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Market Closes At Wides In AUDJPY-ES Spread

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Our favorite market spread: the AUDJPY-ES differential, which usually correlates like clockwork, until it doesn't, hast just hit one of those "doesn't" potholes. Courtesy of delta one desks, and their massive short vol positions which would be blown out of the water should the market trade down in a Visa like "elevator" pattern, the market levitated to totally uncorrelated levels by the close. Judging by the spread in these two risk indicators, the time to put on the compression trade is here: with the AUDJPY at 83.08 and the ES at 1243.5, there are about 8 points of ES to be picked when the spread collapses as it always tends to do (until it doesn't).

 

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Thu, 12/16/2010 - 17:19 | 812442 the mad hatter
the mad hatter's picture

these markets are whack. reality has gone out the window

Thu, 12/16/2010 - 20:01 | 812857 El Hosel
El Hosel's picture

  It makes perfect sense that the markets would be up on the great news today. The SEC finally found some banksters that were not "too big to prosecute", wrist slaps coming to an insider trading network near you.

Thu, 12/16/2010 - 17:22 | 812451 etrader
etrader's picture

1250 on OE then chocks away compression  would be nice.

Thu, 12/16/2010 - 17:23 | 812453 Ferg .
Ferg .'s picture

Volume on SPY was the lowest since April 15th . Not that low volume is in anyway of interest anymore , given that it's been one of the defining characteristics of this silly rally . It looked like there was going to be a drop today .However, about 15-30 minutes after the NYSE open traders everywhere joined as one in a massive simultaneous orgasm and , in the post ejaculatory euphoria , decided to ramp the market up and hold it near the highs . No end of day collapses .

Thu, 12/16/2010 - 17:43 | 812460 plocequ1
plocequ1's picture

The market is up. Thats all you need to know. All these charts are giving me fucking Brain farts.

Thu, 12/16/2010 - 17:30 | 812482 ThreeTrees
ThreeTrees's picture

Haha, "elevator pattern".  Nice.

Thu, 12/16/2010 - 17:32 | 812491 99er
99er's picture

ES

Oh what fun it is to chart...

http://99ercharts.blogspot.com/2010/12/es_2171.html

 

Thu, 12/16/2010 - 17:43 | 812536 Rick64
Rick64's picture

 I think the ESH1 would be more relevant as a comparison . It closed at 1238.50 high of 1239.75 .

Thu, 12/16/2010 - 17:47 | 812548 lolslayedyou
lolslayedyou's picture

It's back by popular request - The Bloomberg Top 25
1.  KIKUKO TAKENOSHITA         14. GINGER SEAMAN
2.  MATTHEW WANK               15. KAREN ARSOLA
3.  CHRISTOPHER FISTER         16. LUDGER POOS
4.  GUSTAVO CUNTO              17. ANDREW SHAFTER
5.  ROSEMARY NOBBE             18. FUKKY TANTANG
6.  CHETAN DIKSHIT             19. WAN KIM
7.  DARIO DIKLIC               20. ALEXANDRA SUKMAWA
8.  EDWARD TITTMAN             21. WING MAN
9.  DIANE BEAVER               22. DOROTHY CHUNDA
10. DAVID MORON                23. DIK BLEWITT
11. FABIENNE CRETIN            24. JOHN KOKKINIAS
12. DONNA BUMGARDNER           25. ROSS SMELLIE

Thu, 12/16/2010 - 18:19 | 812644 A_MacLaren
A_MacLaren's picture

Lucky Number 13?

Thu, 12/16/2010 - 18:48 | 812701 Buck
Buck's picture

wow - a signal for a whopping 7 points on the minis; whoop-dee-doo

perma bears are gasping/grasping for anything

Thu, 12/16/2010 - 18:59 | 812718 traderjoe
traderjoe's picture

No troll - it's a possible quasi-arb opportunity that happens to want to short ES. That's not a 'bearish' call.

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