of all the states are above the national unemployment average. 

Somebody's lying.

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 11:28 | 1384901 T-NUTZ
T-NUTZ's picture

everyone is above average

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 10:19 | 1384725 kito
kito's picture

tyler, why do you classify the red 0-10k as losses yet you classify the white 0-10k on the plus side as "unchanged". you are stooping to msm chart reading.

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 10:20 | 1384727 Tyler Durden
Tyler Durden's picture

Chart Source: Bloomberg

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 10:22 | 1384743 kito
kito's picture


"Bottom line: lots of red, a little green and quite a bit unchanged."

shouldnt that read "quite a bit of white, or a tad increase in employment"?

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 10:28 | 1384760 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

egad

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 10:42 | 1384796 snowball777
snowball777's picture

Let's count, shall we:

Green: 4

White: 18

Yellow: 5

Red: 20

'Blood' red: 2

Taking the median of each range...

(4 * 20)  +  (18 * 5) + (5 * -15) + (20 * -5) + (-44) =

...49k net negative jobs for millions of unemployed Americans.

Bra-fucking-vo!

 

Tue, 06/21/2011 - 19:51 | 1390771 mkkby
mkkby's picture

Your ugly faggot shill face pollutes this board.

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 10:45 | 1384783 kito
kito's picture

 


Mon, 06/20/2011 - 10:40 | 1384784 kito
kito's picture

 

 

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 10:26 | 1384744 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

It seems you need a few more classes in remedial reading before you can fully appreciate anything more than graphs and pretty pictures.

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 10:29 | 1384732 Internet Tough Guy
Internet Tough Guy's picture

.

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 10:24 | 1384747 Internet Tough Guy
Internet Tough Guy's picture

FL added jobs? As if.

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 12:07 | 1385023 SilverDosed
SilverDosed's picture

Seasonal jobs, just like AL and Louisiana added jobs for the oil spill. I know here in AL we have separate unemployment for if you lost your job due to the spill, I'm sure these dont count in the "real" unemployment numbers.

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 10:26 | 1384754 Stuck on Zero
Stuck on Zero's picture

Useless chart.  It needs to show the percentage gain or fall.

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 10:33 | 1384768 snowball777
snowball777's picture

Agreed. -29k in a state like CA of 36M is not worse than -13k in MI with a pop of 9M.

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 10:40 | 1384787 WW
WW's picture

Texas report : OIL Good! DROUGHT Bad!

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 11:15 | 1384882 digalert
digalert's picture

Whoohoo! California is numero uno!

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 11:27 | 1384896 dugorama
dugorama's picture

Interesting to talk about raw numbers for increases and percents for decreases, etc.  and, in aggregate, it's the big states that matter.

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 12:54 | 1385157 WilliamShatner
WilliamShatner's picture

FunEmployment, bitchez!

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