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Market Goes Postal With 12 Handle Move In One Minute As HFT Momentum Algos Go Batshit

Tyler Durden's picture




 

The kneejerk reaction to the completely unsurprising FOMC statement was down... Which is why the corresponding 12 handle move up in the ES is perfectly understandable... as long as one understands that our market is totally broken. 12 handles in 1 minute as the market went offerless! Have fun with that. As we noted earlier, ignore the record low new home sales number: the algos will not let this market go until they melt it up to some level which Obama believes is sufficiently high to sneak at least 4 or 5 congressmen and senators in at the midterms. Good work computers - once again you have thrown out any marginal homo sapiens investors as anyone who doesn't think in binary has now lost all faith in stocks for good.

 

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Wed, 06/23/2010 - 14:47 | 429619 homersimpson
homersimpson's picture

I'm glad someone noticed.

I think I need to upgrade my CPU to handle this automated bulls**t.

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 14:49 | 429635 Igor AKA 990
Igor AKA 990's picture

yeah... pretty sure I noticed the 12 handle sprint... just barely noticed it though

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 15:26 | 429741 sheeple
sheeple's picture

Voice: Warning... Problem in Sector 7-G.
Mr. Burns: 7-G? Good God! Who's the safety inspector there?
Smithers: Homer Simpson, sir.
Mr. Burns: Simpson, eh? Good man? Intelligent?
Smithers: Actually, sir, he was hired under Project Bootstrap.
Mr. Burns: [sarcastically] Thank you, President Ford.

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 15:27 | 429745 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

Hit any key to start.

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 15:50 | 429821 BlackBeard
BlackBeard's picture

hehe, jam the EUR/USD just as BB is going blah blah blah.

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 17:00 | 430083 GoatETF
GoatETF's picture

Homer...baby. It is all about connectivity not CPU speed when wanting to keep up with the HFT, your high speed dial-up just won't cut it.

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 14:47 | 429622 Village Idiot
Village Idiot's picture

Enough of standing on the sidelines. I am entering.

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 14:47 | 429624 homersimpson
homersimpson's picture

The funny part is, the spike isn't lasting very long, either..

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 14:49 | 429637 Village Idiot
Village Idiot's picture

Ok, I am exiting.

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 14:55 | 429667 Wynn
Wynn's picture

lol

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 15:09 | 429694 homersimpson
homersimpson's picture

Speaking of which.. the huge spike is adiosed.. like BP's chances of completely cleaning the oil spill by this summer..

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 15:19 | 429717 Igor AKA 990
Igor AKA 990's picture

have they cleaned Valdez yet?

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 15:36 | 429775 schoolsout
schoolsout's picture

That made me laugh

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 14:48 | 429628 jbc77
jbc77's picture

Unreal. Absolutely unreal.

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 15:37 | 429780 MayIMommaDogFac...
MayIMommaDogFace2theBananaPatch's picture

This is your life!

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 16:28 | 429987 Roger O. Thornhill
Roger O. Thornhill's picture

It doesn't get any better than this.

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 14:48 | 429631 jbc77
jbc77's picture

Built on fucking sand.

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 15:01 | 429682 Cursive
Cursive's picture

We are so close to another flash crash.  Big boys are trapped.  Who sells first?

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 15:18 | 429713 IBelieveInMagic
IBelieveInMagic's picture

The only way out for the Big Boys is for the Biggest Boy (Feds) to be the bagholder. Just like for all the toxic debt...

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 15:25 | 429737 Al Huxley
Al Huxley's picture

Musical chairs, but the traditional retail bagholder is refusing to play now, and nobody knows quite what to do.

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 15:31 | 429757 IBelieveInMagic
IBelieveInMagic's picture

True! My brokerage has never been so active in trying to lure me into the water with all incessant flood of emails and invitations to conference calls, etc..

I am now expecting them to get nasty by setting minimum number of trades, base fees, etc..

 

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 14:48 | 429632 BeerGoggles
BeerGoggles's picture

When is the recoupling from yesterday going to happen?!

Nursing a trade that almost recoupled and then went ballistic this morning. Not a good feeling.

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 15:10 | 429640 firstdivision
firstdivision's picture

Dave - Shit HAL, you triggered too much too quick. People will know it is a rigged market.

HAL - Dave, it will convince the sheeple to jump in that the FOMC statement was actually a positive. 

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 14:50 | 429641 Caviar Emptor
Caviar Emptor's picture

BaZooooooooKaaaaa!!!

That last pump just cost you, the taxpayer, another $100 Billion. Just put it on sonny boy's tab!

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 14:52 | 429642 Joe Shmoe
Joe Shmoe's picture

Maybe it was one of those speech recognition-based HFT systems you posted about yesterday?  The Fed used one too many adjectives, which was dutifully amplified by the press, then mechanically amplified by the HFTs, then mathematically amplified by 30 to 1 leverage.  Makes good sense to me!

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 14:50 | 429645 newstreet
newstreet's picture

But will it break higher from here, that is the question.

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 14:52 | 429648 Dr. No
Dr. No's picture

It's those nested FOR loops gettign away from them.  Also they did nor perform sufficent code validation when they implemented the AI modula for reading Analysist news.

 

The good news?:  Skynet has a weakness!

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 16:21 | 429953 hedgeless_horseman
hedgeless_horseman's picture

They used the "classic" development method?

  1. Assess
  2. Design
  3. Develop
  4. Implement
  5. Declare a success
  6. Promote all participants
  7. Fix the bugs in maintenance
Wed, 06/23/2010 - 16:24 | 429966 Dr. No
Dr. No's picture

+1, and dont forget:

8.  Charge customers maintance contract for upgrades.

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 14:52 | 429650 cognitis
cognitis's picture

OP's cited move consumed eight not one minutes, and this move seems to me more the act of a very large manual prop trader than several bots; indeed this large manual trader seems to be intent on busting the bots.

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 14:56 | 429672 Rick64
Rick64's picture

7 min. in the ES.

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 15:10 | 429696 Duuude
Duuude's picture

 

Made me think of a Cyclops fer some reason.

 

Maybe Ulysses battling with tha skeletons.

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 14:52 | 429654 bulldung
bulldung's picture

Schizoid selling opportunity. Mr. Market is ready to be committed.

 

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 14:52 | 429656 AccreditedEYE
AccreditedEYE's picture

What a gift! Thanks HFT Squid!- (There was nothing bullish in that announcement...)

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 16:25 | 429973 Dr. No
Dr. No's picture

In response to yesterday's posting on AI for reading analyist ratings, it is clear the Algos have not been able to translate FED speak (yet).  This is proof.

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 14:53 | 429657 Plinko
Plinko's picture

They had to put new batteries in the C-64 at some point.

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 15:42 | 429791 MayIMommaDogFac...
MayIMommaDogFace2theBananaPatch's picture

512K 5.25" Floppy Bitchez!

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 14:53 | 429659 Rick64
Rick64's picture

They are just trying to keep it from going too low in one day. Avoid the panic. They are controlling both sides.

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 15:29 | 429744 AlienTrader
AlienTrader's picture

There is nothing wrong with your market. Do not attempt to influence the quotes. We are controlling trading. We will control the meltups and the meltdowns. We repeat: there is nothing wrong with your market. You are about to participate in a great adventure. You are about to experience the awe and mystery which reaches from the inner mind to... The Outer Limits...

This is how NYSE should begin every trading day.

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 14:53 | 429660 Ragnarok
Ragnarok's picture

Risk-on/Risk-off is now decided within seconds.  Humans are irrelevant.

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 15:09 | 429695 Cursive
Cursive's picture

LOL.  Forget this "yesterday" crap.  For the algos, it was a nano ago.

 

BTW, we may have just started the "Big Fall".

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 15:16 | 429709 Ragnarok
Ragnarok's picture

I still think we got a couple of months, put me down for a hay penny on Aug 15th - Oct 15th.

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 16:26 | 429979 Bendromeda Strain
Bendromeda Strain's picture

Two thousand quatloos...

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 14:54 | 429662 jkruffin
jkruffin's picture

Now Tyler, you know circuit breakers only work in one direction.

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 15:17 | 429711 JLee2027
JLee2027's picture

"There is nothing wrong with your television. Do not attempt to adjust the picture. We are now in control of the transmission. We control the horizontal and the vertical. We can deluge you with a thousands channels, or expand one single image to crystal clarity and beyond. We can shape your vision to anything our imagination can conceive. For the next hour, we will control all that you see and hear."

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 14:55 | 429668 Caviar Emptor
Caviar Emptor's picture

We are now at "Peak Oil". But not the one you think: it's all downhill for oil consumption from here as oil will be shunned and vilified as "toxic" and dangerous. ANY alternative will be favored, even non-green and non-renewables. Including nuclear, coal, gas , propellers, windmills, hamster treadmills ANYTHING. 

It's The New Peak Oil

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 15:20 | 429721 New_Meat
New_Meat's picture

I don't think so, economics will out.  otoh, might not be enough time to get new "green" projects commissioned and on the bars and to have the 4x or so price difference matter.  But solar might not make it even that far:

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB1000142405274870462980457532483131270346...

 Even federal guarantees might not be enough for this fraud.

- Ned

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 15:45 | 429804 markelshark
markelshark's picture

holy short-sighted assessment batman

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 16:27 | 429980 Strider52
Strider52's picture

Hamster treadmills??? Too damn funny! "Hey, we put RedDog in his water, he got up to .002 watts!"

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 14:56 | 429673 Bankster T Cubed
Bankster T Cubed's picture

is total bullshyte sustainable?

i think the crash from which there is no bounce will take all of 20 minutes

....or less

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 14:58 | 429676 wagefreedom
wagefreedom's picture

TD-- how is the 3 PM decoupling looking?

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 14:58 | 429678 Caviar Emptor
Caviar Emptor's picture

If they weren't pumping the market via the currencies, then we would have had a Flash Crash today. That's what they're scared to death of. 

Imagine if the market were down 350 points on the Dow in addition to the bad news in housing: that would indeed CONFIRM the double dip and result in further market sell off waves. The whole of 2008 would start again. 

So it's extend and pretend, or as I call it "Keeping up appearances" 

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 15:19 | 429716 suteibu
suteibu's picture

Right.  And we're all Richard Bucket (boo-kay), the simpering husband who knows his wife is an idiot but does nothing about it.

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 15:22 | 429723 Caviar Emptor
Caviar Emptor's picture

You got that one right ;)

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 16:09 | 429909 aheady
aheady's picture

Bouquet residence. Lady of the house speaking.

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 15:26 | 429730 hambone
hambone's picture

You are correct my friend..."somebody" is pumping the Forex to maintain positive correllations and the amount of proping is now total. 

Plus look at the low volume...real people are gone and it's just computers trading on algo's and they can be gamed more easily than their "emotional programmers".

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 15:00 | 429680 OutLookingIn
OutLookingIn's picture

 

 Earth to Major Tom.

Take your 'happy' pill and put your helmet on. Zooooom!

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 15:11 | 429698 Cursive
Cursive's picture

....Tell my wife I love her very much....

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 15:31 | 429756 juangrande
juangrande's picture

we know major tom's a junkie, strung out in heaven's high     hitting an all time low.

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 15:32 | 429761 -Michelle-
-Michelle-'s picture

She knows...

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 15:03 | 429683 Joe Shmoe
Joe Shmoe's picture

Formulaically:

a(Bullish Adjective used by Fed) X b(Media Overstatement) X c(Algorithmic Comparison Executed) X d(30 to 1 Leverage) X e(interest rate) X f(millions of trades per millisecond) X g(other nonlike competitors in market) = rate of return for SPY 

Note: e and g have value of zero; f has ostensible value of infinity (speed of light)

 

 

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 15:27 | 429747 A_MacLaren
A_MacLaren's picture

Anything multiplied by zero = zero, hence the output of the equation is void.

The economy is broken, the Fed is irrelevant.

Nevermind.  Trade on... 

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 15:43 | 429781 Joe Shmoe
Joe Shmoe's picture

Awww, so you mean it won't work?  You so strict.  Okay, let's tinker with that HFT formula again... let's see, nonlike competitors and interest rates, limit approaching nil...  so maybe I should add them then, instead of multiply...  there!  That does it.  Now I'll turn it loose again.  It's been offline for ten minutes already.  That's a trillion or so shares I could have traded!

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 17:31 | 430191 malusDiaz
malusDiaz's picture

Actually... Depends on 2 parts of the equation:

 

How fast are you  going to zero and how fast are you going to infinity. 

 

One will dominate the other (or create a new limit like...42, or 0 or Infinity.)  and it will approach that limit.   

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 15:49 | 429819 MayIMommaDogFac...
MayIMommaDogFace2theBananaPatch's picture

f has ostensible value of infinity (speed of light)

You can't do any better than speed-of-light?  Slacker. 

 

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 17:51 | 430257 LongGold
LongGold's picture

* Prepare ship for light speed.
* No, no, no, light speed is too slow.
* Light speed, too slow?
* Yes, we're gonna have to go right to ludicrous speed.

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 15:07 | 429691 centerline
centerline's picture

just wait till direction bias is switched the other way!

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 15:19 | 429714 Bam_Man
Bam_Man's picture

Jesse has it right.

No major decline until after Uncle Stupid IPO's his GM shitpile.

They are predictable. 

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 15:22 | 429724 George Costanza
George Costanza's picture

Since the Fed stopped buying Junk Mortgages and the like (QE) in March 2010, the rallies have not been holding. The bulls have no power, and eventually they will be broken.  The flash crash as a strong clue of what's to come.   Looking back, it will be seen as obvious.

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 15:23 | 429733 Caviar Emptor
Caviar Emptor's picture

I heard the market zoom may have resulted from a rumor regarding QE2. Stay tuned, folks!

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 15:26 | 429739 Slash
Slash's picture

short paper gold, short euro......i'm scurred 

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 15:30 | 429740 Trifecta Man
Trifecta Man's picture

The stock market always zips both ways after a Fed announcement.  Always.  Gives the specialists (okay the HFT computers) a change to run the stops, or put on shorts at highs, and they can blame it on the news, even when the news is nothing new.

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 15:33 | 429766 truont
truont's picture

Yup--it's all about the HFTs scalping the longs and then scalping the shorts due to the inequality of information (ie HFTs have more info than retail sheeple investors).

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 15:31 | 429755 unionbroker
unionbroker's picture

when the Fed speaks they always jam the market higher , i think too many people now realize that and are just waiting on the sell button

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 15:34 | 429759 firstdivision
firstdivision's picture

Tiiimmay - Keep pumping it, I think we are getting somewhere. 

BennyBoy - I'm pumping as hard as I can!

Tiimmay - Buy Euro's, sell Yen. 

BennyBoy - The printing press is running out of ink!!!

 

How will this end?  Stay tuned to find out if true economics triumphs over perverse  Keynesianism, or will taxpayers stand by idle seeing diminishing returns

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 15:36 | 429777 Eric Cartman
Eric Cartman's picture

Why does the chart show the price at noon if the FOMC release was 2:15?

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 15:38 | 429783 MrTrader
MrTrader's picture

Hum, I can´t understand why everybody is comlaining about a 12 handle move. Wasn´t it clear that shorts will be "destroyed" today ??? Be as silly as me and let the robots do the work. That´s $$$$$ in my pocket.

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 15:42 | 429790 walküre
walküre's picture

Cramer is going to have a shit fit over this. Will it matter?

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 15:47 | 429810 walküre
walküre's picture

Military fingering Obama.

States judges fingering Obama.

Rest of world fingering Obama.

 

This President is done.

buy, buy, buy .. happy days are around the corner. just get rid of Obozo.

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 15:52 | 429838 MayIMommaDogFac...
MayIMommaDogFace2theBananaPatch's picture

That'll probably fix everything.  Glad we got to the bottom of this...

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 16:00 | 429877 firstdivision
firstdivision's picture

Yes, rampant fiscal irresponsibility is all Obama's fault.  He is the one that pushed deregulation of exchanges and trading.  Once Obama is out of office all markets will return to the normalcy we had in 2007....

 

 

[/sarcasm]

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 16:29 | 429991 walküre
walküre's picture

The "game" has always been rigged to some degree. "Big Boys" moving the market one way or another. Now they have algos and hft and what not, so its faster and easier to detect for those paying attention.

Anyway, my point about the President is that he is loosing support at EVERY level.

How much longer can he stay in office when the military is pretty much openly declaring they're NOT following. When state judges go head on with the White House and overturning a drilling ban. The governor of the same state is lashing out. When another state is taking immigration matters into their own hands. There isn't even a federal budget for heaven's sake.

The list goes on.

Obama is finished.

 

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 16:49 | 430041 firstdivision
firstdivision's picture

When Bush was in office; he was getting ridiculed by people in the military, being challenged by judges, lost international support, etc., etc. 

It is the same song and dance for the past 10 years, just different suits.  If you do not think so, you are obviously overly biased in your views.

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 16:55 | 430070 zaknick
zaknick's picture

Obama's just a puppet; the puppeteers are the same ol fascist scum.

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 16:18 | 429940 Panafrican Funk...
Panafrican Funktron Robot's picture

"Military fingering Obama.

States judges fingering Obama.

Rest of world fingering Obama."

Something tells me you really want to do something "on the DL" with Obama.

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 15:53 | 429841 Bankster T Cubed
Bankster T Cubed's picture

this programmed farce is simply completely f**king disgusting

the banksters behind it belong in jail

it could not be more blatant

makes the SEC look absolutely ridiculous

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 15:55 | 429851 Stonecold
Stonecold's picture

The reason ES went up is because I was thinking it would go down and sold 1 contract short.  No matter what I do I lose money.  How do you guys make money in futures trading?  Do you trade the spred?

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 16:06 | 429897 Bruce Krasting
Bruce Krasting's picture

Ever play on line poker? Don't. More than likely you have two people at your "table" that are connected. They can't control the cards, but they can control the betting. They never lose to each other. Its stacked.

Machines know what the collective "you" are doing. So they move against you. Keep in mind that in the short term this is a zero sum game. For each winner a loser. More than likely you have less resources available than those who control the robots. Its stacked against you.

If this knee jerk up flushed out the shorts and allowed the robots to get short at better levels you will see a weak close. How do you beat that?

 

 

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 16:11 | 429920 Village Idiot
Village Idiot's picture

"If this knee jerk up flushed out the shorts and allowed the robots to get short at better levels you will see a weak close. How do you beat that?"

 

Let's tree it and kill it.

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 17:58 | 430274 techperson
techperson's picture

LOL.  Rented a place to four college kids who played online poker with one sucker on the line.  Sucker didn't know they were in the same room calling out their cards to each other and calculating strategy on which hands to lose to the sucker, which to win, etc.  They were splitting $50K to $80K a month.

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 16:24 | 429964 Panafrican Funk...
Panafrican Funktron Robot's picture

Intraday trading is pretty difficult to make money unless you're well connected and well equipped.  It has absolutely nothing to do with fundamentals or publically available technical analysis.  When people here tell you that computers run the actual market, they are not being hyperbolic.  Trying to do it as a human being is literally as likely to work as gambling at a casino, hence why when people tell you here that the market is a casino, they are not being facetious.

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 16:00 | 429876 unionbroker
unionbroker's picture

 i have a friend who usedf to be a floor trader and every friday when high close harry came out to buy paper for the close they would sell to him and buy it back monday morning at a discount.i think traders know high close harry the fed when they see him 

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 16:10 | 429914 You Cant Handle...
You Cant Handle the Truth's picture

Riddle me this . . . an index (DJ) does 15% of its daily volume in the last minute, and it goes nowhere.  Gee..

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 16:21 | 429948 Midasfinancas
Wed, 06/23/2010 - 16:26 | 429978 mike_a_nsd
mike_a_nsd's picture

That has been the norm immediately after the release for as long as I can remember. Only people who leave their stops working are the market participants. 

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 17:17 | 430137 fastishplastic
fastishplastic's picture

can't win for trying in this market, zero sum game, even for the big boyz and hal, they'll see

Wed, 06/23/2010 - 21:57 | 430638 Deflationburger...
Deflationburger with Fleas's picture

ALL YOUR MARKET BELONG TO US

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!